Oddschecker News and Tipshttp://www.oddschecker.comFree news and tips from our team of Oddschecker experts, offering professional advice on a range of sports. Get the best insight with which to beat the bookies!en-gbFri, 9 Dec 2016 17:22:59 GMTHow to win big on the X Factor this weekendhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/tv/x-factor/20161209-how-to-win-big-on-the-x-factor-this-weekendhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/tv/x-factor/20161209-how-to-win-big-on-the-x-factor-this-weekendFri, 9 Dec 2016 16:53:51 GMTYou could win £53 from a £2 stake when betting on Saara to be crowned winner of the X Factor on Sunday.

How to win big on the X Factor this weekend

Oddschecker

You could win £53 from a £2 stake when betting on Saara to be crowned winner of the X Factor on Sunday.

Saturday see’s the final three of this year’s X Factor lock horns at Wembley Arena with the hope of securing a lucrative record deal. The last few weeks have seen Saara Alto catapult herself to the head of the market, and it looks like nothing can stop her. The good news is we’ve found you a way to cash in on her success.

By creating accounts with just two bookmakers you can walk away with £53 in free bets from just a £2 bet. Bet on Brazil are offering a ridiculous 25/1 Saara to win, whilst Coral are offering an even bigger 28/1. Both offers have a max bet of £1 and winnings are paid as free bets.

What are you waiting for? Enjoy!

Claim NowNew Customers - 28/1 Saara Aalto to win the X Factor

Claim NowNew Customers - 28/1 Saara Aalto to win the X Factor

]]>
Preston v Blackburn Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/championship/20161209-preston-v-blackburn-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/championship/20161209-preston-v-blackburn-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 14:57:10 GMTSide with the hosts in Saturday's Lancashire derby at Deepdale, live on Sky Sports 1.

Preston v Blackburn Betting Tips & Preview

Mike Holden

Side with the hosts in Saturday's Lancashire derby at Deepdale, live on Sky Sports 1.

Preston made headlines for a punch-up between two of their own players last weekend, at a moment when they were chasing a late equaliser against Sheffield Wednesday and had their hosts on the rack. Jermaine Beckford and Eoin Doyle were both red carded for the incident and will miss this match through suspension, with manager Simon Grayson labelling them “an embarrassment”.

However, with seven recognised strikers at the club, it just goes to show the competition for places that North End have at the top end of the pitch. Due to the form of Jordan Hugill, the two substitutes hadn’t had many minutes in recent weeks and lost their minds when one elected to shoot when the other considered himself better placed.

So Preston will cope without them, the question is whether they can deal with a Blackburn side that has developed a pretty rewarding template on the road in recent weeks. Owen Coyle’s men have done a sterling job of giving themselves a foothold in recent away trips to Derby (2-1), Birmingham (0-1), Bristol City (0-1), Aston Villa (1-2) and Newcastle (1-0).

In each instance, they reached the interval goalless and grew into the contest, scoring the opening goal three times. But one wonders whether they’ve shown their hand once too often and Grayson might be ready to capitalise by going after them early. With that in mind, back Preston/Preston half time/full at 13/5. It’s the method by which they’ve claimed six of their seven wins.

Preston/Preston half time/full time - 1pt @ 13/5Bet Now »

]]>Ipswich v Cardiff Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/championship/20161209-ipswich-v-cardiff-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/championship/20161209-ipswich-v-cardiff-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 14:41:20 GMTIpswich look a solid bet to see off struggling Cardiff at Portman Road.

Ipswich v Cardiff Betting Tips & Preview

Mike Holden

Ipswich look a solid bet to see off struggling Cardiff at Portman Road.

Ipswich are being treated like a lost cause by the layers nowadays, an accident waiting to happen until Marcus Evans and Mick McCarthy stop delaying the inevitable and go their separate ways. But there’s no such thing as a lost cause where McCarthy is concerned and while his departure from Portman Road may be imminent, his team are still value to win particular matches.

This is one such instance. Cardiff have improved under Neil Warnock but we’re past the honeymoon period when the Bluebirds might have been at their most dangerous and it intuitively feels wrong to see this game priced-up as though the visitors would be favourites if it were played on neutral territory. Take the 6/4 about the home win.

The Tractor Boys have beaten Sheffield Wednesday and QPR since the beginning of November, only to set themselves back with defeats against Nottingham Forest and Bristol City, while performances have been generally deemed acceptable or unacceptable depending on the outcome. In each case, the outcome has hinged heavily on the first goal.

With a total goals expectancy of just 1.8, that’s likely to be the case again here. If McCarthy’s men force the breakthrough, they could make the challenge look fairly routine and there’s mileage in playing the Ipswich 2-0 correct score at 11/1. With Rickie Lambert leading the Cardiff attack, the visitors are functional rather than incisive and that should suit the hosts.

Ipswich to win - 1pt @ 6/4Bet Now »

Ipswich 2-0 correct score - 1pt @ 11/1Bet Now »

]]>Southampton v Middlesbrough Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/premier-league/20161209-southampton-v-middlesbrough-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/premier-league/20161209-southampton-v-middlesbrough-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 14:21:56 GMTSaints can return to winning ways but don't expect a goal glut.

