Horse Racing notes and tips from our pro tipster, Malcolm Boyle appear here daily. All Weather tips from Dmouse can be found on the Dmouse Tip Star page, to read his latest selections log in to the Tip Star Tipping Competition.
ArchiveHaydock -- Friday 03/07/2009
Best bets:
nap- 18.40: ROCKETBALL
nb- 19.10: PARADISE SPECTRE
18.40
Four-year-olds snared the gold and bronze medals in the inaugural running of this event last year (favourite finished third) whereby It's difficult to reason why just one vintage representative has been declared this time around. ROCKETBALL is the horse in question and the Namid gelding might have most to fear from PEOPLETON BROOK and JILLY WHY in his quest to land his hat trick.
19.10
Eleven different trainers have saddled the 2YO winners at Haydock this season, whilst just three of the thirteen races have gone the way of the favourite. Six of the eleven contests have been claimed by horses figuring in the front three in the betting. Middle/high numbers have had the call when plenty of horses have lined up in juvenile contests at Haydock to date, whereby PARADISE SPECTRE (12/17) is expected to figure prominently, possibly alongside GOLD CRUSHER (10) and SMOG (9). That said, BLACK SNOWFLAKE runs from trap five and the Godolphin raider is obviously feared given his runner up effort at the first time of asking.
19.45
Given the draw stats mentioned in the previous analysis, you might suggest that my nominating MIAMI GATOR (1/14) goes agaionst the grain. I'll readily admit that the stall position will stop me from backing the top weight, though I still expect Karl Burke's Titus Livius colt to secure some of the prize money for connections. Karl has also (seemingly) been unlucky relating to a trap three position for his Noverre newcomer LORD RAGLAN. WE'LL DEAL AGAIN (12), AINTTWOGRAND (11) and ZASKIA (14) have been well served by the computer.
20.15
Mark Johnston has saddled nineteen winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing and as ever, three-year-olds lead the way for the popular trainer. Beaten favourite HALLSTATT represents the stable this time around, possibly having ITLAAQ and DISTANT MEMORIES to fear, the other two three-year-olds in the line up.
20.50
Favourites come to the gig on a hat trick whilst the last three winners have carried weights of 9-5 or more. Two of the qualifiers via the weight trends appeal on this occasion, namely ISLAND SUNSET and SILENT OASIS from the respective yeards of Messers Muir and Meehan. Thunderstorms should have reached the Haydock area by the time of flag fall for this event whereby Kevin Ryan's soft ground winner PETER'S GIFT might have conditions to his liking.
21.20
Five of the last nine renewals have fallen the way of favourites in this finale and horses towards the head of the market expected to run well include JA ONE, GOLDEN GAMES and BOLLIN JUDITH.
Chepstow -- Wednesday 01/07/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.40: PIAZZA SAN PIETRO
nb- 20.40: FULL VICTORY
18.40
Very much a race to watch and (hopefully) learn from with eight of the fourteen contenders making their respective debut appearances. The Hannon pair CARNABY STREET and RED BADGE have been pleasing connections at home whilst other newcomers for the short list include THE CONFESSOR and IRON VELVET. BAZSHARANI arguably sets the stardard relating to the experienced horses in the line up but it would be a little disappointing if at least one of the four newcomers mentioned in dispatches failed to make an impression in such a moderate contest. Three of the four favourites have prevailed in 2YO old races at Chepstow this season.
19.10
Favourites have won two of the three renewals to date whilst the biggest priced winner was returned at just 7/2. Dichoh eventually lost the plot when trained by Michael Jarvis following a decent start to his career whereby I prefer the likes of TANFORAN, RED CURRANT and even the newcomer in the field, the Key Of Luck gelding GUNNER BE LUCKY and no, not just because I'm an Arsenal supporter!
19.40
Beaten favourite PIAZZA SAN PIETRO is surely worth another chance in this (selling) grade with seemingly just the likes of CAPO REGIME and AUTUMN MORNING to beat.
20.10
This 'Extra Smooth' handicap event could challenge the advertising standards people in equine terms as this contest will take next to no winning. With seventeen runners having been declared I am least grateful that four places/selections are available which in this instance are LADY JINKS, LITTLE SARK, LE CORVEE and KING OF THE BEERS.
20.40
Seven furlong 'specialist' BEAUTIFUL BREEZE is asked to score over a mile for the first time but as trainer Mark Johnston knows a tad more than yours truly about the game, I'll offer the three-year-old a chance especially given the calibre of opponents. FULL VICTORY has been re-routed from Windsor where the seven-year-old did not take up the option of running and it's worth noting the vintage representatives have won two of the three renewals of this event to date. BERE DAVIS completes my trio against the field.
21.10
Four and five-year-olds have shared the four renewals to date and with middle/high numbers preferred I'll opt for the quartet of CHEAP STREET, GIOACCHINO, JUST JIMMY and PLUMAGE against the field.
Thirsk -- Tuesday 30/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 18.30: PARK'S PRODIGY
nb- 20.00: PALACEFIELD
18.30
Five-year-olds have won both renewals to date and three of the five vintage representatives appeal from a win and place perspective on this occasion, namely SIMPLY JIM, FISTRAL and PARK'S PRODIGY. Four-year-old JACKDAY probably represents the biggest threat to the vintage this time around.
19.00
Five of the eight favourites have won juvenile events at Thirsk this season whilst seven gold medallists emerged from the front three in the market. Richard Fahey remains in great form though the trainer has complicated matters on this occasion having declared three of the ten runners. BALLODAIR would seemngly be the call but I've been in the game far too long to take anything for granted. Mark Johnston is making ground on Richard Hannon and Mick Channon at the head of the two-year-old leaderboard whereby the Shamardal colt CALL TO ARMS must come under consideration especially from his stall seven position. Middle to high numbers have held the call this year which also brings LAYLA'S HERO into the equation though with just ten runners having been declared, any bias should be minimal.
19.30
Three course and distance winners catch the eye with VIOLENT VELOCITY, GLENRIDDING and HICCUPS holding definite each way claims. Beaten favourite PICKERING and another C/D scorer MALCHEEK potentially bar the way of the afore mentioned trio.
20.00
The Godolphin horses have blown hot and colt this season to date and though YIRGA will be a popular order, two other recent winners FESKO and PALACEFIELD cannot be overlooked.
20.30
When nine-year-olds win back-to-back races, coincidence comes into play rather than believeving that trends are in the making. That said, this year's lone vintage raider LIBRE has been running well from a toteplacepot perspective for many years and Tolley Dean's mount deserves respect. LIBRE has a low draw to overcome however (3/18) and horses expected to figure prominenently from the other end of the gate include PIANOFORTE (11), WHASTON (16) and Jim Best's recent winner HYPNOTIC (17).
21.00
Mark Johnston takes on the older horses with the lone vintage raider CRIMEA, a Kheleyf colt who made light of his debut scenario when scoring at the first time of asking over course and distance. Four-year-olds have won both renewals to date however, whereby connections of ARTSU and LE TOREADOR will fancy their chances of thwarting the young pretender.
Musselburgh -- Monday 29/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 21.25: POSITIVITY
nb- 20.25: MOOTED
18.55
MYSTIFIED, MONTE PATTINO and SIR SANDICLIFFE qualify for the short list via the talent of the 'pilots' in the plate whilst course and distance winner KYBER was trained specifically for these amateur events when trained by Luca Cumani. Trainer Jim Goldie is just as adept in placing his horses to winning effect.
19.25
Richard Fahey (THUNDER BAY), Michael Dods (TWOSHEETSTOTHEWIND) an Paul Midgley (SPIRIT OF CONISTON) are the three represented trainers that (particularly) have their runners in form at the time of writing.
19.55
MAL AND DAVE has become a fair yardstick in two-year-old races north of Watford via three outings to date whereby the David Nicholls raider appears certain to test the resolve of newcomer LICENSE TO TILL. Mark Johnston's War Chant colt will not represent value for money in all probability but the name of the game is to nominate potential winners, whereby it's night impossible to leave the February foal out of the equation. IGNATIEFF completes my trio against the field.
20.25
Four consecutive favourites scored before the fifth renewal of this event was won by a 4/1 chance twelve months ago. The likes of MOOTED and SOLAS ALAINN are likely to figure prominently in both the betting and the race itself. Last year's market leader was beaten 'three parts' for the record.
20.55
Couple together the fact that nine of the thirteen represented trainers have saddled winners of late with the news that this is a new race with no trends to work with and you will surely form the opinion that this is a tough race to assess. With no 'edges' to the jigsaw puzzle in place, I can only offer the tentative trio of GRAND DIAMOND, CARPE DIEM and FORBIDDEN against the field.
21.25
The bottom four horses in the handicap have it all to do according to the weight trends in this finale which reduces the field down to a managable size (ten) if you take the stats seriously. The trio that might best represent yours truly this time around are nominated as GEORGE ADAMSON, POSITIVITY and TRADE PRICE.
Windsor -- Sunday 28/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 17.10: BIRDINTHEHAND
nb- 16.00: KINGS OF LEO
14.25
A modest opening event in all honesty whereby the likes of SEQUILLO, BEST IN CLASS and PRECIOUS SECRET might be good enough to dominate proceedings which confirms my point about the mediocrity of the contest.
14.55
All four winners have carried weights of 9-3 or more which leaves us with just PISTE, COOL ART and COUNTRYWIDE CITY (the three top weights) to consider. The rebels amongst you that want to take on the trends might best be served by PURE RHYTHM on this occasion.
15.25
Sir Michael Stoute's beaten favourite THE FONZ must be given a chance to atone for losses receiving weight from all five rivals. Henry Cecil's Perfect Soul filly SOMETHING PERFECT might offer most resistance close home in a race dominated by top stables to date.
16.00
Richard Hannon had saddled six of the eleven juvenile winners at Windsor before the weekend and the trainer held two options at the five-day stage. Richard has offered the green light to both KINGS OF LEO and WHITE DAFFODIL. EXISTENTIALIST might prove to be the party-pooper from a Hannon perspective if the stable is to be beaten on this occasion. Four of the eleven favourites have prevailed at Windsor this season in the juvenile sector whilst nine winners emerged from the front three in the market.
16.35
Jeremy Noseda appears to have plenty of four-year-olds in training which have been hit hard by the handicapper (The Galloping Shoe springs to mind) whereby THE WITCH DOCTOR could be found out from a weights and measures perspective. CAPE HAWK and VAINGLORY should prove to be the benficieries if the four-year-old finds the burden too much to bear.
17.10
Three-year-olds have won both renewals to date and BIRDINTHEHAND and DARK OASIS appear to be the obvious selections in the finale.
Newmarket -- Saturday 27/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.50: CLASSIC PUNCH
nb- 16.35: TRUMPET LILY
13.50
The Noverre colt TIMELY JAZZ offers Robert Havlin another show to show off his underrated skills and I would not be at all surprised if the March foal becomes involved in the finish. SUITED AND BOOTED is another interesting newcoemr whilst IRISH JUGGER and MISSIONAIRE have shown plenty of ability already.
14.20
This Listed event for fillies offers plenty of potential with the likes of MUDAARAHH, REACH FOR THE SKY and JEANNIE JOHNSTON in the line up. The first named pair are unbeaten after just the one outing and put their records on the line in a competitive renewal. HAIRSPRAY and VANISHING GREY add icing to a very tasty cake.
14.50
Chances are that All The Aces will wait for softer ground which would take the contest into dangerous 'win only' waters but seizing the opportunity to select two runners at the time of writing, I'll nominate CLASSIC PUNCH and WASAN to get the better of Age Of Reason close home.
15.25
WINKER WATSON bounced off fast ground a few years back and if the thunderstorms steer clear of this part of the country, Peter Chapple-Hyam's four-year-old could yet bounce back to winning ways. More logical winners in the line up arguably include stable companion AL QASI and Andrew Balding's DREAM EATER.
16.00
A race for horses that flatter to deceive in the main, though connections of CHARLIE COOL might be vexed by such comments given the six-year-olds success 'out east' earlier in the year. MYSTERY STAR and ALAZEYAB complete my trio against the field.
16.35
Windsor's beaten favourite (five days ago) CUMANA BAY is offered a quick chance to gain compensation for connections though course and distance winner TRUMPET LILY is fancied to block the path of her younger rival, despite the consession of a stone to Richard Hannon's filly.
17.05
A disturbingly difficult handicap to close out Newmarket's meeting, whereby I can only offer the speculative and tentative trio of KING OF THE MOORS, PRETTY OFFICER and KING'S ICON against the field.
Doncaster -- Friday 26/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 16.35: TOO TALL
nb- 17.40: OUTLANDISH
14.20
Just two of the eight favourites at Doncaster in the juvenile sector have won this season, whilst four gold medallists emerged via the front three in the market. Richard Fahey is the only trainer to have saddled more than one two-year-old winner at Doncaster this season whereby WIGAN LANE figures prominently in my overnight thoughts, whilst others to consider include PROPER LITTLEMADAM and PERFECT BLOSSOM. Mark Johnston's beaten favourite CHERRY BEE will once again represent poor value for money, though a victory for the Acclamation filly cannot be ruled out of the question.
14.50
Last year's winning four-year-old was one of just three older runners in a ten strong line up which offers hope to PAPILLO, albeit three-year-olds invariably win this type of event at this time of the year. The pick of the junior raiders on this occasion might prove to be the newcomers MISS FRANGIPANE and LEVERAGE.
15.25
THE GALLOPING SHOE remains something of an enigma whereby I guess the minute I leave Jeremy Noseda's four-year-old out of the equation, the Observatory gelding will pop up when I least expect. Beaten favourite CASTLES IN THE AIR is arguably a more logical winner of this event, whilst TIGER DREAM completes my trio against the field given Kevin Ryan's recent return to form.
16.00
PYCIAN was matched at 1000 in running on the exchanges on his debut, such was his tardy start and lack of immediate response to urgings from the saddle. The Mark Of Esteem gelding made up for lost time late doors whereby the March foal is my selection to 'follow up' in this four runner (win only) event.
16.35
A typically tough three-year-old Doncaster handicap to assess which offers a double whammy as just fifteen runners have been declared, robbing yours truly of a fourth option. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by suggesting that JACK COOL, LEGAL LEGACY and TOO TALL should figure prominenly in a relatively tight event, given that 'only' eleven pounds separate the top and bottom weights. Doric Echo is nominated as the overnight reserve.
17.05
Nineteen pounds is the differential (top and bottom weights) relating to this handicap event which has attracted just ten runners, confirming my point about the 'tight' offering in the previous event. The three horses which filled the placings in last year's inaugural event all hailed from down towards the foot of the weights, and with no other trends to work with I'll offer THE SCORCHING WIND, BLUE NOODLES and UNBELIEVABLE JEFF against the other seven contenders. The booking of Ryan Moore aboard the Stuart Willaims beaten favourite THE SCORCHING WIND makes particular appeal at the time of writing.
17.40
Ryan Moore remains at Town Moor for the finale which is somethign of a tip in itself whereby Emma Lavelle's six-year-old representative OUTLANDISH is the call. The Dr Fong gelding has finished 'in the two' seven times via twelve outings to date, winning on three occasions. GRAND ART has been dropped a notch by the handicapper which suggests that the five-year-old clould be worth another chance in this grade.
Warwick -- Thursday 25/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.20: TURNING TOP
nb- 15.50: DAMANIYAT GIRL
14.15
Favourites have won five of the seven renewals to date whilst six of the gold medallists were returned at odds of 4/1 or less. REDDY TO STAR has met with three narrow defeats to date whereby punters will start to lose heart with the Redback colt unless he wins very soon. I doubt that any of the other experienced runners will be able to lower his colours, though the newcomers BALLACHULISH and MDAWEE are reportedly precocious types that could act as party-poopers.
14.45
Last year's winner PETER ISLAND runs off a far higher mark on this occasion and could have trouble fending of challenges from the likes of BENLLECH and course and distance winner MUSIC BOX EXPRESS. This trio make up my overnight mix in a disappointing event.
15.20
Three-year-olds have won this event since the old king died and the trend could continue via BENNELONG and TURNING TOP, especially as Simon Callaghan's well named Pivotal filly receives weight from all bar two of her seven rivals. Patrick Chamings has found a realistic opportunity for his Kyllachy colt SCOTTISH GLEN to go close at the first time of asking.
15.50
A half decent Listed race for fillies with my trio against the field consisting of DAMANIYAT GIRL, FARAWAY FLOWER and SELECT. The last named pair are speculative calls based on their reputations as juveniles whereas DAMANIYAT GIRL is blinkered for the first time and expected to improve upon good form already registered in the three-year-old sector.
16.20
I suggested on another website that PARC DES PRINCES would run a good race at Windsor on Monday evening and so it proved and I'm not at all surprised that trainer Andrew Balding has sent the colt out quickly again on behalf of the stable. Clive Brittain is the only represented trainer to have won this race before whereby HYPNOTIST completes a speculative pair against the field in this 'short field' line up.
16.50
Regular readers will know my stance on these amateur races only too well, where I am influenced by the jockey more than the equine 'stars' as a general rule. The trio that qualify via their riders on this occasion are course and distance winner AGGBAG, TANFORAN and JUST OSCAR.
Bath -- Wednesday 24/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 19.10: MONTMARTRE
nb- 21.10: PRINCESS ROSE ANNE
18.40
Three extremely interesting newcomers line up in this opening event, whereby MISTER HUGHIE and ELECTIONEER are fancied to beat the beaten favourite Master Of Dance, whilst the third option (BLUSHING) cannot be discounted. Mick Channon has won four of the eight renewals which is why MISTER HUGHIE has been given pride of place at the top of my list. Just one favourite has obliged during the study period and given that market leader scored at odds of 2/7, level stake investors long since gave up the ghost!
19.10
MONTMARTRE is arguably the most consistent of the sixteen declarations and given that this is a selling event, the Awesome Again gelding will not receive many better opportunities to get off the mark, this time at the sixth time of asking. Potential threats could emerge form the likes of HECTOR SPECTRE and MR FLANNEGAN.
19.40
Given that the three winners of this event have carried weights of 8-13 or less to victory, the course and distance winner MASTER MAHOGANY could register his sixth victory, albeit via a disappointing strike rate. Four-year-olds have won two of the three contests thus far, whereby vintage representative SAMURAI WARRIOR is nominated as the main danger.
20.10
Five of the eight runners represent the four-year-old vintage which has secured both renewals of this contest to date. This 'dead eight' renewal offers an each way chance to ORONSAY, SOLO RIVER and DYNAMO DAVE, providing the bookmakers chalk up the relevant odds.
20.40
Just one four-year-old has won during the last decade which is par for the course in this type of event. The pick of the junior raiders would be regarded as LORDS A LEAPING, though Jamie Osborne's Bahamian Bounty colt was due to contest an event at Brighton on Tuesday as I was writing this column. BORROMEO and FISADORA would be the calls to contest the finish if the Osborne raider missed the gig.
21.10
Four-year-olds have won three of the four contests whilst all the gold medallists to date carried weights of 9-4 or more. A short list of PRINCESS ROSE ANNE and HEAVEN emerges via the facts and stats.
Brighton -- Tuesday 23/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.30: ROCKFIELD LODGE
nb- 17.00: LORDS A LEAPING
14.30
This is a poor opening event and it's difficult to know just why these Brighton juvenile races attract such few runners these days. Yes, the hill is a factor but rarely are injuries to horse or jockey witnessed and I just hope that declarations increase as the year goes on. As for this race, CRAICATTACK and YAWARY might dominate the finish, though monies will be safely held under lock and key.
15.00
Just seven days ago we were anticipating the opening day of the Royal Ascot meeting and though I can't put my finger on the problem, today's meetings don't quite have the same feel to them! We're one short of a fourth place option in this event, whereby my trio against the field consists of course and distance winners PRINCE VALENTINE and LANCASTER LAD, accompanied by John Dunlop's local three-year-old raider KYLE OF BUTE.
15.30
ROCKFIELD LODGE appears well treated by conditions of this selling event whereby the four-year-old is the first horse pencilled in. Stable companion JOSS STICK and EASY WONDER are rated as the chief threats on this occasion.
16.00
Five-year-olds come to the party on a four-tuimer and though only MY LEARNED FRIEND represents the vintage this time around, the trend might continue. REBEL CITY has to enter the equation given the weight-for-age concession whilst LOUPHOLE can also become competitive inside the final furlong, from a toteplacepot perspective at the very least.
16.30
Four-year-olds have won the last two renewals whereby CORAL SHORES is fancied to follow up his recent Warwick victory, albeit there was some moisture in the ground at the midland venue last week. STRIKE FORCE and PENANG CINTA could represent half decent value for money if you believe the different conditions will stop Coral Shores in her tracks.
17.00
LORDS A LEAPING is the stand out junior raider of the two three-year-old declarations and Jamie Osborne's Bahamian Bounty colt should go close, especially as the three-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick. Beaten favourite GROSS PROPHET could be worth another chance in this grade/company whilst STEIG and course and distance winner OGRE can also make their presence felt at the business end of the contest.
17.30
Older horses boast the best recent record in the finale whereby COSMIC DESTINY (seven-year-olds have won two of the last three contests), MALAPROPISM and GREEN LAGONDA are expected to figure prominently.
Chepstow -- Monday 22/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.50: I'M IN THE PINK
nb- 20.50: GETCARTER
18.20
TRUE RED (arguably) deserves to win a race and as an active tiny filly, the Redback raider requires fast ground and the minimum trip. Her trainer Rod Millman should be congratulated for finding a winning opportunity but she would be hard to place from a victory perspective if she cannot land this weak event. Any of the other four runners in the contest could prevail in all honesty, though I'm hoping (possibly against hope) that TRUE RED can earn her potential paddock fee by securing a victory. Whether she is big enough to eventually foal is another matter entirely!
18.50
Milton Bradley saddles five of the twelve runners and THE TATLING has offered a late lease of life (albeit in class six company--previous Group 2 winner of a race now upped in status!), the same cannot be said of SPANISH ACE, though I remain convinced that the eight-year-old will win a race again one day. GREEN LAGONDA might be the potential partry pooper in the line up on this occasion.
19.20
It's interesting to note that having waited so long to saddle WARRANTS ATTENTION who made his debut at Sandown recently, Andrew Balding sends the Fruits Of Love on another mission just nine days later. The Sandown contest was always going to prove too hot for the March foal but this is another ball game entirely, albeit the booking of an apprentice hardly inspires confidence though to be entirely fair, the lad in question has had over fifty rides in public and has idden three winners. PERFECT SHOT is a more logical winner via the form book whilst GUILIN completes my trio against the field.
19.50
Course and distance winner Uig would be up to winning a race of this nature but the eight-year-old has lost the plot of late, wehreby I'M IN THE PINK and BY COMMAND might be safer nominations this time around.
20.20
Three-year-olds have secured five of the six toteplacepot positions to date (including both winners) which is as nature intends at this time of the year. STELLAR CAUSE and ROYAL SUPERLATIVE have shown modest form to date but (hopefully) have some scope for improvement , whilst Tony Carroll likes nothing better than saddling winners here at Chepstow whereby his debutant SQUARE OF GOLD cannot be entirely dismissed.
20.50
WHOS WINNING could hardly be described as the most consistent of scorers (beaten on his last thirteen outing since winning in August last year) but a toteplacepot position should be up for grabs here having been dropped another notch by the handicapper. A more realistic winner in the line up is GETCARTER whlst the Compton Place maiden ROWAAD could benefit from a first time visor and is another runner to consider from an each way perspective at potentially rewarding odds.
21.20
The four winners to date have each carried weights of 9-1 or less whereby my short list comprises of WHEN DOVES CRY, EVENING SUNSET, HEARTSEASE and PREMIER KRUG in this seventeen runner finale.
Hexham -- Sunday 21/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.20: CHANGING LANES
nb- 16.50: DEAD OR ALIVE
14.20
It makes a change to return to NH racing which might come as a bonus for male readers on Father's Day. A few winners would be of far more interest and URBAN TIGER has to be among the front runners in the opening event on the card. Most resistance might be offered by SUMAK and WORD OF WARNING, especially as five-year-olds have won the last six renewals of this contest.
14.50
The last three winners have carried weights of 10-9 or more whereby the bottom three horses in the handicap have been 'eliminated' according to the gospel of yours truly. The pick of the eleven ramaining runners might prove to be STEPCHANGE, SUPER ROSS and beaten favourite ARCTIC COVE.
15.20
Seven-year-olds have won seven of the last eight renewals yet only DODGEY DREAM potentially represents the vintage this time around and the form book suggests that Peter Buchanan's mount will struggle in this grade. More logical winners include ARMENIAN BOY and possibly KIRCASSOCK VIC.
15.50
The last five winners have carried weights of 11-2 or more and as just two horses qualify in this seven runner event, my task is relatively simple whereby ACAMBO is marginally preferred to WIKAALA despite the concession of seventeen pounds. CALCULAITE is offered up as the overnight reserve.
16.20
Tim Vaughan (CHANGING LANES) and J.J. Lambe (BALAKAR) represent the in form yards involved in the contest and both horses will represent yours truly in my toteplacepot permutation. Course and distance winner HASPER is considered the chief threat given Ryan Mania's useful five pound claim from the saddle.
16.50
Six-year-olds have won two of the last three renewals of the finale and the ratio could be improved by a victory for DEAD OR ALIVE who has won three of his last four races having unseated on the other occasion. Timmy Murphy is an eye catching booking aboard COME TO THE PARTY (another six-year-old in the line up) whilst CORPORATION completes my trio against the field.
Haydock -- Saturday 20/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.35: LIGHT SLEEPER
nb- 20.05: BRASINGAMAN HIFIVE
18.35
Course and distance winner PRINCESS RAINBOW would have a fine chance of following up a recent soft ground victory if adapting to these different conditions. The four-year-old was not winning out of turn given that two runner up efforts had been offered via four previous starts. LILAC MOON and HIPPOLYTUS might prove to be the beneficieries if the selection fails to act on faster ground.
19.05
All six horses to have secured win and place positions via two renewals have carried weights of 8-10 or less, whereby PEPPER LANE, GOWER SOPHIA and GOODBYE EARL should prove to be the pick of the ten runners. Potential rebels amongst you will latch on the decent effort of Mal And Dave last time out.
19.35
Both winners have carried weights of 9-1 or more, as have four of the six horses to have secured ttoeplacepot positions thus far. MANGO MUSIC, FEELIN FOXY and SOUL SISTA are the chosen trio of the four 'qualifiers' this time around.
20.05
Given that no three-year-olds have been declared in a race which would normally favour the junior raider, I'll have to stick with the two four-year-olds in the line up, namely NEVER ENDING TALE and the course and distance winner BRASINGAMAN HIFIVE.
20.35
Potential thieves might cast their eyes away from the Royal Ascot card for a while to attempt to find the proverbial 'bet to nothing' each way steal in this 'dead eight' event. PICTURETHATMOMENT and ELUSIVE MUSE could run well at what should emerge as each way prices, though whether either horse will get the better of LIGHT SLEEPER is highly debatable.
21.05
An interesting finale with at least four potential winners in the seven-strong line up but I'll stick with my 'anorak' tendencies by supporting the top two horses in the handicap via past results, namely ROYAL EXECUTIONER and LASTROAROFDTIGER.
Outsiders to consider at Royal Ascot on Saturday:
15.45: Art Connoisseur
16.25: Exclamation, Genki and Evens And Odds
17.00: Inventor, Ghimaar and Crackentorp
Goodwood -- Friday 19/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 18.20: JACHOL
e/w- 20.30: RELATIVE STRENGTH
18.20
All three winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less to date, whereby JACHOL, TRANSFORMER and BISHOP ROCK might get us off to a good start between them.
18.50
John Gosden's runners appear to have gone off the boil at exactly the wrong time whereby QUEEN ELEANOR is not quite the confident call she would otherwise have been. The Cape Cross filly might still take the beating however, though both KAPSILIAT and SILENT OASIS might push her all the way to the line.
19.25
John Dunlop introduced his first two-year-old runner of the season to winning effect here at Goodwood earlier in the year and GOODWOOD DIVA has long since been one of John's major juvenile hopes for the season. FOLLETTA has shown ability on both outings to date and is a confident vote to secure a toteplacepot position whilst SHE'S OK looks just the type to appreciate an additional furlong.
19.55
There are some good races on this evening card and none more so than this handicap event which is confined to fillies. William Buick can ride at a very low weight whereby too much lead in the saddle will not assist the top weight Oceana Blue and I prefer the trio of BALAAGHA, LABISA and FLEETING STAR against the field.
20.30
Andrew Balding won this event twelve months ago with a low weighted individual and RELATIVE STRENGTH can represent the stable to each way effect at the very least. The main dangers appear to be STORYLAND and YES MR PRESIDENT.
21.00
A draw of nine (of ten) should enable KILBURN to become involved at the business end of the contest, whilst POTENTIALE and IVORY LACE from the top of the handicap could offer most resistance to the five-year-old.
Outsiders to consider at Royal Ascot:
(Twenty five horses offered thus far: Winners at 12/1 and 10/1, placed horses at 33/1--25/1--16/1--12/1--8/1)
15.45: Rainbow View
16.20: Khateeb
17.30: Musaalem
Leicester -- Thursday 18/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.10: COTSWOLDS
nb - 20.40: ACQUISITION
18.40
It's unusual for a two-year-old race at present not to include runners from the successful Richard Hannon and Mick Channon stables, and the fact that MINGUN BELL was amongst the five-day acceptors might be the reason for the handlers being conspicuous by their absence. THE MIGHTY MOD and ISHTAR GATE should prove to be the pick of the newcomers though Sir Mark Prescott's Motivator gelding COMEDY ACT also catches the eye.
19.10
A trappy contest with just seven runners having been declared and the safest nominations from a win and place perspective might be RIO COBOLO and beaten favourite MATTAMIA, with Rod Milman's three-year-old marginally getting the nod at the overnight stage.
19.40
Stan Moore's raider FONG'S ALIBI has this race there for the taking if the Dr Fong puts her best foot forward. The dangers are nominated as GARTER KNIGHT and WABI SABI.
20.10
COTSWOLDS makes plenty of appeal receiving weight from six of his eight rivals here, though from a toteplacepot perspective, EFFIGY and CARA'S REQUEST will be popular horses. VAINGLORY is nominated as the overnight reserve.
20.40
The vintage stats weigh heavily against older horses against three-year-olds at this time of year though Mike Murphy's six-year-old representative Trempari should not be ignored as the stable has secured victory with three of their last four runners at the time of writing. More logical winners in the line up include ACQUISITION and MONACO DREAM.
21.10
Nigel Tinkler was always going to be looking for five pound claimer Lee Newnes to renew his association with MISPLACED FORTUNE following two successive victories for the Compton Place filly. FOL LIAM and HAZYTOO are likely to offer most resistance close home.
Outsiders to consider for each way interest at Royal Ascot:
14.30: Radiohead
15.45: Washington Irvine
17.30: Takatuff and Chiberta King
Ripon -- Wednesday 17/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.50: LOVELY THOUGHT
nb - 21.20: PRIME CIRCLE
18.50
Karl Burke has his team in fine form whereby the recent Wolverhampton runner up OFFICER MOR is expected to go one better. NAWAAFF could go well at potentially rewarding odds given the form of the Mick Channon team whilst others to peruse include BRIGHT FALCON and PICCOLO PETE.
19.20
Talking horse FARMER GILES might be in the last chance saloon as far as many punters are concerned and fair play to Michael Bell who has found another winning opportunity for the Danroad colt though whether the February foal wants to take it is another matter entirely. LUCY GLITERS might be the pick of the newcomers whilst ORPEN GREY is expected to come on for his first outing.
19.50
A half decent race for the venue in all honesty with LOVELY THOUGHT holding an obvious chance according to the gospel of yours truly. DOVE MEWS thrived under Hayley Turner last year but terms and conditions are in her favour here whereby she might rediscover winning form. THE KYLLACHY KID completes my trio against the field.
20.20
Each way thieves could be forgiven for casting their eyes away from the Royal Ascot meeting with the potential to back horses from a 'bet to nothing' perspective with eight runners having been declared for this contest. Course and distance winner Vicious Warrior appears to have lost his way and my trio to home in on is PRINCE EVELITH, WIGWAM WILLIE and COEUR DE LIONNE who could be the win and place plunge raider, if such odds are available.
20.50
Potential thieves have been thwarted as a non runner has reared its ugly head already; hence just two places are now up for grabs. David Probert's useful three pound claim might be enough for SUMMER LODGE to regain the winning thread following two runner up efforts of late. Beaten favourite BOLLIN GRETA might find compensation here for the Tim Easterby team.
21.20
Mark Johnston should be congratulated for finding a winning opportunity for his Green Desert gelding PRIME CIRCLE to win at the first time of asking with MAVERIN probably being the horse to beat. CRIMSON MIST is another newcomer which might win a race in the fullness of time.
Potential outsiders to consider for each way interest at Royal Ascot:
14.30: Ouqba and Infiraad
16.20: Mahadee and Axiom
16.55: Ceedwell
17.30: Please Sing and Rose Diamond
Thirsk -- Tuesday 16/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 17.10: ELIJAH PEPPER
nb - 14.50: JEHU
14.15
LORD RAGLAN is one of just two newcomers in a fourteen strong field and Karl Burke's Noverre colt would not have to be anything out of the ordinary to become involved in the finish. JOEL THE MOLE could not recover from a tardy start on his debut and will know more about what is required now, whilst others to consider are the Hamilton winner DISPOL KABIRA and BOTHWELL CASTLE.
14.50
JEHU has contested two races to date which were won by Coventry Stakes runners on Tuesday whereby this company will be more to his liking. LOCAL LOCAL HERO and BAHAMIAN MUSIC are two interesting newcomers whilst FANTASTIC PICK can perform better now with a run under his belt.
15.25
Beaten favourite SMALLJOHN is a course and distance winner who can be given another chance in this grade, possibly having SPLASH THE CASH and another C/D winner APOLLO SHARK to beat.
16.00
Four-year-olds are on a hat trick in this contest the vintage having won four of the last eight contests. This year's two representatives CLASSIC LEGEND and LADY RANGALI will do for me against the field in this seven runner line up.
16.35
Another 'short field' line up which makes this race tough to asses but with four-year-olds having secured two of the three contests to date, RIVER ARDECHE and TIMOCRACY should represent us to decent each way effect between them.
17.10
Northern stalwarts have a good record in this event and the likes of Kevin Ryan (RASAMAN and HIGH CURRAGH), Richard Fahey (ATLANTIC BEACH) and David Baron (ELIJAH PEPPER) should do the business between them to keep the prize away from the 'southern softies'.
17.45
The four winners to date have been drawn in stalls 20-15-12-11 whereby my quartet will emerge from middle/high numbers, namely KING OF RHYTHM, WHOZART, TOY TOP and INGLEBY STAR.
18.15
CRIMEA and SIMOLA are two likely looking newcomers from the Johnston and Fahey yards respectively, whilst PISTE sets the standard via the ten experienced runners in the field.
Outsiders to consider for each way interest at Royal Ascot:
14.30: ARABIAN GLEAM
15.05: SPIN CYCLE
15.45: SOUL CITY
16.20: FREMONT
16.55: WOOLFALL TREASURE and LIBERATE
17.30: DI STEFANO and FRATELLINO
Windsor -- Monday 15/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.00: BUCKIE BOY
nb - 19.30: THE GALLOPING SHOE
18.00
AGGRAVATION has finished first, third and fourth in each of the three runnings of this contest to date and with trainer David Elsworth having picked up a big prize at York on Saturday with Swiss Franc, the seven-year-old cannot be ignored. That said, four-year-olds have won all three contests thus far whereby the likes of PLAISTERER and HALLINGDAL must enter calculations.
18.30
A poor race by Windsor (two-year-old) standards whereby Bill Turner's Act One filly CECIL'S GIFT could go well at the first time of asking with a half decent draw (8/14). Anjomarba picked up the big sales race at York on Friday to boost stable confidence and Bill should be congratulated for find a half decent opportunity for his February foal win, lose or draw. Beaten favourite RAGSTA has drawn the plum fourteen position and though I wouldn't be prepared to chase losses relating to the Key Of Luck filly, Richard Hannon's February foal cannot be ignored in such a weak contest. Others to consider overnight include ATOMIC TWISTER and HACHI, alebit the juveniles in question might need some thunder clouds to gather if they are to actually win the race, having been drawn on the far side of the stalls.
19.00
Another beaten favourite from the Richard Hannon stable in a juvenile contest on the card and FOOTSTEPSOFSPRING appears nailed on to win a cheque for connections, though whether it will be of maximum value is open to doubt. Rain might be required for Ralph Beckett's Verglas filly GLASS OF RED to give of her best according to the trainer but the race comes late enough in the day for showers to develop. BELINSKY will build on anything he achieves here as Simon Callaghan was quick to point out via a stable tour that the April foal was more a late season type, though the declaration well before June is out makes for interesting reading.
19.30
THE GALLOPING SHOE was all at sea on heavy ground last time out and though poorly drawn in 4/16 here, Jeremy Noseda's Observatory gelding is not without a decent chance in this grade. That said, the three winners to date have all hailed from towards the bottom of the weights whereby I nominate WHITEOAK LADY (9), DON PELE (13) and WAR AND PEACE (15) as the major threats to the selection.
20.00
It's unusual for Michael Stoute not to be represented in a race like this at Windsor these days, especially a contest he has won three times during the last decade. I'm inclined to believe that Michael has seen or heard something on the heath steering him to bycotting the event, and the likeliest cause iof his absence might concern the likes of BUCKIE BOY, PLYMOUTH ROCK and WATCHOVERME.
20.30
Three of the last five winners have carried weights of 9-7 whereby readers who were considering an investment on MONS CALPE should not necessarily be deterred by his handicap mark. EVERAARD is my each way call in the contest whilst my trio against the field is completed by BUBSES BABE.
21.00
Sixteen moderate handicappers running around the twists, turns and loop at Windsor in the dead of night asks for trouble and I'll wager at least one hard luck story will be revealed in the jockeys changing room following the finale. In the circumstances I can only offer up the tentative quartet of SAMURAI WARRIOR, KRISTALLO, WATSON'S BAY and MOONSHINE CREEK.
Doncaster -- Sunday 14/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.55: LADY SPRINGBANK
nb - 16.05: HONOURS STRIDE
14.20
Swop carried 9-7 to win the only running of this event to date and this year's lone top weight RAPTOR is give a live chance by yours truly, especialy as the six-year-old is trained by Karl Burke who has his horses running at the top of their form. Stable companion MOODY TUNES cannot be left out of the equation in the circumstances whilst MARVO completes my trio against the field.
14.55
All three favourites have won this juvenile contest to date. John Gosden still awaits his first two-year-old winner of the season at the time of writing whereby BRISBANE might represent poor value for money, even though the Kheleyf colt should finish in the money. The Choisir filly LADY SPRINGBANK should appreciate the ease in the ground whereby Jim Crowley's mount is likely to improve on her third placed debut effort at Newcastle. Richard Fahey's April foal LADY LEFROY faces a tough task on her debut but Paul Hangan's mount represents a stable at the top of its form.
15.30
Horses drawn middle/high dominated last year's inaugural running whilst four year-olds occupied the forecast positions. The stats and facts (albeit via just one renewal) suggest that the likes of ETON RIFLES, SPIRIT OF SHARJAH, PISCEAN and SAMMY THE SNAKE will figure prominently.
16.05
The Red Ransom filly HONOURS STRIDE remains nicely unexposed although that has not stopped the handicapper from attempting to stop Michael Stoute's late May foal in her tracks. It's impossible to leave Ryan Moore's mount out of the toteplacepot mix though on these terms, potential party-poopers CHICORA and HUKBA lurk further down the weights.