Southampton v Middlesbrough Betting Tips & Preview

Football Form Labs

Saints can return to winning ways but don't expect a goal glut.

Southampton have had a pretty bad week after losing to a Crystal Palace side that had previously lost six on the bounce, before only managing a draw at home to Hapoel Be’er Sheva in the Europa League and failing to qualify from their group. They’ll hope to get back on track at St. Mary’s where they hold an excellent record domestically, winning 11 of their last 17, only losing twice (both against Chelsea), though their games have often been tight affairs with fewer than three goals in six of the last seven.

Middlesbrough secured an important victory over struggling Hull to give themselves breathing distance above the relegation zone. They deserved the win, with Hull defending deep and unable to create any real presentable chances before rallying late on, though the quality of football on display was not the greatest from either side. The win, coupled with Southampton’s defeat at Palace, leaves Boro just one place and two points below their opponents here, and the pressure will be on Claud Puel’s men following a bad couple of results.

This isn’t a game that screams goals, with Middlesbrough often involved in low scoring matches. Indeed, seven of their last eight have featured fewer than three strikes, and given the lack of goals in recent home matches for the Saints, for whom Dusan Tadic is a big miss from an attacking perspective, we’re backing Southampton/under 2.5 goals.

Southampton/Under 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 3.3Bet Now »

]]>Real Betis v Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/la-liga/20161209-real-betis-v-athletic-bilbao-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/la-liga/20161209-real-betis-v-athletic-bilbao-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 14:01:07 GMTBack the stalemate in Sunday evening's live La Liga clash in the Estadio Benito Villamarín.

Real Betis v Athletic Bilbao Betting Tips & Preview

Football Form Labs

Back the stalemate in Sunday evening's live La Liga clash in the Estadio Benito Villamarín.

Real Betis twice let a lead slip at home to Celta Vigo as they had to settle for a 3-3 draw and as a result they remain in 14th, just three points clear of the relegation zone. Bilbao, meanwhile, made it two wins in their last three as they beat Eibar at home to move up to 7th and they’re just two points off Atletico in 4th.

Though they draw a lot, Betis are a tough side to beat at home as they’ve lost just four of their last 17 at the Estadio Benito Villamarín and two of those defeats were against Barcelona. Indeed, they’ve drawn four of their six home games against teams between 4th and 8th since the start of last season in games that have tended to be tight as four saw fewer than three goals.

Bilbao are struggling for goals somewhat as they’ve scored more than once in just one of their last six and they’ve netted only three times in their last four on the road. A low-scoring encounter will certainly bring the draw into play and that’s the outcome we like most here. Bilbao have lost four of their seven road games this term and their only away wins have come over Granada and Deportivo, both of whom are in the bottom-five and as such Valverde’s men look on the short side at 2.4.

Draw - 1pt @ 3.25Bet Now »

]]>MK Dons v AFC Wimbledon Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/league-one/20161209-mk-dons-v-afc-wimbledon-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/league-one/20161209-mk-dons-v-afc-wimbledon-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 13:50:55 GMTThere looks some real value in the HT/FT markets where Mike Holden has a couple of fancies.

MK Dons v AFC Wimbledon Betting Tips & Preview

Mike Holden

There looks some real value in the HT/FT markets where Mike Holden has a couple of fancies.

Robbie Neilson takes charge of MK Dons for the first time in earnest, having contributed to the 0-0 draw in the FA Cup with Charlton last weekend only insomuch as providing the half-time team talk. Amusingly, the consensus between Karl Robinson and former assistant Richie Barker afterwards was that Milton Keynes dominated the first half but were second best from thereon.

We should, of course, take that assessment with a pinch of salt and it might only be to the detriment of AFC Wimbledon that Neilson has been able to prepare his players for this grudge encounter with a back catalogue of relevant video footage on the visitors, whereas Neal Ardley has few clues about how his counterpart will set his new troops up.

On that basis, we should work to the assumption that Milton Keynes will start the game brighter with Ardley perhaps happy to bide his time early on and see what Neilson has got up his sleeve. However, Wimbledon are the better side in general terms and there’s value in backing them to win the second half at 11/4. The Londoners are rarely on the back foot in the closing stages.

If Neilson does find an edge and Milton Keynes and seize the initiative from it, then it opens up the possibility of landing some big-priced value in the half time/full time market. Split a point between the MK Dons/Wimbledon outcomes at 16/1 and 45/1. The latter bet is a staggering price - Wimbledon have landed it five times already in all competitions this term.

Wimbledon to win the second half - 1pt @ 11/4Bet Now »

MK Dons/Draw half time/full time - 0.5pt @ 16/1Bet Now »

MK Dons/Wimbledon half time/full time - 0.5pt @ 45/1Bet Now »

]]>Schalke 04 v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/bundesliga/20161209-schalke-04-v-bayer-leverkusen-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/bundesliga/20161209-schalke-04-v-bayer-leverkusen-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 13:34:38 GMTSchalke look the value to edge what could be an entertaining Bundesliga clash.

Schalke 04 v Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips & Preview

Football Form Labs

Schalke look the value to edge what could be an entertaining Bundesliga clash.