16.35
Although three-year-olds generally hold the call in these races for mixed vintages at this time of year, a four-year-old snared the bronze middle in the first running of this event twelve months ago and Alan Swinbank's dual bumper winner BORN TO PERFORM could also reach the frame. That said, three-year-olds filled the forecast positions last year and the likes of RACING HERO and John Gosden's pair TWISTED and DECORUM will all represent the junior vintage to good effect.
17.10
The Irish dual purpose raider MUNCHING MIKE is an interesting declaration at the foot of the list, though more logical winners in the line up include ISABELONABICYCLE and ROSE BIEN.
York -- Saturday 13/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.10: FAVOURITE GIRL
nb - 16.55: CANYON RANCH
14.05
Regular readers will know that I pay more attention to the riders than the horses in these amateur events, whereby my quartet against the field consists of HILLVIEW BOY, WAR PARTY, GIFTED LEADER and CHESHIRE PRINCE.
14.35
Five-year-olds have won four of the last nine contests whilst the last three winners all carried weights of 9-2 or more. Putting the stats and facts together produces a 'short list' of DUBAI'S TOUCH, CHECKLOW, ACROSTIC and OPUS MAXIMUS. Seven of the last nine winners have been returned at odds of 10/1 or less which has to be classed as a positive stat given the competitive nature of the contest.
15.10
Yet another impossible 'jigsaw puzzle' of a race to solve and one thing I can guarantee at York is a decent toteplacepot dividend. The weight trends suggest that the bottom four horses in the handicap will struggle to become involved in the finish whereby we have just sixteen runners to assess! Tim Easterby has won two of the last six renewals and FAVOURITE GIRL might be my each way call in the contest. The Refuse To Bend filly is joined on the short list by PROCLAIM, MASTER OF DISGUISE and SWISS DIVA.
15.45
Just eleven runners to peruse but no less difficult than the first three races on the card in some respects. MARCHING TIME was a major disappointment at Epsom on Derby Day and bookmakers can expect plenty of support for Michael Stoute's beaten favourite though once again, the Sadler's Wells colt might represent poor value for money. Rain earlier in the week will have boosted his chances however and Ryan Moore's mount should at least finish in the frame on this occasion. TEPMOKEA is the only horse in the line up set to carry less weight than the projected favourite and I give Karl Burke's Noverre colt an each way chance whilst my trio against the field is completed by the progressive Godolphin raider SOVEREIGN REMEDY.
16.20
Jeremy Noseda's Indian Ridge colt SUMMERINTHECITY is well entered up for big races in the autumn and some cut in the ground at the time of writing would not have escaped the eye of the trainer. Rain will also have aided the potential chance of TARTAN TRIP for the Andrew Balding yard who know how to ready their juveniles at the first time of asking. WILLIAM MORGAN is another interesting debutant whilst CAPACITY arguably sets the standard via the four runners in the field with racing experience.
16.55
Three winning favourites in the last eight years have been recorded during which time the biggest priced winner was returned at odds of 8/1. AIM TO ACHIEVE was sent off favourite on her debut at Newmarket last back end but the filly's run should be ignore as she was reported to be lame. The Galileo filly might be worth another chance, though this is a potentially hot contest with the likes of CANYON RANCH and SEAWAY also having been declared. A race to tape as the contest looks sure to produce plenty of future winners.
17.25
Five of the last eight winners have carried weights of 9-5 or more whereby I will tentatively nominate CASTLES IN THE AIR, DANCING MAITE, BONNIE PRINCE BLUE and GEEZERS COLOURS against the other eleven runners from the 'superior' sector of the handicap. York should not have the right to charge admission money on such a competitive card!
York -- Friday 12/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.20: CHERRY BEE
e/w- 16.00: MIAMI GATOR
14.20
The Acclamation filly CHERRY BEE only found the progressive Di Stefano too good for her on her debut and any normal amount of improvement would take the January foal very close to winning this interesting opening event. PARBOLD HILL figured prominently for a long way in Beverley's 'Hilary Needler' event which was a fine effort suggesting that Richard Fahey's January foal ELUSIVE SUE would do well to win this event at the first time of asking.
14.50
Horses carrying weights of 9-2 or more have won both renewals to date, whilst relevant beasts have secured five of the eight available toteplacepot positions for good measure. My quartet form the 'superior' sector of the weights consists of ARCTIC CAPE, HANDSOME FALCON, ADMIRAL DUNDAS and INDIAN SKIPPER.
15.25
Four-year-olds swept the board in the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago and vintage representatives that should run well here include beaten favourite HAWK MOUNTAIN and CAERLAVEROCK. The Lady Herries raider CLEAVER makes some appeal however, especially with a five-pound claimer in the saddle. The eight-year-old would be running off a mark of just one pound above the best effort to date by the Kris representative (if the rider can claim the full allowance) which must bode well for his chances, from an each way perspesctive at the very least.
16.00
Favourites have won three of the last six renewals of this juvenile event during which time the biggest priced winner was returned at 6/1. The last thirty four runners (at the time of writing) sent out by Karl Burke have produced six winners and a total of twenty seven runners which finished in the first four. This is a truly phenomional performance by the trainer who deserves to land this prize with MIAMI GATOR who won an egg and spoon Redcar event earlier in the week in the style of a progressive juvenile. FINAL OVATION and ORPEN ARMS might offer most resistance close home.
16.35
The last four winners have scored at 33/1-20/1-14/1-14/1 which should quell any thoughts you might have in wading in with 'mortgage money' in the contest. Three of the last four winners have emerged from stall numbers of ten or higher which helps me form a 'short list' of SOLAR SPIRIT, SLOOP JOHNB and STEELCUT. EQUULEAUS PICTOR just edges out Lochstar from the other side of the track.
17.10
The forecast position was claimed by horses carrying weights of 8-11 or less in the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago. JOE JO STAR, GREY COMMAND and GRANDAD BILL are three of the five 'qualifiers' on this occasion and the trio should represent yours truly to good each way effect.
Haydock -- Thursday 11/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 19.50: SPEEDY SENORITA
nb - 21.20: TRICKY SITUATION
18.50
Mark Johnston (KOCHANSKI) and Mick Channon (GOLD MAHA) are very much the trainers in form at the time of writing, boasting aggregate stats of 25/147 during the last fortnight, a ratio which compares favourably to the combined figures of 4/56 via the other represented handlers. Both horses are decidedly moderate by any standards, but particularly so given the average types to found in the yards of Mark and Mick, though this is a poor race with which to open proceedings and I would not be at all surprised to see at least one of the pair figuring prominently at potentially rewarding odds.
19.20
AATTASH was expected to run well in Goodwood Maestro’s race at the Sussex venue but a tardy start soon put paid to his chances. The Clodovil colt must be given another chance in this grade however, and Mick Channon’s April foal was doing some decent work at the back end of the contest. HOUSE RED was very much the ‘second string’ when finishing behind winning stable companion Be Invincible at Windsor and you can expect definite improve from the Barry Hills raider. Godolphin's More Than Ready colt CHAPERNO will need to run a lot better than fellow newcomer Sand Vixen managed at this venue on Thursday afternoon to become involved in the finish but Saeed Bin Suroor knows what is needed to secure such contests.
19.50
Four-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick but only SPEEDY SENORITA represents the victory on this occasion despite twelve runners having been declared. BAHAMIAN BALLET is included from an each way perspective but it has been the thick end of two years since Ed McMahon's seven-year-old has won. Others to peruse overnight include GLASSHOUHTON and MANDURAH if David Nicholls turns out his top weight for the second time this week.
20.20
Bryan Smart will be hoping that the forecast heavy showers hit Haydock overnight (and in the run up to the race) as DORIC ECHO won on his debut on heavy ground last year. SUNSHINE ALWAYS tackles turf for the first time but would be a definite player if adapting to conditions. DEADLY ENCOUNTER completes my trio against the field.
20.50
The two course andistance winners BRASINGAMAN HIFIVE and MAJOR MAGPIE should attract each way (thieving) support in this potential 'dead eight' event though John Quinn's four-year-old raider NISAAL could be yet another winner for Jamie Kyne who is riding with unbelievable confidence for a seven pound claimer at the time of writing.
21.20
James Given has won with four of his last eleven runners as I write and TRICKY SITUATION could add to the recent tally in a 'short field' finale. SANCTUARY is nominated as the chief threat despite a newcomer (Gulf Of Aqaba) from Mark Johnston's powerful yard having been declared.
Brighton -- Wednesday 10/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.50: BRETT VALE
e/w- 16.50: NORDIC LIGHT
14.20
The last two winners have carried weights of 9-5 or more whereby both of this year's two 'qualifiers MOUNTAIN CAT and HART OF GOLD are included in my overnight mix. Course and distance winner ANNES ROCKET is improving at a rate of knots and no mistake and with a seven pound claimer in the saddle to offset the recent penalty, the four-year-old cannot be left out of the equation. Two of the three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (one winner).
14.50
The three (9/2) co favourites swept the board in the inaugural running of this contest last year, carrying weights of 9-3 or more in the process. The one-time stat suggests that Jonnie Skull is out on a limb and my tentative trio against the field consists of MICK IS BACK, course and distance winner MOUNTAIN PASS and beaten favourite STEIG.
15.30
The Beckett team have their runners well to the fore at the time of writing and PLAYFUL ASSET could be another of their inmates to reward connenctions with prize money of some decription. MADDY doesn't know how to run a bad race these days though the Daggers Drawn filly has gone fourteen races since last tasting victory. Others to consider in a reasonable event via its 'selling' status include the recent course and distance winner THEOCRITUS and MINISTEROFINTERIOR, who is also a C/D winner for good measure at this switchback track. This is a new race on the Brighton card.
15.50
Another new race on the card to assess though with Mick Channon having saddled nine winners within the last fortnight at the time of writing, ORSIPPUS just about picks himself for overnight consideration on behalf of the stable. BRETT VALE was well entered up this week following his recent victory and knowing Sir Mark Prescott, there is every possibility of the Sinndar gelding taking up his option at Yarmouth on Thurdsay if the three-year-old shows himself to be in good heart following this assignment. Mark certainly has some catching up to do this term having just about shut his yard down for a while during the latter end of the month of May. BEAUBRAV completes my trio against the field.
16.20
A 'short field' (defined as a race for 5-6-7 runners) makes this contest a difficult race to assess and each way thieves will be cursing the fact that one more trainer could have made this into an interesting 'bet to nothing--each way' event. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by suggesting that HAND PAINTED could defy the handicapper on this occasion, connections possibly having most to fear from LA GIFTED.
16.50
Five-year-olds had come to last year's party having won all three renewals and though the market leader twelve months ago could only secure the silver medal, it defies belief that just one vintage representative has been declared yet again. NORDIC LIGHT is the horse in question and even though Jim Crowley's mount props up the handicap, Milton Bradley's raider demands to be included in the overnight mix. Stable companion ONE WAY TICKET and JOSS STICK might be the potential party-poopers on this occasion. Two of the four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions in the finale, and though all four market leaders have been beaten to date, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 15/2, which is not a bad scenario given the handicap status of the contest.
Salisbury -- Tuesday 09/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.55: SAMPI
e/w- 16.30: PANSY POTTER
13.40
It's difficult to know whether FOLLETTA was showing signs of being something of a madam or just inexperience at Goodwood at the first time of asking, swishing her tail when showing a fair amount of ability. This race should offer up the answer. IMPERIAL WARRIOR definitely showed that a fair amount of talent was lurking under the saddle and with Hughie Morrison's juveniles invariably showing a degree of imrpovement folllowing a run, the Imperial Dancer colt should make the frame at the very least. CHAIRMAN PAT is an extremely late (May 18) foal whereby the Proud Citizen colt would do really well to figure at the business end of the contest, though Tom Dascombe has been touting 'Pat' up in no uncertain terms in recent weeks via stable tours. MANY A SLIP is the other newcomer to consider given John Dunlop's great start to the two-year-old season.
14.15
This might prove to be the weaker of the two divisions which open up proceedings at Salisbury on Tuesday. Richard Hannon's Verglas colt NEWTON CIRCUS would not have to be among the leading juvenile lights in the stable to figure prominently in this event I'll wager, whilst others to consider include DUDLEY and ATOMIC TWISTER. Another Verglas representative CRYSTAL GALE sets the (moderate) standard via the six experienced runners though trainer Bill Knight is not well known for churning out winning two-year-olds on a regular basis, returning a ten per cent strike rate via thirteen winners in the last five years.
14.45
Three of the last four winners have carried weights of 9-8 or more whereby JAKE THE SNAKE and beaten favourite MANCHESTERMAVERICK should both run well. ELNA BRIGHT heads the list however and the David Evans trained Elnadim gelding has plenty in hand on this field according to official ratings. Rebels who want to take on the stats might be looking towards the likes of Castano and Yellow Printer.
15.20
Mick Channon was talking a good game about his Imperial Dancer colt IMPERIAL HOUSE fifteen months ago, though why we have not seen the February foal on a racecourse until now is not known to yours truly. Mick has seemingly found a decent opportunity for Tony Culhane's mount to at least reach the frame at the first time of asking. CASTING COUCH and SHANGANI stand in the way of a winning debut from my viewpoint.
15.55
Three-year-olds have won all four renewals to date though the worrying aspect relating to this year's seven vintage representatives is that only Amanda Perrett's Beat Hollow filly SAMPI fits the weight trends in the contest. That said, John Gosden's Medicean filly AROMATIC is a course and distance winner which sits just sixteen ounces under the barrier, whilst beaten favourite CASCATA represents the in form stable of Luca Cumani which can do very little wrong at present.
16.30
Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more which eliminates the bottom four horses in this three-year-old handicap if you takes the stats seriously. The fact that three of those four horses are trained by top handlers might allow some value to be found elsewhere and my quartet against the field consists of PANSY POTTER, FLY BY NELLY, CAVENDISH ROAD and MY BEST MAN.
17.00
All was going well for four-year-olds (the vintage had won the first four contests) until an 'elder statesman' upset the applecard last year though a 6/1 chance still salvaged pride by snaring the silver medal on the day. I'm hoping the race will revert to type this time around by nominating WARRIOR CONQUEST, PADDY RIELLY and CLASSICAL RHYTHM against the other five contenders.
17.30
All six available each way positions have been claimed by horses carrying weights of 9-3 or less to date which brings fifteen-time winner CAUSTIC WIT into the eqaution, especially as thirteen of those successes have been gained over this six furlong trip. BLESSED PLACE is another old-timer that can still defy his years, whilst those who want to take on the trends might side with MILNE BAY.
Pontefract -- Monday 08/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 18.50: SHIBHAN
nb - 19.50: THIN RED LINE
18.50
Clive Brittain does not send many juveniles to Pontefract (just eight in the last five years) whereby the declaration of his Compton Place filly SHIBHAN makes for interesting reading. The March foal was only beaten three lengths on her debut and though the quality of juvenile races at Yarmouth can be questionable, Martin Dwyer's mount must boast win and place claims here. I'll pass over the chance of Angelina Ballerina, citing that MIDNIGHT MARTINI and WOOD FAIR are less exposed and offer better value for money this time around. DANCING POPPY represents Mick Channon's powerful yard though jungle drums have been conspicous by their absence relating to the Kyllachy filly.
19.20
The bottom three horses in the handicap look set to struggle if the weight trends are to be believed (six of the last eight winners have carried 8-13 or more), whereby my trio against the field consists of MR CRYSTAL, INDONESIA and KIRIBATI KING. The latter named Mick Channon raider represents the four year-old vintage which has secured three of the last five renewals.
19.50
Six of the last seven winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more to victory and the trend might contunie via the likes of THIN RED LINE, SKY GATE and STANCILL in this 'short field' event. Ed Dunlop has won this race twice during the last decade and the treble is on the cards with the Red Ransom colt THIN RED LINE.
20.20
Saturday's Epsom winner EVA'S REQUEST would take the world of beating if turning up for this gig whilst the Soviet Star filly is one of the seven four-year-olds in the potential nine strong line up wich is attempting to become the fourth vintage winner in the last five years. Mick has a reserve option in place via his Spartacus filly RIO GURU though the April foal is rated thirty five pounds inferior to EVA'S REQUEST and recevies just five pounds from her stable companion on this occasion. ROSALEEN is the threat to the Channon pair on all known form. Trumpet Lily would be added to the mix in the event of Eva's Request not making the journey.
20.50
Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 9-6 or more whilst five four-year-olds have secured the gold medal within the last decade. Putting the stats and facts together offers yours truly a short list of SAM'S CROSS, FLYING APPLAUSE, MARK OF MEYDAN and AZURE MIST, offering up Swinbrook as the overnight reserve.
21.20
Four-year-olds won the first two (of three) renewals to date, whilst just two outsiders represented the vintage last year, one of which claimed the bronze gong at 10/1. Three of the four vintage representatives this time around i=fit the weight trend which suggests that horses carrying 8-13 or more are favoured. The trio in question are ARTSU, CALMDOWNMATE and BRAILLE. Sixteen runners have been declared whereby I'm allowed a fourth 'short list' contender which on this occasion is BABYSHAMBLES, though the name basically sums up my fatherly technique.
Southwell -- Sunday 07/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.40: FOL LIAM
nb - 16.10: KINGSMAITE
14.10
Although Tom Dascombe's Reset filly CHINA BAY looked fairly ordinary on her debut effort at Wolverhampton, the trainer should be congratulated for finding a winning opportunity for his February foal. DIAMOND AFFAIR and the other Reset filly in the field REGARDLESS might offer most resisitance in a disappointing opening event.
14.40
The top weight prevailed in the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago and a repeat scenario might be on the cards here via Brendan Powell's Auction House gelding LUCKY PUNT. The yard comes into the race in good form as opposed to Kevin Ryan's stable whose course winner SHIFTING GOLD would have been given a decent chance had Kevin's runners been giving of their best. SWING IT RUBY (Celtic Swing filly) should be suited to this slow surface whereby De Sousa's mount is offered up as the each way call in the contest.
15.10
I rarely (if ever) get AUREATE right as he wins when I suggest others will have his measure whilst the reverse scenario comes into effect when I fancy Brian Ellsion's five-year-old. I guess we all have horses (Blythe Knight is another of mine) that we misjudge on a regular basis. The course and distance winner should make the frame at the very least here however, suggesting that WIND FLOW and EDAS might offer the most resistance close home.
15.40
FOL LIAM represents the in form stable of Ian Williams and the three-year-old appears quite well treated by the terms and conditions of this event. Blinkered for the first time here, the Observatory gelding should be able to handle slow conditions and the April foal probably has as much chance of winning a race on the card as anything else. The biggest threats might emerge from SWISS ART and ASAKUSA.
16.10
The Bowring yard boasted a recent sixty per cent strike rate at the time of writing whereby their course and distance winner KINGSMAITE must hold a decent chance of completing a five-day double. The other pair of 'old timers' in the field might emerge as the potential party-poopers in the line up, namely BLAKESHALL QUEST and OUTER HEBRIDES.
16.40
Horses filled the frame from stalls 12-8-14 in a fourteen runner field twelve months ago and those drawn accordingly with a chance this time around include SULARNO (10/14), REVE VERT (12) and HAROLDINI (8).
Lingfield -- Saturday 06/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.20: BALATA
nb - 18.50: RAPID LIGHT
17.50
Both ends of the market have been represented to winning effect to date, as the two winners thus far were returned at 66/1 and 10/11. Gay Kelleway does well in this type of event albeit that eight-year-old RAWDON has his own ideas about the sport yet retains my interest from an each way perspective. TERMINATE represents the in form yard of Ian Williams whilst my trio against the field is completed by CACTUS KING.
18.20
Five of the six available toteplacepot positions have been secured by horses carrying wieghts of 9-1 or more to date (including both winners) whereby the top three horses in the handicap appeal as much (if not more) than anything else in the race, namely GOOD BUY DUBAI, CALLING VICTORY and CAUGHT ON CAMERA. Sier Mark Prescott all but shut his yard down recently but BRETT VALE would be another runner to consider if Sir Mark's troubles are behind him now.
18.50
Last year's inaugural winner of this event (Navajo Joe) has failed to build on the success but I have a feeling that the gold medallist from this event could go on to secure a decent future, such is the half decent line up on this occasion. RAPID LIGHT, MARED and COUNTENANCE might be the trio to home in on, with EBIAYN nominated as the overnight reserve.
19.20
Four of the seven winners to date were making their respective debut appearances and with just two experienced (moderate looking) horses in the line up, the ratio looks certain to be improved upon. GUNDAROO, FIRST TERM and CHACHAMAIDEE are marginally preferred to PASTEL BLUE at the time of writing. The last three market leaders have all been sunk without trace following the success of the initial four favourites in the contest.
19.50
Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 4-3 via just the seven renewals to date whereby I am ignoring the four runners which hail from other vintages this time around. I'm left with FEELIN FOXY, LITTLEMISSSUNSHINE and AFFIRMATIVELY to act on my behalf.
20.20
Rod Millman has his Devon based team in fine fettle and BALATA could be another winner for the yard in the finale. Jamie Spencer is an interesting booking aboard Gay Kelleway's five-year-old raider STAR STRIDER, whilst MILLFIELD DREAMS continues to run well depite having received pensionable status at the turn of the year.
Thoughts on The Derby:
Aidan O'Brien has saddled two winners and four placed horses during the last decade and with two placed horses returned at 25/1 and 20/1, very few of his runners should be ignored. My own preference from an each way angle has to be BLACK BEAR ISLAND who won the 'Dante' in the style of a good horse who would appreciate the additional quarter of a mile. Speed figures suggest that BLACK BEAR ISLAND put up a faster display than subsequent Derby winners North Light, Motivator and Authorised. The ‘talking horse’ of the six Ballydoyle runners is FAME AND GLORY and whilst I wouldn't put anyone off the current market leader, Black Bear Island has majestic win and place claims in my book, especially as the ‘Dante’ is very much the trial having produced three of the last five winners of the ‘Blue Riband’, whilst Taran Bearer finished second twelve months ago.
Goodwood -- Friday 05/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.20: CRIME SCENE
nap- 19.50: BEAU FIGHTER
18.15
An amatuer riders event for starters which makes 'The Apprentice' (pardon the play on words) attractive veiwing by comparison but something has to win, and my short list comprises of LUSH, BAVARICA and ADDWAITYA. Whilst I'm on the subject, why are we still promoting television programmes which are based on rude and assertive behaviour which inevitably leads to greed?
18.45
RAINSBOROUGH (Mick Channon) is preferred to SUBAII SANDS (Richard Hannon) via the jungle drums though it remains perfectly possible that Richard Hannon will prove the 'experts' wrong yet again, especially as Hannon has won two of the last six contests. ARABIAN PRIDE sets the standard albeit only two horses with racecourse experience are scheduled to face the starter on this occasion. Seven renewals have passed by without a winning favourite being recorded though to complete the picture, I should point out that the biggest priced winner during the period was returned at just 9/1.
19.20
The official figures suggest that MAD RUSH and CRIME SCENE have several lengths to spare over their rivals but then again, it wouldn't be the first time that 'Frankie' has chosen the wrong Godolphin raider (CRIME SCENE); hence SAGARA cannot be written off at the time of writing.
19.50
Both winners have carried weights of 9-5 or more whereby BEAU FIGHTER definitely figures in my plans whilst I respect the chance of SUPERCAST from the same sector of the handicap. This dead eight event will witness 'thieves' thumbing through the form book searching for the ultimate (bet to nothing) each way play in the contest. SUPERCAST definitely fits the bill given the 6/1 quote in the trade press, though POTENTIALE also qualifies having finished 'in the three' fifteen times via twenty five starts.
20.25
Three-year-olds tend to get the better of these contests against their older rivals, as has been the case via two renewals of this contest to date. VISITE ROYALE, SILENT OASIS and TENTEARS might best represent the vintage on this occasion.
20.55
Five-year-olds are on a hat trick following two contests thus far, whereby BATELEUR might be able to follow up a victory just three days ago. HART OF GOLD and STEP IT UP are other vintage representatives to consider.
Thoughts on the Oaks at Epsom:
I'm mindful that Phillipina has attracted a great deal of each way support at fancy prices during the last fortnight and good luck to you if you were one of the speculative win and place investors. Sir Michael Stoute's representative makes little appeal at today's odds however, and I fully expect MIDDAY and SARISKA to fight out the finish, with PHILLIPINA possibly snaring the bronze medal to reward each way stakes.
Hamilton -- Thursday 04/06/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 14.10: UNSHAKABLE WILL
nb - 16.10: NEW TRICKS
14.10
It's difficult to look beyond the top pair in the list from my viewpoint with ROCK OF LOVE probably justifying favouritism, alongside Bryan's Smart's Refuse To Bend debutant UNSHAKABLE WILL, the unknown factor in the contest. Many punters will latch on to Whispered Times and Durham Reflection after decent debut efforts but I expect the winner to emerge from the top pair in the list of runners.
14.40
David Nichiolls tends to clean up these claiming events, especially when the money is down. Whether any of the stable staff will want to get involved with a potential odds on shot in unknown, though LEGAL EAGLE should snare this prize en route to better things in the weeks and months to come this season. Fellow four-year-old SECRET DUBAI might reward forecast punters, especially as four-year-olds boast the best stats in the contest.
15.10
Four-year-olds have claimed five of the last nine renewals and with six of those winners having carried weights of 9-2 or more, my short list consists of HANDSINTHEMIST, ANDRASTA and ROCKETBALL.
15.40
MOUNTAIN CAT potentially makes a quick reappearance following his half decent runner up effort at Carlisle the other day. Course and distance winner PIANOFORTE might offer most resistance despite the seasonal debut scenario whilst THIS ONES FOR EDDY completes my trio against the field.
16.10
A poor handicap event in all honesty, though with the three winners of this event having carried weights of 9-0 or more to date, I'll nominate NEW TRICKS, BLACKSTONE VEGAS and ANNES SOUND against the other six contenders. The trio are listed in order of preference.
16.40
A lot of dead wood assembled here though I'm mindful that the inaugural winner last year scored at 18/1. ATLANTIC BEACH, TANGERINE TREES and MAISON DIEU should ensure that bookmakers do not have things all their own way this time around.
17.10
The last nine winners have ranged between four and six years of age which eliminates three of the eight runners if you take the stats seriously, whereby DRAMATIC SOLO, FORREST FLYER and BAIZICALLY appear to hold leading chances.
Ripon -- Wednesday 03/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.40: BOBBIE SOXER
nb - 20.40: MERDAAM
18.40
Five-year-olds have won three of the five contests with four-year-oldS
picking up the other two prizes. With only four and five-year-old declarations
having been made the trend is sure to continue, the pick of the runners on this
occasion possibly being AL AZY, FOLLOW THE SUN and ART VALUE. One of the five
favourites has obliged to date, the top priced winner having been returned at 14/1.
Just two of the market leaders have finished in the frame.
19.10
This race says much about the fact that Kevin Ryan's juveniles have disappointed in the main to date this season, as the trainer would have been coming here on a hat trick but is not represented this time around. In the circumstances I can only offer a speculative and tentive trio against the field which consists of RJEEF, MERSEYSIDE STAR and GENTLE BEAT. Favourites have secured three gold and two silver medals via the last six renewals, whilst over the full seven contest period, five market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.
19.40
BOBBIE SOXER won in the style of a progressive horse last week and though
some of the success can be attributed to the form of the John Dunlop yard, there
was plenty to like about the way that the Pivotal filly went about her work.
WHITE SHIFT has also been moving through the ranks of late whilst PADDY BEAR
might be worth another chance in this grade. Three of the last six favourites have
finished 'in the three' though we have to go back as far as 2002 to find the last
market leader to oblige, albeit Pinchbeck was landing a hat trick of victories for
favourites.
20.10
Four of the last six winners (including the last three) have carried weights of
9-0 or less whereby the six-year-olds WOVOKA and COLLATERAL DAMAGE enter the
overnight mix. Luca Cumani's team is just coming to the boil at the right time and his (joint) top weight ACROSTIC cannot be overlooked despite the afore-mentioned stats.
20.40
Three-year-olds have won nine of the last ten renewals and with the strong
southern yards of Sir Michael Stoute (DUBAI ECHO) and John Dunlop (MERDAAM)
represented, the prize looks set to head towards the same half of the country for
the eleventh consecutive year. The Montjeu filly Interdiamonds would do well to
win on her debut on behalf of the north, though Mark Johnston would not have
pitched the April foal into this type of battle without good reason. The biggest
priced winner during the last decade was a 5/1 chance whilst market leaders have
snared six gold medals in the process.
21.10
The last three winners have carried weights of 8-10 or less and I guess that
JACKDAY has the best chance of securing a prize via the three 'qualifiers' on this
occasion. Tim Easterby's yard has slowly been going the right way of late and the
four-year-old might be the each way call in the potential 'dead eight' finale. More
logical winners appear to be INCHPAST and HERRERA however.
Folkestone -- Tuesday 02/06/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.50: MONAADEEMA
nb - 18.20: BOLD TIE
18.20
With the top five horses in the handicap separeated by just one pound, this opening contest is a tough event to call. BOLD TIE was the horse which improved the most towards the back end of their respective juvenile seasons however, whereby Richard Hannon could post another score on the three-year-old board. AMOSITE and course and distance winner SHADOW BAY have already proved that they have 'trained on' however, which is always worth taking into account when perusing these 3YO handicaps.
18.50
Richard Hannon has won two of the three juvenile events at Folkestone to date (the same stats offered by favourites at the Kent venue thus far), whereby his Beat Hollow filly AEGEAN DESTINY demands to be included in the overnight mix. That said, EXOTIC BEAUTY sets the standard via the eight two-year-olds to have already gained experience, whilst EXCEED POWER and MUDAARAAH are very interesting newcomers to add icing on the cake.
19.20
The first three horses home in last year's inaugural running of this contest (won by the favourite) carried weights of 8-10 or more and just two horses qualify via the stat this time around, namely FOREST DANE and MUSIC BOX EXPRESS who are preferred in the order as listed. Mick Channon (seven winners during the last fortnight) is very much the in form represented trainer whereby BATELEUR is offered up as the third horse against the field.
19.50
MONAADEMA has been off the track since recording a fast ground success at Warwick twelve months ago, and whilst I'm unsure (at the time of writing) why the Elnadim filly has been absent, the late April foal is fancied to run well here hoping that the 'trained on' scenario does not become an important factor. Beaten favourite HOBSON might prove to be a tough nut to crack in recepit of six pounds from the selection.
20.20
Four-year-olds have claimed two gold and two silver medals in this race to date and vintage representatives GAIA PRINCE and HADA MEN make some appeal in another 'short field' event on the card. King Supreme is nominated as the overnight reserve.
20.50
Six joint top weights is a rarity in the three-year-old handicap events, though it's worth noting what happened to the four top weights in the inaugural running of this race twelve months ago. Horses carrying 9-7 finished 1-2-4-13 in a thirteen runner event, whereby DICE, MEFRAAS and MONS CALPE (carries sixteen ounces less than the other pair) are nominated against the field.
Thirsk -- Monday 01/06/2009
Best bets:
nb - 18.40: FOLLOW THE FLAG
e/w- 19.40: STAN'S COOL CAT
18.10
Mick Channon has been banging in the juvenile winners again over the weekend, whereby ALPHACINO might get the better of last week's (Yarmouth) seller winner ANJOMARBA close home. That said, Richard Fahey's Dubai Destination filly INLOVINGMEMORY could be anything and any support in the market should be heeded.
18.40
FOLLOW THE FLAG gets in strongly from a weights perspective given that the two winners to date have carried 9-7 and 9-5. BORDER OWL is the other 'qualifier' according to the stats. Beaten favourite KILDARE SUN might be worth another chance in this grade whereby Paul Hanagan's mount is given the reserve nomination.
19.10
Three-year-olds have won five of the seven renewals thus far and SPLENDOURINTHEGRASS surely has this race at his mercy. The Selkirk colt is not one to back at the trade press price of 2/5 however, given that his sire much preferred some cut in the ground and has passed on the bias to the majority of his prodigy. DOC JONES is the obvious danger.
19.40
STAN'S COOL CAT has to be the each way call given that all three winners to date (top price of 4/1--one winning favourite) have carried weights of 9-6 or more. SNOW BAY and SECRET SOCITY are feared most.
20.10
The two favourites to date have snared gold and silver medals with the beaten market leader going down by a short head. With just five runners facing the starter, the trend of fancied horses running well looks set to continue and my pair against the field consists of AKMAL and TOPOLSKI.
20.40
Four-year-olds have won four of the six renewals to date and the ratio might be improved upon by the likes of LOOSE CABOOSE and REVUE PRINCESS, despite the fact that the latter named runner carries the burden of ten stones. LA ZAMORA is the potential party-pooper in the line up.
Stratford -- Sunday 31/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.00: MISS PHOEBE
nb- 14.30: FONT
14.30
An extremely early start in the juvenile novice hurdle campaign with eight and a half months before trainers settle on their representatives for the Triumph Hurdle in 2010! Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by suggesting that RUPESTRIAN, SGT ROBERTS and KEY REGARD might run better than most, though such 'selections' are offered up in tentative mode. NICEONEFRANKIE is nominated as the overnight reserve.
15.00
David Evans has been in fine form on the flat and with the eye catching booking of Tony McCoy in place, MISS PHEOBE demands to be included in the mix, possibly alongside OVERSPIN and SILVER BANK. All five of the market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via four renewals to date (two winners).
15.30
Eight-year-olds have won five of the last nine renewals and with three half decent vintage representatives in a nine strong line up, the ratio could be improved upon. In order of preference, the trio in question is PEPPERONI PETE, NORBORNE BANDIT and HIGH OSCAR. The last ten winners have all been returned at odds of 10/1 or less which includes two winning favourites. It's worth noting from a toeplacepot perspective however, that just one of the last five market leaders have finished in the frame.
16.00
Seven-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick whereby ST MELLION FREEWAY is on my overnight short list, though twenty seven furlongs in the projected heat makes this is 'minimum stake' contest. The other seven-year-olds might push Tim Vaughan's representative all the way, namely IONA STAR, DIZZY FUTURE and AMBROSSINNI. We await the first winning favourite following four renewals to date, whilst just one of the five market leaders has finished in the frame.
16.30
It's difficult to look beyond the three recent winners, namely FONT, DONALDSON and RIEN A PERDRE who are listed in order of preference. For those of you looking for the ultimate each way 'steal' in this dead eight event, BOLD POLICY might best fit the bill. All three favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (two winners).
17.00
The eleven pounds concession by Kaladan to DORT TRANQUILLE is likely to prove too daunting, whilst others in receipt of weight from the penalised winner to hold chances are I'VE BEEN FRAMED and NETHER STREAM. This NH flat race is a new race on the Stratford card.
17.30
The Scuadmore team is going well at the time of writing (three of their last seven runners had won at the time of writing) whereby THE CUTE CURATE might run well at rewarding odds, even though are TOLLISHILL and (particularly) REAPING THE REWARD are more logical winners. This is the second division of the previous race on the Stratford programme.
Newbury -- Saturday 30/05/2009
Best bets:
nb - 19.50: TRADING NATION
e/w- 20.55: PANSY POTTER
18.10
The thinking behind nominating Newbury as Saturday's meeting revolves around the Cup Final, though I readily admit we could have done without a Lady Riders event for starters! Regular readers will know that I home in on pilots every bit as much as the equine 'stars' in these events, whereby my trio against the field (why aren't there sixteen runners!) is ROCK ANTHEM, NEW ENGLAND and VENIR ROUGE. CHATANOOGACHOOCHOO is nominated as the overnight reserve.
18.45
Clive Brittain cannot do a lot wrong at present whereby his Exceed And Excel newcomer WASMI could run well at potentially rewarding odds, whilst MAGIC LANTERN, JUST THE TONIC and SILVER SYMPHONY are others to consider is what appears to be a difficult contest to call. Favourites have been conspicuous by their absence in the winners circle via five renewals to date, the last two contests having been won by horses starting at 25/1 and 22/1. Three of the five market leaders have finished in the frame to balance things out a little.
19.20
Both winners have carried weights of 9-3 or more as have four of the six horses to have secured toteplacepot positions to date with ROMANY PRINCESS being the choice of this year's two 'qualifiers'. Two beaten favourites come to the fore in this event, namely SUPERVERDI and EFFIGY and both runners can go close to finding compensation for their respective connections. Last year's winning favourite atoned for losses of favourite backers in the inaugural running back in 2007 when the market leader finished fourth in a fifteen runner event.
19.50
TRADING NATION ran well when second on fast ground at Nottingham recently and with similar going in the offing here, Roger Charlton's Tiznow colt holds obvious claims. EYES LIKE A HAWK is an interesting beaten favourite to consider, whilst others for the overnight mix include the King Charlemagne newcomer TARQUA and (to a lesser extent) TENDER CHARM. Eight of the nine winners to date were returned at odds of 6/1 or less which included four winning favourites. A 50/1 winner back in 2003 balanced the books a little for the layers.
20.25
The four winners have carried weights of 9-2 or more whereby MISTA ROSSA, AGENTE ROMANO and DRUM MAJOR make some appeal, though 'mortgage money' will be well and truly hidden away for this moderate contest. All four winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less whilst two of the four market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions (one winner).
20.55
Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renwals whilst the same number of gold medallists carried weights of 9-8 or more. Only Pat Eddery's Fasliyev filly KORALEVA TECTONA fits both trends whereby Paul Eddery's mount has to be included in my mix despite having to give between four and twenty six pounds to her fifteen rivals. CUMANA BAY, LIGHT HEARTED and PANSY POTTER are likely to offer most resistance, especially the latter named three-year-old who was the victim of gross misfortune last time out relating to 'traffic offences'.
Haydock -- Friday 29/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.40: ADMIN
nb- 19.10: VISTERRE
18.40
Four-year-olds have won two of the three renewals to date whilst vintage representatives snared all three win and place positions last year. The only four-year-old in the line up this time around is the recent Nottingham (fast ground) winner DREAM OF OLWYN and though official conditions were describing conditions as good to soft at the time of writing, drying ground is the forecast whereby the James Given raider can notch a quick double on behalf of the yard. HUCKING HEAT won the race for the same trainer/rider team last year and should be there or thereabouts once again, whilst I'M IN THE PINK completes my trio against the field. Two of the four favourites have finished in the frame to date (no winners).
19.10
Bryan Smart has his Hambleton team back in good order whereby VISTERRE could improve her 3/7 ratio in this event. The Noverre filly has yet to prove she has 'trained on' but there was plenty of scope for improvement last year and I would be surprised if the March foal failed to become competitive at the business end of the contest, even on her seasonal debut. DOCTOR PARKES and GILT EDGE GIRL look sure to mount decent challenges at some stage during the contest. Although five of the six winners thus far have been returned at 8/1 or less, just one (4/5) winning favourite has been recorded. Four of the seven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
19.40
The Namid colt ADMIN was bought as a "fun horse" according to trainer Ralph Beckett but the February foal intimated a fair amount of potential when finishing third at Goodwood on his debut. Very green 'early doors' in that event, ADMIN had to be switched off the fence and run around the field but still looked to be a leading contender entering the final furlong before the 'diversion' took its toll. The newcomers SHAKESPEREAN and GREEN FOR LUCK are nominated as the potential dangers.
20.10
Four and five-year-olds have secured the last seven renewals of this contest (juniors lead 4-3) whereby my short list comprises of BOLLIN GRETA, MOONWALKING and BOLD ADVENTURE, especially as the last four winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less. Just two of the eight renewals staged during the last decade have resulted in winning favourites.
20.40
Three-year-olds have secured eleven of the twelve available win and place positions in this event to date, stats which include all four winners. STEEL FREE, BROAD CAIRN and TRICKY SITUATION might be the trio to home in on, though Mark Johnston's Mr Greeley gelding BORROMEO could be anything. Two of the four favourites have finished in the frame (one winner).
21.10
Although a four-year-old won the only renewal of this finale to date four years ago, three-year-olds usually get the better of such contests, particularly at this time of year. I expect the race to revert to 'usual type' whereby the likes of DECISION, SANCTUARY and DEVOTION TO DUTY can figure prominently inside the final quarter mile of the contest.
Newcastle -- Thursday 29/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.40: MAZE
nb- 18.25: FLY SILCA FLY
18.25
FLY SILCA FLY went to the races first time up with a decent reputation and it will be interesting to see if Mick Channon's juvenile can step up on his debut performance. The Hawk Wing filly sets the standard of the three horses to have run thus far thoguh it will be interesting to see if newcomers AMARY, BIKINI BABE and LADY SPRINGBANK are good enough to score at the first time of asking.
19.00
Richard Fahey won the inaugural running of this contest last year whereby his hat trick seeking STONECRABSTOMORROW has obviously been targeted for this event. Course and distance winners SAMS SECRET, CELTIC LYNN and MIDDLEMARCH might emerge as the potential party-poopers in the line up.
19.35
Crystal Capella was setting up an unbeaten six race sequence when breaking her maiden tag in this event last year, though it's highly unlikely that any declared horse would be capable of emulating such a fine record this time around. LADY ARTEMISIA might take the beating following a half decent effort when occupying the runner up position at Salisbury on rock hard ground at Salisbury last time out. CHARITY BELLE and MEXICAN JAY might offer most resistance inside the final furlong.
20.10
Karl Burke is the only represented trainer coming to the party in half decent form whereby his Auction House gelding JOHNNY FRIENDLY boasts each way claims, especially now that El Dececy is a doubtful runner. MY MATE MAL and SAN SILVESTRO might be worth a mention for each way speculators who prefer to back horses at rewarding odds.
20.40
MAZE is of particular interest now that Bryan Smart's stable has returned to form. The course and distance winner was placed in a Listed event last year and this race could be there for the taking. Horses that will not go down without a fight however include SOLAR SPIRIT and PAVERSHOOZ and this pair represent the biggest threat to the selection according to the gospel of yours truly.
21.15
It will be well past midnight before ITHBAAT returns to his home bed but hopefully a victory over fellow talented types such as TARZAN and DR JAMESON will have been recorded by then.
Brighton -- Wednesday 27/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.40: FANTASTIC DUBAI
nb- 14.10: GINGER GREY
14.10
My self imposed restriction of offering just one horse to be considered in 'win only' events comes back to haunt me here but rules are rules and GINGER GREY is given the nod. Simon Callaghan waxed lyrical about his Bertolini colt before the April foal set foot on the Newmarket racecourse on his debut and though disappointing connections to a fashion, this race has cut up to his advantage. KALAM DALEEL is offered up as the reserve nomination. Four of the seven renewals have been won by the favourite with market leaders finishing second in the other three contests.
14.40
Beaten favourite FANTASTIC DUBAI has to be of interest here with Mick Channon's three-year-old warranting another chance in a moderate event. Potential thieves will be on the lookout for an each way bet to nothing in this 'dead eight' event and perhaps HAND PAINTED and TRUE DECISION best fit the requirement. Two of the three favourites have obliged to date with the biggest priced winner to date returned at just 100/30.
15.15
Four-year-olds have won both renewals thus far though the trend in under threat here with just the moderate Den's Boy representing the vintage. It's difficult to include Paul Doe's mount in the mix with just a pair of win and place positions up for grabs and I prefer the two course and distance winners in the field this time around, namely STEIG and MICK IS BACK.
15.50
This event would take on nightmare proportions if an non runner reared it's ugly head this morning, potentially reducing a 'jigsaw puzzle' of a contest into a win only event. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by suggesting that BRAMALEA and POTENTIALE might be the pair to home in on.
16.25
Three 8/1 winners have emerged in this contest thus far and horses potentially starting around that area of the market to consider include ARLENE PHILLIPS and SOME GOOD TIME. A more logical winner argubaly lurks within the group in the shape of the El Prado filly LOULOU.
16.55
Five-year-olds have won the finale three times in the last five years and two of this year's three vintage representatives make plenty of appeal in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. Both PUNCHING and course and distance winner PRAGMATIST rate highly on my short list, whilst the recent course winner MR FANTOZZI completes my trio against the field. The fact that all three of the 'selections' have won over this switchback track adds confidence.
Redcar -- Tuesday 26/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.40: RASAMAN
nb- 16.10: MAQAAM
14.10
FLYINFLYOUT might claim some prize money here following a decent introduction at Goodwood last week, but it would be disappointing if newcomers WIGAN LANE and WOOD LANE (down at the bottom of the list) could not become competitive at the business end of the contest. Eight of the last ten renewals have fallen to the favourite.
14.40
Seven of the last ten winners have carried weights of 9-7 or more which eliminates the bottom five horses in the list. From the eight that 'survive' the weight barrier trend, I'm inclined to offer chances to EL DECECY, MY MATE MAL and BERTIE VISTA.
15.10
The top two horses in the handicap have plenty to do according to the weight trends whereby my trio against the field consists of ISLAND MUSIC, SARWIN and ROSKO. Three of the four favourites have won this event with the other market leader having finished in the frame.
15.40
Kevin Ryan has his team back in half decent form and the trainer is strongly represented in this event via RASAMAN and course and distance winner LE TOREADOR who are preferred in the order as listed. John Quinn does well with his lightly weighted handicappers whereby PACIFIC PRIDE could be the main threat to the Ryan pair.
16.10
Three newcomers take on a pair of moderate experienced horses and I would be surprised if MAQAAM failed to snare the prize, Mark Johnston's Dubai Destination geldng possibly having most to fear from BOGULA.
16.40
The course and distance winner LAURA'S LADY could double her total on just her second start as the Namid filly was quite impressive on her debut. This appears to be the most competitive race on the card however, whereby REAL DIAMOND and EXCEEDINGLY GOOD (to name but two dangers) should ensure that Alan Swinbank's March foal doesn't get things all her own way.
17.10
High on numbers but short on quality, this finale will take next to no winning. Four-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick and the likes of MONTE CASSINO and SANDY PAR should go well with competent riders in the plate. Similar comments apply to HANSOMIS and PARK'S PRODIGY.
Goodwood -- Monday 25/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.20: IMAAM
nb- 15.10: MADE TO RANSOM
13.30
I'll leave you to work this race out having offered (below) the stats for the first four juvenile races of the season at Goodwood. Richard Hannon has trained two of the four winners as you can see, and the information is offered basically because there are three two-year-old events on Monday's card at the popular venue.
Draw:
7-3-1 (five furlongs--9 ran--good)
1 (five furlongs--4 ran--good to firm)
6-8-10 (six furlongs--12 ran--good)
5-2-12 (six furlongs--12 ran--good to firm)
Winners trained by:
2--R. Hannon (11/2--11/4*)
1--J. Dunlop (11/1)
1--J.S. Moore (25/1)
Favourite stats:
5 favourites: 1 winner--1--placed--3 unplaced
Beaten favourites trained by:
1--M.R. Channon
1--C.G. Cox
1--R. Hannon
1--S. Kirk
1st 3 in betting: 2 winners--3 placed--7 unplaced
For what it's worth my trio against the field is CAPTAIN COOL, BRAVE GURKHA and HOLD YOUR COLOUR.
14.00
The second of the juvenile races on the card which offers the likes of KATE SKATE and OUT THE RING to become competitive at the business end of the race, probably having BOGA to beat.
14.35
Another new race on what is basically an additional fixture to the (Goodwood) calendar. Only Richard Hannon (ORANGE PIP), Gary Moore (MYMUMSAYSIMTHEBEST) and John Quinn (FANTASY BELIEVER) have trained winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing. The three trainers offer aggregate stats of 21/116 during the period, which compares favourably against figures of 0/66 via the other represetned trainers!
15.10
Four favourites have won via the last nine renewals which four-year-olds won on six occasions. The pick of the 'junior set' on this occasion might prove to be MADE TO RANSOM and YAHRAB, especially as PERKS would have preferred cut in the ground. I'll stay with the trio however, as thundery showers are forecast for the Goodwood area, some of which could be particularly heavy according to the 'Met office'.
15.45
This is the last of the juvenile events on the card and probably the most difficult to assess. TIMELORD and FLAPJACK are perfectly decent horses who have earned the right to be well supported, but I feel it would be a little disappointing if one of the newcomers failed to get the measure of the pair close home. With so many leading (juvenile) stables involved it's almost impossible to pick the pin out of the haystack, but I'll go for broke and select FIRE AND STONE.
16.20
John Dunlop has his team in great order now with eight of his last eleven runners having finished 'in the three', stats which include three winners. The local trainer saddles his Pivotal colt IMAAM on this occasion and there was plenty to like about the way the January foal scooted clear of his rivals at Folkestone to record a seven length victory. John won the inaugural running of this event for good measure. The main dangers appear to be EASTERN EMPIRE and STAR LINKS, though OUTOFOIL could be interesting at potentially rewarding odds if the rain arrives earlier than expected.
16.55
This contest has a 'Bank Holiday banana skin of a handicap' written all over it and my move will porbably be to lay horses at the front end of the market which have not attracted support on the exchanges, believing the relevant horses to represent poor value for money. That doesn't assist my work in this column however which is principally to offer horses with a chance of winning, and my tentative quartet against the field comprises of FEASIBLE, TIGNELLO, DUKE OF MILAN and STAR STRIDER.
17.30
COSSACK PRINCE and STREETS APART should produce the winner of the finale between them, whilst if you're in front and want to play up winnings on a speculative each way option, STAR OF POMPEY could reward win and place investors.
Fontwell -- Sunday 24/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.10: SHAKE THE BARLEY
nb- 17.20: THECIRCLEOFTRUST
14.00
Local trainer Gary Moore held two options earlier in the week but it will surprise very few readers that the dual purpose trainer has opted to saddle BENHEGO, the Act One gelding having snared a course and distance victory on his one and only start over timber to date. RED LANCER is the obvious danger though OBRIGADO is an interesting (late) addition to the hurdling ranks.
14.30
It's difficult to get away from the two recent winners in the field, namely HEIR TO BE and SANTERA. Gary Moore won this race last year and with two of the previous three winners having carried low weights to victory in this event, Gary's four-year-old raider PERLON cannot be dismissed.
15.00
It seems light years ago now that Sir Michael Stoute once held Derby aspirations for MACLEAN, and though the eight-year-old has disappointed various connections down the line, this course winner could record another victory at this popular venue. Beaten favourite GLENGARRA can still run well at twelve years of age whilst RUSTIC JOHN could gain place money for connections again.
15.35
Four of the last six winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more and the trio that stand out from the crowd towards the top of the weights are VINTAGE FABRIC, LAST FLIGHT and PSEUDONYM.
16.10
Tom George has won with three of his last six runners at the time of writing whereby SHAKE THE BARLEY demands to be entered into the mix in a moderate contest. Course and distance winner SANDYMAC appears to be the logical danger whilst the each way horse in the field might prove to be MIGHTY MOOSE.
16.50
Although some rain would have made SUMDANCER a more confident selection, the Madgewick yard is enjoying a good run just now and another winner here is a distinct possibility. John Mullins has his team in reasonable nick whereby HAMPTON COURT could sneak a place whilst RIO LAINE completes my trio against the field.
17.20
THECIRCLEOFTRUST is another fancied Tom George runner on the card which should take plenty of kicking out of the frame, albeit the Fontwell toteplacepot will be done and dusted by that time flag fall arrives. The main dangers are MAGICAL TREASURE and EL PASSOS.
Haydock -- Saturday 23/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.05: MAKAAMEN
nb- 17.25: LEGAL EAGLE
14.05
Despite carrying top weight, the Selkirk colt MAKAAMEN must enter the equation with moisture in the ground. Coming to the gig on a hat trick, the January foal (one of the oldest three-year-olds in the line up) must take some beating. MISS EZE (from the other end of the handicap) might prove to be the speculative each way call in the field on this ground, whilst the chance of FILM SET is respected despite the Kempton defeat which was disappointing for connections and punters alike.
14.35
LESSON IN HUMILITY could be one of the leading fillies in the sprint sector of the sport this season and there was plenty to like about the way she won her seasonal debut effort at Nottingham. That said, three-year-olds have run riot in this race down the years and this year's three vintage representatives are coming to the gig on a hat trick. Although Jeremy Noseda has not made a great start to the season by his standards, ADORN was his only potential runner earlier in the week and his Kyllachy filly should run well alongside the other three-year-olds NEVER LOSE and ZUZU.
15.10
I'm not at all sure that the draw has been fair on LOOK BUSY again here, but connections will just have to grin and bear it and prove that the yielding ground will bring about another advantage which could make the difference between victory and defeat. With the ground likely to be too loose for Tax Free to give of his best, the three-year-olds could make the biggest challenge to the tentative selection via AMOUR PROPRE and TOTAL GALLERY. Fleeting Spirit won the race on behalf of the junior vintage twelve months ago which makes for good reading.
15.40
Although his two successes have been gained on fast ground to date, FAREER ran a good third behind Makaamen under yielding conditions at Newbury (first race on this card should be taken into consideration) and with trainer Ed Dunlop having captured this prize ten years ago, the trainer will feel it's his turn again today. Louise-Phillip Bezeulin has snared three gold and two silver medals via his last five rides for Michael Stioute at the time of writing, whereby the chance of DESERT CREEKmust be respected. Others to takle into consideration in a fascination renewal of the 'Silver Bowl' are TUDOR KEY and Fareer's stable companion DERBAAS.
16.15
Six of the last seven renewals have fallen to horses carrying 8-13 or more which eliminates the bottom seven (of seventeen) runners in the handicap. We are left with THE GALLOPING SHOE, MOUNT HADLEY, DEAR MAURICE and CELTIC LYNN to represent us with hopefully four places remaining up for grabs.
16.50
John Dunlop's Arundel team is coming to the boil at the right time of the season whereby TACTIC has a decent chance to follow up his Goodwood victory. A decent effort at Newbury last back end on soft ground suggests that no excuse could be made whatever the weather decides to do. CLASSIC VINTAGE loves some moisture in the turf and even though this is meant to be one of the better Bank Holdiay weekends, plenty of rain has fallen in the Haydock area to ensure that the ground will be anything but fast. Beaten favourite ALANBROOKE completes my trio against the field given that Highland Glen would probably have preferred faster conditions.
17.25
David Nicholls (won the inaugural running of this contest last year) held just two options for this race earlier in the week (most unlike the trainer) and sure enough, both LEGAL EAGLE and PRINCE NAMID have been offered the green light. Both horses have to be included in the mix accordingly, joined on this occasion by course and distance winner MAKSHOOF and HARLECH CASTLE.
Pontefract -- Friday 22/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.00: GREEN AGENDA
e/w- 21.00: TURNING TOP
18.30
All three winners of this race to date have carried weights of 9-3 or more and BLUE CHARM appears to have the obvious chance of this year's two qualifiers. Low numbers have prevailed in each of the three contests to date whereby my quartet against the field is completed by AGGRAVATION, CASTLEBURY and MARVO. One winning favourite recorded to date, though the other two market leaders finished well down the field.
19.00
Although four-year-olds hold the call given the bigger picture (seven winners in the last ten years), three-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick this time around. Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 9-5 or more which brings in the likes of WOGAN'S SISTER and IF YOU KNEW SUZY, whilst the pick of the trio of three-year-olds appears to be PLAYFUL ASSET. Two favourites have prevailed during the last decade though longer priced winners have also emerged at 25/1-20/1-16/1-16/1-16/1.
19.30
Barry Hills has saddled ten two-year-old winners in non handicap races at Haydock in the last five years via just thirty eight runners which suggest that his Windsor winner BE INVINCIBLE will run well here. Alan Jarvis reports his juveniles to be a decent bunch and LITTLE PERISHER has already scored at Ascot which reads well in the context of this event. The Rakti filly MAIDTORUN receives a handy allowance via the weights and measures act whereby Richard Fahey's April foal could reward speculative each way investors.
20.00
Mark Johnston has made this race his own of late having secured five of the last ten renewals. Mark comes to the gig on a hat trick and beaten favourite GREEN AGENDA certainly looks worth another chance given the stats on offer. Eight winners during the last decade have carried weights of 9-0 or more which also makes for good reading, stats which also bring LAKEMAN and CALL IT ON into the reckoning.
20.30
CONQUISTO must overcome negative weight stats to score here but with the Clive Cox team in great form, the four-year-old must be considered. CAERLAVEROCK and MAADRAA are recent winners which might offer most resistance to the top weight on this occasion. ISLAND VISTA is nominated as the overnight reserve. Two of the four favourites have finished in the frame (both winners).
21.00
A fair sprinkling of southern raiders trying to snare the prize as is usually the case at Pontefract, the pick of which could prove to be Siimon Callaghan's Pivotal filly TURNING TOP who was well touted by the trainer twelve months ago. Michael Dods won the race last year and his Namid gelding CHEYANNE REEF has run well without winning to date suggesting that another toteplacepot position could be secured. Others for the overnight mix include SIOUX RISING and GRAND STITCH who are seemingly well berthed in stalls four and five (seventeen runners) respectively.
Sandown -- Thursday 21/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.35: LEOCORNO
nb- 19.25: STATE BANQUET
17.50
Richard Hannon has secured four of the last ten reneWals of this opening event and having scratched his other intended runner in the contest, Richard's Beat Hollow filly FLEETING ECHO will represent the leading juvenile trainer. The Eceed And Excel raider ABOVE LIMITS lost little in defeat at Wolverhampton on her debut facing experienced opponents whilst racing wide via the draw. SHE'S OK and EXOTIC BEAUTY might not be leading lights in the respective Clive Brittain and Mick Channon yards, but toteplacepot positions are certainly up for grabs at the first time of asking. Six of the last eleven market leaders have finished in the frame (five winners).
18.20
Three of the four winners to date have carried weights of 9-5 or more and LIVELY FLING is preferred to the Mark Johnston pair via this year's three qualifiers. CRY FOR THE MOON sits just sixteen ounces below the 'superior' weight barrier, as does KING OF WANDS who completes my trio against the field. Three of the seven market leaders have finished in the frame, though we still await the first winning favourite following four renewals.
18.50
Horses towards the top of the handicap totally dominated this event twelve months ago and the trend might be repeated with the likes of MIRRORED, ROAR OF APPLAUSE and THIN RED LINE in the line up. The 11/4 favourite won the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago. The six horses sent off at 12/1 or more occupied the last six (of twelve) places.
19.25
Hughie Morrison has won two of the last six renewals of this Class 4 handicap and it's worth noting that his raider STATE BANQUET secured a race at Salisbury last season which won by two decent horses in separate divisions the previous year, one of which (Look Here) went on to win the Epsom Oaks. THE FONZ is preferred to Battle Planner as the main danger. All nine favourites have been beaten thus far, with just two market leaders having secured toteplacepot/each way positions in the process. Five of the last seven winners have scored at 14/1-14/1-12/1-12/1-10/1.
20.00
With six of the represented trainers coming to the party in very good from, whis race might take some winning. That said, jungle drums are conspicuous by their absence except in the case of WARRANTS ATTENTION from Andrew Balding's yard. The trainer was waxing lyrical about this Fruits Of Love gelding twelve months ago though I'm not sure why it has taken this long to get the March foal to the racecourse. COUNT LUCIEN and SPIEKROOG might offer most resistance on this occasion. This is a new race on the Sandown card.
20.35
All three winners have carried weights of 8-10 or more whereby LEOCORNO and beaten favourite LADY BRORA are certainly in the mix, possibly alongside MAYBE I WILL. Dakiyah might find it difficult to give upwards of six pounds to this field. Four of the five favourites (via three renewals) have finished in the frame (two winners).
Lingfield -- Wednesday 20/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.00: AKMAL
e/w- 16.20: KIPCHAK
14.00
High numbers hold the call on this sprint (turf) course at Lingfield whereby AKMAL (11/12) and TALIMOS (7) should give potential investors a good run for their collective monies. Horses on the stand rail can hold an advantage of anything up to two or three lengths to runners down the middle of the course on occasions.
14.35
David Evans is the only represented trainer in good form at the time of writing (13/53) in recent times, figures which read favourably when compared to aggregate stats of 7/107 via the other handlers. David saddles his Halling gelding PENANG CINTA who won on the continent last time out. Fortunately sixteen runners have been declared whereby I can nominate three potential dangers to the tentative selection, which on this occasion are WIZARD LOOKING, KARMEI and MIXING from down the bottom of the weights.
15.10
Jim Boyle has his team in half decent form and the trainer has saddled twenty-nine winners at this venue during the last five years, albeit twenty-seven of them have been recorded on the Polytrack surface! Jim saddles his four-year-old Traditionally gelding CLASSICAL RHYTHM with each way claims whilst MICK'S DANCER is a beaten favourite arguably worth another chance in such a low grade event. BRAMALEA completes my trio against the field.
15.45
We're back to the sprint course for this six furlong event whereby SWINBROOK (10/12), FYODOR (8) and AVOCA DANCER (9) should all run well from stall positions which should give relevant trainers no reason to offer excuses for potential defeats. Course and distance winner ONE MORE ROUND would have definitely entered my overnight mix, but the word in his name (one) restricts his chance given the identical stall position.
16.20
KIPCHAK (13/14), BLUE TOMATO (11) and CARMENERO (14) are the favoured runners this time around and I would be disappointed if at least two of this trio were not in the firing line going inside the final furlong. KIPCHAK has finished 'in the three' eight times via fourteen starts to date, and though many of those efforts have been gained on all weather surfaces, the Soviet Star gelding holds a decent chance of scoring for the second time on turf via just six outings.
16.55
The handicapper has raised I CONFESS a pound despite the four-year-old having finished only third last time out which must annoy connections but that said, this race could still be there for the taking if the Fantastic Light gelding can find his best form. SARAH PARK only won a Yarmough egg and spoon event last time out but a win is a win in any language and Brian Meehan's Redback filly demands to be included in the equation. Others to consider in the 'lucky last' include COOL EBONY and course and distance winner PHA MAI BLUE.
Nottingham -- Tuesday 19/05/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 14.00: PANSY POTTER
e/w- 17.00: NAVENE
14.00
A real teaser of a handicap with which to start proceedings but thankfully, four 'selections' are up for grabs with seventeen runners having been declared. RED ROSSINI is visored for the first time which could make all the difference to the Hannon raider, whilst the others in my overnight mix include WEST LEAKE, PANSY POTTER and PRINT. The dam of PANYSY POTTER was a three-year-old winner over a mile and Brian Meehan's Auction House filly is one of the more attractive each way runners on the card. especially with Ryan Moore booked to ride. Ryan showed a level stake profit of over forty points when riding for Brian last year (four winners).
14.30
--
15.00
Blinkered for the first time, KAYCEEBEE is the only horse down towards the bottom of the (three-year-old) handicap that I could entertain and even then, the likes of PINBALL, FASLIYANNE and RED MAX make more appeal.
15.30
This is a poor race whichever way you look at the contenders, possibly best served by offering RARE RUBY, CALCULATING and PIPER'S SONG against the field.
16.00
POLLY'S MARK might justify her lofty position in the weights in a tough 'dead eight' contest to assess. PERCEPTION might be the (thieves) each way call in the contest if the relevant odds are chalked up by the enemy whilst ONEMIX completes my threesome.
16.30
It will take a brave punter to oppose both Sir Michael Stoute's raiders (ITHINKBEST and MOHTASHEM) even though they would be well down the three-year-old pecking order back home. This race will not take a great deal of winning in all probability, the Kempton runner up SOVERIEGN REMEDY possibly offering the biggest threat to the Stoute representatives.
17.00
The represented trainers can only boast recent stats of 8/129 which confirms how difficult this race is to unravel. There is a God however with seventeen runners sceduled to face the starter whereby NAVENE, KILDARE SUN, PINEWOOD LULU and SEASONAL CROSS should run well for collective investors. Chris Wall (NAVENE) supplied three of the afore mentioned eight winners whereby the five-year-old stands out from the crowd.
Bath -- Monday 18/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.00: RADIOHEAD
nb - 14.30: KEEP DANCING
14.00
The Johannesburg colt RADIOHEAD ran a really good race in defeat on his Newmarket debut despite being as green as grass and handicapping himself via a tardy start. Johannesburg remained unbeaten as a two year old (seven outings), becoming the champion juvenile in Europe having won his final race in America (Breeders Cup Juvenile). RADIOHEAD will not aspire to such heights, but the April foal should win here, particularly if breaking on level terms. Course and distance winner BOGA was only beaten half a length at Newcastle at the weekend and might give the selection most to do if turned out quickly again.
14.30
A four-year-old broke the trend of four consective three-year-old winners twelve months ago but I fancy the race will revert to type this time around. Andrew Balding is one of the luckiest trainers around to have the likes of fine young jockeys such as David Probert and William Buick and David's mount KEEP DANCING is a beaten favourite worth another chance on this occasion. The yard won the race last year and having saddled ten winners during the last fortnight, Andrew has a good chance to post another score on the board. The main dangers appear to be MORNING QUEEN from the bang in form yard of Clive Cox and Ralph Beckett's newcomer INTOLERABLE.
15.00
Five-year-olds have won all three renewals when vintage representatives have turned up for the gig and ROSE ROW and ACT THREE are two of the three relavant raiders on this occasion holding definite chances. SEEDLESS has failed to pull up any trees to date but is in the capable hands of Andrew Balding and with the yard in such decent form, the four-year-old cannot be dismissed from the equation.
15.30
Course and distance winner FROMSONG (from only two starts here at Bath) is slowly being given a chance by the handicapper and the drop of another notch could result in the eleven-year-old gaining a cheque for connections in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. I guess the more logical C/D winner to home in on is five-year-old KYLLACHY STORM, whilst BOLDINOR (winner on his very first start--might be fit enough to run well from a win and place perspective) completes my trio against the field.
16.00
All three winners to date have carried weights of 8-13 or more which eliminates the bottom five (of eleven) horses out of the equation if you take the stats seriously. Five-year-olds have won two of the contests to date whereby APRIL FOOL is included in the mix, alongside FANCY FOOTSTEPS and CROESO CUSAN.
16.30
All eight win and place positions have been claimed by horses carrying weights of 8-13 or less via three renewals, whereby DICE, ROCKEFELLA and SUMANI enter my mix in the penultimate event on the card. Although the Dow stable has yet to register a turf success this season (seventeen runners at the time of writing) three of their last ten representative have finished 'in the three' and SUMANI is the each way call in the contest, especially at David Porbert takes the ride. Similar comments apply to the Coakley team (far less runners however) which offers ROCKEFELLA an each way shout at potentially rewarding odds. PERCEPTION sits just sixteen ounces above the 'superior' weight barrier whereby Roger Charlton's three-year-old cannot be entirely dismissed.
17.00
These amateur rider races are often determined by the ability in the saddle rather than the equine beast whereby my quartet against the field consists of BRAVE BUGSY, DANSIMAR, MUNLOCHY BAY and OPENTIDE, the four runners listed in marginal order of preference.
Fakenham -- Sunday 17/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.50: ART TREND
nb - 16.20: SENDANI
14.20
Six-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals of this opening event and Tim Vaughan's recent winner CHANGING LANES certainly figures in my overnight mix. That said, fellow scorers KING CYRUS and ORTEGA will ensure that Richard Johnson's mount will not have everything his own way.
14.50
Nine-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals whereby beaten favourite LAHARNA is given another chance in this grade. WISHES OR WATCHES is another nine-year-old with an each way chance whilst the potential party-pooper in the field is GUS.
15.20
The four 'pensioners' (ten years of age or more) are eliminated via the vintage stats which should enable ALFADORA to supplement his recent Uttoxeter record. LEOPOLD and MEGATON might offer most resistance this time around.
15.50
Paul Nicholls has won with eight of the last seventeen horses he has saddled at the time of writing whereby ART TREND will probably take all the beating. MARTIN'S FRIEND apprears to be the danger according to official figures whilst TRI NATIONS might be booked to finish third again.
16.20
A quick double looks to be on the cards for the Ditcheat stable here with Paul Nicholls having declared SENDANI. The six-year-old would not be one to chase losses over however if unable to snare this prize. Beaten favourite CORTINAS might chase the projected favourite home with connections of SAFE INVESTMENT having to settle for place money in this 'dead eight' event.
16.50
ORION EXPRESS has one of the better lady pilots in the field in the plate which should offset a recent penalty for the victory gained at Exeter. Not as much rain fell on Thursday night/Friday as was forecast which should suit the eight-year-old admirably. OLIVINO and DOCTORED are the alternative suggestions.
Newmarket -- Saturday 16/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.40: GINGER GREY
nb - 15.30: PRESBYTERIAN NUN
13.50
Although five favourites have obliged during the last decade, four gold medallists were returned at 33/1-25/1-16/1-12/1 whereby it's been a case of all or nothing for bookmakers and punters alike. It's something of a guessing game before the exchanges rev up for business on Saturday in all honesty, whereupon I can only offer up the tentative trio of PRESENT ALCHEMY, MERDAAM and KAPSILIAT.
14.20
Four-year-olds have not only won all three renewals to date but have also snared three of the other six place positions on offer. Just five vintage representatives turn up for the gig this time around and CORDELL, DUBAI DYNAMO and ELLEMUJIE might be the pick of the each way contenders. RESURGE is offered up as the overnight reserve given the number of non runners of late.
14.55
Six 'recent' winners line up here in a jigsaw puzzle of a race and I don't see any signs of 'straight pieces' to help us out! CLOWANCE HOUSE might have most to fear from CHIBERTA KING on this occasion and to a lesser degree Distant Memories.
15.30
All six horses to claim win and place positions have carried 8-10 or more whereby we can (seemingly) eliminate the bottom five horses in the handicap. PRESBYTERIAN NUN and BOZ might best represent the eight horses in the 'superior' sector of the handicap. Punters who want to oppose the stats will probably home in on the soft ground Newbury winner MIGHTY MOON.
16.05
The draw via the two renewals to date has not thrown up any trends unfortunately, whereby I'll take horses from all four sectors of the line and hope for the best. The quartet on offer are PIPPBROOK GOLD (3/19), WITHOUT PREJUDICE (8), XPRES MAITE (13) and COUNT CEPRANO (18).
16.40
Two of the three favourites have finished second to date though we still await the first winning market leader. "If I have one Royal Ascot horse in the stable this year it could be this one" was the quote from Simon Callaghan about his Bertolini colt GINGER GREY. Set to receive four pounds from the two winners in the field should enable the April foal to go close at the first time of asking. KING'S APPROACH is the selection over Shark Man via the winners in the field.
17.15
MANGO MUSIC made light of his top weight when lifting this prize twelve months ago and racing off a mark off just one notch higher, Mick Quinn's six-year-old should go close to defending his crown. Just nine runners lined up last year compared to the projected sixteen strong field this time around, whereby I have to add TUDOR PRINCE, MILNE BAY and ONCEAPONATIME to the overnight mix.
Newbury -- Friday 15/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.20: AWINNERSGAME
nb - 16.35: BALNAGORE
13.20
Tom Dascombe has won with five of the twelve two-year-olds he has saddled at the time of writing and his Danehill Dancer colt BARZAN cannot be left out of the equation in the circumstances. Richard Hannon has won two of the last three renewals of this event and it's interesting that the trainer has been unable to keep CANFORD CLIFFS and POLTERGEIST apart, given that Riochard thinks a great deal of both prospects. CLAN PIPER very much needed this sixth furlong on the evidence of his first effort. Holding a Group 1 entry, John Gosden obviously believes the Exceed And Excel April foal to be much better than we have witnessed thus far.
13.50
Mick Channon has won three of the last four renewals of this event and even when securing second place in the 'missing year', Nijeem Dubai went on to win Royal Ascot's Albany Stakes at 50/1! You might not be surprised that yours truly was 'on' that day, so whatever happens to the Hawk Wing filly FLY SILCA FLY (and to a lesser degree perhaps) AILSA CARMEL here, keep their names in your little black book. KURTANELLA represents a fair standard via just the one outing to date.
14.20
AWINNERSGAME holds fancy entries as you might expect from a Jeremy Noseda perspective and having beaten all bar the winner in the Free Handicap at Newmarket, the Kyllachy colt aill appreciate this return to six furlongs. RUN FOR THE HILLS and BORDER PATROL are worthy opponents in this fascinating Listed event.
14.50
Having been made favourite for the Oaks on the back of her Musidora success at York on Wednesday, there is next to no chance that Sariska will line up here, whereby the stage looks set for the likes of MOOAKADA and APPLE CHARLOTTE to go close in their trial event. We should not underestimate Tom Dascombe's course winner DANEHILL'S PEARL either in another decent race on the Newbury card.
15.25
This is the second division of the opening race on the card. It's difficult to look beyond the top three horses in the list via breeding, trainer comments and 'jungle drum smoke'. BRISBANE is oh so marginally preferred to CAYLPSO STAR and ALRASM in what could turn out to be a hot race which produces plenty of juvenile winners this year. First Cat is a one-eyed individual who is likely to need the experience accordingly alongside the third Richard Hannon raider in the contest Sabii Sands.
16.00
Roger Charlton has saddled three of his last eight runners to winning effect whereby his recent Salisbury winner BRUNSTON might be able to offset the six pound penalty by notching a double to start off his three-year-old campaign. The most serious challenges might emerge from SOLAR GRAPHITE and ALANBROOKE.
16.35
Horses carrying weights of 8-13 or more have secured eight of the nine available each way positions to date (including all three winners at 14/1-15/2-7/1) and BALNAGORE, BEAU FIGHTER and SEVENTH CAVALRY will do for me against the field. Five-year-olds have won two of the three contests whereby BALNAGORE is definitely the main selection this time around. Sixteen runners have been declared which allows me to offer up WATCHMAKER as 'fourth best'.
17.10
Another tough handicap on the card to unravel and the finale might be fought out between CORRIOLANUS, SOLAS ALAINN and PRINCESS FLAME. Over twenty non runners have been announced at Salisbury on Thursday at the time of writing, whereupon I demand to be offered a reserve which on this occasion is MARIE LOUSIE.
Salisbury -- Thursday 14/05/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.25: DANIES BOY
nb - 16.35: SHADED EDGE
13.50
Sir Michael Stoute has won five of the last ten races/divisions of this contest and the trainer has declared ENTREAT and YOU SAY I SAY on this occasion. The jockey bookings suggest that ENTREAT is the main contender but such is ther lack of decent form shown in this contest by all fourteen horses, anything is possible. The main alternatives put up against Michael's pair consists of AROMATIC (ran behind Midday on her only start to date) and POLLY'S MARK.
14.20
A minor case of sore shins earlier in the year might prevent PALASIDES PARK from registering a hat trick for trainer Richard Hannon in the contest, albeit Richard is confident the Compton Place colt will win a race this season. The Marju colt STATE FAIR ran well on his debut, though the form of the race which Walkingonthemoon won has taken a few knocks in recent weeks. WARNING SONG represents Amanda Perrett, but although the trainer correctly intimated some time ago that the February colt would be her first two-year-old runner of the season, her 0/33 first time out record with juveniles last year tempers enthusiasm to a fashion. Perhaps PALASIDES PARK will win after all!
14.50
Sir Michael Stoute has offered a five-pound claimer (rider of You Say I Say in the opening event) the leg up aboard his recent Bath winner ROSIKI and the Sakhee filly could notch the double in an ordinary contest. LADY RUSTY could run well at potentially rewarding odds whilst SRI KANDI is another making her seasonal debut that could finish in the money. FALLEN IN LOVE is not certain to run according to connections but would surely be in the shake up if the rain stays away for this fast ground winner.
15.25
Richard Hannon has won four of the last five renewals of this contest whereupon DANIES BOY picks himslef according to the terms and conditions of selecting horses by yours truly. The Elusive City raider has not pulled up any trees to date but with Richard continuing to send out winners for fun, DANIES BOY is a fairly confident each way selection, if a relevant win and place price is chalked up by the enemy. Recent winners TASTE OF HONEY and SHADOW BAY might offer most resistance on this occasion.
16.00
Horses carrying weight of 8-12 or more have won five of the seven renewals thus far (including the last three) and the likes of RIFLESSIONE, BEN'S DREAM, RIO ROYALE and RED ROSSINI make some appeal in this handicap which will hopefully offer four places to punters. 'Rebels' looking further down the weights might consider the recent Musselburgh winner Taurus Twins.
16.35
SHADED EDGE goes well for an amateur pilot and the top weight might achieve his hat trick within the space of eleven days under three different riders. This is another 'whips shall be carried but not used' contest, whereby the leading Harry Potter impressionists (using their wands to best effect) might prove to be Charles Eddery (FIFTY), Daniel Blackett (HOBSON) and Ryan Clark (MISS GLITTERS).
Bath -- Wednesday 13/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.40: PELHAM CRESCENT
nb - 20.50: BAHAMIAN CEILIDH
18.10
All three winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less and though just two horses are eliminated via the stats, all help is appreciated. Weight stats gave us a tasty 8/1 winner in Monday's Beverley finale and we hope to start the day with a similar winner. We are one short of a potential fourth selection as fifteen runners have been declared, but onwards and upwards in positive mode by selecting last year's winner TERMINATE, GRACECHURCH and CLASSICAL RHYTHM against the field.
18.40
TOGA TIGER ran well enough here on his debut to suggest that another decent effort is on the radar though it would be a little disappointing if one of the newcomers was unable to beat the Antonius Pius raider, alebit the sire has notched a couple of victories already this season. TOGA TIGER will also improve for a sixth fuurlong according to jungle drums, whereby the likes of DON'T TELL MARY and THE CARDINAL'S HAT might have too much speed for Mick Channons's juvenile close home.
19.10
Favourites come into the contest on a hat trick whilst the biggest priced winner via three renewals to date was retunred at just 4/1. All three winners have carried weights of 8-12 or less whereby my trio against the field consists of CHRISTMASCAMETWICE, CRESHENDO and YOU'VE BEEN MOWED in a truly desperate event.
19.40
I doubt that the trade press quote of 9/4 about hat trick seeking PELHAM CRESCENT will be a true reflection of his chance as the course and distance winner was good value for his recent victories on both occasions. With just seven declarations made, I can only offer BRAMALEA as an alternative selection.
20.20
It defies belief that just two five-year-olds have been declared in a sixteen strong field as vintage representatives have won two of the three renewals to date. Both course and distance winner MAGROOM and beaten favourite ARTHUR'S EDGE are included in my overnight short list in the circumstances, alongside SARAH PARK and COOL EBONY.
20.50
Horses carrying 9-1 or more have won the last three contests whereby BAHAMIAN CEILIDH, BLUSHING MAID and MATTEROFACT will represent yours truly in the 'lucky last'. BAHAMIAN CEILIDH got loose and ran amok for a while before being beaten less than two lengths last time out, which was not a bad effort in the circumstances. MATTEROFACT was beaten into second place by DUALAGI in this race twelve months ago; hence Jim Crlowey's mount must also be included in the mix.
Beverley -- Tuesday 12/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.00: HIGH OFFICE
e/w- 17.00: SARWIN
14.00
The Rossini gelding BILLY BEETROOT has finished in the frame on each of his last five starts but remains a maiden after eight attempts. Having been returned as favourite in three of his last four races, William Carson's mount will attract plenty of support again, and though he looks something of a toteplacepot banker, I wouldn't back the Williams representative to actually win the race with your money. Money often speaks the right language in these selling events and the best option will be to listen to the jungle drums developing during the morning, with possibly FASHION ICON and SILENT TREATMENT being the subject of positive speculation.
14.30
Eight of the last nine winners of this event have been returned at odds of 7/2 or less (six winning favourites) with one such gold medallist having been sent off at the prohibitive price of 1/66. High numbers are invariably worth a length or three whereby FUZZY CAT should reach the frame though DR JAMESON should act as a vet on this occasion keeping 'Tibbles' at bay inside the final furlong. ALDAADO might follow the other pair home at a respectable distance.