Schalke lost their first Europa League game of the season on Thursday night but they had the luxury of being able to rest the majority of their players having already topped the group. Domestically, they became the latest side to be foiled by surprise leaders RB Leipzig but prior to that Markus Weinzierl’s side had won five of seven unbeaten matches, including four on the bounce at home.

Bayer Leverkusen beat Monaco in a dead rubber mid-week but in the Bundesliga they’re without a win in three. On the road they’ve lost four of six matches but goals have been aplenty with both teams netting in each of these, resulting in all six seeing at least three goals. Four of Schalke’s last five at home have had more than three strikes, so over 2.5 goals looks a great price at 1.91.

Bayer have a poor record when travelling to top-half clubs, losing nine of 11 such matches since the start of last season, so despite being separated by just goal difference in the league table, it’s perhaps understandable why Schalke are as short as 2.3. We’re certainly siding with the hosts but given it’s been 18 games since Leverkusen failed to net on the road we think there’s better value in backing a Schalke win and both teams to score.

Over 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 1.91Bet Now »

Schalke to Win & BTTS - 1pt @ 4.2Bet Now »

]]>Torino v Juventus Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/serie-a/20161209-torino-v-juventus-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/serie-a/20161209-torino-v-juventus-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 13:22:33 GMTTorino look the value in Sunday's live Serie A derby match in Turin.

Torino v Juventus Betting Tips & Preview

Football Form Labs

Torino look the value in Sunday's live Serie A derby match in Turin.

Torino’s three match winning streak came to an end with defeat at Sampdoria but they’ll still head into the Turin Derby with confidence thanks to their impressive home form thus far as they’ve won five of seven unbeaten matches. Juventus make the short trip across the city with a four point advantage in Serie A and top spot secured in their Champions League group thanks to their win over Dinamo Zagreb.

Juve have certainly got the better of their local rivals recently, winning seven of the last eight encounters. Torino’s only victory in this sequence did come at home though and they look as strong as they’ve ever been since returning to Serie A in 2012/13. Moreover, Juve’s three blemishes this season have all come on the road, including a dismantling at the hands of Genoa last time. They look far more vulnerable on the road compared to in their recent title winning seasons and that along with Torino’s impressive home form means we think the Old Lady are worth taking on. We’re siding with Torino draw no bet.

Additionally, Juve are without some key defenders in Barzaglia, Bonucci and Alves at the moment and as a result six of their last eight fixtures have seen both teams score. Joe Hart’s arrival at Torino hasn’t stopped the defence leaking goals as it’s now just one clean sheets in their last 13 at home, with both teams netting in six of seven this term. 1.92 looks excellent value for this trend to continue.

Torino Draw No Bet - 1pt @ 3.38Bet Now »

BTTS – Yes - 1pt @ 1.92Bet Now »

]]>Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Betting Tipshttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/us-sports/nfl/20161209-dallas-cowboys-at-new-york-giants-betting-tipshttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/us-sports/nfl/20161209-dallas-cowboys-at-new-york-giants-betting-tipsFri, 9 Dec 2016 13:15:58 GMTBack the visitors in the final Monday night NFL match, live on Sky Sports 1.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants Betting Tips

Form Labs

Back the visitors in the final Monday night NFL match, live on Sky Sports 1.

We’re firmly into the business end of the NFL season now as the big games just keep on coming. The NFC East is currently led by the Dallas Cowboys on 11-1 ahead of the New York Giants on 8-4 and it’s those two that do battle this Sunday night in the Big Apple.

As noted above the Cowboys have only lost one game all season and it was none other than the New York Giants who defeated them in the opening game of the year. Since then the Cowboys have gone from strength to strength behind the outstanding displays of rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott, and they know that victory here will clinch the divisional title.

The Giants currently occupy a wild card spot, but being just one win ahead of Tampa Bay it remains to be seen how they handle the pressure in such a crucial game. As the final fixture on Sunday, a win for the Washington Redskins in the afternoon could put even further pressure on the Giants.

MetLife stadium will be rocking on Sunday night and in the crisp New York cold we think The Giants can upset the odds against their southern counterparts.

New York Giants Win - 1pt @ 2.6Bet Now »

]]>Liverpool v West Ham Betting Tips & Previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/premier-league/20161209-liverpool-v-west-ham-betting-tips-previewhttp://www.oddschecker.com/tips/football/premier-league/20161209-liverpool-v-west-ham-betting-tips-previewFri, 9 Dec 2016 13:04:06 GMTThe Reds can bag the points but expect West Ham to find the net.

Liverpool v West Ham Betting Tips & Preview

Football Form Labs

The Reds can bag the points but expect West Ham to find the net.

Liverpool suffered a surprise defeat away at Bournemouth last week in a game where they led by two goals less than 25 minutes in, and then once more with 25 minutes to go. Critics have often pointed to Liverpool’s defence, with many questioning whether they can outscore their opponents to the title, but both their defeats this season have come without centre-half Joel Matip, who should be fit for this one.