15.00
High numbers should be the order of the day as is usually the case at Beverley whereby horses to the fore should include BAYBSHAMBLES (11/13), LAKE CHINI (13) and TANGERINE TREES (8).
15.30
The two winners to date carried 9-2 or more whereby this year's two 'qualifiers' TRAPHALGAR and EXIT SMILING are immediately rewarded with places on the short list. CAPTAIN MCCARRY joins them on the strength of his seven furlong victory here at Beverley last time out.
16.00
Favourites have won four of the last five conntests (market leaders come to the gig on a hat trick) whereby it's difficult to ignore the claims of HIGH OFFICE. ROYAL TROOPER and MONS CALPE might offer most resistance this time around.
16.30
Simon Callaghan has found a decent opportunity for LOULOU to follow up his Nottingham victory over a shorter trip. The fact that the success was gained under good to soft conditions should enable the El Prado filly to get home, almost at full speed. CLASSIC CONTOURS and IMPERIAL ANGEL look set to claim toteplacepot positions.
17.00
Horses down at the foot of the handicap should not be ignored as both winners to date carried weights of 8-13 or less. The recent Wolverhampton winner SARWIN definitely enters the equation, whilst SHAYLEE and EMPEROR'S WELL should run well at rewarding odds. ACE OF SPIES is added to the mix from further up the weights.
Yarmouth -- Monday 11/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.00: TARTAN GIGHA
e/w- 15.00: BUSSEL LALONG
14.30
Simon Callaghan saddled two winners via five two-year-old raiders at Yarmouth last year and the booking of Ryan Moore aboard the Compton Place filly MAHIKI catches the eye. Clive Brittain saddled his one and only juvenile winner this year at this venue and his Compton Place filly SHIBHAN appears to be the likeliest newcomer in the line up. KASPIRIT ran in the Folkestone race which has produced winners and his runner up effort at the first time of asking is decent enough form.
15.00
BUSSELL ALONG was well touted by her trainer last year and Michael Bell suggested that the Mujadil filly had lost her action on her reappearence last week. She is worth another chance in this low grade. Ryan Moore rides for Simon Callaghan again here when getting the leg up aboard DUCHESS OF DOOM, whilst Clive Brittain (YUGHANNI) has won with both runners at Yarmouth this season.
15.30
Three-year-olds invariably beat their elders at this time of year and this race should not prove to be the exception against the rule. ITHBAAT stands out from the crowd, though 'mortgage money' will remain under lock and key. Willie Haggas cannot do a lot wrong at present whereby the chance his El Prado representative MULAZEM is respected whilst PRINCE OF JOHANNE completes my trio against the field.
16.00
A six runner race which could go any which way in all honesty, though the most progressive horses in the line up might eventually prove to be TARTAN GIGHA and CADRA. The respective trainers (Johnston and Gosden) boast current stats of 17/85, figures which compare favourably to an aggregate ratio of 3/40 by the other handlers.
16.30
I could envisage each way thieves latching on to the 5/1 quote about THE TATLING in the trade press, odds which could be snapped up from a 'bet to nothing/each way' perspective in this dead eight event. I would be a little surprised if the twelve-year-old actually won the contest but than again, the likes of STREET POWER and EARLSMEDIC will surely never match The Tatling's haul of fourteen victories and almost certainly not at Group 2 and Group 3 level.
17.00
Luca Cumani suffered a classic reversal yesterday whis his well touted filly Fantasia failed to justify favouritism in the French 1000 Guineas, though some compensation should come the trainer's way here via FALCATIV in this 'win only' contest.
17.30
The represented trainers boast aggregate stats of 5/78 during the last fortnight, figures which hardly boost confidence for the 'getting out stakes'. DIRECTOR'S CHAIR, LOCUM and STREETS APART make most appeal on this occasion.
Uttoxeter -- Sunday 10/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.00: PRINCE VECTOR
nb- 14.30: JIMBATAI
14.00
Five-year-olds won the first two renewals (of three) whilst last year's two vintage representatives finished down the field at 80/1 and 40/1. The two relevant horses this time around hold definite each way chances by comparison to the no-hopers twelve months ago, namely FACTOTUM and MARLEY ROCA. Paul Webber trains the latter named raider and also saddles the seven-year-old hurdling debutant TRIBE with win and place possibilities.
14.30
Wolf Moon has it to do according to the weight trends (all three winners have carried 10-13 or less) whereby more logical winners include JIMBATAI, CANYOUSEEME and ALLONBY BAY. Beaten favourite JIMBATAI has to be given another chance in this grade, especially as four of Tim Vaughan's last eighteen winners have scored.
15.00
Seven-year-olds have secured four of the six toteplacepot positions which includes both winners. PRINCE VECTOR is preferred to KING JACK relating to the two vintage representative this time around, whilst POSTMASTER is the horse offered up as the potential party-pooper.
15.30
Although BADLY BRUISED and course winner WALTHAM ABBEY are asked to give anything up to a stone away to their nine rivals, both horses will be difficult to kick out of the frame. Beaten favourite RIO DE JANEIRO is offered up as the overnight reserve. This is one of several new races on the Uttoxeter card.
16.00
Seventeen declarations offers yours truly four bites of the cherry, whereby three logical selections are SHE'S NO MUPPET, PIPERS LEGEND and SAN ANTONIO. If you are looking for an outsider to inflate ailing funds, you could do worse than consider DIKTATORSHIP at the bottom of the handicap, especially as trainer Jennie Candish has won with two of her last four runners. The six-year-old was given a pipe-opener on the flat fifteen days ago for good measure.
16.30
Four of the five winners have carried weights of 10-10 or more, and though only two horses are eliminated accordingly, all assistance is appreciated in this tight handicap event. TEAM CHASER, EXTRA BOLD and DEEP POCKETS might represent the value in the race, bearing in mind that the popular Jonjo O'Neill/Tony McCoy bandwagon rolls into town via Native City, the seven-year-old being offered up as the overnight reserve.
17.00
The 'getting out stakes' is as tough as ever if you are chasing losses, and I can only offer the tentative trio of EMPRESS ORCHID, ANADAMA and MOSCOW JEWEL against the field. The pick of the newcomers should prove to be Eiri Amach.
Lingfield -- Saturday 09/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.40: MIDDAY
nb - 15.15: FATHER TIME
14.10
FLEETING STAR and GREENSWARD are the pair of two-year-olds to take into this three-year-old event in my book, both having won races as juveniles which was a bonus with obvious chances of landing decent races later in their respective careers. SEEK N' DESTROY completes my trio against the field in an intriguing opening event. This opening contest is a new race on the Lingfield card and having attracted this field, the race should be safe for years to come.
14.40
A riveting Oaks Trial with so many leading trainers involved in the race. John Gosden will be hoping that the rain keeps clear of Lingfield for his Fantastic Light filly FLOODLIT who was the subject of glowing praise from her trainer before she won her only event at as a juvenile. A filly which is "exceptionally light on her feet" according to the trainer, FLOODLIT looks sure to become involved at the business end of the contest providing decent ground remains in place. MIDDAY is trained by Henry Cecil who knows the family of the Oasis Drea, filly inside out. The March foal was the only filly contesting the 'Blue Riband Trial' at Epsom on her seasonal debut and Henry can look forward to saddling another Oaks contender with a decent chance. JULY JASMINE remains the 'dark horse' in the contest despite scoring at Leicester last year. Any rain would not inconvenience the Empire Maker raider.
15.15
By compaison to the Oaks trail, the Derby 'elimination test' has disappointed year upon year and this season is no exception unfortunately. Just five runners have been declared which in the light of the weather forecast is nothing short of outrageous. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however, by suggesting that FATHER TIME would benefit from the absence of any rain in the area, Henry Cecil's raider having disappointed connections on soft ground in a Newbury contest three weeks ago. Easy in the market that day, keep an eye on the betting during the morning to give yourself an edge leading into the race. If the ground goes the other way you should keep a few pounds aside as a saver relating to AGE OF AQUARIUS who finished fourth to a stable companion in a Group 1 St Cloud race last backend having won a Dundalk 'egg and spoon' maiden on his debut. Alwaary and Montaff add interest to proceedings but offering the first named pair against the field, we should be fully covered irrespective of what the weather decides to do.
15.45
Another really good race on a fine card, this race incorporating a Group 3 fillies' contest. Before you write off INFAMOUS ANGEL from the Richard Hannon yard, it's as well to note that the stable has snared this prize twice in the last six years. The Pivotal mare CHANTILLY TIFFANY deserves her place at the top of the weights and having claimed gold and silver medals via her two previous seasonal debut efforts to date, Jimmy Fortune's mount deserves plenty of respect. Like Chantilly Tiffany, CHASING STARS would benefit from some moisture in the ground, whilst Royal Confidence is offered up as the overnight reserve.
16.20
With just seven runners scheduled to face the starter, Signalling and Buckie Boy are going to have to be left out of the mix, relying instead on the two Michael Stoute runners in the contest, namely HIGHLAND GLEN and ALBAASHA. Both horses were expected to make into far better three-year-olds whereby their juvenile form can be ignored.
16.55
Drumfire and Khateeb are closely matched via their Newmarket 'Conditions' form but both hroses might have to give best to UNNEFER and HALICARNASSUS on this occasion, albeit Mick Channon's last named raider is one of the most unpredictable horses in training.
17.30
All three winners have carried weights of 9-12 or more and taking the 'jockeys' into account in this amateur riders event, my short list comprises of SHADED EDGE, CARLITOS SPIRIT and MY LEARNED FRIEND, the latter pair coming to the gig as course and distance winners.
Aintree -- Friday 08/05/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 19.05: VICARIO
e/w- 20.40: NAUGHTY BY NATURE
18.00
Although good is the official going desription at the time of writing, plenty of rain is forecast for the north-west whereby the word 'soft' could be mentioned in dispatches nearer the time of the first race. Upwards and onwards in positive mode by suggesting that the first race should be fought out between SAINGLEND, SINGING WIZARD and LITTLE GEORGE.
18.30
STAR SHOT could represent the value for money call, though steeplechase debutant MATUHI should not be underestimated, especially with Tony McCoy in the plate. That said, Aintree is not an ideal course for a horse to make its fencing bow though with the champion jockey in the plate, the six-year-old could make the selection pull out all the stops. STAR SHOT has won under yielding conditions should the rain already have got into the ground by the time this race is contested.
19.05
Connections of VICARIO will be hoping the forecast rain arrives for the eight-year-old who looks to be on a handy mark for this event. Trainer Donald McCain saddled the runner up in the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago and will be hoping that his eight-time scorer can go one better on behalf of the yard. DIVERS is an appropraite runner on the day that Didier Drogba will learn his fate in the 'sport' of football, whilst ACES OR BETTER also enters the short list equation.
19.35
Gary Moore (VINMIX DE BESSY) and Ferdy Murphy (BEGGARS CAP) boast aggregate figures of 7/47 between them during the last fortnight, stats which compare favourably against the ratio of 1/43 via the other represented trainers in the contest. CANTGETON is the other horse to peruse over your mid-morning cup of coffee.
20.10
'Jockey' bookings relating to the chances of MR GOOFY, PARADISE BAY and THE ACCORDION MAN offer three horses each way chances against the projected favourite (City Affair) in this amateur riders event.
20.40
NAUGHTY BY NATURE is the each way call on the card with Rebecca Curtis having snared three victories via her last eight runners. The six-year-old retains some scope for improvement and might have most to fear from the likes of PREMIER DES MARAIS and FARMERS CROSS.
Goodwood -- Thursday 07/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.30: GRAND ZAFEEN
nb - 16.10: STERLING SOUND
14.00
Three-year-olds invariably have the edge in these contests as has been the case in two renewals to date, whereby the likes of MUTAWARATH, JESSE JAMES and EASTERN EMPIRE should be to the fore. The Marju colt MUTAWARATH is a full brother to the Free Handicap winner Brunel who went on to win Group races on the continent. Last year's 11/8 favourite finished well down the field following the successful 4/6 market leader in the inaugural year of the contest.
14.30
Star Rover was due to contest the 'Lily Agnes' at Chester on Wednesday whereby the way should be left clear for GRAND ZAFEEN who despite being 'nowt but a pony' scored in impressive style at the first time of asking. The January foal should be able to nip down the Goodwood hill apace and will have too many gears for DESERT AUCTION (receiving five pounds) in my humble opinion. Richard Hannon (DESERT AUCTION) saddled two of just four runners that went to post in the race last year but won with the wrong one as far as punters were concerned.
15.00
Only five pounds separate the top and bottom weights in a competitive little handicap. Each way thieves will be thumbing the pages of the form book to give them the edge (bet to nothing) in a contest which will take little winning, despite the presence of a former four-time Group race winner in the line up, namely THE TATLING. SUPERDUPER and HARLECH CASTLE are likely to have too much speed for the old boy on this occasion. Just one of the three favourites (via two renewals) has reached the frame to date without winning.
15.35
Local trainer Lady Herries saddled just forty-four runners last year (seven winners), whilst Richard Hughes was aboard two of the successful horses via just five rides for the trainer. Richard receives the leg up aboard beaten favourite KOKKOKILA this time around and as a winner of two of her last seven races, the mare is fancied to supply the jockey with another victory. The two winners that Hughie Morrison saddled at Goodwood last year were in this division of the sport, whereby MISTA ROSSA should figure prominently, possibly alongside CAPE OF LUCK, the potential each way call in the contest. This is a new race on the Goodwood card.
16.10
All seven horses carrying weights of 9-1 or more have been beaten to date and though just two horses are eliminated via the trends, all help is appreciated. STERLING SOUND, KING'S SIREN and CUMANA BAY might prove to be the pick of the remaining seven runners. STERLING SOUND was well touted up by trainer Marcus Tregoning this time last year and though the Street Cry filly comes into her sixth race remaining a maiden, the beaten favourite is worth another chance at this level.
16.45
The two horses at the bottom of the list (TIME MACHINE and TACTIC) look sure to take a hand in the finish though I wouldn't like to separate the pair from a win perspective at the time of writing. The Nayef colt ALMUTAWAAZIN is added to the mix despite the fact that the late April foal has been beaten by an aggregate of eighty-five lengths via two outings to date! Marcus Tregoning was particularly sweet on the horse twelve months back and this better ground could bring about a (much needed) turn around in form.
Bath -- Wednesday 06/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.20: MOONSHINE CREEK
nb - 14.00: ROYAL DESERT
14.00
ROYAL DESERT has already had two bites of the cherry but as Mick Channon has reported that the Pastoral Pursuits colt "goes like stink" at home, we can expect further improvement. The two Richard Hannon raiders (YER WOMAN and FOLLETTA) are likely to prove as 'lesser lights' in the stable this year but that said, this race might take next to nothing to win. It's worth recalling that Richard landed a 38/1 hat trick via just four two-year-old runners on Monday.
14.35
TRUE RED would not be the first two-year-old to disappoint at Brighton down the years if that 'excuse' comes into play should Rod Millman's filly win here. BOGA and TRANSFIXED enter the equation given the 'quality' of this selling event. These first two juvenile events have no trends to work with as this meeting has been added to the racing calendar this year.
15.05
Potential each way players should not forget that just three places are up for grabs here (despite the fact that sixteen runners have been declared) as this is a selling stakes event and not a handicap. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by suggesting that the winner should emerge via the trio of DRESSED TO DANCE, ROCKFIELD LODGE and the evergreen CARIBBEAN CORAL.
15.45
In contrast to the previous race on the card, fourth place is relevant here providing all sixteen declarations make it safely into the stalls. Jim Best (RAPID CITY), Gary Moore (ARTREJU) and Tony Carroll (EVERYMAN) are the only represented trainers to have saddled winners of late and this trio should give us a good run for our collective monies. MAKE AMENDS is the each way alternative to consider.
16.20
The ex-Richard Hannon trained PELHAM CRESCENT boasts the services of David Probert in the saddle and the leading three pound claimer has to go close here aboard the six-year-old, albeit MOONSHINE CREEK comes to the gig on a hat trick and should take all the beating. The race revolves around this pair in all honesty and LADY JINKS (each way option) is added to the equation to complete my trio against the field.
16.50
Not a finale for the faint-hearted despite four places being up for grabs in a tight knit handicap at a low level. My quartet against the other thirteen runners consists of KYLLACHY STORM, SOFINELLA, GOWER and PRINCE OF DELPHI.
Exeter -- Tuesday 05/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 18.20: TIMPO
e/w- 18.50: SO NOW
17.50
Four and five-year-olds have won the last four renewals of this event between them (even spilt) and the likes of SHUT THE BAR and INTENSIFIER should represent the two vintages to good effect. That said, eight-year-old RED LANCER is likely to throw down a challenge up the home straight. Three of the five favourites have finished in the frame to date (two winners).
18.20
Six-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick whilst four of the last five winners have carried weights of 11-5 or more. TIMPO and BROUSSE EN FEUX qualify on both counts and both horses might take some kicking out of the frame in this grade. LINE ARCTIC might offer most resistance this time around. Although only one favourite has obliged to date via six renewals, the biggest priced winner thus far was returned at 15/2.
18.50
Tim Vaughan has won with four of the last fourteen runners he has saddled and his eight-year-old raider SO NOW can improve the ratio on behalf of the yard. MACMAR is the only course and distance winner in the line up which makes for interesting reading with sixteen runners in the line up. GEORGIAN KING and MISTER GLOSS are others to consider. This is a new race on the Exeter card.
19.20
All five winners have carried 11-3 or less which eliminates the top seven horses in the handicap if you take the stats seriously. Four 'selections' are up for grabs fortunately, whereby PLAY WITH FIRE, RUN OF KINGS, CAMPDEN ANNIE and MISS MIDNIGHT will do for me against the field. The last three favourites have finished out with the washing since a 3/1 market leader won back in 2004.
19.50
Regular readers will know that I rate pilots as important as the horses in these amateur events, whereby my trio against the field consists of JACKS TAXI, MASSINI MAN and KING'S WOOD. Three of the four renewals have fallen to favourites of one description or another.
20.20
Six and seven-year-old have won four of the five renewals of the finale between them (even split) whilst all five winners have carried weights of 11-4 or less. CHILLA CILLA, WORBARROW BAY, LUPITA and BLUE TWEED are offered up in the circumstances. Its been all of nothing for bookmakers and punters alike to date, with two favourites having scored alongside winners returned at 33/1--20/1--16/1.
Windsor -- Monday 04/05/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 14.25: GOLDEN PROSPECT
nb - 15.25: TRANS SIBERIAN
14.25
Both winners to date have carried weights of 8-9 or less and two of the three 'qualifiers' this time around create some interest, namely GOLDEN PROSPECT and RED RUDY. John Akehurst has won with two of his last five runners at the time of writing whereby top weight POLMAILY is added to the overnight list. One of the two favourites has secured a toteplacepot position to date without winning.
14.55
The Hannon pair might struggle to beat newcomers from the top yards of Jeremy Noseda, Mick Channon and Tom Dascombe on this occasion. The three stables are respectively represented by KEY ART (Kheleyf colt), the Kyllachy colt TAWAABB and UNDERWORLD DANDY. One of the two favourites has obliged to date (the other market leader finished last of six), whilst the biggest priced winner thus far was returned at 3/1.
15.25
Paul Cole (TRANS SIBERIAN) and Richard Hannon (MARTYR) offer combined stats of 12/67 during the last fortnight at the time of writing, figures which compare favourable to the aggregate ratio of 6/87 via the other trainers. This 'dead eight' event will attract each way thieves up and down the land, and the best win and place (bet to nothing) option I can offer is CAN CAN STAR.
15.55
Walter Swinburn (PERFECT CITIZEN) won the inaugural running of this event last year when the three horses which filled the frame carried weights of 8-11 or more, whilst the 3/1 favourite finished out of the frame. EMIRATES ROADSHOW and HAIL PROMENADER recorded decent juvenile performances, whilst DESERT CREEK cannot be left out of the overnight equation.
16.25
FARLEIGH ran extremely well on her dubut from a bad draw over an inadequate trip at Kempton in October, and whilst the Trans Island filly will get a longer distance in time, this extended mile trip should bring out the best in Andrew Balding's filly. Whether the April foal will have enough about her to beat off the expected challenge of Hnery Cecil's Observatory colt YOUNG STAR GAZER is another matter extirely. This well named late May colt was always going to take time to grow into his frame and though more moisture in the ground would have proved ideal, Ian Mongan's mount is expected to figure prominently. FORMULA completes my trio against the field.
16.55
There was no disgrace in King Supreme being beating by the bang in form Mystery Star at Goodwood on Saturday, though the fact that the other four opponents finished in front of Richard Hannon's raider will have disappointed connections. I prefer the likes of DAKIYAH and THEOCRITUS in the circumstances.
Salisbury -- Sunday 03/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.25: FALLEN IN LOVE
nb - 16.00: CLOWANCE HOUSE
13.10
Three-year-olds have won all nine renewals since the turn of the Millennium which is normally the case when junior raider take on their elders at this time of year. A lot of readers might pass over Hughie Morrosion's Piccolo filly CAPE MELODY here, presuming that her 66/1 runner up effort last time out was something of a fluke effort. Such people should take into account that the late April foal was the subject of potitive reports by the trainer this time last year and the 66/1 effort did not surprise yours truly. Hughie's raider might have most to fear from ZIP LOCK and ARIADNES FILLY on this occasion.
13.45
This is the second division of the opening event whereby the stats obviously remain the same. The Exceed And Excel raider HAJOUM must surely hold decent claims here having shown good form in his two juvenile outings. Godolphin saddled three of its six runners at Salisbury to winning effect last year for good measure. That said, Jeremy Noseda offers a belated debut to his Danetime filly HIGHTIME HEROINE which makes for interesting reading. PRINT was the subject of positive words by trainer Mick Channon this time last year, albeit the trainer suggested that the Exceed And Excel colt was always going make into a better three-year-old.
14.15
The last eleven winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less which eliminates the top top five horses in the handicap if you take the stats seriously. Just five horses are left to peruse, the pick of which might prove to be CHEVIOT and FELDAY. DADDY'S GIFT completes my trio against the field.
14.50
Richard Hannon has won five of the last ten renewals of this juvenile event, though both of his newcomers (Kurtanella and White Daffodil) will have to rate highly to get the better of LELEYF from what we have witnessed thus far. Mick Channon's Kheleyf filly only won a Lingfield 'egg and spoon' event but she did so conceding weight to several rivals and won under tender handling, despite only getting the better of the argument via a photo finish. Lady Lion is the other winner in the line up though Richard Hannon would be mroe confident of one of his runners getting the better of the Bill Turner representative I'll wager. Any money for Lutine Lady should be heeded.
15.25
The Galileo filly FALLEN IN LOVE lost her maiden tag on fast ground at Haydock as trainer John Dunlop had suggested prior to making her debut. Obviously a filly of some quality, Ted Durcan's mount could open her three-year-old account at the first time of asking, albeit in a competitive race on paper. The pick of her rivals might prove to be BRUNSTON (Brighton might not have suited the beaten favourite last time out) and JAZACOSTA who has finished 'in the three' five times via eight turf outings to date.
16.00
CLOWANCE HOUSE does not represent a mortgage investment as such, but the Galeileo colt has been found a winning opportunity unless the newcomers COMPRIMARIO and TALIMOS prove to be above average types. Jungle drums have not been beating about either debutant however, whereby CLOWANCE HOUSE should get off the mark at the fourth time of asking.
16.35
Four-year-olds come to the gig on a four-timer and it would be disappointing if either of the two vintage representatives COOL JUDGEMENT and WOOLFALL TREASURE failed to beat their older rivals. The four older statesmen are decent enough horses in their own right but flatter to deceive on a regular basis, whereby one of the four-year-olds should snare gold. But which one?
17.10
Does the thought ever occur to you that the odds are stacked against you as a punter? The 'getting out stakes' at Salisbury on Sunday is an eighteen runner handicap for lady riders the majority of which (respectfully) I have never heard of! I can only offer the tentative quartet of MELT, INTERACTIVE, ISABELLA'S FANCY and SHADED EDGE in the circumstances.
Goodwood -- Saturday 02/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.05: DI STAFANO
e/w- 17.15: DEFECTOR
14.20
What was originally a race restricted to three-year-olds has now been 'upgraded' for horses aged four or more and the 'junior raiders' JABAL TARIQ and KING SUPREME might add to last year's four-year-old winner Milne Graden.
14.55
Five of the last six renewals have been secured by older horses (as opposed to three-year-olds) whereby BORN TOBOUGGIE and PERFECT STAR are expected to run well if the trend is to be extended. The two horses finished in the order as written in a Listed event on Kempton's Easter card three weeks ago and there was a lot to like about the way Henry Cecil's four-year-old quickened clear of his rivals inside the the quarter mile marker. PERFECT STAR was the only opponent to offer any threat whatsoever, though the Tobougg filly ran out an impressive winner. SCUFFLE is expected to secure third spot on this occasion.
15.30
All five winners have carried 9-1 or more whereby the bottom five horses in the handicap can be readily dismissed if you take the stats seriously. DAZED AND AMAZED and AYE AYE DIGBY stand out from the crowd in my book, and if you conveniently forget that CHOREOGRAPHY sits two pounds the wrong side of the weight barrier, Jim Best's Medicean gelding would hold an each way chance.
16.05
I would be very surprised if Mick Channon's Bahamian Bounty colt DI STEFANO finished out of the frame following a decent debut effort at Newbury. Showing a deal of pace under yielding conditions at the first time of asking, the March foal should be suited to this fast downhill course whilst better ground can only advance the chance of a juvenile that has already shown plenty of speed. One of Ralph Beckett's sixteen juvenile winners last year scored here at Goodwood and the Namid inmate ADMIN might prove to be useful, whilst OIL STRIKE represents the Winkworth yard which scored with a well backed juvenile at Bath earlier in the week.
16.40
Two of Stan Moore's last six runners have won at the time of writing whereby HOLD THE BUCKS might be able to supplement his recent Kempton victory. I'm obliged to trainers who have offered sixteen runners between them whereupon I'm allowed four bites of the cherry, the other trio comprising of BREADSTICK, DEVIL TO PAY and ARROGANCE.
17.15
Peter makin has saddled some top grade winners at Goodwood down the years and MABUYA should represent the stable to good effect in a race which should not take a great deal of winning. DEFECTOR boasts each way claims whilst the declaration of PERFECT SECRET makes for interesting reading. Andrew Balding suggested that the Spinning World filly was "ready to go" this time last year but for reasons unknown to yours truly, the February foal makes her debut here.
17.45
Four-year-olds won the first two renewals of this event though a silver medallist was the best vintage representatives could manage in the third contest twelve months ago. Recent dual winner PRINCESS ROSE ANNE should run well on behalf of the vintage this time around though the likes of STEELCUT and ROCKER will offer plenty of resistance close home I'll wager.
Fontwell -- Friday 01/05/2009
Best bets:
nap- 18.10: FIVE DREAM
nb - 20.10: CAVALLINI
17.40
STAGE ACCLAIM was a decent winner when beating the well touted Eradicate on his penultimate start and Chris Honour's mount could represent decent value for money here, with the Alan King and Paul Nicholls stables represented in the contest. I prefer the Gary Moore newcomer as a danger, as BENHEGO receives weight and was not a bad performer on the level by any means. The four-year-old won off a mark of seventy-eight on his penultimate outing and the seven pounds he recieves here gives him a definite chance.
18.10
The move to steeplechasing was predictable given the recent form over hurdles by FIVE DREAM who looked a half decent prospect not that long ago. The five-year-old was last seen contesting the Grade 2 Kingwell Hurdle which reads well in the context of this event, albeit chasing is a different discipline entirely. OURAGAN LAGRANGE might offer most resistance as the runners take the final turn for home.
18.40
HEIR TO BE is becoming a bit of a character at ten years of age and though ten pounds clear of his rivals according to the official figures, the Alex Haynes raider needs to return to his old form to guarantee success in this event. Good ground should be to his advantage here however, though course and distance winners ISLE DE MAURICE and STANCE can run him close over the final couple of flights.
19.10
Charlie Mann has secured six toteplacepot positions via his last thirteen runners (stats include three winners) whereby the recent Chepstow gold medallist MR BIG demands plenty of respect in a half decent contest. The two horses at the top of the weights could play a part in the finish, namely SPROSSER and I HEAR THUNDER.
19.40
Seven-year-olds have won the last three renewals of this event which makes the declarations of just two vintage representatives all the more surprising. OFF THE SHELF and SPOT THE LADY are the relevant beasts, whilst COUNT THE COST and TOUCH OF FATE complete my four selections against the field. Six of the last seven winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less and my quartet all run from down towards the bottom of the weights.
20.10
CAVALLINI stands out from the crowd in this new race on the Fontwell card. Gary Moore's local raider might have most to fear from the likes of VIVA COLONIA and SOPHISTICATED LADY who might reward each way investors at rewarding odds.
Yarmouth -- Thursday 30/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 18.30: ITHBAAT
e/w- 19.30: PHA MAI BLUE
17.25
Jamie Spencer owes connections of THOMAS BAINES a decent ride here having become hopelessly placed on the hot (11/10) favourite at Windsor ten days ago. Shut in on the rails, the jockey should have known that he was in no man's land where he was though aside from the Tale Of The Cat colt TIRADITO opoposition, THOMAS BAINES should find compensaition here. That said, Michael Bell has not enjoyed a great deal of luck with his juveniles this season (Farmer Giles was beaten by a nose at Leicester last week) whereby I would not chase losses personally, even though the Johanessburg colt should win. The 70,000 Guineas (Tattersalls purchase) MISHEER will win races, but probably not at the first time of asking.
18.00
I note that John Gosden has reached for the blinds relating to CHARM SCHOOL who drifted like a barge before running unplaced last time out. The four-year-old is heading towards my 'last chance saloon' though I'm offering a lifeline to Jimmy Fortune's mount bearing in mind that he was beaten less than two lengths in three of his four defeats last year. The Oasis Dream colt CLOUDY START was also friendless in the market at Newbury last time out which foretold what was to come for the three-year-old making his seasonal debut. Some support in the ring before this assignment would add some confidence.
18.30
Henry Cecil won with his 'other one' when HYADES became a beaten favourite at Newbury on his three-year-old seasonal debut, having run with a great deal of promise on his only start as a juvenile here at Yarmouth last year. The Aldebaran colt deserves another chance racing on projected better ground, though John Gosden's Arch colt ITHBAAT might take the beating. The April foal recovered from a tardy start at Sandown on his one and only outing but was makiing ground in pleasing style when the race was over from his perspective. DUKES ART looks booked for third place in this company.
19.00
Stan Moore's juveniles are taking time to hit the target this year which is an unusual scenrio though fortunately, Stan has winners coming via older horses just now, one of them being his recent Lingfield scorer SOLENT RIDGE. A record of just 1/9 on turf tempers enthusiasm to a fashion, though I expect the four-year-old to finish in the money. ASTRODONNA looks another booked for the frame though I doubt the four-year-old will be unsaddled in the winners enclosure. Connections of AGGRAVATION have sidestepped recent and near future Windsor meetings to run their seven-year-old raider here which makes for interesting reading as the Sure Blade gelding has gained three of his four turf successes at the Berkshire venue. The fact that Ryan Moore has been booked should ordinarily merit an automatic selection for David Elsworth's raider, but the fact that he has yet to win on his seasonal debut in 'middle age' is slightly worrying.
19.30
Trainer Jim Boyle (PHA MAI BLUE) stands out from the crowd here as his recent 6/21 form figures compares on so favourably against stats of 6/70 via the other represented trainers during the same recent study period, none of whom have saddled more than one winner. MICK IS BACK and BIGFANOFTHAT are offered up as the chief threats in a race which will not prove difficult to win.
20.00
All four victories gained by RAWDON on turf have been recorded on good (thereabouts) ground and with Gay Kelleway's yard in good form, the eight-year-old can register his first success on grass since September 2007. A victory on an all weather surface earlier in the year confirmed that the Singspiel gelding still knows where the jamstick is located. RUFF DIAMOND might offer most resistance close home.
Pontefract -- Wednesday 29/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 16.40: CRY FOR THE MOON
e/w- 17.15: PRINCESS RAINBOW
14.20
The Hunting Lion colt LOFTHOUSE is expected to know a lot more of what is required of him compared to his effort at Newbury in a warm maiden event. The fact that LOFTHOUSE was sent off at 66/1 suggested that plenty of improvement had been left in the tank and in the circumstances, his eight length defeat by today's Ascot contender Walkingonthemoon was not a bad effort by any means. The Monsieur Bond debutant HAMBLETON would hold definite claims if moisture has got into the ground as the sire enjoyed a decent 'first crop' year in 2008 when the prodegy ran really well under yielding/soft conditions. The Desert Style colt MISTER MANANNAN finished clear of subsequent scorer Sheker on his debut and the David Nicholls raider looks sure to come on a bundle for his 'green' outing. Rock Of Love in nominated as the overnight reserve.
14.55
Henry Cecil will hope for some ease in the ground as his Cape Cross colt was ill at ease under good to firm conditions on his debut, despite running a decent race. As a half brother to the St Leger winner Sixties Icon, a distance of ground will bring about his best form in all probability but with some showers (hopefully) falling in the Pontefract Park vicinity, Tom Queally's mount might be good enough to score over this trip. CHERISH THE MOMENT and HIGHLAND GLEN are the potential party-poopers in the line up.
15.30
Six-year-olds have won two of the three renewals to date and APACHE NATION is one of just four vintage representatives in a seventeen strong field this time around. Very Well Read might have done his winning for now, whereby I prefer the likes of THIS ONES FOR EDDY and CASTLEBURY as dangers to the selection whilst course and distance winner SOCIETY MUSIC (stable companion of APACHE NATION) can also become involved in the finish.
16.05
It's been the turn of the four-year-olds to excel in this fourth contest on the card as vintage representatives have won both renewals to date. SUMMER'S LEASE and CASILDA lead the way this time around in my considered opinion, though whether either horse will be able to cope with Mark Johnston's ATABAAS ALLURE on these terms is open to debate.
16.40
The Street Cry raider CRY FOR THE MOON was well touted up by Amanda Perrett this time last year but as a three-year-old rather than as a juvenile at the time. The fact that the late May foal was able to secure some prize money via three outings was commendable and I believe the real CRY FOR THE MOON will turn up here. LEO THE LION and MOHANAD might offer most resistance at the business end of the contest.
17.15
Four-year-olds have won five of the six renewals (including the last four) and the pick of the five vintage representatives this time around might prove to be PRINCESS RAINBOW and DESTINYS DREAM. Five of the six winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less (including the last four) which also brings UNCLE BERTIE into the mix.
Nottingham -- Tuesday 28/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 20.05: SPECIAL SUVEE
nb - 18.35: TAGSEED
17.35
Richard Fahey does better than most with his debut juveniles (eight winners at the first time of asking last year) and having already scored with Eight Hours this season, the Namid colt NEWBURY STREET might represent some value for money. Both PINTURA and MILITARY CALL ran well enough on their respective debut efforts to suggest that they can win a race this term though whether it will be this one is anyone's guess. Willie Haggas can get his two-year-olds ready at the first time of asking (two debut winners last term) and the Kyllachy colt EJAAB was a £60,000 purchase which suggests that Richard Hills could be aboard the winner.
18.05
I'm grateful that seventeen runners have been declared to run which offers a fourth 'selection' which could make the difference between success and defeat in a competitive event. My tentative quartet against the field comprises of RONNIE HOWE, PADDY JACK, SCARLET OAK and BELLE BELLINO. Astute readers will note that the four horses are evenly spread across the track from a stalls/draw perspective.
18.35
Several leading yards are involved in this maiden event and suggesting that three-year-olds will have the call, my favoured trio consists of the Willie Haggas newcomer TAGSEED, GILT EDGE GIRL and STRICTLY. Apache Ridge is nominated as the overnight reserve.
19.05
The three top yards of Andrew Balding (PRAIRIE STORM), Mark Johnston (HUNTING COUNTRY) and Luca Cumani (BULLET MAN) hold the call relating to their percentage strike rates during the last fortnight. The other course and distance winner (aside from Prairie Storm) Red Jade cannot be dismissed at the time of writing though equally, Karl Burke's raider is relegated to the position of reserve on this occasion.
19.35
Sixteen runners constitute four place positions at the time of writing though John McCricrick would be shouting from the rafters now that at least one horse will not face the starter, such is the way that sod's law evolves. NICKY NUTJOB, EIGHTDAYSAWEEK, LOULOU and AESTIVAL should be among the leading contenders inside the final furlong.
20.05
Surprisingly perhaps, Jim Boyle (WUNDER STRIKE) leads the recent percentage strike rate as far as the trainers are concerened in the finale, despite the fact that John Gosden (THE HAGUE) and Mark Johnston (GREEN DYNASTY) have become involved in the contest. SPECIAL CUVEE is added to the mix coming to the gig on a hat trick after facile victories at Folkestone and Yarmouth.
Newcastle -- Monday 27/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 17.20: GILDED AGE
nb - 14.50: TOUCHDOWN
14.20
Newcastle apprentice events over a distance of ground are difficulT to assess at the best of times, but worse still when the 'jockeys' are allowed to carry whips but not use them! The represented trainers have saddled nine winners via their last one hundred and three runners at the time of writing, which hardly increases confidence! Something has to win however, whereby I'll tentatively nominate FARNE ISLAND, DECHIPER, AWKEN and LUNAR STORM against the field, given that seventeen runners are scheduled to contest this handicap event.
14.50
Mark Johnston has his team in great form (twelve of his last sixty runners have won at the time of writing) and TOUCHDOWN can carry on the good work on behalf of the yard. The other represented trainers 'boast' stats of 4/88 by comparison though LEGION D'HONNEUR has at least won a race via 'recent' form figures.
15.20
With precious little else to work with, it might pay to concentrate on the draw in this event, though the Newcastle course plays havoc with media experts on a regular basis. I have it on good authority that high numbers are preferred however, whereby the likes of BATELEUR (12/17), ACE OF SPIES (16), HOWARDS TIPPLE (14) and GREEK SECRET (11) enter the equation.
15.50
This 'dead eight' event should offer an opportunity for each way theives to produce a profit from the contest, especially as the declaration of BOX OFFICE potentially ensures that plenty of win and money alternatvies will be in evidence. Mark Johnston's three-year-old handicapper might encounter most resistance from PRIZE POINT and FASTNET STORM on this occasion.
16.20
A couple of six-year-old's make some of appeal here, namely BARNEY MCGREW and SUNRISE SAFARI, especially as course and distance winner 'Barney' achieved the feat from just two Newcastle outings to date. Any number of horses could be offered as the chief threat to the two selections even though just eleven runners are set to face the starter. I'll go for broke by nominating MACHINIST who is making his Newcastle debut at nine years of age.
16.50
The withdrawl of Desire To Excel leaves the way open for AL MUGTAREB and FLOOR SHOW to potentially dominate this event, with DEAN IARRACHT offered up as the overnight reserve.
17.20
Three-year-olds tend to get the better of their elders at this stage of the season, though I'm mindful that Richard Fahey (CARNIVAL FAIR) has his team in good order. GILDED AGE should have her measure however, with the Statue Of Liberty gelding CAERLAVEROCK worth perusing during the race for future assignments.
Wetherby -- Sunday 26/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.50: MISTRAL DE LA COUER
nb - 14.20: JIMBATAI
14.20
Tim Vaughan has saddled three of his last twelve runners to winning effect at the time of writing whereupon JIMBATAI holds definite claims of returning to action with a live chance having been off the track over six months. SADDLERS' SUPREME and HAREEM are the logical dangers but if JIMBATAI strips fit in the paddock, I know where my money will be placed.
14.50
Horses carrying weights of 11-2 or less filled the frame in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago (9/4 favourite finished out with the washing) and MISTRAL DE LA COUER can return to winning form given the stats on offer. Today's Sunday sermon would not be the same if we didn't include DEUTERONOMY though this is too short a column to include all thirty-four chapters from the fifth book in the Old Testament. In the sixth chapter, Moses declared that "Ye have dwelt long enough in this mount", though I doubt he was referring to jockey Brian Hughes! Either way, DEUTERONOMY is nominated as a danger to the section alongside APOCALOZZO.
15.25
Horses down the weights have also dominated this race to date, albeit just two renewals have been contested thus far. ANDURIL might prove to be the pick of the relavent beasts in an extremely poor event, whilst GOLDEN SQUARE and HEROES could be desribed as more logical winners further up the handicap.
16.00
Micky Hammond (MANBOW) and Donald McCain (OUR JASPER) boast recent combined stats of 4/33 at the time of writing, which compare favourbaly to the aggregate figures of 2/36 via the other three represented trainers.
16.35
The Llewellyn yard is going well just now and though LEPRECHAUN'S GOLD remains a maiden following thirty-four attempts, the five-year-old will have few better opportunties than this this to lose the unwanted tag. High on numbers but short on class, this contest will take very little winning with the likes of ART GALLERY, BEAU TROUBADOUR and MYCENEAN PRINCE possibly offering most resistance close home.
17.05
It looks like we are down to six runners with a defection seemingly already in place, whereby TAMPA BAY and WILD TONTO might be the safest path to tread. Snake Charmer is offered up as the overnight reserve in case any other non runners rear their ugly (hooded) heads.
17.35
The conditions of this finale offer undeniable chances to both MOONWALKING and THE KEALSHORE KID, though it's difficult to split the pair in all honesty. Arctic Cove looks booked for third spot unless one of the two horses mentioned in dispatched misses the gig for some reason.
Haydock -- Saturday 25/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.40: AFRICAN ART
nb - 20.10: SVINDAL
17.40
Kevin Ryan has won this opening two-year-old event twice in the last three years and his Exceed And Excel filly LEWYN demands to be included in the overnight short list accordingly. Others to enter the tentative equation include KATE SKATE who can improve past Crown on her second start and the Invincible Spirit filly AALSMEER. Two of the last three favourites have won this event whilst nine of the last ten gold medallists scored at odds of 7/1 or less.
18.10
David Nicholls is very much the trainer in form via the represented handlers and it's worth noting that Dandy ran DAISY MOSES in Royal Ascot's Albany Stakes last year following her debut victory at Doncaster. Running too free for her own good at Ascot, DAISY MOSES (preferred to stable companion Metroland here) can go well at the first time of asking as a three-year-old. RUBLEVKA STAR is an interesting Newmarket raider for Jeremy Noseda who scored with three of the eight runners he saddled at Haydock last year. I'm not sure that UNDER REVIEW was ready for the step up in trip at Lingfield last time out and Jamie Spencer's mount is worth another chance at the minimum distance, especially as the Danetime gelding is fit following an all weather campaign.
18.40
DANSIMAR was last seen contesting the 'David Nicholson' at the Cheltenham Festival and trainer Venetia Williams might have found an opportunity for the Daylami mare to open her account on the level at the twelve attempt on turf. Having finished 'in the three' six times already, her each way prospects look decent in a race which will not prove difficult to win. GRANDAD BILL should not be inconvenienced either way re the projected rainfall, whilst INDONESIA completes my trio against the field.
19.10
Sixteen runners have been declared which is a bonus for yours truly as I can offer four horses via self imposed rules (relevant number of 'selections' goverend by place terms). The Royal Applause gelding APPLAUDE catches the eye off a feather-weight here having finished second in three of his eight starts to date. The ground was decent on all three occasions whilst Alan Swinbank has his runners in good nick. WOVOKA is difficult to ignore coming into the race on a hat trick whilst WIGWAM WILLIE and MINORITY SUPPORT should offer each way investors a good run for their collective monies.
19.40
I would be a little disappointed if the Johannesburg colt AFRICAN ART failed to put this race to bed without too much fuss, such was the impact the February foal made at 'headquarters' at the first time of asking. Trainer Brian Meehan stated this time last year that AFRICAN ART was always going to take time to grow into his frame, even though he was not one of Brian's bigger juveniles last term. The fact that he ran well to finish fourth on his debut in quite a warm event speakes volumes in the context of this event. INVISIBLE MAN and SAM SHARP might offer most resistance close home resulting in a 'clean sweep' for southern based trainers.
20.10
SVINDAL has a chance of completing a potential first/last race double for Kevin Ryan, now that the Tomba gelding has finally registered a vicory following ten half decent efforts. Having occupied the runner up berth five times, nobody could deny connections of their Wolverhampton success though it remains to be seen if the three-year-old can improve again. Standing in his way in the finale might be HEY UP DAD and SURUOR.
Newton Abbot -- Friday 24/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 19.05: ROBY DE CIMBRE
nb - 18.30: SAFARI JOURNEY
17.25
David Pipe's raider Armenian Boy is not difficult to oppose because apart from the six-year-old being burdened with top weight, the trainer has only saddled one winner via his last sixty odd runners according to my calculations. I'll offer THE GREY MAN, PARTY PALACE and CAPTAIN BECKET against the field in the circumstances.
18.00
Six-year-olds have won both renewals to date whereby the two vintage representatives are attempting the hat-trick between them, namely FORTIFICATION and PRINCE DUCAL. BOOGIE DANCER is well treated here on the best of her form and she is the potential party-pooper in the line up according to the gospel of yours truly.
18.30
The Hobbs (SAFARI JOURNEY) and Llewellyn (SWEET WORLD) yards are the only represented trainers sending winners out for fun at the time of writing and both horses automatically qualify for my overnight mix. Four-year-olds have won two of the three contests to date whereupon the only vintage representative JEFFISON is nominated as the chief threat.
19.05
Paul Nicholls will be crowned champion NH trainer yet again on Saturday and the stable might start celebrating with a victory for ROBY DE CIMBRE here, the six-year-old having won at Newton Abbot before now. The beaten favourite is certainly worth another chance in the context of these fairly ordinary opponenets. To be fair HOLD EM is anything but ordinary on the best of his form but Bill Goldsworthy's raider has not given of his best for some time now and his 1/8 ratio over fences (compared to 5/9 over timber) suggests that the seven-year-old will represent poor value on this occasion.
19.35
Unusually for a Hunter Chase event, 'younger horses' have triumphed in the three renewals to date, the pick of which might prove to be HOLLY WALK, WHO ELSE KNEW and and the newcomer MASSINI MAN on this occasion.
20.05
Two of the three newcomers have been found decent opportunties to score at the first time of asking here, namely THOMAS WILD and BUISNESSMONEY JADE who represent the successful yards of Philip Hobbs and Vic Dartnell respectively. SAMMY TWO SHOES aguably sets the standard via the five experienced runners in the line up, though the said standard is particularly weak.
Perth -- Thursday 23/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.10: ROWDY YEATS
nb - 14.40: BERMUIDA POINTE
14.10
Anything that the Twiston-Davies team saddles at Perth has to be treated with the utmost respect (especially at this 'festival') whereby FRONTIER DANCER goes straight into the mix, even though more logical winners in the line up include ERADICATE and (agruably) MHILU.
14.40
BERMUDA POINTE is the 'Twisty' representative on this occasion and the recent (good ground) Carlisle winner should take all the beating. COACH LANE won this event for Grand National winning trainer Venetia Williams last year and the trainer also saddles her horses to good effect at this beautiful venue. NELSON DU RONCERAY is marginally preferred to Cantgeton to complete my trio against the field, though the bottom weight is offered up as the overnight reserve.
15.10
Seven-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals and with just two options available to me here via the 'short field', trainers have been kind my declaring just two seven-year-olds, namely BIG BURROWS and STEADY TIGER.
15.40
The terms and conditions of this event greatly favour OLLIE MAGERN though I'm mindful that the eleven-year-old fell in the Grand National last time out and has endured a long season. The Alderbrook gelding is as tough as teak however and must go close if avoiding trouble, albeit younger horses such as LOVE THAT BENNY and POSSOL will receive plenty of each way support and should run well for potential investors.
16.10
This is a new race during the Perth Festival but the contest might revert to 'Perth type' as Nigel Twiston-Davies has declared his recent Ludlow winner ROWDY YEATS who is expected to lead this herd home! The talented Lucy Horner rides THE REVEREND and the nine-year-old is expetced to mount the sternest challenge to the selection, whilst BELEM RANGER looks booked for third place.
16.40
De Blanc won the finale for Venetia Williams twelve months ago and the yard could notch the double here via their seven-year-old raider SOUTH O'THE BORDER. Course and distance winner ENGLISH CITY remains progressive at just six years of age whilst TERENZIUM also enters the overnight mix with the Micky Hammond yard in such fine form.
Catterick -- Wednesday 22/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.05: TOO MUCH TROUBLE
nb - 14.55: DAME ANOUSKA
14.20
VILNIUS ran well behind Chicita Banana at Bath when beaten less than three lengths and the six pounds the Imperial Dancer filly receives from TRANSFIXED should bring the pair together. The Trans Island filly TRANSFIXED won well at Warwick, albeit the success was registered in what can only be described as an 'egg and spoon' event. Tom Dascombe's One Cool Cat raider GERTMEGALUSH completes my trio against the field.
14.55
I'm not quite sure why David Barker feels the need to declare three horses when one of them (KERSIVAY) appears to hold a leading chance. The Southwell runner up FORTUNATE FLAME is certainly another for overnight mix whilst the Exceed And Excel debutante DAME ANOUSKA could hardly have been offered an easier introduction.
15.30
The last six winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less and though the stat only 'eliminates' two of the ten runners, all assistance is appreciated. WOTATOMBOY sits bang on the 9-2 mark which is convenient I know, but Richard Whitaker's Southwell winner has a definite chance albeit the three-year-old has not been seen on the racecourse for the thick end of six months. RISING KHELEYF and SECRET CITY (from the 'superior' sector of the handicap) might offer most resistance on this occasion.
16.05
The Barathea colt TOO MUCH TROUBLE cannot be overlooked in this 'win only' event, even though Mick Channon's (good to soft) Sandown winner gives away fitness advantage to all three rivals, one of which is a stable companion. The third horse home at the Esher venue (Zafisio) won three of his next four events which reads well in the context of this opposition.
16.40
Just one (odds on) favourite has obliged via seven renewals to date and with a lack of obvious form to follow this time around, another 'bookmakers result' could be on the cards. The February Southwell winner GAMESTERS LADY has at least posted a score on the board in recent months whilst the only other represented trainer to have saddled recent winners (Richard Fahey) should go close via TRIP THE LIGHT. A winner of three of his thirteen races to date, Jamie Moriaty's mount should become competitive at the business end of the contest. Six of the seven winners carried 8-11 or less which also brings TITINIUS into the equation.
17.15
The stables of Ryan (FASLIYANNE), Fahey (PEDREGAL) and Ratcliffe (JETHRO BODINE) boast aggregate recent stats of 17/84 which compares favourably to the figurers of 2/78 via the other reprersented trainers in the contest.
17.50
Four-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick and all three vintage representatives hold each way chances, namely MANDALAY KING, KARATE QUEEN and course and distance winner ROYAL ACCLAMATION. David Barker's recent Redcar winner DARCY'S PRIDE put back-to-back victories together back in 2007 and I wouldn't rule the five-year-old out of the equation at the overnight stage.
Folkestone -- Tuesday 21/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.30: SHABIBA
nb - 15.00: MASTOORA
14.00
Five-year-olds have won all three renewals to date whereby it's surprising that just two of the fourteen declarations represent the vintage on this occasion. Both BRONTE'S HOPE and BATELEUR are therefore offered up as each way horses to consider whilst course and distance winner DAVIDS MARK completes my trio against the field in an extremely moderate opening event.
14.30
Barry Hills (saddled the winner of this race last year) has saddled eight winners via forty raiders during the last fortnight at the time of writing. The other nine represented trainers 'boast' stats of 2/60 by comparison whereby Barry's beaten favourite SHABIB jumps off the page. DICE and PRECIOUS SECRET might follow SHABIBA home on this occasion.
15.00
This is the second division of the previous race on the card. Nine of the last ten winners have been returned at odds of 5/1 or less, whilst three favourites have obliged. This looks the weaker heat of the two and my trio against the field comprises of MASTOORA, KARTA and LADY MICKLEGATE. The Acclamation filly MASTOORA was the apple of the eye of trainer Willie Haggas this time last year and the debutante has been offered a decent chance of scoring at the first time of asking. Willie won two races in non handicap races at Folkestone last year for horses aged three or more via just three raiders.
15.30
A typical Folkestone selling event whereby ther market should prove to be the best guide. Without that advantage at the time of writing, I'll offer up BILLY BEETROOT, FANGFOSS GIRLS and BA GLOBETROTTER against the other six contenders.
16.00
Milton Bradley has snared gold and silver medals in the only two (of three in total) renewals he has been represented which is a pointer towards the chance of WHAT KAITE DID. The four-year-old has scored eight times on all weather surfaces but proved that turf was not a 'foreign body' by scoring at the eighth attempt at Windsor last time out. Rod Millman has his team in good nick whereby OCEAN BLAZE could be the each way call in the contest whilst PRINCESS ROSE ANNE enters the overnight equation.
16.30
Four-year-olds have won six of the last seven renewals of this event (including the last four) whereupon ISABELONABICYCLE, RUTBA and EPSOM SALTS all deserve a mention is dispatches. The last ten winners have scored at odds of 10/1 or less which a decent return given the handicap status of the contest. Four favourites of one description or another have landed the spoils during the last decade.
17.00
The Generous colt FINAL VICTORY ran a fine race on his debut being beaten less than six lengths in a very warm Newmarket maiden event won by Skanky Biscuit. Starting at 50/1 that day, FINAL VICTORY will know a great deal more about the game now and is fancied to score at the second time of asking. WILD RHUBARB has run two pleasing races to date for trainer Clive Cox who has started the season in good form.
17.35
Although Goodbre Goldstone carried 9-4 to win the inaugural contest back in 1999, the subsequent three races have been secured by horses carrying 9-13 or less. In the circumstances, I'm inclined to offer chances to PETER GRIMES, FLYING LADY and ARROGANCE.
Pontefract -- Monday 20/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.10: MAZE
nb - 16.40: IBBETSEN
14.10
Bookmakers have had the best of things in this opening event since a 2/7 favourite obliged back in 2003, as winners have emerged priced at 50/1--16/1--14/1--12/1--11/2 since the winning favourite was recorded. GRAND ZAFEEN and ELEGANT DANCER are bred for speed, and though the McInnes stable has only saddled one juvenile winner during the last five years, I'm inlined to offer up their Kyllachy filly BILLY'S BID as an each way call at potentially rewarding odds.
14.40
The last five market leaders have also been beaten in this second event on the card, whilst eight of the nine winners during the study period have carried weights of 8-8 or more. The weight stats eliminate the bottom three horses in the handicap, though I would notion a word for Mark Johnston's KOCHANSKI, the stable having won this race twice in the last seven years. The top two horses in the weights appeal most from those further up the handicap, namely SOUNDS OF JUPITER and LILLY BLUE.
15.10
MAZE has started the season well in the past and having drawn stall 10/10 here (high numbers usually best), Bryan Smart's four-year-old is fancied to figure prominently. David Nicholls snared the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago and OBE GOLD holds a definite chance of completing the double on behalf of the yard. FANTASY EXPLORER completes my trio against the field.
15.40
Four of the last five winners of this event have carried weights of 9-1 or more which suggests that this year's 'qualifiers' MR CRYSTAL, HASANPOUR and VICTORY QUEST (preferred in the order as written) could dominate the finish. Things are seldom that easy however whereby I've just noticed that the Lamyman stable (VICTORY QUEST) has won the race twice in the last six years.
16.10
Three-year-olds have won nine of the last ten renewals (including the last eight) and the trend looks sure to be extended, especially with the likes of STANDPOINT, TIME MEDICEAN and the Green Desert debutant REJECT representing the junior vintage. Kasaa Ed disappointed thousands of favourite punters last time out having been the subject of a gamble and the Mark Johnston riader can only perform better here. The Marju filly is nominated as the overnight reserve.
16.40
Four-year-olds have secured two of the three renewals to date whilst vintage representatives have claimed seven of the available ten each way/toteplacepot positions. Five four-year-olds have been declared amongst the ten horses to have been offered the green light, the pick of which might prove to be IBBETSON, THIS ONES FOR EDDY and ARCTIC CAPE.
17.15
All four winners have carried weights of 9-0 or less and the trio that make (limited) appeal in a moderate finale are NEON BLUE, GALA SUNDAY and SAFEBREAKER.
Stratford -- Sunday 19/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.00: WHAT A FRIEND
nb - 15.30 TEMPLER
14.30
Six-year-olds have won seven of the last ten renewals of this opening event and vintage representatives come to the party on a hat trick. Paul Nicholls has completed his homework by saddling six-year-old THE NIGHTINGALE, whilst Alan King's pair MIDNIGHT SAIL and RODNEY'S PILLAR have also received the green light. The Falklander is offered up as the overnight reserve.
15.00
WHAT A FRIEND sits ten points (and more) clear of this field according the weights and measures people and the Paul Nicholls raider should prove difficult to beat. Jim Old has seemingly forgotten how to train winners on a regular basis but BACK AMONG FRIENDS appeals as the likely beneficiery at a potentially rewarding price if the favourite fails to snare gold for one reason or another.
15.30
Eight-year-olds have won five of the last eight contests and it comes as something of a surprise that just one vintage representative comes to the gig whereby TEMPLER has to be the selection attempting to land the hat trick for eight-year-olds. KEW JUMPER and beaten favourite DE BOITRON are feared most.
16.00
Alan King and Grand National winning trainer Venetia Williams bring the best current form to the table and wouldn't you just know it, their runners (CHARMAINE WOOD and KAHSABELLE respectively) are two of only five horses that contest the race from the right end of the handicap according to the figures. All three winners have carried weights of 11-7 or more, which also brings GALLILEO FIGARO into the equation.
16.30
YOU DO THE MATH won this race last year and appears to have OFAREL D'AIRY to beat if the double is to be achieved. Alroyal receives four pounds from both horses which could prove useful but on a decent ground, forty-eight ounces should not be enough to prevent the selected pair from dominating proceedings close home.
17.00
Five and six-year-olds have equally shared the last four renewals of the finale and I'm grateful that sixteen runners have been declared which offers me four horses to pit against the field. NEARBY, INDIAN BLOOD, ELITE LAND and HIGHEST ESTEEM should land the race between them, though a non runner (reducing place opportunities from four down to three) is more of a certaintly at the time of writing.
Ayr -- Scottish Grand National -- Saturday 18/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.00: WARSAW PACT
e/w - 15.25: CHIARO
13.45
Paul Nicholls has won three of the six renewals of this opening race to date, and though I possess a self imposed ruling that I can mention only one horse in these 'win only' races, I have no problem here with the Ditcheat based raider MARC AURELE. Recieving a useful ten pound concession from a Nicky Henderson representative should ensure that Sam Thomas starts Scottish Grand National day on a high note.
14.20
Christian Williams gets the leg up on a Nicholls horse on this occasion, with I'MSINGINGTHEBLUES representing Paul's stable having won the race three times in the last seven years. TURKISH SURPRISE might emerge as the main threat in receipt of three pounds and I marginally prefer Alan King's Baby Turk gelding to Deep Purple in the circumstances, especially as the joint top weight takes liberties with his fences on a regular basis.
14.50
The last ten winners have carried weights of 10-13 or less and although only three horses are 'eliminated', any assistance is appreciated. My trio against the field from the 'superior' sector of the handicap is ODDSHOES, TAKE THE BREEZE and SECRET TUNE.
15.25
Six of the last seven winners of the Scottish National have carried less than 10-7 which offers punters a great opportunity if they take the stats seriously. With just six of the twenty-one runners sitting in the right area of the handicap according to recent stats and facts, CHIARO and KING BARRY stand out from the card at potentially rewarding odds. Taking another fact into consideration, I'm amazed that just three eight-year-olds have been declared bearing in mind that vintage representatives have secured six of the last ten renewals, including three of the last four. MERIGO and SOUND ACCORD should run well on behalf of the vintage.
16.00
Six-year-olds have won three of the last five contests and WARSAW PACT would get the nod from yours truly if the ground remained on the fast side. Hat trick achiever DESCRIPTION sits five pounds above his original handicap weight but such is his good form at present, that Sue Smith's seven-year-old cannot be discounted. NIKOS EXTRA runs off an attractive (10-3) mark and Alan King's raider completes my trio against the field.
16.35
Eight of the last ten winners have been burdened with a maximum of 10-12 with five of the nine runners carrying 'winning weights' according to the facts and stats. LESLINGTAYLOR, DOMINICAN MONK and PEPSYROCK lead the ratings from my perspective, given that three-time gold medallist Kilmackilloge has failed to put back-to-back victories together to date.
17.05
Seven-year-olds have won of the last five renewals though equally, the weight stats pose a problem. All ten winners during the last decade have carried 11-2 or less which rules three of the four seven-year-olds out of the contest if you take the stats seriously. Equally, SEIZE sits no less than seventeen pounds higher than his original handicap mark whereby Ferdy Murphy's Silver Patriach gelding has a lot to prove. STORYMAKER and FIFTYFIVE DEGREES are the other two horses that fit the weight trends. Confused? Not as much as yours truly!
17.35
Just one four-year-old has prevailed during the last decade though I'm drawn towards Alan Swinbank's Old Vic gelding SIR FRANK, given Alan's great record in bumper events down the years. More logical winners if you follow trends are two of the five-year-old representatives, namely course and distance winner WITHERSPOON and Sue Smith's recent Sedgefield winner GUNPOINT.
Thirsk -- Friday 17/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.40: NO GROUSE
nb - 14.30 GREEN AGENDA
14.00
It would asking a great deal of the newcomers to get past both STAR ROVER and CHICITA BANANA here as the previous winners look above average juveniles from what we have witnessed thus far. STAR ROVER is asked to concede twelve pounds to the Bath winner though the Camacho raider will not go down without a fight I'll wager. David Evans has his youngsters well forward whereby Chicita Banana will have to improve again to take advantage of the concession. Eight of the last nine winners have scored at odds of 11/2 or less (stats include four winning favourites). David Evans saddled the winner back in 2001 for good measure
14.30
Another decent race on the card with plenty of top yards represented. Mark Johnston won the race last year and has offered the green light to his recent Musselburgh winner GREEN AGENDA who has won three of his last four races. Joe Fanning's mount has an undeniable chance, especially as all four winners to date have carried weights of 9-1 or less. Like Green Agenda, BICKERSTEN sits exactly on that mark whilst ANTIGUA SUNRISE also hails from the right end of the handicap according to the facts and figures. Conversely, Avoir Choisi ia asked to concede weight all around and it's worth noting that a short priced southern trained runner (carrying 9-10) was sunk without trace at odds of 5/4 twelve months ago. Two of the four market leaders have finished in the frame (one winner) to date.
15.05
I guess the rot had to set in somewhere and sure enough after two good races, we have travelled from the sublime to the ridiculous within the space of thirty-five minutes. Taking in form trainers as some sort of guide I'll nominate MONTIBOLI (Kevin Ryan) and CHAMPAIN SANDS (Eric Alston) in my short list, accompanied by tentative types such as SUMMER DANCER and SOCIETY MUSIC. Bertie Vista is offered up as the overnight reserve.
15.40
Horses in the lower half of the handicap have held the call via two contests to date whereby NO GROUSE is offered an each way chance having had a pipe-opener sixteen days ago at Catterick. Finishing fourth on that occasion and not beaten far, Eric Alston's representative could post another score on the board on behlaf of the yard. TURN ME ON and MEY BLOSSOM hold each way chances on the best of their form, though we have to take fitness on trust in both cases.
16.15
High numbers have dominated this event over the minimum trio though in all honesty, ten runners should reduce the bias. That said, I'm sticking with the trends by nominating STEELCUT, NOMOREBLONDES and MAMBO SPIRIT against the field from stall numbers 8-10-6 respectively.
16.45
Three of the last four winners have scored in double figures (20/1--20/1--10/1); hence I will probably lay some the of the shorter priced horses in this event. That said, I will probably offer beaten favourite PADDY BEAR another chance, whilst my speculative calls include FUTURE GEM and FIFTH AMENDMENT.
Ripon -- Thursday 16/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 17.30: KYZER CHIEF
nb - 16.20 MISTER DEE BEE
14.00
Jack My Boy was due to contest a Beverley event on Wednesday which should prove to be a pointer towards the chance of HERE NOW AND WHY who finished in front of the David Evans raider at Leicester. David saddles his Choisir colt CHIFAH who raised five thousand pounds at the sales and the March foal is expected to offer most resistance to the selection close home. SENATE MAJORITY is offered up as third best on this occasion, especially as trainer Tim Easterby has won the last three renewals of the contest.
14.35
Four of the last five winners of this 'dead eight' event have carried weights of 9-1 or less whereby the likes of DUBAI HILLS, HI SHINKO and MISTER LAUREL are offered against the field. Bryan Smart's Dubai Destination colt DUBAI HILLS would have been a strong selection had there been moisture in the ground. If anyone lives in the area, perhaps they can dig out an old watering can on behalf of yours truly.
15.10
Barry Hills (4/16) boasts good form coming into the race during the last fortnight compared to stats via the other six represented trainer who can offer aggregate figures of just 3/63. Barry saddles his Beat Hollow colt SLAM who was always going to make up into a decent horse given some time. That said, HALICARNASSUS comes into the race well clear of his rivals according to the weights and measures people and the five-year-old should certainly finish in the (short field) frame.
15.45
TRUMPSTOO would have been another heavy ground winner on the card to have received plaudits from yours truly, but unless the weather changes direction with a vengeance, the likes of JOHNMANDERVILLE and ROMAN REPUBLIC could go well, especially as they figure down towards the foot of the handicap as have eight of the last nine winners of this contest.
16.20
Six of the last ten favourites have won this event, whilst the biggest priced winner during the decade was returned at just 9/1. Barry Hills saddled three winners via just seven runners at Ripon last year and the Lambourn raider MISTER DEE BEE must hold claimes following three half decent efforts from five juvenile outings in 2008. Mark Johnston has won two of the last three renewals whereby his Rahy colt SIGNALLER is not without a chance whilst the each way call could prove to be BOLD BOMBER from Paul Green's in form yard.
16.55
David Nicholls won the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago and in GIFT HORSE, the trainer holds a definite chance of notching the double. Dandy does well with off-casts from other stables and this ex Stewards Cup winner has been dropped to a mark of eighty-three which offers the nine-year-old an opportunity of returning to the winners enclosure. The first five horses home last year all ran from single figure numbers in a fourteen strong line up, whereby CASTLES IN THE AIR, CALMDOWNMATE and VHUJON are offered against the field alongside the each way selection.
17.30
Four-year-olds have won four of the last seven contests (whilst securing six of the last ten available toteplacepot positions) in this finale whereby the late (May 13) foal KYZER CHIEF (stable won the race last year) is offered an each way chance, despite the fact that Amy Ryan's mount remains a maiden following eleven attempts to date. Four runner up efforts have been recorded however and first time up might be the time to catch this individual, before the handicapper has a chance to assess his potential improvement. Just three other vintage representatives have been declared, the pick of which should prove to be CHESHIRE ROSE. MISS DAAWE and CIRCUIT DANCER are other each way possibilities in a competitive contest.
Beverley -- Wednesday 15/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w- 15.10: BO MCGINTY
nb - 13.30 JACK MY BOY
13.30
The last eight winners have been returned at 4/1 or less which includes four winning favourites. David Evans leads the way with juveniles this year having saddled three winners via just seven runners. JACK MY BOY is well berthed here in stall 14/14 and the recent bronze medallist will surely reward toteplacepot investors at the very least. SHARP ECLIPSE (11) is a likely looking newcomer to consider, whilst STRANGE FICTION would have been regarded a bigger danger but for his trap one position. The Avonbridge representative is expected to pay for his keep throughout the season however and if breaking on level terms, Paul Hanagan's mount might make the frame.
14.00
It's as well to remind readers that just three places are up for grabs in this selling contest before they start filling in their each way betting slips. Richard Fahey has saddled seven winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing whereby BAJAN PRIDE should figure prominently, possibly accompanied by last year's winner ROWAN LODGE and MY MATE MAL. Thompsons Walls is offered up as the overnight reserve.
14.35
This is the second division of the opening event whereby the same stats obviously apply. David Evans saddles his Pastoral Pursuits filly MIND OF HER OWN and the trainer certainly cannot complain about the stall positions of his two juvenile raiders on the card as Paul Doe's mount has drawn 13/14 on this occasion. AGENT BOO would be nominated as a live threat if rain gets into the ground as sire Monsieur Bond had a successful season with his first crop last year, though the word soft featured in the going description on the majority of occasions when his representatives snared gold. MAIDTORUN was an eleven thousand guineas purchase and the Rakti representative would have a chance if anywhere near the leading players with a quarter of a mile to run.
15.10
Fourteen races have passed since BO MCGINTY has won a race but Paul Hanagan's mount is a consistent each way player and stall 14/17 offers the eight-year-old a realistic chance of returning to the winners unsaddling enclosure. SUPERMASSIVE MUSE (11) secured a place position on his seasonal debut twelve months ago and a repeat effort could be on the cards, whilst the David Nicholls pair MANZILA (12) and FOL HOLLOW (15) are others to peruse prior to flag fall from decent looking stall positions.
15.45
Course and distance winner FORTUNATE ISLE heads the weights though it's worth noting that Augustine won this race off 9-7 three years ago. Stall positions are not quite as important over this ten furlong trip though that said, trainer Richard Fahey will not be complaining about the 12/17 draw that FORTUNATE ISLE has secured. SIRVINO (13) makes some appeal from a win and place perspective, similar comments applying to both TITINIUS and MOONSTREAKER in this seventeen runner handicap contest.
16.20
Both favourites have won this three-year-old handicap event to date, whilst Mark Johnston (TARZAN) won the race last year. SPARTAN PRINCE and DIGGER DEREK are both fit from recent all weather assignments and I expect this trio to dominate proceedings close home.
16.55
SPECIAL CUVEE was engaged to run at Yarmouth on Tuesday but the top weight would be a definite leading player in my book should he turn up for this gig. I'll nominate three runners against the Alex Haynes representative in the belief that Callan's mount will miss the contest, the trio consisting of LABISA, MORE THAN MANY and MISS GIBBOA, the last five winners having carried weights of 9-0 or less.
17.30
Another three-year-old handicap jigsaw puzzle to solve with seemingly several pieces missing! GOOD BUY DUBAI, KOCHANSKI and SCREAMING BRAVE might serve us best though it would be as well to enter the finale with black figures next to your name.
Market Rasen -- Tuesday 14/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.30: MIZEN RAVEN
nb - 16.00 WIND INSTRUMENT
14.00
Micky Hammond is enjoying a purple patch just now and his Kelso winner INDUSTRIAL STAR will surely take some kicking out of the (short field) frame on this occasion. Beaten favourite PADDY'S HONOUR is marginally preferred to Sassanias as the main danger to the selection.
14.30
Even Tony McCoy could not galvanise Cnoc Moy into action last time out whereby I prefer the trio of PAGANO. SUMMER LODGE and VISCOUNT ROSSINI in an extremely moderate contest.
15.00
I'm far from convinced that nine days is long enough for Springfield Raki to recover from a bad fall and the likes of ASHBURTON LAD and WHISKY MAGIC are more logical calls in the circumstances.
15.30
If The Dark Lord has not already lost the plot the twelve-year-old is close to doing so whereby MIZEN RAVEN, LIVINGONAKNIFEEDGE and TOUS CHEZ should reward each way players in this 'dead eight' event where the relevant odds are chalked up.
16.00
WIND INSTRUMENT hardly represent a mortgage money investment, but Alan King's raider should prevail given this last chance saloon opportunity. CALUSA CALDERA is not the most inspiring alternative to nominate, but what else is there in the line up?
16.30
Having registered eight winners within the last fortnight, Howard Johnson has his team in good order whereby BUNGLASHA JAKE can be offered an each way chance. VIVARINI is a win and place alternative to chance, whilst LIGHTENING ROD completes my trio against the field.
Kempton -- Saturday 11/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.50: SEEK N DESTROY
nb - 15.45 GREAT CHARM
14.05
Off a ratio of 1/13 at Kempton this season, the Botti camp cannot list this venue as their favourite hunting ground this year but having saddled two of their last three horses to winning effect (along with four of their last twelve), the chance of SALTAGIOO must be respected. More logical winners according to the form book include CORDELL and TITAN TRIUMPH. CORDELL has secured medals (two gold and one bronze) via his last three visits to Kempton, whilst TITAN TRIUMPH had won five of his last six events (beaten a nose in the other contest) before embarking on a sortie to Doncaster when contesting the Lincoln Handicap. CHECKLOW is the 'dark horse' in the contest further down the weights.
14.40
Four-year-olds have won four of the five renewals to date whilst Michael Jarvis won with five of the fourteen three-year-olds he saddled here at Kempton last year in non handicap events. DIXEY jumps off the page accordingly and though her victory at Leicester in June last time out was gained in a moderate event, her record of three medals (two gold and one silver) via five starts stands close inspection. A 12/1 winner that day, the Diktat filly could run well at rewarding odds again. DIXEY won on her very first start here at Kempton over seven furlongs; hence she should be forward enough to do herself justice in what might turn out to be a below average renewal. BORN TOBOUGGIE is best in here according to the weights and measures officials and the Cecil trained filly also won at the first time of asking, whereby fitness might not prove to be an issue. A winner of three of her eight races to date, the Tobougg filly has yet to trouble the judge via two all weather outings to date which is something of a worry, especially given her likely prominence in the market. John Francome's tenant Clive Cox has his team in rude health whereby PERFECT STAR completes my trio against the field, given that course and distance winner Smokey Rye would have to improve again if the Bertolini filly is to become involved in the finish.
15.10
Whilst CAPTAIN RAMIUS cannot be ignored, it's worth noting that the Callaghan yard failed to train a winner via twelve raider here in the non handicap division relating to three-year-olds last term. All four three-year-olds from the yard have been beaten at Kempton this year which suggests that CAPTAIN RAMIUS, for all his talent, might represent poor value for money on this occasion. Richard Hannon ahs saddled a gold and a bronze medallist in the contest in the last three years and the booking of Ryan Moore aboard the French bred SOHCAHTOA catches the eye. Beaten in two Listed events last term, its worth noting that sire (Val Royal) won two Group 2 events as a three-year-old and another winter on his back might have made all the difference. Two of Paul Cole's eight three-year-old runners have won this season whereby the chance of SHAMPAGNE has to be respected, especially as Martin Dwyer's mount was beaten less than three lengths first time up this year. The BHB rating of SAINT ARCH suggest that Mark Johnston's raider has a little to prove at this level, but try telling that to the trainer! A record of 3/3 suggests that SAINT ARCH will become competitive when the horses have turned for home.
15.45
Four-year-olds have claimed four of the nine available toteplacepot positions (including two of the three gold medals) which offers chances to GREAT CHARM, PRAVDA STREET and BRASSINI. Horses carrying weights of 8-11 or less have claimed seven of the nine available each way positions (one winner) of late and the first named pair of my trio against the field 'qualify' via the weight trends. Michael Bell (GREAT CHARM) saddled ten winners in Class 2 races last year at around a twenty-five per cent strike rate which could look decent in the context of the price on offer in this event. PRAVDA STREET is a frustrating type but talent undoubtedly lies beneath the saddled and you write off his chance at your potential peril.
16.15
Four-year-olds have secured eight of the ten available toteplacepot/each way positions to date which includes two of the three gold medallists. Three vintage representatives attend the gig this time around and though TOURIST can only be offered an each way chance at best, GALA CASINO STAR and FORGOTTEN VOICE certainly have claims from a win perspective, albeit they will be offered at semi generous odds I'll wager. All three winners thus far have carried weights ranging between 8-12 and 9-4 which all but rules four horses out of the contest if you take the stats seriously. My three horses against the field sit within the 'superior' handicap marks and can offer us respectable efforts for our collective investments.
16.50
Horses carrying weights of 8-12 or more hold the key if recent results are anything to go by. Eight of the ten horses carrying 8-12 or more have claimed toteplacepot positions (including all three winners). The pick of the seven qualifiers on this occasion might prove to be CYFLYMDER and PROCLAIM. That said, Barry Hills held just one entry throughout the day at the five-day declaration stage and sure enough, SEEK N' DESTROY has been offered the green light by the in form trainer. Michael Hills was booked to ride a long time ago and it would be something of a surprise if the Exceed And Excel colt failed to become competitive at the jamstick.
17.25
Six-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick and MIGHTY MOON might emerge as the pick of the two vintage representatives on this occasion, albeit from an each way perspective. KAVALOTI and ALNWICK appeal as the value for money dangers on this occasion, though all bets should be kept to a minimum in such a disappointing contest.
17.55
Only Andrew Balding (CASILDA) and Jim Boyle (PRESS THE BUTTON and FORMATION) are sending out regular winners relating to the represented trainers in this event, whereby their inmates are expected to dominate the finish of the finale.
Wincanton -- Thursday 09/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.20: TRADE OFF
nb - 15.20: PRESENTING EXPRESS
13.50
What appears to be a tough race to call on paper should not be difficult to break down, given that this event is high on numbers but short on class. An eighteen runner handicap offers me the opportunity of offering four options which in order of preference is QUINY BOY, LEPIDO, WESTSTERN and MURPHY.
14.20
This new race offers nothing in terms of trends, whereby I can only offer the tenative trio of WEDNESDAY COUNTRY, JOE DEANE and CLASSIC CLOVER (the only course and distance winner in the line up) against the field.
14.50
Two of the three victories gained by PORTLAND BILL down the years have been recorded here at Wincanton and with 'team Alner' having won the inaugural running of this contest last year, the nine-year-old is offered an each way chance. EARTH DREAM cannot be ignored as the first of three Paul Nicholls representatives on the card, whilst RICHARD'S SUNDANCE should also figure prominently.
15.20
Horses carrying 11-3 or more have won both renewals whuilst securing four of the five available toteplacepot/each way positions. PRESENTING REXPRESS is the only horse coming to the party carrying exactly the same weight as the two winners to date and Emma Lavelle's ten-year-old is not without a chance of claiming this prize against fairly modest opposition. COLLEGE ACE is the obvious alternative shout having won three of his last four races. HELLO BUD looks booked for third spot on this occasion.
15.50
ALFLORA DORA could be labelled as a horse which flatters to deceive on a regular basis but hailing from Alan King's in form yard, the five-year-old is given one last chance by yours truly. CAOBA has a chance of successfully conceding weight all around in such a weak line up, whilst RITH BOB is the other horse to consider.
16.20
TRADE OFF is the only course and distance winner in the line up and having won all three races on fast ground, the eleven-year-old must have a chance of posting another success on the board around this quick ciurcuit. THE BIG BREAKFAST and WHO ELSE KNEW are the fairly obvious dangers in the finale.
Nottingham -- Wednesday 08/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 14.30: HOH HOH HOH
e/w - 16.00: CINEMATIC
14.00
The second and third horses behind STAR ROVER have franked the form but only from a place perspective, whereby I wouldn't fancy taking the short (8/11) projected price in the trade press. That said, a winner at this stage of the season against inexperienced juveniles is worth its weight in gold and the concession of upwards of seven pounds should certainly not prevent the David Evans raider from going close, especially as the stable won the race twelve months ago. Kevin Ryan (GILLBURG) and Richard Hannon (BLACK DADDY) saddled the placed horses behind Star Rover whereby both trainers should have some sort of line to offer against the market leader. Royal Desert is nominated as the overnight reserve.