West Ham are without a win in six matches across all competitions following their battering by Arsenal last week on home turf, a second half collapse adding further misery to Slaven Bilic and his side. The Hammers have had a tough schedule of late as prior to the humiliation against Arsenal they had to face Spurs, Man Utd, and then the latter again in the League Cup, but they’ve now conceded 13 goals across four games and an alarming nine in two. They have however only failed to score once in 10, with both teams scoring in each of their last five.

Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 14 top-flight home matches, winning five of the last six, and with the return of Matip alongside news that Saido Mane should be fit to play, we can’t see anything other than a home win in this one. However, with their captivating gung-ho style we think the value lies in backing correct score of 2-1 at a price of 10.0 also holds some appeal. West Ham have conceded exactly two goals in seven of their last 13 away matches, whilst Liverpool have conceded exactly one goal in five of their last seven at Anfield.

Liverpool/Both Teams To Score - 1pt @ 2.63Bet Now »

Liverpool 2-1 West Ham (Correct Score) - 1pt @ 10.0Bet Now »

]]>What are Oddschecker users backing this weekendhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-what-are-oddschecker-users-backing-this-weekendhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-what-are-oddschecker-users-backing-this-weekendFri, 9 Dec 2016 15:40:19 GMTOddschecker users fancy a few away teams to win on the road as well as a Burnley win this weekend.

What are Oddschecker users backing this weekend

Oddschecker

Oddschecker users fancy a few away teams to win on the road as well as a Burnley win this weekend.

Relegation threatened Sunderland are being well backed by Oddschecker users ahead of their game against Swansea on Saturday.

Despite the Swans being favourites to win at 6/5, 68% of punters on our site are predicting the Black Cats will continue their run of form and are taking advantage of the 27/10 price.

Following Crystal Palace's win against Southampton last week Oddschecker users are getting on the Eagles to make it two wins on the bounce.

Alan Pardew's side travel to Hull City, who have failed to win in their last four matches, with renewed optimism following their recent win. At 11/8 it appears the majority of punters are also favouring the south London club with 62% of users backing the away win.

Despite losing three games in a row, punters are opting for Burnley to beat Bournemouth as Eddie Howe returns to Turf Moor. It seems 5/2 on Burnley to win is too good a price for many with 60% on a Burnley win.

Elsewhere, users are expecting wins for Manchester City and Arsenal while picking a winner between Liverpool and West Ham is proving surprisingly tricky with 53% backing the home side and 41% on the Hammers.

]]>How have the X Factor finalists' odds changed over time?http://www.oddschecker.com/insight/tv/20161209-how-have-the-x-factor-finalists-odds-changed-over-timehttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/tv/20161209-how-have-the-x-factor-finalists-odds-changed-over-timeFri, 9 Dec 2016 15:23:46 GMTSaara was 100/1 to win the show just weeks ago but she heads into the final as the 5/6 favourite, while Matt has been lengthening at this late stage.

How have the X Factor finalists' odds changed over time?

Oddschecker

Saara was 100/1 to win the show just weeks ago but she heads into the final as the 5/6 favourite, while Matt has been lengthening at this late stage.

The final of the X Factor is this weekend and Saara Aalto goes in as the favourite to win the 13th series of the show. She’s joined by Matt Terry and 5 After Midnight who should prove tough competition. All three remaining acts have been in the bottom two at least once in the series and we’ve taken a look at each contestant and how their odds have changed over time.

 
Matt Saara 5AM
Week One 2/1 33/1 4/1
Week Two 5/4 50/1 4/1
Week Three 10/11 100/1 3/1
Week Four 4/6 33/1 8/1
Week Five 8/11 20/1 10/1
Week Six 8/11 33/1 10/1
Week Seven 4/6 12/1 6/1
Week Eight 4/9 5/1 5/1
Week Nine 2/1 5/6 6/1

Saara Aalto

Saara had a difficult time of it at the start of the live shows, with her odds lengthening to 100/1 but she now appears to have won over the public after booking herself a place in the final, following some impressive performances of late. After being in the sing-off on three separate occasions which included the opening two weeks, a string of outstanding performances has made her the favourite to win the show at 5/6. That turnaround from 100/1 in week three to the 5/6 favourite would be the biggest in the show's history if she went onto win on Sunday night.

She is set to perform with Adam lambert, who rose to fame in 2009 after finishing runner-up on American Idol. He is now part of the rock band Queen.

5 After Midnight

The boyband aged between 20-23 have consistently “wowed” the judges. They started the live shows at 4/1 and had always been just behind Matt Terry in the betting until the emergence of Saar in recent weeks. During the early weeks they appeared real contenders to win, with 3/1 being their lowest odds in week three. Ty struggled in the middle weeks though, with their performances appearing a little one-dimensional and their odds lengthened to 10/1 in both week five and six. 5AM were in the bottom two on week eight but won their sing-off against Honey G, with their odds shortening to 5/1.

A duet in the final was lined up with the Spice Girls but unfortunately they had to pull out. The Weeknd or Louisa Johnson and Clean Bandit have been lined up as a potential replacement. At 5/1 going into the final, Louis Walsh’s group are the outsiders to be crowned winners.