14.30
Four of the last five winners have carried 9-1 and the pick of the relevant five horses on this occasion might prove to be HOH HOH HOH and JUDD STREET. Reverence would eat these alive if back to his best but the course and distance winner appears to have lost the plot of late whilst the ground will be riding plenty fast enough for the top weight.
15.00
The Williams team boast level stake profits with their runners here at Nottingham during the last five years and with two three-year-old handicap winners amongst their numbers, BILLY BEETROOT has to be included in the mix following his decent effort at Bath last week. Horses drawn high or low (not in between) have gained the day in this contest to date, whereby IMPRESSIBLE and TAURUS TWINS are added into the equation.
15.30
Four-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals and with Michael Bell having won last year's race with Gull Wing, stable representative THE BETCHWORTH KID can carry on the good work on behalf of the yard. Michael's two-year-olds have disappointed a couple of times despite news filtering through that his runners in general are well forward this year. PRESBYTERIAN NUN and UNLEASHED are other interesting four-year-old raiders, whilst a Barney Curley runner lurks in the shape of Sereth, though I usually form the opinion that when Barney's well planned coups come off, I can afford to lose.
16.00
Jim Boyle has his team in good nick and (joint) top weight CINEMATIC can be fancied to run well for the yard in what hopefully will remain a sixteen runner handicap. Taking advantage of the projected fourth place position, my trio against the each way selection consists of TRANSMISSION, INDY DRIVER and APOTHESOSIS.
16.30
Runners drawn high in this contest have been seen to decent each way effect in recent years whereby my quartet against the field comprises of COOL HAND JAKE, HIGHLAND RIVER, NAIZAK and VERY DISTINGUISHED. Three favourites have won via the last eight renewals which is a fair ratio given the competitive nature of the contest. The fact that no winner has scored at odds of 16/1 or more in the process also makes for good reading (six gold medallists sent off at 10/1 or less).
17.00
Four-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick and the pick of the junior runners (in the context of this event) could prove to be THIS ONES FOR EDDY, JAMES POLLARD and JEBEL TARA. Top weight KING OF THE MOORS is no forlorn hope on behalf of the other vintage representatives.
Fontwell -- Tuesday 07/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 15.30: BLACK BEAUTY
nb - 16.30: GREMLIN
14.30
Two six-year-olds snared the forecast between them in the only renewal of this opening contest to date, not a bad effort as the only other vintage representative in a ten strong field was a 50/1 chance. CALUSA CRYSTAL is the obvious six-year-old to home in on here, suggesting that CALL ME A LEGEND and SWEET ROBINIA might offer most resistance on this occasion.
15.00
FREE GIFT should follow up his Wincanton victory providing the word good remains in the going description, even though PORTERS WAR has the beating of the Alner raider on Huntingdon form last year. This drop in trip will suit the selection and revenge is on the cards for that defeat. INTAC completes my trio against the field having been dropped markedly in class of late.
15.30
Gary Moore won the only renewal thus far with that old rogue Zimbabwe and if the local maestro could win with that individual, ALRAFID could be a similar type to post a score on the board for the Brighton based handler. Gary has been going through something of a lean period by his high standards of late however, whereby BLACK BEAUTY is preferred this time around. LESTER LEAPS IN looks booked for third spot.
16.00
Even my self imposed ruling of only being able to mention one horse in a 'win only' event offers no problem here, as Alan King has found the perfect opportunity for his Luso gelding GREENBRIDGE. Even the slight step up in trip should offer no worries for connections of the seven-year-old with only two modest rivals to beat.
16.30
Alan King could notch a quick double on the card as GREMLIN has precious little to beat in this handicap hurdle event, despite he number of runners on parade. It is definitely a case of high on numbers low on class and the five-year-old is expected to win at the fifth time of asking over timber. The handicapper might have taken a chance on TAKE ME THERE on his handicap debut whilst DAYS OF PLEASURE compeltes my trio against the field.
17.00
Both of Jonjo O'Neills last two newcomers at Fontwell obliged and there is every reason to be hopeful that KAYFROU can complete the hat trick. Grand National winning jockey Liam Treadwell is assured of a good reception at a track where he has ridden many horses for local trainer Nicky Gifford and the pilot has an each way chance aboard TEN DAY WONDER. COUP ROYALE (fourth at Chepstow recently) is another to peruse over brunch.
Kelso -- Monday 06/04/2009
Best bets:
nap- 16.30: LUKSAR
nb - 15.30: PROFESSOR HIGGINS
14.30
AMBROSINNI would have this lot for lunch is returning to the type of form which enabled the Dr Devious gelding to win three of his four races prior to March 2008. The bottom three horses in the list are running beyond their original handicap marks whereby the main dangers to the selection might prove to be COLDWELLS and GUNS OR BUTTER.
15.00
Six and seven-year-olds have won seven of the last nine renewals of the contest whereby the likes of HAZELDENE, TRANOS and FARNE ISLAND should all run well for potential investors. Kingsben is nominated as the reserve.
15.30
Seven of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-0 or less which effectively eliminates the top four horses in the handicap. PROFESSOR HIGGINS was rewarded for his consistency last time out and Howard Johnson' six-year-old might have most to fear from CANTGETON and SCHINKEN OTTO this time around.
16.00
The last nine winners have all carried weights of 11-3 or less which reduces the field down from thirteen to seven if (like yours truly) you take the stats seriously. LADY SAMBURY, FORTUNATE DAVE and WOTCHALIKE are three outsiders to consider, though it's worth noting that if Harry Haynes can claim just one of the five pounds available to the jockey, ORANG OUTAN will sink into the 'superior' weight sector.
16.30
Five of the last nine favourites have prevailed (biggest priced winner during the study period was returned at 10/1). LUKSAR looks sure to figure prominently in the market and in the race itself, whilst others worth perusing include OCA DE THAIX and DR HELLIER.
17.00
DOESLESSTHANME is asked to give upwards of a stone away in the finale, though double that concession might have given others a chance in a one-sided contest. CATAI and BEVERLEY BECK are taken to follow the favourite home at a respectable distance.
Hexham -- Sunday 05/04/2009
Best bets:
e/w - 16.50: Emerald Destiny
nb - 14.20: Fortysecond Street
14.20
Although the Musselburgh winner FORTYSECOND STREET is asked to give upwards of seven pounds away in the opening contest, Howard Johnson's five-year-old should not be hard pressed to concede the relevant pounds and ounces successfully. Stable companion PANTHERA LEO and THE KEALSHORE KID are likely to offer most resistance up the home straight.
14.50
BEST LOVER appears well in according to the weights and measures people in the second division of the opening event. This heat looks the weaker of the two, whereby even modest performers such as VASODILATOR and LEITH WALK hold each way chances.
15.20
TASTES LIKE MORE catches the eye against fellow 'recent' scorers FREEZE THE FRAME and CORNERBACK. Course winner Harry Flashman would appeal as the each way call should one iof the afore mentioned trio miss the gig for one reason or another.
15.50
Ten-time winner FLAKE represents the in-form yard of Sue (and Harvey) Smith and yielding going should prove spot on for the nine-year-old if the projected showers fall. The chance of course and distance winner CASHMAN is respected whilst POLITICAL PADDY would enter the equation if the showers developed into longer periods of rain.
16.20
Six-year-olds have won all three renewals to date and though this year's four vintage representatives all need to improve to become involved in the finish, I'll speculate that MICK FLAVIN (blinkered for the first time) will prove to be the pick of the quartet. More logical winners appear to include beaten favoruite ELZAHANN and SIRKEEL.
16.50
Lucy Horner continues to earn plaudits for her riding skills and speculative spectators at Hexham might cheer home EMERALD DESTINY at rewarding odds in this moderate event. SADDLER'S WAY and PLAYER are worth including in forecast mixing if that is within your budget.
17.20
Two of Alan Swinbank's last three winners have been gained in the bumper section I'm delighted to say and PYRACANTHA is expected to run well on behalf of the stable. That said, the declaration of ONLY THE BEST prevents me from utilising Alan's four-year-old in the 'best bets' area of the service. MALAKAI is another interesting recruit to the winter game.
Aintree -- Saturday 04/04/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Aintree on Saturday:
14.50: Fiveforthree
15.25: Oakfield Legend and According to John
16.15: Offshore Account, Reveillez and Battlecry
17.00: Fushe Jo
Newcastle -- Saturday 04/04/2009
Best bets:
nap - 17.10: Monqueras Romance
nb - 15.05: Monfils Monfils
14.05
Paul Midgely has won both renewals to date (albeit via the same horse) and though his raider BOSS HOG appears to have plenty to do to achieve the hat trick according to the form book, the four-year-old figures in my plans, being the self confessed anorak that I undoubtedly am. Five of the eight horses to have secured toteplacepot positions to date (including both gold medals) have carried weights of 8-12 or less. The pick of the six runners (aside from Boss Hog) include HANDSOME FALCON and WE'RE DELIGHTED.
14.35
Four of the six horses to have achieved each way success to date have carried weights of 8-8 or less (including both winners) which suggests that QUEST FOR SUCCESS and SIR XAAR have to be respected. MISTER HARDY sits just sixteen ounces above the 'superior' weight barrier according to the stats and demands to be included in the mix, whilst Ceremonial Jade is nominated as the overnight reserve.
15.05
Market leaders come to the gig on a hat trick, whilst just one favourite has been beaten (finished second) to date. MONFILS MONFILS, THAT'LL DO NICELY and HERRERA are the trio to home in on and the market should be as a good a guide as any close to flag fall.
15.45
ARCHERS ROAD looked the true prefessional when emerging from his runner up effort in the 'Brocklesby' to score at Leicester on Thursday. The concession of a few pounds might not stop Mick Channon's raider, especially as Mick now leads the juvenile stats with two successes within the first five races of the season! Kevin Ryan trained the debutant runner up behind Archer's Road and in OUT THE RING, Kevin boasts a live contender for this event judged on his first effort. Nicely backed before the race, Out The Ring would have gone close to scoring at the first time of asking but for a tardy start. The Acclamation colt could make life tough for Archers Road if breaking on level terms, especially in receipt of four pounds. Linda Stubbs does well with the small number of two-year-old she saddles during the course of a season (nigh twenty per cent strike rate last season) whereby IGNATIEFF might run well at rewarding odds. Linda won the race last year with her Reset gelding Saxford who went on to win three of his first six races, culminating in a Listed success.
16.30
Both favourites have won to date whilst the three-year-old bandwagon could roll on via the likes of DECORUM, RAFAAN and (to a lesser degree perhaps) RULER OF ALL. Mark Johnston will be flying the flag for the north via RAFAAN who ran two decent races down south last season.
17.10
Three-year-olds have won four of the five renewals to date whereby beaten favourite MOSQUERAS ROMANCE is given a chance to atone for his recent Kempton defeat. RIO CARNIVAL and FULL OF LOVE are nominated as the chief threats. Two of the five favourites have finished in the frame to date (one winner).
Aintree -- Friday 03/04/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Aintree on Friday:
14.00: El Dancer
14.35: Shining Gale
15.45: Bible Lord and The Hollow Bottom
16.55: Giles Cross
17.30: Eastern Paramour and Whirlijig
Musselburgh -- Friday 03/04/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.40: Celtic Change
nb - 16.05: Fort Churchill
14.20
Jim Goldie has snared gold and bronze medals via just two renewals of this contest to date, whereby his six-year-old course and distance winner BLAZING HEIGHTS is given an each way chance. Other C/D winners TWOSHEETSTOTHEWIND and CIRCUIT DANCER are feared most.
14.55
Bryan Smart saddled six juvenile winners via just eleven two-year-old runners last year and the yard's Bertolini MONALINI will have plenty of supporters here I'll wager. Last year's effort was no fluke by the trainer as Bryan boasts stats of 11/39 over the last five years whereby the tally looks sure to be improved upon this term. The Red Ransom filly MISS SMILLA represents Kevin Ryan's yard that saddled two winners from eight two-year-old raiders last year and though stats are there to be ridiculed, we have to start somewhere when no form is around for guidance. On the negative front, Mark Johnston (Always Dixie) sent six juveniles to the track last year without success. Linda Stubbs only saddled seven two-year-old winners in 2008 but having achieved a near 20% strike rate, her Reset filly Cariad Coch should not be ignored.
15.30
GREEN AGENDA stumbled at the start when attempting a hat trick at Southwell last time out and Mark Johnston's beaten favourite might be worth another chance in this grade. LYRIC ART and Kevin Ryan's course and distance winner PETER'S GIFT are expected to offer most resistance this time around.
16.05
Brian Ellison has won both contests to date (albeit via the same horse) and having saddled a winner at Catterick on Wednesday, FORT CHURCHILL ought to carry plenty of stable confidence into the race. The eight-year-old has contested (and won) most of his races on this type of ground and though in-form EDAS might take some stopping, FORT CHURCHILL is fancied to return to winning ways.
16.40
Five-year-olds have won all three renewals to date and both this year's vintage representatives CELTIC CHANGE and (to a lesser degree perhaps) MOHEEBB hold chances of extending the trend. Horses carrying weights of 9-1 or less is the other stat to home in on, whereby JUST BOND is offered up as the main danger.
17.15
Three-year-olds have won all eight renewals to date and it's highly likely that two of the three vintage representatives could fight out the finish again, namely AKBABEND and UNION ISLAND. The other three-year-old in the line up is Hard Luck Story who is nominated as the overnight reserve.
17.45
DIMASHQ is a course and distance winner (separate occasions) that represents an in-form stable whereby the Mtoto mare might return to winning ways an rewarding odds. The Howard Johnson team could be in better form but their dual purpose four-year-old raider DON'T STOP ME NOW should present a challenge up the home straight somewhere along the line.
Aintree -- Thursday 02/04/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Aintree on Thursday:
14.00: Hills of Aran
15.10: Albertas Run
15.45: Distant Thunder
16.20: Lord Jay Jay and Tramantano
16.55: Deep Purple
17.30: Prince Taime
Leicester -- Thursday 02/04/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.45: SPECIAL CUVEE
nb - 17.40: PRAVDA STREET
14.10
Mick Channon held a couple of options for Archers Road this week following a fine run in the 'Brocklesby' at Doncaster on Saturday and with the trainer subsequently having scored with a juvenile representative, the Titus Livius raider must go close here. That said, Michael Bell saddles FARMER GILES in the contest having won this race last year with the very useful two-year-old Art Connoiseur who went on to land his hat trick in no lesser contest than Royal Ascot's Coventry Stakes having scored in between at Newmarket. FARMER GILES hails from Danehill stock and is probably one of the better juveniles in Michael's yard this year. HERE NOW AND WHY completes my trio against the field in a very interesting opening event.
14.45
Winning favourite SPECIAL CUVEE drifted to forty on the exchanges halfway through his race at Folkestone on Tuesday when seemingly hopelessly positioned. The fact that he won going away by over three lengths was an astonishing performance (even taking into account the mediocrity of the contest) suggesting that Jamie Spencer's mount could follow up if given his chance. The race is even more difficult to assess as NCHIKE was due to contest a Catterick event on Wednesday after this column was written whereby I require your patience given the fact that the joint top weight might not turn up for the gig. CHOCOLICIOUS, BOLD RING and THOOSA can be considered, especially if the first named pair are sidelined. Four of the last six market leaders have won whilst last year's contest was snared by the 5/2 second favourite.
15.20
The season can only improve for Peter Chapple-Hyam (EXCEPTIONAL ART and SAYIF) as his two horses to have 'run' have refused to race and finished sixth of eight thus far. Peter endured a torrid time last season, as did many of Newmarket's trainers because of a decidedly strong virus doing the rounds at 'headquarters', albeit Peter started the season well enough. The stable could do with a winner here to boost condifence. Sneak Previerw is the potential party-pooper in the line up.
15.55
HEADLINE ACT went through the medals in reverse order last year ending his juvenile campaign with a victory at Brighton, and with John Gosden's team going for gold already this year, the Dalakhani colt might take some stopping. Any one of the other six runners could take advantage of a moderate performance from the likely favourite, though the pick of the sextet on this occasion might prove to be KINGS DESTINY.
16.30
Three-year-olds have won the last four contests (as well as six of the last eight) whilst southern raiders have run riot down the years. The trend looks set to continue via BIN END, CHERISH THE MOMENT or FAVOURS BRAVE. Countenence is an interesting newcomer from the Willie Haggas stable and the Medicean colt is worth keeping an eye on for future events. The trainer has saddled two three-year-old winners via just four runners at the track during the last five years.
17.05
Three-year-olds have again held the call having won seven of the nine contests during the past decade. John Gosden won the race two years ago and comes here with a leading chance via his Dynaformer colt LIVELY FLING, though connections of the Galileo beaten favourite ALHAQUE might gain compensation on this occasion.
17.40
Northern trainers have a chance to bite back in the finale with the likes of TARTAN GIGHA and CHARTIST in the field, though Paul Cole's beaten favourite PRAVDA STREET catches the eye, especially as the trainer won a couple of races here at Catterick last year via just four raiders.
Exeter -- Wednesday 01/04/2009
Special Oliver Sherwood/Tony McCoy bet for Exeter:
1 point win each + 3 x 1 point doubles and 1 point each way treble:
CNOC MOY (14.40)--QUEL BRUERE (15.10)--PRINCE ZAFONIC (15.40)
14.10
Just three trainers in recent winning form with runners here and the pick of the trio might prove to be Gary Moore's four-year-old raider MINISTEROFINTERIOR. I tend to side with younger horses wherever possible believing them to at least hold some scope for improvement. NINETY NINE LOOKS (Jimmy Frost saddled last year's inaugural winner) is offered as the chief threat given that Ferrando has been off the track for over two years.
14.40
CNOC MOY has snared a medal of each colour via twelve hurdle races to date, whilst Tony McCoy takes the ride aboard the five-year-old for the first time which might galvanise Oliver Sherwood's raider to return to winning ways. Fellow five-year-old MORNING HEIGHTS might prove to be the main danger whilst QUADDICK LAKE completes my trio against the field. Mickmacmagoole is perfectly capable of winning this grade but seems to have lost the plot of late under this stiff handicap mark.
15.10
Tony McCoy teams up with Oliver Sherwood again via five-year-old QUEL BRUERE which is significant with Charlie Egerton having a runner in the contest (Burnswood) which Tony might have been expected to ride. If you take into account that Tony has ridden twenty-three winners for 'Edgy' in the last five years compared to just two for Oliver, you might catch my drift. CRESSWELL CASTLE in nominated as the main danger to QUEL BRUERE in the circumstances.
15.40
Edward Cookson is a seven pound conditional rider to have caught the eye of late having ridden two of his last six mounts to victory at the time of writing. Edward rides SO BRASH for Andrew Turnell on this occasion and the combimation should give investors a decent run for their money in this 'dead eight' event. LOWE GO is another runner down towards the bottom of the weights which might attract each way thieves, whilst the Sherwood/McCoy bandwagon at the meeting rolls on via PRINCE ZAFONIC.
16.10
Tony McCoy was not booked to ride REHTORICAL (or any other horse in the contest) at the time of writing which is surprising given that trainer Jim Best had saddled three of his last six runners to victory. Either way, the eight-year-old is given the green light by yours truly, offering CHERRYFICIAL and DREAMS JEWEL as the likely threats up the home straight. RHETORICAL could prove something of a strong wager if Tony has been booked to ride by the time you read this column.
16.40
The last eight winners have all carried weights of 10-13 or less whereby this self confessed anorak will include this year's two 'qualifiers' into the mix, namely ANNA PANNA and BOSAMCLIFF. TAYARAT completes my speculative trio against the field in the 'dead eight' contest. Three of the last four favourites have won this finale whilst the other gold medallist (last year) obliged at 4/1.
Wetherby -- Tuesday 31/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.40: CHRYSANDER
nb - 17.15: CAERLAVEROCK
14.00
HEROES is an interesting runner from Tim Vaughan's sussessful yard in a race which will not require a great deal of winning, especially by Wetherby standards. The thirteen length Fakenham winner KEYNEEMA cannot be ignored, whilst similar comments apply to beaten favourite INDEFENSIBLE and EMOTIVE.
14.30
This 'win only' event enforces yours truly to just one selection via his self imposed ruling, whereby Pat Haslam's raider HI DANCER is the call. Bow School is the only horse in the line up showing winning form of late, and Howard Johnson's eight-year-old is nominated as the overnight reserve.
15.05
Twelve of Chris Thornton's thirty-four runners this season have earned cheques for connections though the stats tell us that just two gold medals have been acquired by stable representatives. SMARTIES PARTY won for the yard on this type of ground at Sedgefield last time out and the trainer deserves better stats from a win perspective. SCALE BANK and WEE BERTIE are the potential party-poopers in the line up.
15.40
Evan Williams is the only represented trainer (of the five handlers assembled) to be regularly sending out winners at the time of writing whereby CHRYSANDER just about leaps off the page. The race is a tight one in every other respect howev er and I'll marginally call WEE FORBES as the chief threat on this occasion. The two horses mentioned in dispatches are far and away the youngest horses in the field for good measure.
16.15
SUNDAE BEST should represent lively opposition to the course and distance winner TERENZIUM is receipt of six pounds. The recent new kid on the block Ajimorag would receive the reserve call if a non runner reared its ugly head overnight/prior to flag fall.
16.45
Another 'short field' (a race for five, six or seven runners) to asses, though the two course and distance winners in the contest (CANADA STREET preferred to Manbow) might have trouble stopping PAIRC NA GCAPALL from following up his recent Huntingdon victory which was gained on decent ground.
17.15
Alan Swinbank suffered a rare odds on defeat in a bumper race in this event last year and connections of CAERLAVEROCK will be hoping for better luck this time around. Beaten favourite WAVE POWER might struggle to give a stone to the selection, whilst DOCTOR FOSTER completes my trio against the field.
Newcaslte -- Monday 30/03/2009
Best bets:
e/w - 16.40: ELLA WOODCOCK
nb - 14.40: MONGORNO
14.10
Not an opening race to get the hairs on your arms standing to attention but something has to win and my short list comprises of GLEN ROUGE, HARRISON'S STAR and FINBIN. I'm just grateful that sixteen runners have been declared whereby I'm allowed a fourth option which on this occasion is PAY ON. All four horses are offered up from an each way perspective as I'm sure you are aware given the lack of winning form on show.
14.40
Ferdy Murphy was producing consistent statistics until the new turf flat season came around on Saturday when things went pear-shaped for the trainer. MONGORNO could put the stable back on the right track now we are back to basics, with arguably only TOULOUSE EXPRESS and ROYAL HILARITY to beat. The 6/4 favourite fell in a four runner race in the only renewal of this event to date.
15.10
The last four winners have carried weights 11-7 or less, whereby my quartet against the field (given this eighteen strong handicap field) consists of GINGER'S LAD, LETHAM LAD, ARDESIA and SOLWAY SUNSET. The last five favourites have all been beaten though to be fair, I should point out that the winners ranged between 9/2 and 12/1 which could hardly be described as 'outsiders' in this competitive contest.
15.40
I've just discovered that Keith Reveley only ran forty-seven horses on the flat during the entire 2008 season whereby unlike mother Mary, Keith targets the NH code of racing by and large. BARDOLET represents the yard on this occasion with a definite each way claim. Most resistance might emerge via the recent Wetherby winner DANCING DIK and PRESQUE PERDRE who snared gold at Sedgefield just six days ago.
16.10
Sue Smith (SCOT'S MILL and PRESENTING ALF) and Ferdy Murphy (TRISONS STAR) are the only represented trainers to be sending out winners at the time of writing, whereby it might be worth including their somewhat speculative declarations from an each way and/or toteplacepot perspective.
16.40
Lucinda Russell has her team in winning form and with PROSECCO due a victory via his win-lose, win-lose consistency, Peter Buchanan's mount enters the overnight mix. Chris Grant snared a double on the Kelso card ten days ago and ELLA WOODCOCK might be worth an each way investment at potentially rewarding odds, whilst KARMADICE and PAINTED SKY could prevail on the best of their form.
Newton Abbot -- Sunday 29/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.00: SAMURAI WARRIOR
nb - 14.20: NOBODY TELLS ME
13.50
Philip Hobbs had saddled thirteen winners in the last fortnight at the time of writing and DESERT STORM has a realistic chance of improving the tally in this opening event. The form of the race in which FADE TO GREY 'unseated' when holding second place has received a subsequent boost given a further victory gained by Master Wells and provided the beaten favourite has got over his spill, FADE TO GREY should figure prominently again. APACHE DAWN could snare another toteplacepot position for connections without winning.
14.20
The recent Taunton winner NOBODY TELLS ME looks sure to take the beating again with one of the more proficient pilots in the field aboard, with ALROYAL and TOUCH OF FLAME offered up as the likely dangers, if any emerge during the contest.
14.50
David Pipe appears to have a strong hand having declared both KEVKAT and CRICKET BOY, though Philip Hobbs is likely to have a say in the finish via his improving five-year-old NEARBY. Thomas Lawrence adds some spice to the contest on his debut under this code of the sport, whereby Tim Vaughan's eight-year-old is offered up as the overnight reserve.
15.25
Although OH BRAGA is listed as a faller last time out, it's worth recalling that the Tom George raider capsized on landing rather than having made a fencing error and possibly going half a yard slower in this lesser contest, the seven-year-old is offered another chance. MARSH COURT comes to the party on a hat trick and Jamie Snowden's six-year-old would be likeliest benefactor should the selection tip up again. The recent Taunton winner DREAM FALCON looks booked for third spot this time around.
16.00
SAMURAI WARRIOR appears to be the proverbial blot on the handicap here, especially with Tony McCoy riding for David Evans. The combination don't pair up too often but when they do they win, as simple as that. Dangers? The hurdles I would suggest, though if the dream is to turn into a nightmare, STRATEGIC PLAN and MISS PHEOBE appear to be the potential benefactors.
16.35
A few in form trainers go head to head here but the likes of David Arbuthnot (VALLEY RIDE) and Oliver Sherwood (STRONG COFFEE) might dominate proceedings. The two trainers boasted stats of 7/21 in the previous fourteen days at the time of writing, figures which compare favourably to the ratio of 10/73 via the other represented handlers.
17.10
Using the same strategy as in the previous race, Alan King (VALLEYOFTHEDOLLS) and Vic Dartnell (CAOBA) hold the call over opposing trainers here, boasting a combined win percentage of 17.5 percent during the last fortnight against stats of 2.9 percent. SHENANIGAN is my ante post favourite to snare the bronze medal.
Kempton -- Saturday 28/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.00: CAPE EXPRESS
nb - 14.25: NOVERRE TO GO
13.50
All three winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more thus far whereby SAINT ARCH demands to be included in the mix, albeit that Mark Johnston's three-year-old handicappers are (understandably) burdened with a pound or two more than they might have been via another handler. NAWAADI (John Gosden) and AL SABAHEYA (Clive Brittain) represent in from yards and should not be far away at the jamstick. Only one of the three favourites has finished in the frame (no winners).
14.25
Still decidedly novicey despite five outings (though the good side of the negative statement is there is plenty of scope for improvement), Tom Dascombe's raider NOVERRE TO GO appears to be well treated here if we take the claimer's five pound allowance into account. The claim should bring the weight into the 'superior' section of the handicap according to the stats, which also brings DADDY'S GIFT and VERSAKI into the equation from an each way perspective. The inaugural favourite won this contest at odds of 2/1, though last year's 4/1 market leader was sunk without trace.
15.00
Four-year-olds have won six renewals during the last decade and vintage representatives are on a four-timer on this occasion. Six winners during the study period have carried weights of 9-1 or more (as have the last three gold medallists) and mixing the stats together creates a short list of CAPE EXPRESS, AZERGAN and WHITCOMBE MINSTER. Robby Bobby might run well at rewarding odds and is offered up as the overnight reserve.
15.35
A winner of two (similar) Listed events at the back end of last year, DANSANT comes to the gig as a leading player. John Gosden has declared plenty of horses over the weekend despite being over in Dubai and Nicky Mackay (rode a winner for the yard earlier in the week) comes in for the ride aboard BRONZE CANNON. HALICARNASSUS remains a class act on the best of his form and Mick Channon's five-year-old completes my trio against the field.
16.10
The sire Acclamation was responsible for several early winners last season and Kevin Ryan's juvenile OUT THE RING could be another of them. The race is pure guesswork aside from trainers and breeding of course, but I'll nominate BLACK DADDY and BOULD MOVER as the main threats and hope for the best. The three favourites to date have snared two gold and one bronze medal, whereby you might like the market to dictate your selection.
16.45
ABRAHAM LINCOLN is one of the most interesting runners contesting a race anywhere in Britain over the entire weekend. The ex Aidan O'Brien raider could hardly be representing a more in form yard than that of David Nicholls at the time of writing and his effort will be noted by yours truly. BENLLECH and REGAL PARADE might offer most resistance close home.
17.20
This finale reverted to type last year when a four-year-old scored on behalf of the vintage for the seventh time during the ten year study period. The 'Queen's Prize' used to be the 'second act' behind the 'Roseberry' at this meeting when the fixture was 'acclaimed' back in the old days and the pick of the junior raiders this time around might prove to be MESHTRI, WINE 'N DINE and BENHEGO.
Fontwell -- Friday 27/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.10: LAVENDER TRACK
nb - 17.05: INDEFENSIBLE
14.10
David Arbuthnot has won with three of his last six runners at the time of writing whereby the chance for his recent Taunton winner LAVENDER TRACK in there for all to see. As a previous course and (separate) distance winner, Andrew Thornton's mount will surely take plenty of beating. The other gold medallist CALL ME A LEGEND is the forecast call, though a novice racing student would make the same prediction.
14.45
Although I opposed the Alan King raider in the opening event, it appears difficult to leave BLAZING DESERT out of the mix here, even though I wouldn't back the five-year-old from a value for money perspective. LITTLE AL is preferred to Petito as the main danger.
15.20
Gary and Jamie Moore have teamed up to produce forty-seven winners here at Fontwell during the last five years and though SOLE AGENT might just lack the necessary pace to win this event, his each way claim has to be respected. More logical winners include GREEN GAMBLE and LAHARNA.
15.55
The Fontwell Executive should be pleased with this gathering which includes the useful dual purpose raider TAMARINBLEU, though the Pond House representative has not contested a race over timber for the thick end of two years. A winner of two of his twelve hurdle races down the years (has finished 'in the three' on seven occasions), this might be the right time to drop the nine-year-old back in class. That said, the improving six-year-old WARSAW PACT will not go down without a fight I'll wager, whilst HILLS OF ARAN, can never be discounted in this grade.
16.30
HIMBA held an entry at Towcester on Thursday but would come into this event with a decent chance if missing that engagement or being asked to run on consecutive days. TOSULA and SILVER STEEL are consistent types but lack finishing pace, whilst beaten favourite CARRICKMINES would be considered as a replacement for Himba should Nick Gifford's raider miss the gig.
17.05
Evan Williams is the only represented trainer sending out plenty of winners at the time of writing whereby his recent Plumtpon winner INDEFENSIBLE must be included in my mix. BORN WEST and YOU KNOW BRIDIE are two of the other younger horses in the line up which might have some scope for further improvement.
17.40
Five of Nicky Henderson's last nine runenrs have won whilst three of the other four have finished in the frame. There seems to be little reason in opposing BENARTIC in the circumstances, nominating LEMONADE JACK and PRESENTING JET as the main threats in the process.
Hereford -- Thursday 26/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.10: MASTER WELLS
nb - 16.20: JACK'S LAD
14.00
The Evan Williams team is back in full service and Evan's recent Fakenham winner NORDWIND might be able to repel the likely challenge from the Paul Nicholls raider PILGRIMS LANE. Fakenham form is not usually worth the paper it is written on away from the Norfolk circuit, but this is a weak race (even with a Nicholls representative in the line up) which will not take a great deal of winning.
14.35
Dai Burchell has saddled two of his last four runners to winning effect at the time of writing, whereby his course and distance winner NICK'S CHOICE has to be offered an each way chance, even in his fourteenth year. AMRON HILL and PRAIRIE SPIRIT might offer most resistance on this occasion.
15.10
The only favourite was beaten at odds of 10/11 two years ago (finished third) but MASTER WELLS could put the record straight for fancied horses here by following up his recent Exeter winner. Haddon Frost remains fair value for his three pound claim and with trainer Jimmy Frost back amongst the winners, MASTER WELLS could take the beating. The Lycett team won the only renewal to be contested to date whereby SPIRITWIND is offered an each way chance by yours truly, possibly alongside STARSTRUCK PETER who looks to be well in according to the official ratings.
15.45
Paul Nicholls saddles a few of his 'lesser lights' at the meeting though it could be argued that his raider RIPPLING RING only has course winner MOUNT BENGER to beat in this contest. Sod's law results in one of Paul's usual pilots Christian Williams riding MOUNT BENGER on this occasion whereby the improving pilot could thwart the Ditcheat based representative.
16.20
Only Tony McCoy has ridden more winners than Richard Johnson at Hereford in the last five years (44-40) and Richard has an opportunity of biting back here via his mount JACK'S LAD who comes to the gig as a beaten favourite. The course winner is given another chance in this grade/company, possibly having recent gold medallists BATTLEFIELD and ZORRO DE LA VEGA to beat close home.
16.55
Tommy Spar gets into this Hunter Chase event on a favourable mark but Peter Bowen's five-time winner has seemingly lost the plot of late, whereby safer selections might include REFLECTOR, RED MAN and GAZUMP who could be fancied from an each way perspective if chalked up at the relevant odds.
Kempton -- Wednesday 25/03/2009
Best bets:
e/w - 20.20: APHRODISIA
nb - 20.50: STRIKEMASTER
18.50
An interesting opening event with newcomers CHRISTINA ROSSETTI and KEFALONIA definitely considered in the mix, possibly alongside HAAKIMA who arguably boasts the best form of the experienced runners in the line up. Clive Brittain's raider was last seen contesting the 'Rockfel' at Newmarket which is a million miles away from this Class 5 event.
19.20
What makes this 'dead eight' race difficult to assess is the form (or lack of form) of the represented trainers. That said, HIGHLY REGAL comes to the gig on a five-timer having won four of his fifteen races to date. HAWAANA and DINNER DATE would attract interest from each way thieves if priced up accordingly.
19.50
The Refuse To Bend newcomer NEGOTIATION will be of great interest in the paddock as John Gosden builds his team up towards the 'Lincoln' on Saturday where his fancied raider Expresso Star has been all the rage. The rest of this race is guesswork in all honesty, especially as none of Richard Hannon's regular race winning pilots have been booked to ride SECRET HERO. Pat Dobbs is a 'work-rider' in the main which suggests the Cadeaux Genereux could simply be 'out for the airing'. TIME MEDICEAN recovered from a tardy start to run well at Southwell and would figure at the business end of proceeding if breaking on terms, likely as not.
20.20
Ian Williams has his team in decent nick whereby course winner APHRODISIA cannot be ruled out of the equation at the time of writing. ESEEJ will be on the short list of many punters coming to the party on a hat trick, whilst course and distance winner IMPERIAL HARRY represents dual license holder David Pipe with definite each way claims.
20.50
Three of the front four horses in the market filled the frame in the first running of this event twelve months ago (13/8 favourite prevailed), whilst five of the first seven horses to finish were drawn in the highest stalls (10-14). Beaten favourite STRIKEMASTER is well housed (9/12) this time around if you take the draw scenario seriously, whilst each way claims relating to ALITTLEMOREFLAIR and FLEUR DE LION are further buoyed by stall positions (ten and eight respectively).
21.20
Let's hope all eight runners go to post offering racegoers each way opportunities for those that have got themselves 'into jail' during the course of the meeting. MILNE BAY, BRANDYWELL BOY and PETER ISLAND could all succeed at win and place odds.
Sedgefield -- Tuesday 24/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.00: RAS LAFFAN
e/w - 16.00: NICOZETTO
14.30
Jumping is the name of the game and if PRESQUE PERDRE can polish up his act, this race looks there for the taking. BARASHI steps up in trip (by three furlongs) and would be some sort of threat if able to see out the distance at full speed, whilst those looking for a speculative each way punt could do worse than consider JUST POSH who at least knows how to win a race which is more than can be said for the majority of this field.
15.00
Donald McCain (RAS LAFFAN) has saddled five of his last thirty-six runners to winning effect, which compares favourably again the other represented trainers who 'boast' figures of just 3/39 by comparison. SPRINKLER might offer most resistance close home whilst TROY STEPS completes my trio against the field.
15.30
Favourites (of one description or another) have won all four renewals to date, and fancied runners such as BEHERAYN, PROFESSOR HIGGINS and MASTER NIMBUS should take plenty of kicking out of the frame.
16.00
Horses carrying next to no weight have won both contests thus far and in NICOZETTO, runners down at the foot of the handicap have a half decent representative. SYCHO FRED is adding conistency to his game these days which is of great help to win and place investors, whilst I'M YOUR MAN is arguably the pick of the five course and distance winners in the line up.
16.30
Four of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (three winners) to date whilst the last four gold medallists have carried weights of 11-0 or more. Lucy Horner continues to offer good value for her five pound claim whereby HASANPOUR could be another winner for the pilot, though AJAY boasts definite each way claims via the form of the represented trainers at present. TEN CARAT is due to come good again very soon and the projected fast ground suits the nine-year-old.
17.00
Last year's 15/8 favourite was narrowly beaten in the inaugural running of this finale, and fancied runners should offer investors a good run for their collective monies, namely NOUVEAU MAIRE and SMART CAVALIER, whilst JUPITER'S FANCY is the closing each way call.
Kempton -- Monday 23/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.25: PATSY FINNEGAN
nb - 15.15: SUPREME DUKE
14.20
Providing his confidence has not been shot to pieces by a recent fall, YOU'RE THE TOP should be able to pick this lot up and carry them over the line. WADE FARM BILLY and MR LOGISTICS are the logical dangers, but neither horse shoulg get to within three or four lengths of the projected favourite if Nicky Henderson's inmate hurdles fluently.
14.40
Nicky Henderson (DREAMY SWEENEY) and Philip Hobbs (BALTHAZAR KING) have saddled twenty-three winners between them in the last fortnight, compared to an aggregate of three via the other represented trainers.
15.15
Henrietta Knight is struggling to saddle winners at the time of writing whereby the favourite in the trade press (Soixante) could be worth taking on. SUPREME DUKE is preferred to Tarotino given that the fourth runner in the line up Cave Of The Giant should be outclassed.
15.50
PEPSYROCK could be another short priced winner on the card for the Seven Barrows (Henderson) team though in all honesty, I wouldn't consider a serious punt on any of them albeit they should all go close. There is little by way of opposition on this occasion however, the pick of which might prove to be BLACK HILLS and RANDWICK ROAR.
16.25
Consecutive 'dead eight' fields should have 'thieves' sited in betting shops up and down the land, though PATSY FINNEGAN might take some beating from a win perspective in this event. The best of the each way (bet to nothing) raiders might be ARCTIC MAGIC and LAUSTRA BAD.
17.00
As a bookmaker in a previous life, I could fancy taking on some of the Kempton favourites on Monday, whereby SESAME RAMBLER and SYNCOPATED RHYTHM are speculative calls against the likely market leader Power King.
17.30
The price about FINIAN'S RAINBOW will be dictated (to a fashion) by the previous Nicky Henderson runners on the card, whereby trebles and accumualtors could upset the books for many layers in the land. Either way, the likes of fellow newcomers CALUSA SHADOW and MR VALENTINO should shake up the projected market leader down the home straight.