Matt Terry

The 23-year-old has been the most consistent contestant, in both his performances and his odds movement throughout the live shows. He started as the favourite at 2/1 and only shortened from there. He was odds on to win all the way through from week three until week 8. With the series coming close to the end, he appeared to be cruising to a win, much like Louisa Johnson last year. The emergence of Saara as a contender has put an end to that though and he made a shock appearance in the bottom two in week nine. Having seen off the competition of Emily he kept himself in with a shout but is now 2/1 behind Saara, his longest odds since before the live shows began. A duet with Nicole Scherzinger should improve his chances of winning, considering her past performance with winner Sam Bailey in 2013..

]]>How likely are your team to win this weekend?http://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-how-likely-are-your-team-to-win-this-weekendhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-how-likely-are-your-team-to-win-this-weekendFri, 9 Dec 2016 12:15:37 GMTAccording to the bookies Chelsea are the biggest banker of the weekend, with a 77% chance of beating West Brom at Stamford Bridge.

How likely are your team to win this weekend?

Oddschecker

According to the bookies Chelsea are the biggest banker of the weekend, with a 77% chance of beating West Brom at Stamford Bridge.

If you love odds and statistics as much as we do then you might want to know the probability of each Premier League and Football League team winning their respective matches this weekend. These percentages might help you decide which teams you feel are over/under-priced and could give you an advantage when it comes to building your weekend accumulator.

According to the bookies, Chelsea are the biggest banker of the weekend, across all the leagues, as they host West Brom with an 77% chance of victory. Check the rest out below...

Premier League

Home Draw Away
Watford 32% 29% 39% Everton
Arsenal 71% 18% 10% Stoke
Burnley 28% 29% 44% Bournemouth
Hull 29% 30% 43% Crystal Palace
Swansea 45% 28% 28% Sunderland
Leicester 19% 25% 58% Man City
Chelsea 77% 16% 7% West Brom
Man Utd 58% 26% 16% Tottenham
Southampton 44% 29% 28% Middlesbrough
Liverpool 75% 16% 8% West Ham
 

Championship

Home Draw Away
Brighton 53% 27% 20% Leeds
Aston Villa 56% 27% 18% Wigan
Barnsley 29% 28% 44% Norwich
Brentford 48% 29% 26% Burton
Huddersfield 43% 29% 29% Bristol City
Ipswich 40% 31% 30% Cardiff
Newcastle 67% 22% 12% Birmingham
Reading 33% 30% 38% Sheff Wed
Rotherham 30% 29% 43% QPR
Wolves 34% 29% 38% Fulham
Preston 46% 29% 26% Blackburn
Derby 56% 27% 19% Notts Forest
 

League One

Home Draw Away
Bradford 49% 27% 25% Charlton
Bristol Rovers 58% 24% 20% Bury
Fleetwood 48% 28% 26% Walsall
MK Dons 45% 27% 29% AFC Wimbledon
Millwall 64% 22% 15% Shrewsbury
Oxford 50% 27% 24% Oldham
Peterborough 59% 24% 20% Chesterfield
Port Vale 29% 28% 44% Scunthorpe
Sheff Utd 69% 20% 11% Swindon
Southend 44% 29% 29% Coventry
Bolton 58% 25% 18% Gillingham
 

League Two

Home Draw Away
Cheltenham 36% 29% 36% Exeter
Crewe 47% 27% 26% Crawley
Grimsby 26% 29% 48% Portsmouth
Hartlepool 31% 29% 38% Cambridge
Leyton Orient 33% 29% 39% Accrington
Luton 40% 29% 32% Carlisle
Mansfield 41% 29% 31% Colchester
Newport 49% 27% 26% Morecambe
Notts County 49% 29% 39% Wycombe
Plymouth 33% 27% 41% Doncaster
Stevenage 29% 28% 44% Blackpool
Yeovil 41% 29% 31% Barnet

*percentages based on best-priced odds on 08/12/16

]]>Are Premier League matches becoming more exciting this season?http://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-are-premier-league-matches-becoming-more-exciting-this-seasonhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161209-are-premier-league-matches-becoming-more-exciting-this-seasonFri, 9 Dec 2016 12:14:22 GMTThe Premier League has seen a flurry of goals over the last five weeks, throwing up some thrilling matches but is that the whole story?

Are Premier League matches becoming more exciting this season?

Oddschecker

The Premier League has seen a flurry of goals over the last five weeks, throwing up some thrilling matches but is that the whole story?

The Premier League seems to have sparked into life over the last couple of weeks, with high scoring matches being produced more regularly.

Last week we've seen Arsenal and Tottenham both hit five past their opposition and a seven-goal thriller between Bournemouth and Liverpool. Last week was the incredible 5-4 match between Swansea and Crystal Palace and the week before that we saw Tottenham beat West Ham 3-2.

Over the last five weeks, there has been a marked increase in the amount of scores being scored, with 3.2 goals per game, as opposed to 2.7 goals per game in the 9 games previous to that. The question is though; is that a general trend or is it being skewed by a few teams?

With defending seemingly getting worse, it seems that the gap between the teams at the top and teams at the bottom is growing. Liverpool have beaten Watford 6-1, Crystal Palace 4-2 and lost to Bournemouth 4-3 in that period. They are certainly one team that could have skewed the amount of goals recently.