Huntingdon -- Sunday 22/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 17.10: SAGA DE TERCEY
nb - 15.10: LORD ALFRED
14.10
A winner of two of his ten races on turf on the level and with Tony McCoy riding HORSEFORD HILL on this occasion, Nicky Henderson's newcomer might score at the first time of asking. SAVIOUR SAND is the each way call in the contest whilst TRACHONITIS might also go well at rewarding odds.
14.40
GREENWICH MEANTIME is one of the more interesting newcomers to hurdling over the course of the weekend though it has been the thick end of two years since gaining his last success, albeit the victory in question was the Chester Cup. Alan King's raider faces three previous winners in the contest whereby this is not the easiest introduction the nine-year-old could have been offered. BERGO is expected to be the party-pooper on this occasion.
15.10
Eight-year-olds have won three of the last six renewals (the vintage is on a hat trick on this occasion) whereby the lone representative LORD ALFRED is included in my mix alongside PAIRC NA GCAPALL from the in form Neil King yard. The last six winners have carried weights of 11-4 or more and my pair are the only 'qualifiers' in this renewal.
15.40
Recent winners DANTARI and GUNNADOIT both receive over a stone from CRASHTOWN HALL at the top of the weights and the three scorers are good enough to represent yours truly against horses that flatter to deceive on a regular basis.
16.10
Tony McCoy continues to ride at the top of his form and YOSSI looks certain to give the champion jockey another decent ride. MASTER CHARM makes some appeal despite having to give weight all around, whilst GIZMONDO completes my trio against the field.
16.40
KIKOS is not a certain starter at the time of writing though I could fancy the seven-year-old to run well if given his chance. GENERAL LEDGER would be the alternative selection whilst AMERICAN WORLD should snare another toteplacepot position at the very least. ORTEGA would be added to the mix if KIKOS swerves the contest.
17.10
We enter Alan Swinbank territory in the closing bumper event whereby SAGA DE TERCEY has to enter the equation, whilst HI TIDE and MAYOR OF KILCOCK should offer potential investors a decent each way run for their collective monies.
Newbury -- Saturday 21/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.50: JAUNTY FLIGHT
nb - 14.20: THEATRE DANCE
13.45
We still await the first winning favourite following six renewals of this opening event whilst five gold medallists carried weights of 10-11 to date. The Erhaab filly KIJIVU is given a chance at potentially rewarding odds (half the winners have ranged between 9/1 and 20/1 down the years), though I appreciate that horses such as DANTARI and OKAFRANCA might appear more likely winners via the form book. Reblis is offered up as the overnight reserve.
14.20
Three of the last four winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more and I expect the trend to be extended via the likes of THEATRE DANCE TOM SAYERS and KING HARALD who are preferred in the order as listed. That said, CAVA BIEN is the potential party-pooper down towards the foot of the weights and it will be difficult to leave Tim Vaughan's raider out of the equation. Strawberry landed the next race on the card twelve months ago but could be weighted out of this event.
14.50
Seven-year-olds lead the eight-year-olds 5-4 via the last nine renewals and all five vintage representatives hold definite chances of extending the impressive run. JAUNTY FLIGHT, SHATABDI and PYLEIGH LADY make most appeal, especially as all nine gold medallists carried weights of 11-1 or less.
15.30
Although the bottom four horses are all out of the handicap, the recent Warwick winner PURE GENIUS only sits sixteen ounces the wrong side of the barrier and David Pipe's representative can go close in this grade, especially as six-year-olds come to the gig on a five-timer. Vintage representatives have won seven of the last nine contests, stats which also bring DANCINGWITHBUBBLES and RAVELLO BAY into the equation. Although only one of the last six renewals has fallen the way of the favourite, five gold medallists were returned at odds of 15/2 or less.
16.05
Three of the last five winners overcame penalties to score and RIVERSIDE THEATRE can follow suit in a disappointing turnout for a half decent prize. The recent Fontwell winner ASTRODOME and dual runner up SUPER DIRECTA could hardly be described as surprising nominations as dangers, but it's difficult to see anything else becoming involved at the business end of the contest. Marc Aurele was beaten over sixty lengths on his Doncaster debut and will have to improve considerably to bustle up the likely favourite.
16.40
RAYSROCK and RUSSIAN FLAG are the only recent winners in the field and both horses are fancied to run well in their respective attempts to 'follow up'. Coach Lane qualifies to run well according to the weight stats, but the eight-time winner has never won off a mark this high. All four favourites have finished out of the frame thus far.
17.15
OSCAR WHISKY represents Nicky Henderson's local yard though Donald McCain has won the two renewals to date and the northern trainer attempts the hat trick with his Pilsudski gelding RED RELOADED. DOCTOR FOXTROT completes my trio of newcomers against the nine experienced runners.
Kelso -- Friday 20/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.35: ACCORDING TO JOHN
nb - 14.20: GILSLAND
14.20
GILSLAND is officially rated a good few pounds clear of this field and I'm inclined to agree with the weights and measures officials on this occasion. SIRKEEL might offer most resistance if standing up this time around, whilst BIG BURROWS completes my trio against the field.
14.50
Sue Smith has saddled more then her fair share of winners of late and in MILL SIDE, the trainer holds a live each way chance in the contest. That said from a win perspective, younger horses such as RAZOR ROYALE and ROLE ON make more appeal. Chief Dan George might well win again, but will probably represent poor value for money, hence the opposition to James Moffat's potential favourite.
15.25
This is a poor race in all honesty whereby beaten favourite YOULUCKYMAN might be given another chance, though speculative each way calls make more appeal, namely SLEEPY HILL and MISS COLIMA, though I will not be visiting the Building Society to make a hefty withdrawal during the morning.
16.00
Ferdy Murphy had a relatively quiet Cheltenham Festival by his high standards but the trainer could post another score via his Carlisle winner LE ROI ROUGE, though connections might like some rain to fall overnight. The chance for DALDINI to notch the hat trick is there for all to see, though CAST IRON CASEY boasts a decent 3/11 ratio and could be given a chance if stripping fit in the paddock following a long break.
16.35
This is a case of comparing a horse which has realised its full potential (KING BARRY) against two runners that promised so much as novice chasers, namely ACCORDING TO JOHN and WILD CANE RIDGE. At ten years of age, ACCORDING TO JOHN could yet emerge as a winner of a half decent event, but connections will have been frustrated down the years owning a horse with so much raw ability.
17.10
I'm a little surprised that Donald McCain didn't target a better race for the decent ex-flat racehorse THUMBS UP following a thoroughly good effort on his Doncaster debut over timber. Pulling for his head for most of his effort first time up, a confirmed faster gallop would surely have suited Luca Cumani's ex inmate. That said, the four-year-old might have learned from his inital experience and Donald knows far more about this game than I ever will. Potential dangers here include CASUAL AFFAIR and LEGION D'HONNEUR.
17.40
MONSIEUR SUB, CHICAGO OUTFIT and KING PENDA are interesting recruits and are listed in order of preference. I would be disappointed if at least one of the trio mentioned in dispatches failed to finish in front of the seven experienced runners who have run moderately to date despite snaring some place money between them.
Kempton -- Thursday 19/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 19.50: PRINCE CHARLMAGNE
ew - 21.20: COMPTON CLASSIC
18.50
TORCH OF FREEDOM is well in at the weights here though we have to take his stamina on trust hailing from a sprinting pedigree. I've shot myself in the foot via my self imposed single selection in these win only events, but as far as potential is concerned, TORCH OF FREEDOM should get us off to a winning start.
19.20
CRAG PATH strikes me as the best each way option on the contest, though the likes of ONEMIX and COMING BACK should be in contention inside the final furlong. Fillies are dangerous horses to back at the best of times however, especially on these cold spring evenings. Treat the race with caution in the circumstances.
19.50
Gary Moore's six-year-old course and distance winner PRINCE CHARLEMAGNE comes to the gig on a four-timer and having taken on a new lease of life, the gelding might take some stopping with the handicapper needing to up the ante to bring the winning run to an end. DAN TUCKER and the recent Lingfield scorer SHANAFARAHAN might offer most resistance this time around.
20.20
The competetent pilot Amy Baker offsets recent penalties relating to JAKE THE SNAKE on this occasion whereby Tony Carroll's raider could win his third race from six starts this term. With no less than six course and distance winners in opposition however, this race will be his toughest to date and the pick of the rivals might prove to be MILLFIELD and DINNER DATE.
20.50
Course and distance winner ARABIAN SPIRIT must have a leading chance if stripping fit in the paddock, whilst SALTAGIOO has fitness on his side and can run well for the Marco Botti yard. The Dr Devious raider has finished 'in the two' (even split) ten times via twenty-three starts and looks sure to figure prominenelty in the betting, and in the race itself.
21.20
This 'dead eight' event will have potential 'thieves' scouring the form, searching for potential each way bets to nothing in the 'lucky last'. Course and distance winner COMPTON CLASSIC might best fit the bill, whilst PERLACHY and GILDENSTERN will rightly receive their share of attention (from a win perspective) in a fascinating finale.
Warwick -- Wednesday 18/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.50: WEST END ROCKER
nb - 15.25: GOLD AWARD
14.20
Philip Hobbs has won the only two renewals he has contested as a trainer whereby VALEMOUNT has to be considered overnight, especially as Philip won with the only five runners he saddled throughout the country on Monday, snaring a 54/1 accumulator in the process. LINDEMAN is the fairly obvious alternative whilst LIGHT ENTERTAINER is offered up as the each way call.
14.50
WEST END ROCKER finally came good for this columnist and trainer Alan King last time out at Doncaster, and though connections would have been eyeing a Cheltenham Festival event six months ago, this prize will have to do by way of compensation. That said, this is a tough enough event given the venue and I'll nominate SOUND ACCORD as the chief threat.
15.25
GOLD AWARD receives plenty of weight from fellow scorers ELK TRAIL and ENFANT DE LUNE, and the concession should make the difference between victory and defeat for Nicky Henderson's six-year-old raider. I can't look beyond this trio, even though the in form Philip Hobbs yard is represented by the newcomer AEGEAN PRINCE.
16.00
Eight and nine-year-olds have equally shared the last four renewals of this event whereby the likes of DILLAY BROOK, BEAUCHAMP PRINCE and BRUMOUS are marginally preferred to BALLYGALLEY BOB at the time of writing. Just one of the five favourites has scored to date though all five winners have scored at odds of 11/1 or less, which is not a bad record in this competitive type of event.
16.35
Six-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick whilst favourties have won two of the three contests to date. The pick of the four six-year-olds this time around should prove to be FIGURITA and GOURANJA, though Ian Williams has his team back in winning form whereby REASONTOBECHEERFUL should not be far away at the jamstick. Pearl is offered up as the overnight reserve.
17.10
The course and distance winner NO SUPPER finally came good at the twelfth attempt last time out and with Tim Vaughan achieving miracles with this type of horse on a regular basis, the Inchinor gelding might be good enough to follow up just ten days later. Roddy Greene 'retired' what seems to be age ago now but the lightweight pilot still offers plenty of assistance from the saddle and NEW RACKHEATH is expected to reward each way investors, whilst a claimer in the saddle aboard WISE OWL is an interesting move via trainer David Pipe.
17.40
WILD IS THE WIND is attempting to break a strangle-hold that the 'old-timers' have in this contest, as horses aged ten or more have secured all eight contests. The 2005 Cheltenham Gold Cup runner up TAKE THE STAND might best represent the veterans on this occasion.
Kempton -- Tuesday 17/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.05: CHINA GOLD
e/w - 16.50: SUMDANCER
14.00
Six-year-olds have won both contests to date and the in form yard of Jonjo O'Neill saddles the only vintage representative on this occasion, namely ELLEN STREET. I will be adding Tony McCoy's mount into the mix, though CONFLICTOFINTEREST should emerge as another winner for the Paul Nicholls team. Second favourites have prevailed to date whilst one of the two market leaders secured a toteplacepot position.
14.30
Eight-year-olds made a clean sweep of the inaugural running twelve mionths ago when securing the first three places and BALLYMAN is the only vintage raider this time around. There are three last time out winners in the field, the pick of which should prove to be SHAKE THE BARKEY and SOPRANO who are listed in order of preference at the time of writing.
15.05
The two 9/4 joint favourites pulled clear of their field when fighting out the finish to the first running of this contest twelve months ago and I guess that CHINA GOLD and OVERTLY BLUE will be prominent in both the betting and in the race itself. OVERTLY BLUE comes to the party as a beaten favourite but could be worth another chance, though equally, CHINA GOLD has won around this quick circuit which is worth a length or three without any question of doubt.
15.40
Both favourites have finished out with the washing to date though five of the six toteplacepot positions were secured by horses ranging between 11/2 and 10/1 in the betting. Six-year-olds have claimed three of the available win and place positions and both EARTH DREAM and KARASAKAL should represent the vintage to decent each way effect from down the bottom of the weights. The Hairy Lemon ran with no zest last time out (sorry for the play on words) whereby I fancy stable companion (and course and distance winner) NIKOS EXTRA as the main danger to my speculative pair against the field.
16.15
Jonjo O'Neill could hardly have his team in better form (eleven winners in the last fortnight at the time of writing) and though RAPID INCREASE cannot be offered with great confidence given his latest form, Tony McCoy's mount should go close in this modest contest. That said, DOMINICAN MONK represents another in form trainer in David Arbuthnot and this pair might dominate proceedings close home.
16.50
Seven-year-olds have won both renewals to date, and though this year's lone vintage representative SUMDANCER wouldn't be the first horse inked in for this event, this self confessed anorak will keep each way options open about the gelding. The two five-year-olds in the line up have a lot going for them however and both GREEN BELT ELITE and SPANISH CONQUEST should go well.
17.20
Fancied horses tend to rule Hunter Chase events these days, and there will be plenty of support for the likes of course and distance winner JURADO EXPRESS here, alongside NIPPY DES MOTTES and NYRCHE.
Hereford -- Monday 16/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.40: ZAZAMIX
e/w - 15.40: SUPER JUDGE
14.10
None of the represented trainers are in great form at the time of writing, whereby stakes should be kept to a minimum. GLIMMER OF LIGHT demands to be included in the mix given that the nine-year-old has at least won a race of late, whilst FORTUNE POINT and GUNS OF LOVE are offered up as each way alternatives.
14.40
ODDSHOES catches the eye especially with Richard Johnson booked to ride. FFOS LAS DIAMOND is rated as a threat with Tony McCoy riding for Nicky henderson, whilst CALAFICIAL completes my trio against the field.
15.10
It's just as well that I have four bites of the cherry here with seventeen runners potentially going to post. Once again (on a disappointing card) this is not a race in which to invest too many funds, and the quartet nominated are HEIR TO BE, HEEZAGREY, ENCHANTED APPROACH and ANOTHER PRESENT, who represents a yard that (fortunately) pulled off a coup at Southwell on Sunday.
15.40
This is the type of race I like (ten runner handicap) to assess, albeit I appreciate that bookmakers tend to boost their profits via such contests. SUPER JUDGE is running consistently from an in form yard, whilst both CHABRIMAL MINSTER and CHIARO should give each way investors a good run for their collective monies.
16.10
DEEP PURPLE took a few chances with his fences at Sandown last time out, though this less demanding circuit offers the eight-year-old another winning opportunity. I wouldn't back the Evan Williams raider at odds on however, so I will wait until nearer flag fall before committing myself. DIVINE GIFT could have the race run to suit and the Fakenham winner appears certain to become competitive over the last two or three fences.
16.40
TZORA would have been the call in over fifty per cent of novice races run at Hereford but in ZAZAMIX, the Philip Hobbs raider meets a likely type who looks set to make a name for himself in the game. The Sagamix gelding won a half decent event at Newbury (certainly in the context of this event) and with Tony McCoy in the saddle the four-year-old warrants the nap selection. Newcomer DINGBAT looks booked for third spot in a warm race by Hereford standards.
Carlisle -- Sunday 15/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.00: HOCKENHEIM
nb - 15.05: LE BEAU BAI
14.00
HOCKENHEIM represents the in form yard of Howard Johnson and the terms and conditions of the event suit the eight-year-old. Timmy Murphy in the plate can only be regarded a positive bonus. Sue Smith has her team in even better nick, whereby PASS THE CLASS is offered up as the main danger at potentially rewarding odds.
14.30
This potential 'dead eight' event will attract thousands of theives and the likes of WEE GEORGE, NORMINSTER and WORK BOY make more appeal than most.
15.05
A half decent Class 3 event which has disappointingly turned into a win only contest whereby I'm allowed only one bite of the cherry via self imposed rules. LE BEAU BAI is best in according to official figures and Richard Lee's raider might just get the better of Mount Sandel close home.
15.35
The term 'the sublime to the ridiculous' hardly sums up the difference between the previous race and this contest but my word this is a poor contest. POLOBURY and MINSTER ABBI are nominated. Next!
16.10
Back to another Class 3 event thankfully, which asks many questions which only the people who attack the race from a 'bet to nothing from an each way perspective' might be able to answer given the 'dead eight' declarations. Six of the eight runners boast 'recent' winning form and the pick of the trio might prove to be PACCO, FIFTY-FIVE DEGREES and TEENANDO.
16.40
SUPERROLLERCOASTER gets in at the top of the offical ratings in this 0-90 event, which respectfully, shows how poor this race is. Oliver Sherwood's nine-year-old has to have a chance however, similar comments which arguably apply to both SCOTT'S MILL and THE MAYSTONE.
Uttoxeter -- Saturday 14/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.10: ACORDEON
nb - 17.20: ABERDALE
14.05
Overnight rain would be a bonus for connections of JUST SMUDGE and the beaten favourite is offered another chance by yours truly in the opening event. Both NICTO DE BEAUCHENE and APATURA DIK boast reasons for support whereby this trio will do for me against the field.
14.35
This column was written before the last day at the Cheltenham Festival was contested, whereby Alan King might have put a frustrating week behind him. Either way, KING'S REVENGE could go well for the stable, whilst others to peruse overnight include THE SHOE and SANGFROID.
15.10
Tom George kept his powder fairly dry at the Cheltenham Festival given the magnificent form of his yard, but patience is very much a virtue and the trainer can be rewarded via KILCREA ASLA for which Tony McCoy is a significant booking. The Midlands Grand National rarely comes down to one horse however, and the trio I am most frightened of are COMPENARO, RUSSIAN TRIGGER and APPLEADAY.
15.40
It's difficult to ignore the calims of JE NE SAIS PLUS who represents the Tom George yard off bottom weight and the five-year-old looks a genuine each way outsider to consider. FIENDISH FLAME represents the Donald McCain yard which won this race last year whilst the speculative call BALTIC PATHFINDER completes my trio.
16.10
I very much doubt that the Henderson horse ACORDEON will prove to be anywhere near as good as their winner Punchestowns in this event last year, but the five-year-old looks difficult to beat in the context of this opposition. QUIVER HILL and OUR HERO should offer most resistance given that Ogee is pretty much exposed now.
16.45
David Evans will have his juveniles ready for the new flat season and it's worth noting that he haS Tony McCoy booked aboard his runner RASH MOMENT in this contest. Daryl Jacob is still suffering nightmares following his 'execution' at the hands of the champion jockey when he was beaten close home by Wichita Lineman and the underrated pilot has the chance for small compensation here via MIGHTY MOOSE, though it could be a close run affair again between the two riders. MARUFO is offered up as the main danger to the pair.
17.20
ABERDALE wouldn't be one of the leading lights relating to the five-year-olds under Jonjo's care, but with Tony McCoy hanging on to ride in the finale, we can expect an encouraging effort. The Chepstow winner SECRET STASH is the obvious danger (albeit on potentially different ground) whilst the Philip Hobbs raider BONAVENTURE is an interesting newcomer.
Cheltenham -- Friday 13/03/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Cheltenham on Friday:
13.30: Master Of Arts
14.05: Moves Goodenough
14.40: Cape Tribulation
15.20: Exotic Dancer and Madison Du Berlais
16.00: You Do The Math and Limerick Boy
16.40: Big Eared Fran and Oscartello
17.15: My Petra and French Opera
Fakenham -- Friday 13/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.15: GRASP
nb - 16.55: BEDIZEN
14.20
Seven-year-olds have won two of the last three renewals of the opening contest (additionally securing two toteplacepot positions in the process) and IRIS'S FLYER and KEYNEEMA should represent the vintage to decent effect. Let's hope that all sixteen runners stand their ground whereby MISS PHEOBE and PRINCESS STEPHANIE (won the race two years ago) are added to the overnight mix.
14.55
David Arbuthnot raids the Norfolk venue to great effect and VALLEY RIDE can improve the tally further still with only four (moderate) horses to beat. Three of David's last seven horses had won at the time of writing. PAIRC NA GCAPALL is preferred to Federstar given the fact that Neil King also has his team in good nick.
15.35
For all that just seven runners are scheduled to face the starter, this race is difficult to assess and I can only offer two specualtive and tentative nominations, namely HIGH OSCAR and course and distance winner LEOPOLD.
16.15
The Flook yard is famous for its runners between the flags leading to these Foxhunters events under NH rules. Not represented at Cheltenham in the Foxhunters at Cheltenham on Friday, the yard seek much easier pickings here via their seven-year-old raider GRASP. STROOM BANK is offered up as the alternative selection.
16.55
Six-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals (vintage on a hat trick) and BEDIZEN is the lone representative this time around. PICKY won his only race under this code on decent ground and Tom Messenger's mount could go close if stripping fit in the paddock following a four month break from the track.
17.30
I'm intrigued that Tim Vaughan has declared JARDIN DE VIENNE at Fakenham on Friday as the trainer will surely be at Cheltenham to saddle Little Shilling, the gelding having won two of his current unbeaten run of six races at this course. NORDWIND must be regarded as the biggest danger whilst four-year-old DR BRASS represents the vintage which has won seven of the last ten contests.
Cheltenham -- Thursday 12/03/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Cheltenham on Thursday:
13.30: Exmoor Ranger & Tranquil Sea
14.05: The Very Man & The Sliotar Placed 33/1
14.40: Imperial Commander Winner 6/1
15.20: Big Bucks Winner 6/1
16.00: Notable D'Estruval Placed 8/1 & Pop
16.40: Pretty Star Placed 16/1 & Brooklyn Breeze
Hexham -- Thursday 12/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.15: ZAFFARELLA
nb - 14.55: CATCH BOB
14.20
It's 'shoot myself in the foot time again' as my self imposed 'one selection only' ruling in win only races applies, whereby THE DUKE'S SPEECH gets the nod. Last year's beaten favourite was the first market leader not to win via six renewals to date.
14.55
Ferdy Murphy saddles the selection in the opening event and is also responsible for CATCH BOB who attempts to follow up for yard that snared gold in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago. REINDEER DIPPIN and MICK FLAVIN might take most beating on this occasion.
15.35
John Quinn's yard is in good form whereby BELLANEY JEWEL might serve up some sort of challenge to OVERLADY, though the joint top weight might take the beating attempting the hat trick. Capybara would go close if the ground dried up, but the youger horses are preferred this time around.
16.15
The last eight winners have carried weights of 11-3 or less, whereby beaten favourite ZAFFARELLA has a chance to atone for the recent defeat. SOLWAY SUNSET and PIMBO LANE are others to consider from the right end of the handicap according to the stats.
16.55
Horses with next to no weight have run well in this event, and the duo fancied against the other five runners are MISTRAL DE LA COUR and NEIDPATH CASTLE. Six favourites have been beaten since the 2/1 market leader prevailed back in 2002.
17.25
Seven and eight-year-olds have equally shared the eight recent renewals and the trend might continue via the likes of QUAY MEADOW, STONERIGGS MERC and ZAFFIE PARSON. Four of the last six market leaders have won whilst the biggest priced winner was returned at 11/2 in 2007.
Cheltenham -- Wednesday 11/03/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Cheltenham on Wednesday:
13.30: Parsons Pistol & Fair Point
14.05: Quwetwo
15.20: Well Chief 2nd, 12/1
16.00: Ninetieth Minute & Mirage Dore 1st and 2nd, both 14/1
16.40: Ronaldo Des Mottes & Higgy's Boy
17.15: Henry King
Huntingdon -- Wednesday 11/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 17.30: BORN TO PERFORM
nb - 16.55: DOUBLE THE TROUBLE
13.45
VIABLE and CHALICE WELCOME represent yards with good records in this event of late and both horses are included in my overnight mix. Jonjo O'Neill is the represented trainer in form, whereby WINGED ARROW cannot be ignored, irrespective of the fact that the seven-year-old will need to improve to snare the gold rosette.
14.20
Two of the three favourites have finished in the frame to date (one winner) and CALL ME A LEGEND looks certain to figure prominently in the market and in the race itself. I'm in awe of trainers like Alan King who manage to find opportunities for their 'lesser lights' when the Cheltenham Festival fixture is being contested. LINDY LOU and ALLFORTARA might offer most resistance on this occasion.
14.55
Log On Intersky looks hopelessly weighted out of the contest but BORN WEST certainly makes some appeal given the fact that three of the four winners of this event have carried weights of 10-4 or less. LESCER'S LAD only sits four pounds above the 'superior' weight barrier and must be considered, whilst AUTUMN RED completes my trio against the field. All four favourites have been beaten to date whilst two of the market leaders have finished in the frame. The four winners have scored at 25/1-16/1-10/1-8/1.
15.35
This event dropped its 'selling status' last year whereby the race is fairly new on the calendar according to Weatherby's who dictate what are considered 'new races'. The fact that the contest raised the bar from 0-90 to 0-100 (same distance--same vintage rulings) suggest that we can look back at trends that were devloping before the goalposts were moved. Horses at the very top of the top of the handicap have run well whereby LATALANTA is considered alongside the likes of GUNNADOIT, ROMNEY MARSH and RAMVASWANI.
16.15
Older horses have a tend to run well in this contest from a win and place perspective, whereby I'll opt for DOUBLE OBSESSION, BLAZE AHEAD and DOMENICO against the other seven contenders, albeit the trio is not writeen in order of preference as there is no order of preference in such a modest event!
16.55
Gary Moore and Andrew Turnell are the represented trainers in form whereby their respective raiders SWIFT SAILOR and DOUBLE THE TROUBLE should win the race between them. Muhtenbar is woefully one paced whilst Henrietta Knight is struggling to saddle winners again, albeit this column was written before the opening day of the Cheltenham fixture had been contested.
17.30
TUTTO BENE arguably sets the moderate standard via the eight experienced runners to date, though connections of both BORN TO PERFORM and HOPEAND would be surely be disappointed not to breeze by those horses even at the first time of asking.
Cheltenham -- Tuesday 10/03/2009
Horses that might represent value for money from an each way perspective at Cheltenham on Tuesday:
13.30: Go Native & Medermit 1st and 2nd
14.05: Tartak & I'msingingtheblues
14.40: Tot O'Whiskey & Cailin Alainn
16.00: Heads Onthe Ground
16.40: Give It Time & Carole's Legacy
Sedgefield -- Tuesday 10/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.45: ELZAHANN
nb - 16.15: WHATCANYASAY
13.45
Although both favourites have been beaten into second place in this contest to date, the first three in the betting have secured all six win and place positions thus far. Horses towards the front end of the market expected to go well this time around include ELZAHANN, POKANOKET and MOLLY RODGERS. ELZAHANN represents Ferdy Murphy who has secured gold and silver medals in this contest via just the two runners to date.
14.20
Both favourites have prevailed whilst five of the six available toteplacepot positions were claimed by horses within the first three runners in the respective markets. The likes of EASBY MANDARIN and QUINCY DES PICTONS will probably dominate both the market and the race this time around. PADDYMCGINTYSGOAT looks booked for third spot.
14.55
Brian Ellison saddled the runner up (beaten a neck) in the inaugural running of this contest which fell to the favourite twelve months ago. Brian saddles MARCH MATE this time around with a leading chance, and I'll nominate KARMADICE and HABANERO as the chief dangers.
15.35
Five-six-seven-year-olds have dominated this event during the last seven years and the pick of the relevant raiders this time around are BURNSWOOD, MORNING SUNSHINE and JANAL.
16.15
Both (11/4 and 15/8) favourites have finished down the field though three of the five available win and place positions were claimed by horses ranging between 11/4 and 4/1. Older horses have enjoyed the best of results to date whereby last year's winner WHATCANYASAY, SANDS RISING and THE HEDGE can give their respective supporters decent performances for their collective investments.
16.55
WINDY HILLS would be well up to winning this event if stripping fit in the paddock, whilst others in the toteplacepot mix include PARADISE BAY and BENNY BOY. This is the only new race on the Sedgefield card. It's not a 'new race' in real terms as a Hunter Chase event has been contested on the card in each of the last two years, but when there is a change of distance, the race becomes a new result as far as the powers that be is concerned.
17.25
Alan Swinbank has farmed this bumper event by winning both renewals to date, and doubly represented on this occasion by SOUTHERN WATERS and SAGA DE TERCEY, stable supporters should pay for today's wagers via this event. JUST JOHN is the potential party-pooper in the line up.
Taunton -- Monday 09/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 17.20: NEARBY
nb - 14.20: SPARKLING MONTJEU
14.20
Venetia Williams has found a realistic opportunity for her Red Ransom filly RED AND WHITE to go close, though George Baker's Catterick winner SPARKLING MONTJEU could take some topping, even giving weight away all around. George had saddled three of his last ten runners to winning effect, though softening ground might present connections with more problems that her opponents here. SHE IS A CRACKER completes my trio against the field in the opening event.
14.50
All five winners to date have carried weights of 10-13 or more which suggests that Catch The Stars will struggle, whereupon my two horses against the other trio are QUILLAN HILL and RAYSROCK. Both runners need to return to last year's form to snare this event, but this race will not take a great deal of winning.
15.20
Thundering Star appears to good to be true from a toteplacepot perspective whereby the Paul Nicholls raider will represent poor value for money. MARWAN, SOULARD and ANOTHER DISPLAY are nominated, albeit in tentative fashion.
15.50
YA I KNOW will get his head in front one day, but it is becoming something of a gamble trying to predict when that successful scenario will occur. The Oscar gelding is blinkered for the first time following eleven defeats to date, though to be entirely fair to the eight-year-old, YA I KNOW has finished 'in three' on five occasions. COUSIN NICKY is the potential party-pooper this time around.
16.20
The Venetia Williams team is showing signs of just going off the boil at the wrong time but that said, GREEN BELT ELITE should be there or thereabouts in this grade/company. BOLLITREE BOB would be the each way call if I could be certain the going was not going to be too testing by the time that flag fall arrives. NOVARRA is raely far away these days and investors should enjoy a decent each way run for their money.
16.50
Four of the five winners to date have carried weights of 11-5 or more whereby MISS MIDNIGHT and CHUQUICAMATA must be included in my mix, even though claiming jockeys are set to take the respective burdens below the 'barrier stats'. CUSP completes my trio against the field.
17.20
NEARBY has to be the call as the five-year-old appears to be the horse which has dictated Richard Johnson's chosen meeting on Monday. A couple of the horses at the top of the weights look fully exposed now, whereby MARINO PRINCE and TAYARAT could reward each way investors.
Market Rasen -- Sunday 08/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.15: SYCHO FRED
nb - 15.45: PARADISE EXPECTED
14.15
The three horses which filled the frame in last year's inaugural running carried weights of 10-12 or less, whereby I'm content to offer an each way chance to course and distance winner KARATHAENA in a race which will not take a great deal of winning. More logical winners towards the top end of the handicap include 'recent' winners LAWGIVER and MORE LIKE IT.
14.45
As a winner of two of his six races over timber to date, PHOUDAMOUR holds an obvious chance of improving his tally in such a weak contest. Jonjo O'Neill should be congratulated for finding another winning opportunity and having won on good and soft ground to date, PHOUDAMOUR should successfully concede weight to his thirteen rivals. That said, Henry Daly saddled the only winner of this race to date whereby QUENTIN COLLONGES should run well, whilst stable companion DONT FORGET BOB completes my trio against the field.
15.15
Eight-year-olds have won four of the six renewals (including three of the last four) and the lone vintage representative SYCHO FRED can add to the tally. All six winners have carried weights of 10-4 or more, which also brings IT'S LIKE THAT and PASS THE CLASS into the equation.
15.45
Lucy Wadham has her team in good nick (three winners form her last ten runners at the time of writing) whereby DIARIUS holds each way claims, though Tim Vaughan had found a quick opportunity for PARADISE EXPECTED to notch a double within the space of six days. TOULOUSE EXPRESS could easily snare another toteplacepot position despite his lack of a finishing kick.
16.15
Horses carrying 11-3 or more have won four of the last five contests and my trio against the field comprises of MINELLA BOYS, DUCKY LORD and BALLYCARNEY, even though the last named contender sits four pounds below the 'superior' weight barrier according to the stats.
16.45
Seven of the eight winners to date carried 11-2 or more and Henry Daly appears to have the race cornered with MY MOMENT and SUNSETTEN being the only two runners supposedly the right side of the weights. Both horses have won this season, whilst the other 'recent' gold medallist SPRINGFIELD RAKI offered up as the main threat to Henry's pair.
17.15
Five-year-old CRYSTAL PRINCE has time on his side to create a favourable impression and with only LAHARNA boasting impressive recent form, Tom Siddal's mount might represent each way value for money, even in this 'short field'. Imminent Victory looks booked for third place.
Chepstow -- Saturday 07/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.35: THEATRE DANCE
e/w - 14.25: TRAFFIC CONTROL
14.25
Tom George has his team in outstanding form at present and with Quick Fix now seemingly a non-runner, the way is left clear for TRAFFIC CONTROL to represent the stable to each way effect. The Nicholls pair KING FONTAINE and PICTURE THIS appear to be the main threats.
15.00
This is one of the worst races you are ever likely to see, whereby I can only offer a spectulative and tentative quartet against the field, namely WALTHAM ABBEY, BESHAIRT, LEPRECHAUN'S GOLD and SIR PANDY.
15.35
Eight-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick and as I have instated a self imposed ruling that I can only mention one horse in 'win only' events, THEATRE DANCE is given the call via two vintage representatives.
16.10
The last four winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more which conveniently rules two of the six runners out of the equation if you take the stats seriously. The top weighted pair OUR JASPER and PASS ME A DIME makes some appeal and are listed in order of preference.
16.45
Alan King has saddled a remarkable thirteen winners in the last fortnight which offers investors of SILVER SPINNER tremendous confidence, even in this competitive event. An each way wager makes sense providing those bookie chappies (as John McCririck calls them) chalk up win and place odds about the selection. WALAMO, SARROCOCCA and MAGNIFICO are offered up as alternative selections, especially from a toteplacepot perspective.
17.20
AYURVEDA is suggested as the each way call in the 'lucky last' representing another in form yard that raids Chepstow on Saturday, whilst JOHNS SQUARE and FOURPOINTONE will not go down without a fight in my considered opinion.
Leicester -- Friday 06/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.15: GERSHWIN
e/w - 15.05: BORN WEST
14.30
The conditions of this novice steeplechase event suggests that Banoge and ET MAINTENANT should get the better of TEENANDO close home, though it might be a close run event between the trio. I prefer the highlighted horses on account of the heavy going however, which might go against Banoge this time around.
15.05
Terms for this steeplechase for 'beginners' suit the Howard Johnson raider CHECKERBOARD though the six-year-old would not attract 'mortgage money' from my perspective. Wee Geroge might run well at a price with Sue Smith's team in form, though TARTAN SHOW is a more logical winner via the form book.
15.40
I normally curse my self imposed ruling of mentioning just one horse in these 'win only' events, though JAUNTY FLIGHT jumps off the page in the context of this opposition. Oliver Sherwood is the only represented trainer to be sending out regular winners at the time of writing which adds confidence.
16.15
Eight and nine-year-olds have equally shared six of the seven renewals to date whereby the likes of MITCHEL HENRY and MAGE D'ESTRUVAL will represent yours truly in the contest. That said, I'll have to add last year's winner SUPER ROAD TRAIN to the overnight mix, given that Sue Smith has trained two of the last three winners of the contest. Although only two favourites have prevailed, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at 15/2.
16.50
Although SMART THINKER has shown his best form on soft ground, I'm not at all sure than connections will have wanted the ground to have become heavy leading into the contest. That said, the eight-year-old is the only 'recent' winner in the line up and trainer Ferdy Murphy invariably gets his horses ready to run for their lives when the Cheltenham Festival appears on the horizon. SUPERROLLERCOASTER and MISTRAL DE LA COUR are nominated as the chief threats.
17.25
HOLLOWS MILL has won two of the last three renewals of this finale and did not come to the gig twelve months ago which makes the record perfect! The ground has come right for the old-timer who cannot be ignored in this grade/company. NORMINSTER and THIEVERY are the potential party-poopers in the line up.
Carlisle -- Thursday 05/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.50: HOLLOWS MILL
nb - 16.20: SMART THINKER
14.10
The conditions of this novice steeplechase event suggests that Banoge and ET MAINTENANT should get the better of TEENANDO close home, though it might be a close run event between the trio. I prefer the highlighted horses on account of the heavy going however, which might go against Banoge this time around.
14.40
Terms for this steeplechase for 'beginners' suit the Howard Johnson raider CHECKERBOARD though the six-year-old would not attract 'mortgage money' from my perspective. Wee Geroge might run well at a price with Sue Smith's team in form, though TARTAN SHOW is a more logical winner via the form book.
15.15
I normally curse my self imposed ruling of mentioning just one horse in these 'win only' events, though JAUNTY FLIGHT jumps off the page in the context of this opposition. Oliver Sherwood is the only represented trainer to be sending out regular winners at the time of writing which adds confidence.
15.45
Eight and nine-year-olds have equally shared six of the seven renewals to date whereby the likes of MITCHEL HENRY and MAGE D'ESTRUVAL will represent yours truly in the contest. That said, I'll have to add last year's winner SUPER ROAD TRAIN to the overnight mix, given that Sue Smith has trained two of the last three winners of the contest. Although only two favourites have prevailed, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at 15/2.
16.20
Although SMART THINKER has shown his best form on soft ground, I'm not at all sure than connections will have wanted the ground to have become heavy leading into the contest. That said, the eight-year-old is the only 'recent' winner in the line up and trainer Ferdy Murphy invariably gets his horses ready to run for their lives when the Cheltenham Festival appears on the horizon. SUPERROLLERCOASTER and MISTRAL DE LA COUR are nominated as the chief threats.
16.50
HOLLOWS MILL has won two of the last three renewals of this finale and did not come to the gig twelve months ago which makes the record perfect! The ground has come right for the old-timer who cannot be ignored in this grade/company. NORMINSTER and THIEVERY are the potential party-poopers in the line up.
Lingfield -- Wednesday 04/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.40: CHJIMES
e/w - 16.10: GREEN AGENDA
14.10
An inauspicious start to the meeting whereby even moderate horses such as BOLD DIVA, LANCASTER LAD and last week's Kempton winner SHARPS GOLD must all come under consideration. The other recent winner Fairly Honest is nominated as the overnight reserve.
14.40
The last four winners have all carried weights of 9-4 or more whilst seven of the last nine gold medallists were burdened with a minimum of 9-2. Just three horses qualify via the weight stats in this 'dead eight' event and NORTH PARADE, APCHE FORT and PHEONIX FLIGHT are written in order of preference. Four favourites have prevailed since the turn of the century, whilst eight of the nine scorers were returned at odds of 6/1 or less.
15.10
Tom Dascombe had won with five of the last thirteen runners he had saddled at the time of writing whereby course winner SIR LIAM would have to enter the mix alongside the recent Sir Mark Prescott winner ROUGH SKETCH. Few trainers can 'ready up' winners to score quickly again than Mark who has a knack for keeping horses sweet when they are doing the business on behalf of the yard. STOOP TO CONQUER completes my trio against the field
15.40
Just one filly has prevailed via seven renewals which would eliminate the bottom seven horses if you take the stats seriously. The pick of the fillies for those that want to see the trend bucked might prove to be JAWAAHER. HEAD DOWN and FANTASTIC DUBAI might represent the lads to best effect. Two of the last five favourites have won, the biggest priced winner during that spell being returned at 11/2.