Another team that has been involved in a lot of goals is Crystal Palace, who haven't been involved in a match with under three goals scored in that period.

West Brom are surprisingly in the top eight of the league and perhaps more surprisingly, in matches they have been involved in, they have been averaging more than three goals per game.  
Week Total Goals Goals per Game
10 28 2.8
11 36 3.6
12 24 2.4
13 31 3.1
14 36 3.6
Average 10-14 32 3.2
Average 1-9 27 2.7
Average 1-14 29 2.9
 
Total Goals Goals per Game
Matches between the top 5 & bottom 5 69 3.5
Matches involving the top 5 199 3.2
Matches not involving the top 5 205 2.7
 

Taking a look at the 20 matches between the current top five and current bottom five so far this season, we can see that the average goals per game (3.5) is far higher than the overall average this season (2.9). The gap between top and bottom certainly seems to be widening, with the attacking talent of the top teams putting the bottom teams' defences to the sword.

In general, matches involving the current top five clubs have seen more goals than matches not involving those teams, which is what you would expect to some extent. The fact that those matches, on average, produce 0.5 goals per game more than matches without the top five again shows the discrepancy between the amount of goals scored and the quality of football when comparing the top teams and the rest of the league.

It would seem that other than the odd exception, such as Swansea winning 5-4 against Crystal Palace, generally there are significantly less goals in most Premier League matches that don't involve the top teams. If we take goals as a measure of excitement, the top teams do seem to be skewing the increase in the amount of goals recently and that goes more than some way to understanding why they are favoured for live televised matches.

]]>Crucial weekend awaits as the Premier League sack race hots uphttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-crucial-weekend-awaits-as-the-premier-league-sack-race-hots-uphttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-crucial-weekend-awaits-as-the-premier-league-sack-race-hots-upThu, 8 Dec 2016 14:53:47 GMTBob Bradley (11/8), Slaven Bilic (9/4) and Alan Pardew (7/2) could all face the chop this weekend should they lose their respective matches.

Crucial weekend awaits as the Premier League sack race hots up

Oddschecker

Bob Bradley (11/8), Slaven Bilic (9/4) and Alan Pardew (7/2) could all face the chop this weekend should they lose their respective matches.

Despite being the most recently appointed manager in the Premier League, Swansea manager Bob Bradley is the bookies favourite to be the next manager to leave. The Swans have won just once during his seven game tenure and find themselves bottom of the league, with many believing his appointment was wrong. He is best-price 11/8 to be the next casualty and failing to win at home to Sunderland on Saturday could seal his fate.

Bradley is not the only manager having a torrid time of late. Second favourite to leave according to the bookies is under-fire West Ham boss Slaven Bilic. What a difference six months make. With eight defeats to their name this campaign, the Hammers have already equalled their tally of losses throughout the whole of last season. Bilic’s side sit a point above the relegation zone and face a tough trip to Anfield on Sunday. He is best-price 9/4 to go next.

Alan Pardew will also be feeling the pressure and is 7/2 to be the next manager to leave. Whilst an unexpected 3-0 win against Southampton last week will have eased tensions slightly, he remains widely unpopular amongst Crystal Palace fans. Pards’ future could be decided if Crystal Palace don’t get three points at fellow strugglers Hull on Saturday.

 

Next three fixtures:

Swansea: Sunderland (H), West Brom (A), Middlesbrough (A)

West Ham: Liverpool (A), Burnley (H), Hull (H)

Crystal Palace: Hull (A), Man Utd (H), Chelsea (H)  

]]>Hodgson ready for coaching comebackhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-hodgson-ready-for-coaching-comebackhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-hodgson-ready-for-coaching-comebackThu, 8 Dec 2016 13:36:07 GMTRoy Hodgson has admitted he wants to return to management but the question is who is willing to appoint him?

Hodgson ready for coaching comeback

Oddschecker

Roy Hodgson has admitted he wants to return to management but the question is who is willing to appoint him?

It has been over four months since Roy Hodgson quit as England manager but the 69-year-old has declared he is fit and ready for a return to the game.

Speaking to Sky Sports News, Hodgson confirmed he would come back a better coach since stepping down from the national side following England's disappointing defeat to Iceland at Euro 2016.

He said: "I feel that if anything I think you become a better coach – if wisdom is a word which is at all relevant in football, I would like to think it is, you do become a bit wiser with the years and you perhaps make a few less mistakes with players and dealing with players that you would have made when you were young, thought you knew it all and thought that you were invincible."

"I certainly don’t feel that I couldn’t handle the day-to-day work and the day-to-day pressures. I just have to wait and see what comes along," added Hodgson.

But how likely is it that Hodgson can extend his 40-year coaching career with a top-flight club in England?

Hodgson, who has managed in England with Bristol City, Blackburn, Fulham, Liverpool and West Brom, suffered most of the brunt from England's embarrassing exit from Euro 2016 and it may well have dented his reputation.

However, his work at Fulham cannot be overlooked, and with Bob Bradley, Alan Pardew and Slaven Bilic leading the market as the next manager to leave the Premier League it is a timely reminder from Hodgson that he is available.

One likely destination could be Crystal Palace where current manager Pardew is on the verge of being sacked. Hodgson grew up in Croydon and was on the books with the Eagles during his early playing days. A return to south-east London is 9/1 with Paddy Power. But he faces tough competition with Sam Allardyce and Chris Coleman ahead of him in the market.

One other market where Hodgson is available is to be next manager at Arsenal. You can get as big as 100/1 with SkyBet for him to take over from Arsene Wenger but is considered a 33/1 chance with Paddy Power.

Hodgson will be keen to make his next managerial role a success but whether it will be in the Premier League or not we will have to wait and see. One thing is for sure though, plenty of our followers on Twitter believe Hodgson is not good enough for the Premier League.

]]>Is the Europa League the right competition for Spurs?http://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-is-the-europa-league-the-right-competition-for-spurshttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/football/20161208-is-the-europa-league-the-right-competition-for-spursThu, 8 Dec 2016 09:59:30 GMTThe stage is set for Pochettino and Co. to go all the way.

Is the Europa League the right competition for Spurs?

Oliver Leseelleur

The stage is set for Pochettino and Co. to go all the way.

After breaking the curse of Wembley last night, with a fairly convincing 3-1 victory over Moscow, Pochettino’s men successfully booked themselves a place in the Europa league. Spurs are no strangers to Thursday night football but a number of factors suggest that they might have more success, this time out.

Their competition is considerably less fierce than previous years; with holders Sevilla having qualified for the last 16 of the Champions League, only a few teams who Spurs would consider to be of a similar calibre remain. The likes of Man United or Roma are easily avoidable in the draw, so might Spurs find themselves with an easy route to the latter stages?

Mauricio Pochettino made a few interesting comments, once it was confirmed in Monaco that his side were out of the Champions League. None more intriguing than stating ‘It is good for the club to go into the Europa League and try to go further in the competition’. This suggests they will approach the competition with a different mind-set this year and with a highly competitive premier league race, the North London club might see this as a real opportunity to sneak in the back door to next year’s Champions League.

As expected, Tottenham are towards the top of the betting grid but a reasonable 12/1 reasonable 12/1 can still be snapped up. With 78% of all Europa League Win Market bets over the last 24 hours being placed on Spurs, this price may not be around for long and the upcoming draw may induce further market movement.

]]>Weekend Racing Preview - What to look out forhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/horse-racing/20161207-weekend-racing-preview-what-to-look-out-forhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/horse-racing/20161207-weekend-racing-preview-what-to-look-out-forWed, 7 Dec 2016 13:17:24 GMTWe take a look at the highlights on a big weekend of racing action.

Weekend Racing Preview - What to look out for

Oddschecker

We take a look at the highlights on a big weekend of racing action.

Cheltenham’s two-day International meeting kicks off on Friday and the feature event on the opening day is the £45,000 Grade Three Unicoin Group Handicap Chase (1.30pm).

The market is currently headed by Southfield Theatre (best odds 5-1) who probably would have won the Badger Ales Trophy at Wincanton on seasonal return had he not capsized at the final fence. His trainer Paul Nicholls has only won the race once (Royal Auclair in 2005) but his last four runners have all been placed.

Favourites have a decent record in the 3m 2f contest, obliging on 21 occasions (46.7% strike rate), although the most recent market leader to triumph was Midnight Chase at 11/4 in 2010.

Earlier on the card, Emerging Force could put his RSA Chase credentials to the test once again in the 3m 2f novices’ chase – a race won by subsequent RSA hero Blaklion 12 months ago. Harry Whittington’s improving 6yo has looked the part in winning both starts over the bigger obstacles so far and it already seems certain that he will take higher rank over fences than he did over hurdles (rated 146 in that sphere). He also has the option of the Grade 2 Bet365 December Novices’ Chase at Doncaster on Saturday.

The juvenile hurdle that opens Saturday’s Cheltenham card has a rich history of throwing up high-class winners and that trend ought to continue if the likes of Defi Du Seuil, Cliffs Of Dover and Domperignon Du Lys stand their ground at the final declaration stag. An impressive win for any, especially the JP McManus-owned Defi Du Seuil - the current Triumph Hurdle second favourite, would see a major move in that ante-post market.

Nicky Henderson is unlikely to run both O O Seven and Different Gravey in the Ryman Novices’ Chase at 12.40pm but this looks set to be a most informative contest that will have a major bearing on the ante-post markets for the JLT and RSA Chase markets. The prospect of decent ground will be music to the ears of trainer Paul Nicholls, whose Frodon could easily bounce back after conditions turned against him in the BetVictor Gold Cup here last month. He still has stacks of potential but a decent surface is important to him.

Paul Nicholls is also responsible for the ante-post market leader of the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup although Bouvreuil has the best part of seven lengths to make up on Taquin De Seuil from the BetVictor Gold Cup. As a relatively unexposed 5yo with more to offer over fences, punters clearly think Bouvreuil is the one to be with this time, on 5lb better terms. Five of the first six home from BetVictor Gold Cup meet again and they dominate a wide open market.

Festival heroes Unowhatimeanharry, Blaklion and Conygree are on the roll call of recent winners of the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (2.25) so there can be little doubt that this race has the potential to throw up a future star, and it looks significant that Paul Nicholls chooses to pitch Anchor Man in deep after just one run under rules. He went into many a notebook when bolting up in an Exeter novices’ hurdle last month but the runner-up didn’t do much for the form at Hereford next time.

Connections of Yanworth were meant to be plotting a path to World Hurdle glory this season but owner JP McManus clearly feels he has a better prospect for that race in Unowwhatimeanharry, meaning Yanworth reverts back to two-miles in the Stanjames.com International Hurdle (3.00) in a bid to determine whether he has the class to be a genuine Champion Hurdle contender. The New One is another horse that was expected to tread a different route this season (fences) but his chasing career has been put on hold for the time being. He will surely have a say if anywhere near his best, but last season’s Champion Hurdle runner-up My Tent Or Yours heads the market and will be hard to beat if bouncing back from his rather surprising defeat at Haydock, where the combination of testing ground and a steady pace put paid to his chances.

The eyes of the racing world are diverted to Ireland on Sunday where two of Willie Mullins’ big guns are unleashed for the first time this season. 2016 Gold Cup runner-up Djakadam (best odds 15-8) bids to repeat last season’s impressive success in the Grade 1 John Durkan Memorial Chase at Punchestown while at Cork, the superstar that is Douvan will take his record to 7-7 over fences if successful in the Kerry Group Hill Way Chase at 2.15. The 2017 Queen Mother Champion Chase favourite looks sure to go off very prohibitive odds.

]]>Cruz Beckham among the favourites to be Christmas Number Onehttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/specials/20161207-cruz-beckham-among-the-favourites-to-be-christmas-number-onehttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/specials/20161207-cruz-beckham-among-the-favourites-to-be-christmas-number-oneWed, 7 Dec 2016 11:30:36 GMTCruz Beckham released his debut single on Capital this morning, since the first play his odds for Christmas number one have been shortening.

Cruz Beckham among the favourites to be Christmas Number One

Oddschecker

Cruz Beckham released his debut single on Capital this morning, since the first play his odds for Christmas number one have been shortening.

Accompanied by his dad David, Cruz appeared on Capital FM this morning ahead of releasing his debut single. Cruz’s first track is called ‘If Every Day Was Christmas’ and all profits will go to Global’s 'Make Some Noise' charity.

Cruz’s mum Victoria was Christmas number one three times in a row with the Spice Girls and the bookmakers now think Cruz has a real chance of making it four for the Beckham household. Cruz’s song entered the market this morning at 33/1 to win but the single has been shortening all day. Punters can still back Beckham’s debut single at 25/1 but it’s as short as 10/1 with a couple of bookmakers. The Spice Girls are 40/1 to land their fourth Christmas number one, which makes the eleven year old the main contender this Christmas for the Beckhams.

Oddschecker users are lapping up the juicy odds for Cruz’s single, 56% of bets placed on the Christmas number one market today have been placed on the debut single. Although it seems an eleven year old singing a Christmas song for charity isn’t for everyone…. Cheer up Piers….

]]>Wednesday's Market Movers from Oddscheckerhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/horse-racing/20161207-wednesdays-market-movers-from-oddscheckerhttp://www.oddschecker.com/insight/horse-racing/20161207-wednesdays-market-movers-from-oddscheckerWed, 7 Dec 2016 10:45:38 GMTA quick look at which horses have been popular in the market this morning including two for Jim Bolger at Dundalk this evening.

Wednesday's Market Movers from Oddschecker

Oddschecker

A quick look at which horses have been popular in the market this morning including two for Jim Bolger at Dundalk this evening.

First up we're off to Hexham and their 13.15 where LANDMEAFORTUNE has been well supported. The 7yo was a decent second on his debut over fences behind a well-handicapped winner at Ayr over 2m 4f (soft) last month. Today's trip is an unknown for the Martin Todhunter runner but it seems punters think it could bring out further improvement. 7/1 this morning, some firms are now as short as 7/2 (best price 4/1).

Next up is MY LITTLE CRACKER in the 12.45 at Hexham. Iain Jardine's 6yo beat three rivals very easily on heavy going at the track in March and followed up in equally testing conditions at Southwell. She hasn't made much progress in handicaps since but has dropped to what looks a fair mark and has attracted support this morning. As big as 5/1 at one point, some bookies are now offering just 3/1 (best price 7/2).

The first of two movers for Jim Bolger this evening at Dundlak is CRESENDO in the 20.00. The 3yo was just touched off by under a length over 6f here last month and may be able to go one better now granted this additional furlong. 4/1 last night, he's now as short as 7/4 in places (best price 2/1).

The other Bolger market mover is in the 21.00 - HEAVY WEIGHT. The C&D winner is entitled to strip fitter for his comeback spin at Naas in October and has been given a great chance by the handicapper. He was beaten a little over a length the last time he ran on the all-weather and is now 7lb lower. 5/1 on first showing, he's now into as short as 13/8 with one firm (best price 9/4).

Check out the rest of today's market movers on our market reports page.

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