16.10
Only Mark Johnston of the represented trainers is sending out regular winners just now, though I readily admit it is difficult to go overboard about the chance of his runner here, namely GREEN AGENDA. The Anabaa gelding was well backed (100/30) on his debut when making little impression before contesting two warm maidens before this step up to handicap company. It's difficult to know if the handicapper has weighted the horse or the trainer, though you leave a Mark Johnston three-year-old out of the equation at your peril. SUNSHINE ELLIE might be an outsider to consider with Martin Dwyer aboard, though DAILY DOUBLE is a more logical winner of the contest.
16.40
All six runners are course and distance winners which offers no assistance whatsoever, though CHJIMES is running at the top of his form just now and Conor Dore's Fath gelding is a winner of five of his eleven races at this venue. THOUGHTSOFSTARDOM is the latest horse to receive the benefit of Kelly Harrison's useful five pound claim and the six-year-old is nominated as the chief threat to the selection.
17.10
The two course and distance winners in the line up will do for yours truly against the field in the finale, namely LORD CHANCELLOR and LADIES DANCING. Both trainers (Mark Johnston and Jamie Osborne respectively) are sending out winners at the time of writing and their inmates can offer investors a decent run for their collective monies.
Newcastle -- Tuesday 03/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: MARLEYBOW
nb - 17.20: VIOVONA HILL
14.20
Five-year-olds have won both renewals to date and MAGELLAN STRAITS should represent the vintage to good effect. That said, course and distance winner STEADY TIGER looks sure to take the beating whilst LORD LARSSON is preferred to Ockey De Neulliac as third best on this occasion. Favourites have secured gold and silver medals to date, whilst it took a 100/1 chance to prevent a clean sweep for market leaders thus far.
14.50
All four horses which claimed toteplacepot positions twelve months ago carried weights of 11-2 or less and OPTIMUM sits bang on that weight with a chance this time around. Ground conditions might have dried out to much for recent winner Zaffarella, whereby LONG DALE and VICARIO are preferred as dangers to my each way selection. The 9/2 favourite scraped into fourth place in the inaugural running of this event last year in a sixteen-runner handicap event.
15.20
Only Howard Johnson (MARLEYBOW) is sending out winners as a rate of knots via the represented trainers and the six-year-old is fancied to gain his first steeplechase victory at the third attempt. A winner of two of his six races to date, MARLEYBOW scored on decent ground on both occasions and Denis O'Regan can warm up for Cheltenham week with a winner. ROSIE ALL OVER is nominated as the chief threat.
15.50
Both favourites have occupied the runner up berth to date and potentially fancied horses expected to run well here include George Moore's pair AVIATION and PRESQUE PERDRE, whilst KINGSBEN and PEARSON GLEN are also expected to figure prominently in the final half mile of the contest.
16.20
Five-year-olds have won both renewals to date, whilst market leaders have snared gold and silver medals in the process. Sue Smith's BALTIC PATHFINDER might be the pick of the six five-year-olds, whilst the 'recent' scorers MERRYDOWN and MIGHTY MOON cannot be overlooked at the overnight stage.
16.50
One of the two favourites secured a toteplacepot position via last year's winning 4/5 chance. A Ferdy Murphy 'improver' lurks down at the bottom of the weights as DE BOITRON attempts to follow up his victory over OR DE GRUGY at Catterick on soft ground last time out. Sue Bradburne's seven-year-old meets DE BOITRON on ten pounds better terms for a six length defeat but as a five-year-old, Graham Lee's mount might imrpove again and confirm the placings.
17.20
Regular readers will not be surprised to learn that Alan Swinbank's bumper raider VIVONA HILL figures high on my list, despite having to give upwards of ten pounds to his eight opponents. The Overbury gelding looks worth backing again, even though the top weight has been off the racecourse for over two months. Course and distance winner BISHOPS HEIR and the Howard Johnson newcomer RIVER MUSIC are feared most.
Stratford -- Monday 02/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.30: RAINCOAT
nb - 15.30: RESTLESS D'ARTAIX
14.30
Five-year-olds have won both renewals to date, as have market leaders which were sent off at 9/4 and 2/1. It seems beyond belief that what was a joint favourite of the French Derby in his year (RAINCOAT) should be lining up for a 'two-bob' race at Stratford less than two years later! John Gosden's raider finished well down the field at Chantilly and flattered to deceive a great number of times during his flat career, albeit in the context of this race, he would surely represent a 'penalty kick' (sorry Tottenham supporters) if able to put in a clear round of jumping. RIDDLEOFTHESANDS and CASTELLINA should follow the favourite home.
15.00
Tony McCoy is riding with supreme confidence just now and SAM WHISKEY is the latest horse to reap the benefit of the champion jockey from the saddle. Andy Turnell is sending out winners of late and READY TO CROWN must represent something of a threat whilst RISK is an interesting declaration given that Tony rode Darkness to win for trainer Charlie Egerton at Newbury on Saturday. This is the second division of the opening race, whereby the same stats obviously apply.
15.30
RESTLESS D'ARTAIX must represent a bet here as he beat The Package at level weights at Plumpton last time out and David Pipe's raider nearly won Newbury's big steeplechase event at Newbury on Saturday. LEADING CONTENDER is set to receive six pounds here however which should bring the two horses close together. This is the only new race on the Stratford card.
16.00
Richard Johnson rode an 8/1 winner for his guv'nor Philip Hobbs in the inaugural running of this event twelve months ago when the 7/2 favourite finished well down the field. The combination is represented by FARMERS CROSS on this occasion though like Warsaw Pact last year, his chance is not overly obvious. Beaten favourite TRANSVESTITE is a more logical winner whilst simlar comments apply to ARCHIE GUNN.
16.30
Tim Vaughan had saddled a winner and three placed horses via his last eleven runners at the time of writing and PARADISE EXPECTED should secure a cheque of some descrition for connections in this moderate event. GLENDA HODDLE and BUNDLE UP are likely to offer most resistance close home. The 9/2 favourite departed early when brought down in the first running of this event last year. The frame was filled by horses returned at prices of 5/1-22/1-8/1.
17.00
Only Charlie Longsdon of the represented trainers is sending out regular winners at the time of writing whereby GREAT TSAR has to be included in my mix. MIGHTY MOOSE is up to winning this at his best even though his pace is of the one dimension type these days. STRIDENT completes my trio against the field. The 2/1 favourite was beaten by the thick end of three lengths when finishing second in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago.
17.30
Four-year-olds swept the board in the first running of this event last year when the 2/1 market leader finished out of the money back in fourth place behind a 3/1 winner. The Moscow Society gelding RED ROUBLE could prove to be the pick of the five vintage representatives on this occasion, especially as the Nigel Twiston-Davies yard has shown a distinct sign that it is returning to form of late. That said, FRASCATI PARK looks well above average, whilst STRATFORD SOLDIER would not have to be the brightest star in Jonjo's yard to score in receipt of weight.
Musselburgh -- Sunday 01/03/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.30: CARAVEL
nb - 16.00: FESTIVAL KING
14.30
Although asked to give seven pounds and more away, CARAVEL will have to win in the style of a good horse if he is to take up his 'Supreme Novices' entry the week after next. SPEED UP might offer most resistance if completing the course, otherwise CASUAL AFFAIR should follow the favourite home.
15.00
CATEGORICAL and GUNS AND BUTTER (both coming to the gig as beaten favourites) could hardly be described as punters best friends but there is no denying that both horses have decent chances of atoning for recent losses. Course and distance winner JOHNNY ROCHE has been off the track a long time but Howard Johnson has found a realistic race for the seven-year-old to contest.
15.30
Four of the top six horses in the handicap are course and distance winners and I expect the winner to emerge from this group. CALCUTTA CUP, JOE JO STAR and ALONG THE NILE will do for me against the field.
16.00
Timmy Murphy is an eye catching booking for the bottom weight FESTIVAL KING who comes to the party on a hat trick. PERCUTANT and KYBER are other 'recent' winners in the field which should give potential investors a decent run for their money.
16.30
None of the represented trainers could be described as enjoying particularly good form at the time of writing, whereby limited stakes are the order of the day. My speculative and tentative trio against the other ten runners are NELLIEDONETHAT, STRAVIGIN and HOCKORY LANE. Keep plenty of that powder dry with Cheltenham on the horizon.
17.00
Alan Swinbank's bumper horses simply have to be considered, especially when money rears its ugly head on the morning of relevant events. You are in a better position than yours truly regarding the chance of NICK THE DREAMER, albeit the declarations of the two C/D winners HILLVIEW BOY and HUNTERS BELT will ensure that NICK THE DREAMER is not backed off the boards.
Doncaster -- Saturday 28/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.35: WEST END ROCKER
e/w - 15.25: UNGARO
13.50
The last four winners of this typical Doncaster opening event have carried weights of 11-2 or more, which eliminates the bottom six horses if you take the stats seriously. The quartet that make some appeal in a competative (in uninspiring) event are PAKTOLOS, GRANDAGE, HARRY THE HAWK and DARK GENTLEMAN. Alan King (Paktolos) also saddles Indicible if you fancy the trends will lead punters astray on this occasion. Just one (2/1) favourite has prevailed via seven renewals to date, accompanied by winners returned at 25/1-25/1-20/1-11/1-9/1-15/2.
14.25
Five-year-olds carrying 11-2 or more filled the frame in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago and LAKE LEGEND, CARNDONAGH and BORDER REIVER possess ticks in both boxes and should win the race between them.
14.55
Sue Smith doesn't pass up the opportunity to run her stayers at venues north of Watford very often, and having won this race twice in the last three years, the each way chance of inmate LEAC AN SCAIL is respected. The Ditcheat raider IROQUOIS WARRIOR will no doubt attract plenty of support whilst beaten favourite FAIROAK LAD might be worth another chance in this grade. We still await the first winning favourite following six renewals but that said, the biggest priced gold medallist was returned at just 11/2.
15.25
It sounds strange to include last year's Grand National winner in amongst other 'disappointing' types in this event, but the National aside, COMPLY OR DIE would not have been described as a horse realising his undoubted potential before Aintree's event. The rest of the field flatter to deceive on a regular basis, the best of which on this occasion might prove to be UNGARO and OUT THE BLACK.
16.00
With four beaten favourites in this bumper event, 'disappointing' might be the word to use again, though connections of LIDAR, STEPTOE and KOSTA BRAVA should be congratulated for offereing their respective horses a chance of atoning for recent losses.
16.35
My self imposed ruling of selecting just one horse in win only events often comes back to haunt yours truly, but WEST END ROCKER will surely gain the spoils here if he is ever going to win a race over the larger obstacles. Alan King's inmates are running well which adds confidence at the time of writing.
17.10
ELA RE beat four opponents when landing this finale twelve months ago. This is a far better race however, as Sue Smith's raider won off a mark of 120 last year, but comes to the gig this time off 127. That said, ELA RE won off 129 when landing a Cheltenham event in April which looks good in the context of this event. BEGGARS CAP receives weight from all eight opponents which makes for interesting reading, whilst course and distance winner KING DANIEL completes my speculative trio against the field.
Fakenham -- Friday 27/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: KNOW THE LAW
nb - 13.50: COOL ROXY
13.50
Having secured ten of his eleven victories here at Fakenham, COOL ROXY is obviously the first horse to mention and connections should be congratulated for finding another winning opportunity for the twelve-year-old. Fellow course and distance winner THE DARK LORD has at least two ways of running, constantly frustrating punters into the bargain. That said, Lucy Wadham's joint top weight retains plenty of ability and must be regarded as the potential party-pooper in the line up.
14.20
Tony McCoy is riding at the top of his form right now (fourteen of his last thirty-five rides have produced winners) and YOU KNOW BIRDIE might represent value for money in the race which is not usually the case as far as Tony's mounts are concerned. GOURANGA deserves a victory but at the thirty-first attempt, would you back the six-year-old to break his duck?
14.55
FORTY FIVE comes to the party on a hat trick and is the reason for Tony McCoy's appearance at the Norfolk venue. Having gained his two victories and two runner up achievements (via eight renewals to date) on ground ranging from good through to soft, conditions should be ideal for Jonjo's seven-year-old. GUNNADOIT is offered as the forecast/alternative selection call.
15.30
Nicky Henderson has found an ideal opportunity for his Danehill Dancer gelding KNOW THE LAW to score at the first time of asking. GLOUCESTER and CHALICE WELCOME set a very ordinary standard via the six experienced horses in the line up and Nicky would surely be disappointed if his five-year-old failed to deliver the goods on his debut.
16.00
Drying ground would add to the chance of DIVINE GIFT, but Tony McCoy's agent Dave Roberts appears to have secured a decent book of rides for the champion jockey, whereby BLACK BEAUTY can be another winner for A.P. on the card.
16.35
CUNNING CLARETS must prove that he can handle half decent ground as well as he managed bad conditions at Newcastle on his debut, but the fact that Tony McCoy rides for Ferdy Murphy here is surely significant as Jim Best also saddles a runner in the race. The champion jockeys often rides for Jim, whereby we can presume that CUNNING CLARETS is well fancied to go one better on his second start. Connections of FERULA should be congratulated for finding a winable race for their debutant whilst GOSPEL SPIRIT should reward each way investors.
Taunton -- Thursday 26/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.00: PREDATEUR
nb - 16.30: QOZAK
14.30
The race that SPECIAL OCCASION won at Wincanton looked a decent affair and it's worth noting that the front pair finished well clear of their rivals. The previous Listowel winner will have no trouble with softening conditions (if they occur) as the Paul Nicholls raider ploughed through the mud to socre in Ireland before landing on these shores. VODKA BROOK and SONG SUNG BLUE should follow the five-year-old home on this occasion.
15.00
Paul Nicholls has won both renewals when the yard has been represented and this year's declaration PREDATEUR has been threatening to win a race in the style of a decent horse for some time now. It's his 'last chance saloon' as far as yours truly is concerned however, nominating QUICKBEAM and LANCASTER SOUND as the likeliest dangers.
15.30
Having won three of the last five contests, Paul Nicholls grabs the headlines again and course and distance winner GULLIBLE GORDON is impossible to ignore at the overnight stage, especially as Paul has saddled the silver medallists on the two occasions where the yard has missed out. CAST CADA is the fairly obvious forecast selection.
16.00
Six-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals (seven-year-olds have won the other two contests), whereby PROPHETE DE GUYE, SHAKE THE BARLEY and SOUTHERN EXIT are offered against the field.
16.30
Philip Hobbs has saddled two of the last seven winners of this race and the popular trainer saddles both QUINZ and PADDYS HONOUR with each way chances on this occasion. Win and place odds will probably be chalked up about the Hobbs raiders, as Paul Nicholls has declared his course winner QOZAK. Paul has saddled two five-year-olds to winning effect in this event in recent years, and guess which vintage Qozak represents?
17.00
Polly Gundry does not frequent the saddle under rules as often as she used to, but she remains one of the best amateur riders to get the leg up and KIAMA has to be included in the overnight mix. TWENTY DEGREES and GRASP can be classed as alternative selections.
17.30
Five and six-year-olds have shared the four renewals to date, having claimed eight of the thirteen win and place positions in the process. CRYSTAL PRINCE, DANNY ZUKO, CAVALRY TWILL and MARCHAND D'ARGENT are four of the five vintage representatives and I would be surprised if less than two of the quartet offered each way supporters a decent run for their money. Investors who enjoy perming horses in forecast and tricast wagers might make a profit in the finale.
Kempton -- Wednesday 25/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 19.20: FORTY THIRTY
nb - 20.20: EMIRATES WORLD
18.50
Another in the 'hands and heels' series which attempts to make jockeys out of young pilots without the necessity to resort to using the whip, even though the riders can carry the tool during the race. The recent scorers TECKTAL and LYTHAM are course and distance winners that look sure to go close, whilst KING GABRIEL makes the most appeal from the horses listed as each way alternatives in the contest.
19.20
Beaten favourite FORTY THIRTY would surely win this in a hack canter if learning to settle better during his races though either way, Mick Channon's three-year-old should beat his rivals on these terms. Fellow junior raider SOUL SINGER receives two stones from the pair of five-year-old top weights in the line up, the pick of which should prove to be CARDINAL JAMES.
19.50
A tight little five runner race to assess with the weights and measures officials splitting the field by just four pounds. Claiming events such as this often produce a horse that jumps off the page but that is not the case in this instance, with only marginal preference going to RAVI RIVER and YES ONE. Let's hope for a true run race.
20.20
The 'three-year-old maestro' is back in town as Mark Johnston saddles EMIRATES WORLD with another winning chance following a conclusive victory at Lingfield over this seven furlong trip last time out. AULD ARTY is equipped with cheekpieces for the first time despite winning last time out which is something of a surprising move by trainer Terry Mills. The fact that the Lingfield winner has finished second on four occasions via eight starts suggests that the move is perfectly understandable.
20.50
Each way thieves will come out of the shadows for this 'dead eight' event which offers plenty of opportunities for horses to be backed from a win and place perspective, where any lost win money should be regained by a selection finishing in the frame. The best of the potential horses to home in on here are (arguably) JUST THE LADY, SONG OF PRAISE and PERFECT CLASS, though I doubt that the required odds of 5/1 will be chalked up about the Clive Cox raider.
21.20
I doubt that too many of the potential thieves for the previous race will hang around for this competative finale which is high on numbers but short on class. Beaten favourite AMBER MOON will surely win a race soon, though the potential party-poopers on this occasion might prove to be GAMBLING JACK and MR REV.
Catterick -- Tuesday 24/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 17.10: SIR MULBERRY HAWK
nb - 15.10: SUPER BABY
14.10
The pilots are every bit as important as the horses in these amateur events, whereby my tentative trio against the field comprises of ALLORO, RAS LAFFAN and GIN MILL.
14.40
Another poor race whereby we could mourn the adverse conditions of a week or so ago when we were subjected to a diet of all weather racing. Upwards and onwards in positive mode however by nominating BOBTANTE, LOCKSTOWN and FINLAY'S FOOTSTEPS to run well from an each perspective alongside KINFAYRE BOY.
15.10
Course and distance winner and beaten favourite SUPER BABY arguably brings the best recent credentials to the gig, though both STAGECOACH AMBER and WHATCANYASAY possess enough ability to become involved in the finish.
15.40
Alan Swinbank saddles a couple of horses that have flattered to deceive until now, but both PRIDE OF GDANSK and SIR TANTALLUS HAWK have enough time of their side to win races between them, especially under the care of an astute trainer. Whisky Magic is not without a chance having disappointed on bad ground last time out, but the concession of weight might find the Howard Johnson raider out, whereby newcomer KARMEST is offered an each way chance at the first of asking over timber.
16.10
Half decent ground is the requirement for course winner GREAT APPROACH to give of his best, though the Nicky Richards raider faces tough opponents here in CHIEF DAN GEORGE and ANLICISME. CHIEF DAN GEORGE was running in the World Hurdle this time last year before going chasing where the beaten favourite has finished in the three on all three occasions.
16.40
Trainers are baffling individuals at the best of times, but when they ignore strong trends I become annoyed when I hear the handlers bleating about the lack of prize money in the sport! Five-year-olds have won four of the six renewals of this event but the vintage is conspicuous by its absence of representatives. Have a look at the way Paul Nicholls targets his runners and you will soon realise why he is the champion trainer. DIPPY DUCK, A BIT CHANCY and TEVIOT LASS might have to fend off ROMNEY MARSH close home, not that I expect all sixteen runners to line up to face the starter!
17.10
Five-year-olds dominated the finish in the inaugural running of this bumper event twelve months ago and I expect a similar scenario to occur, probably via the likes of SOUTHERNESS, EXCITING CAR and SIR MULBERRY HAWK.
Hereford -- Monday 23/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.00: CARRICKBOY
nb - 14.30: CALAFICIAL
14.30
Alan King appears to be timing his Cheltenham challenge to perfection and CALAFICIAL could be another winner for the yard. The Lingfield winner looks sure to come on in the context of this opposition and 'Choc' Thornton can ride yet another winner for the stable. TUSKAR ROCK looks the obvious threat whilst each way investors might take an interest in Ellen Street who would be a much shorter price if a certain jockey was in the saddle.
15.00
BOB'S TEMPTATION could be the each way steal in the contest given that the first three horses home in last year's inaugural running of the contest carried weights of 11-1 and less. That said, CONNY NOBEL could be a good few pounds ahead of the handicapper judged on his Chepstow victory at the weekend. Drying ground is the worry for anyone steaming in to back the five-year-old at a skinny price. MYSTIC KING is the speculative win and place call for those requiring a big priced winner to fund their Cheltenham ante-post bets. Whilst we're on that subject, don't forget that just two favourites obliged at last year's festival.
15.30
Although Paul Nicholls didn't have things all his own way at Fontwell yesterday by any means, his horses are running well in general terms and LEMANVER HOMERUN should add to the trainer's tally in this event. The Nicholls yard won the first running of this contest last year and a follow up is on the cards. MUHTENBAR is offered up as the speculative forecast/alternative call.
16.00
CARRICKBOY is very much ahead of the game right now and though OLDRIK and RIPPLING RING are half decent horses in their own respective rights, the five-year-old has to be the call until beaten.
16.30
David Pipe has inherited Martin's talent for spotting decent opportunities for average horses, comments which sum up the chance of QUILLYGHAM in this event. NEARLY A BREEZE seldom runs a bad race and could prove to be an each steal at around the 14/1 mark, whilst win and place thieves will also peruse the prospects of LADY SAMANTHA and (possibly) QUAY MEADOW. Will sixteen runners go to post? Don't bet on it!
17.00
Philip Hobbs has a good record in bumpers (better than most anyway), whereby GIODANO BRUNO should run well, offering DAALOOB and SPRINGTREE as alternative suggestions.
Towcester -- Sunday 22/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.35: TIZZY BLUE
nb - 17.05: GUYDUS
14.30
OLVINIO was given a spin around Lingfield's twelve furlong track a few weeks back which might have blown the cobwebs off the eight-year-old who had previously been absent from the racecourse since August 2006. Others to consider in a moderate event include BETHEBESTYOUCANBE, SHERBERT LEMON and MISS PHEOBE. The last three favourites have finished in the frame though we still await the first winning market leader following four renewals.
15.00
Course and distance winners are always worth a second glance at this vanue, especially when they have prevailed under these heavy conditions. That said, both KILVERGEN BOY and NEIL HARVEY will have their work cut out to keep tabs on AACHEN who looks a well above average type whereby his five Cheltenham Festival entries come as no surprise whatsoever.
15.30
Eight-year-olds come to the gig on a hat trick whilst trainer Venetia Williams has snared two of the four contests to date. Eight-year-old FOURBALL represents last year's winning trainer Jonjo O'Neill and the Sadler's Wells gelding might have most to fear from the Williams raider PIPO DE RE on this occasion. Two of the renewals have been won by favourites to date, the biggest priced winner having been returned at 6/1.
16.05
Beaten favourite RAMVASWANI might be worth another each way play in this grade, albeit more logical winners of the contest might prove to be STICK TOGETHER, ELSIE'S PRIDE and GO HARVEY GO. This is a new race on the Towcester card.
16.35
TIZZI BLUE is the only course winner in the (short field) line up and though conditions might be more testing than would be ideal, Carl Llewellyn has his team back in winning form and this seven-year-old has finished 'in the three' six times via eight starts (winner on two occasions). TASTES LIKE MORE has terms and conditions in his favour and though Donald McCain's seven-year-old is fully exposed this season, another cheque (of some description) for connections appears to be there for the taking.
17.05
Six-year-olds have won three of the four renewals to date and both ALORA MONEY and DOURYNA should run well on behalf of the vintage. Beaten favourite GUYDUS could hardly be presented with an easier opportunity to make amends for her Uttoxeter defeat on her debut.
Newcastle -- Saturday 21/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.35: BELON GALE
nb - 16.00: BEST LOVER
13.50
Only nine runners are scheduled to face the starter but this a teasing little opening event on the Eider Chase card. Six of the last eight winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more which helps to phase three runners out of the equation, and SILVER BY NATURE, JACK THE BLASTER and DALDINI might best represent the sextet which are left at the right end of the handicap according to the stats.
14.20
Seven-year-old PROSECCO has finished in the frame in each of his last five races (winning twice into the bargain) whereby Lucinda Russell's raider will be a banker for many people who are playing the toteplacepot at Newcastle. BEST PROSPECT and NELSON DU RONCERAY might stop Peter Buchanan's mount from registering another victory however.
14.55
Donald McCain knows his five-year-old ENRST BLOFELD needs more time before tackling the 'big boys' whereby the trainer's decision to bypass the Cheltenham Festival appears to be a sensible move, given relatively easy prizes such as this to snare during his education. POLITICAL PADDY could hardly be classed as the most inventive forecast selection, but there is nothing else of interest in this contest.
15.30
Let's not forget that the 'Eider' received much needed 'advertising' long after last year's event when the winner of this contest twelve months ago went on to win the Grand National. I'm far from certain that we have another Comply Or Die in the line up this year, but CHABRIMAL MINSTER, FAIR QUESTION and HARMONEY BRIG should go well enough for connections, keeping the Aintree dream alive in the process. Jass is offered as the overnight reserve.
16.00
Owned by 'The Best Lovers', BEST LOVER should surely have run last Saturday, though given ground conditions and abandoned meetings, we will support this declaration by nominating the seven-year-old to snare gold. GILSLAND and CATCH BOB might be the potential party-poopers in the line up.
16.35
Skippers Brig and Dream Garden (in the order as written) should keep the other two runners at bay according to the handicapper, but the Howard Johnson team has a habit of upsetting applecarts in these parts and BELON GALE might represent the value for money call in this win only contest.
17.10
In the absence of an Alan Swinbank 'bumper banker' to back as a get out of jail free card, this finale might be fought out between BLACK APACHE, ECO STORY and beaten favourite QUANNAPOWITT, but don't take my word for it!
Musselburgh -- Friday 20/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.35: STRIKING ARTICLE
nb - 15.10: STARBOUGG
14.00
RED MOLONEY holds an entry for the 'Supreme Novices' at the Cheltenham Festival and will surely win this moderate event en route to taking his chance in the opening event at Prestbury Park in a few weeks time. HOUSTON DYNAMO receives eighteen pounds which might bring the horses close together, whilst beaten favourite CHORD looks booked for third place at best.
14.35
STRIKING ARTICLE is another runner for the Howard Johnson team on the card that potentially holds out more hope for the future than most, and with a 'Pendil' entry on Saturday which will now not be taken up, the five day entry for the Kempton race suggests that this contest could be there for the taking. ROLE ON would take some beating if his fencing held up, which has not been the case of late.
15.10
STARBOUGG could be in with a shout receiving thirteen pounds from the three winners at the top of the list. DIVERS and NIGHT FORCE are arguably the pick of the trio in another interesting encounter.
15.45
Two of the horses down the weights SOUTH BRONX and KALMO BAY make some appeal here, especially as course winners, which is invariably worth a few lengths around this quick track. OUR JASPER is consistent from a toteplacepot perspective and Donald McCain's nine-year-old will surely secure a cheque of some description for connections.
16.20
The toughest race on the card to assess, whereby MORNING SUNSHINE, CHIEF SCOUT and QUINDER SPRING can only be offered in speciulative and tenative fashion.
16.55
SAVEIRO represents Alan Swinbank who specialises in this kind of event, but if the five-year-old fails to do the business for the yard, WAVE POWER and DEN MASCHINE might best take advantage of the situation.
Ayr -- Thursday 19/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.45: QUWETWO
nb - 17.20: ALWAYS RIGHT
14.10
All three winners to date have carried weights of 11-5 or more, whereby HERBIE and PIMBO LANEN hold each way chances from the 'superior' end of the weights. Beaten favourite ZAFFARELLA is worth another chance in this grade. Two of the three market leaders have finished in the frame without winning, albeit both horses scraped into the frame in fourth place in competitive handicap fields.
14.40
Beaten favourite Sirkeel is top rated here according to the weights and measures officials, though the bottom three horses in the list are well in accordingly, namely TOM'S LAST EURO, LETS GO GIRLS and DANCING DIK. I would be surprised if all three horses let the side down from an each way perspective.
15.20
More Like it might have completed his winning run for now, especially as the nine-year-old races off a mark higher than he has ever won off before. The likes of TOULOUSE EXPRESS and STORM SURGE make more appeal this time around, whilst Carrietau is nominated as the overnight reserve.
15.45
QUWETWO looks to have plenty is hand over these rivals and I cannot imagine backable odds being chalked up about the top weight. Newcomer TOMMY TOBOUGG does not have much to beat from an each way perspective, whilst SHAHRAMORE represents Peter Monteith who has won this event on two occasions. All four favourites have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners) to date.
16.15
ALMIRE DU LIA comes to the party on a hat trick in this event but the eleven-year-old has failed to secure even a place position in six subsequent starts since his last victory twelve months ago and more likely winners include PANAMA AT ONCE, SOMETHING SILVER and NELLIEDONETHAT, especially as all four winners to date have carried weights of 11-4 or less. Three of the four market leaders have finished in the frame (no winners).
16.50
There are some particularly weak looking Hunter Chase events being contested of late and this is another of them. Course and distance winner BIG BOOTS would have to be involved in the mix if stripping fit in the paddock whilst ERRINGTON and TIPSY DARA are offered as alternative selections. Five-year-olds have won all four renewals to date whilst we still await the first winning favourite.
17.20
Ex-Fohunters champion Sleeping Night is not the force of old, whereby ALWAYS RIGHT and BROOKLYN BREEZE might fight out the finish of the finale. Robbers Glen will probably deny the old champion a medal of any description when push comes to shove close home.
Doncaster -- Wednesday 18/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.10: QUICKBEAM
nb - 14.45: MAGIC KAHYASI
13.40
FORGET IT ran a fine race at Sandown to finish third behind two decent recruits to the winter game, a scenario which is repeated here with HIGGY'S BOY and TERRASINI in the line up. The two previous winner's have to give Gary Moore's raider seven pounds which should make life interesting.
14.10
QUICKBEAM deserves a change of luck and with the Venetia Williams team in top form, the seven-year-old could score at the chief expense of HOPKINS and SIR JIMMY SHAND. Many of the thirteen runners have flattered to deceive however, whereby bookmakers rub their hands in anticipation of a 'result' in this type of event.
14.45
MAGIC KAHYASI was entered up in a better race only to be withdrawn a few weeks ago. I'm unaware of any problem which might have been to blame for the absenteeism, but ground conditions were probably to blame whereby the six-year-old offered an each way chance at the first time of asking. Course and distance winner TITFER cannot be ignored in such a low grade whilst NOTICEABLE completes my trio against the field.
15.20
These 'veteran' races rightly attract plenty of interest and though anything can happen in a race which is contested by horses with their best years behind them, the likes of HOT WELD, KING HARALD and BRIERY FOX deserve to be offered chances of winning a contest once again.
15.55
Beaten favourite LATALANTA is another Gary Moore runner on the card with a chance of securing gold, though both PATSY FINNEGAN and A FRENCH HORSE should mount a challenge of some discription. The Andrew Turnell yard returned to winning ways the other day, whereby LORDSBRIDGE cannot be left out of the mix at the overnight stage.
16.30
This is a poor Hunter Chase event and no mistake and BENWELL, ONLY DREAMS and PARADISE BAY can only be offered against the field in tentative fashion.
17.00
PAR AVION scored here at Doncaster at 66/1 at the first time of asking and though bookmakers will be nowhere near as generous on this occasion, Paul Murphy's four-year-old can go close again. VIVARINI hails from the shrewd Paul Webber yard whilst beaten favourite LIGHTENING ROD is worth another chance in this grade.
Southwell -- Tuesday 17/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.00: WEST END ROCKER
nb - 16.30: MINELLA THEATRE
14.30
A rare National Hunt card at Southwell to savour on Tuesday! The three horses that filled the frame in the inaugural ruinning of this event twelve months ago carried weights of 11-1 or more, whilst the two 7/2 joint favourites both finished out with the washing in a ten-strong field. LAHARNA, STRIDENT and GREAT TSAR are offered against the field given the circumstances.
15.00
Connections of WEST END ROCKER have been frustrated by abandoned meetings of late but look set fair to get a run out of the Grand Plaisir gelding on Tuesday. SHINING GALE took in a tough race at Kempton last time out and this is a more realistic target, especially if WEST END ROCKER is a little ring rusty following a three month break.
15.30
'Recent' winners TARA TAYLOR and VALLEY OF THE DOLLS appear well treated in this event in another novice hurdle on the card which should run to form. That said, BARTON GREY would go close if cleaning up his jumping act in this grade.
16.00
Readers who log on to these pages too often for the good of their health will know my thoughts about staying handicap hurdle events, whereby I have the relevant stats built up down the years that prove that these races produce more beaten favourite than any other type of event under the NH code of racing. That said, the winners remain difficult to predict but my short list against the field on this occasion consists of THEATRE DIVA, GREENBELT and LAUSTRA BAD.
16.30
Although maiden hurdle events are not quite as productive as novice events from a favourites perspective, Tony McCoy riding for Henrietta Knight is often a partnership to latch onto and with 'Hen' enjoying some decent form of late, MINELLA THEATRE might take the beating. Tony rode a great race aboard Soixante for the yard at Hereford on Sunday and another winner is on the cards here. THE HOLLINWELL and FIGHTING CHANCE might offer most resistance on the final cuircuit.
17.00
The fact that Tony McCoy remains at Southwell for the final race on the card is somethign of a tip in itself, whereby GIBRALTAR STAR should reward connections with a cheque of some description. NEHEMIAH and FLORA'S PRIDE are interesting newcomers whilst PENNY QUEEN and SWITCHED OFF both ran with promise at the first time of asking.
Carlisle -- Monday 16/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.50: RATE OF KNOTS
nb - 16.30: HUKA LODGE
14.15
These twelve runners are separated by just ten pounds according to the weights and measures people, whereby an open race is in prospect. ITS A CLASSIC wears cheekpieces for the first time in an effort to bring a halt to disappointing efforts to date, including one which brough about four faults for a refusal. MR TWINS and MITCHEL HENRY are fairly consistent types from a toteplacepot perspective and should run their usual honest races.
14.50
A week further down the line, and Tony McCoy could scarcely be further away from Plumpton where he notched that famous victory seven short days ago. RATE OF KNOTS should make the long journey worthwhile though 'local' trainer (by comparison to Jonjo O'Neill) Donald McCain has made things potentially tougher than expected by declaring TASTES LIKE MORE.
15.25
The two horses down at the bottom of the handicap receive useful weight concessions and HOLLOWS MILL and NORMINSTER (both course and distance winners) can go close at potentially rewarding odds. Some would say that LE ROI ROUGE is a more logical winner in the line up and I wouldn't argue long into the night against that viewpoint.
16.00
This develops into a two horse race before too much thinking is required, whereby a rejuvenated PSYCHOMODO and AURORAS ENCORE should fight out the finish in what is otherwise a very moderate race. The two horses are marginally preferred in the order as listed.
16.30
This venue is one of the toughest in the land and it might prove rewarding to concentrate on the four horses which have won at Carlisle before, especially over a stamina-sapping trip. HUKA LODGE has gained five of his six successes on very soft/heavy ground which has to be a huge advantage under these conditions. Similar comments apply (to a slightly lesser degree) to both ROYAL MACKINTOSH and BELLANEY JEWEL.
17.00
Much will depend on whether this event remains a 'dead eight' contest and taking the positive viewpoint, I'll opt for MANOUBI, HONOUR'S DREAM and CHICKAPEAKRAY against the field.
Southwell -- Sunday 15/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.30: EASTERN ARIA
nb - 14.30: LA CAPRIOSA
14.30
Course winners are invariably worth a length or three at Southwell, the only Fibresand track in the country. The surface produces much slower times than those on Polytrack and the two horses that qualify in this six-strong field are LA CAPRIOSA and THE CUCKOO. LA CAPRIOSA has three runner up efforts at Southwell to take into consideration (alongside a third placed outing) from just seven starts at the course, and Robert Winston's mount makes plenty of appeal.
15.00
Legendary Guest is the only horse (of seven) in the line up that has not won on Fibresand and with five course and distance winners in the line up, David Barker's four-year-old is easily ignored on this occasion. Those that jump off the page are THIS ONES FOR EDDY and PUNCHING.
15.30
FESKO faces three C/D winners but such is the strength of Mark Johnston's three-year-old stable that the Catterick winner is given a chance with Sir Mark Prescott's potential improver ANGEL SONG nominated as the other likely winner.
16.00
All four represented trainers come to the party in fine form (which makes for a refreshing change) and perhaps the best mode of attack is to stick with progressive young horses whereby two of the three 'qualifiers' ROBBY BOBBY and FORMATION will represent yours truly on this occasion.
16.30
Willie Haggas does well with the horses he saddles here at Southwell and DESTINATIONUNKNOWN could be the value for money call in this 'short field'. That said, the Halling filly EASTERN ARIA ran well on her debut at Lingfield and providing she can cope with this different surface, Mark Johnston's three-year-old could take the beating.
17.00
Dual Southwell winner GENERAL TUFTO will obviouslty attract plenty of support in a similar (handicap) race to those already won by the four-year-old. Another Class 6 race should be within reach, though AFTON VIEW and BETTERAS BERTIE will present stern challenges down the home straight in my opinion.
Lingfield -- Saturday 14/02/2009
13.25
Recent course and distance winner WHOTSIT has the stats on his side as both winners to date have carried weights of 9-0 or less. That said, the Where Or When gelding DOUBLE ACT has plenty in hand of his rivals according to offical figures, whereby giving weight and a beating to his four rivals here should be within his capabilities. A winner of three of his seven races to date, DOUBLE ACT makes his Lingfield (Polytrack) debut here but rated seventeen pounds ahead of WHOTSIT according to the weights and measures people, the Evan Williams raider is well in by two pounds. DOUBLE ACT is seven pounds ahead of the game against Bartica from a head to head perspective.
14.00
Mark Johnston has won with five of his last eighteen runners and there is no better trainer of three-year-olds in the land. GREEN DYNASTY would not be one of the leading lights in the stable by any means, but this race should not take a great deal of winning in all honesty, Greg Fairley's mount arguably having HEAD DOWN and Royal Executioner to beat.
14.35
Mark Johnston grabs the leading paragraph again via SCARAB, his Kempton winner over this trip last month. One of only two four-year-olds in the line up, the Machiavellian colt should have retained further scope for improvement. The pick of the opposition here includes APEEYES and Gary Moore's raider ACTION IMPACT, one of four raiders from the Brighton based yard.
15.05
Jim Boyle has his team in fine form and his course and distance winner RISQUE HEIGHTS can make light of a two month absense from the track, coming to this gig on a hat trick following victories here at Lingfield and at Kempton. RISQUE HEIGHTS is one of seven C/D winners in the line up via eleven declarations, and the pick of the other 'qualifiers' might prove to be FOLIO and TOUS LES DEUX.
15.35
Kevin Ryan would be delighted if he could show his current form midway through the turf campaign whereby many top prizes might come his way. Kevin is represented by MAJURO a dual runner up of late who is destioned to go one better, sooner rather than later. MAJURO is one of just two horses (seven declared) that has not won over course and duistance but that negative factor can be corrected in this company. CAPRICORN RUN is expected to offer most resistance after the runners make the final turn.
16.10
The Redback filly SAINTS BAY did precious little wrong on her debut when beaten less than four lengths despite running green at Kempton at the first time of asking. The Kempton event looked a better race than this on paper in all honesty and Richard Hannon can saddle another winner. Money for the Presscott raider BRETT VALE would make life interesting, whilst CRYSTAL B GOOD is an interesting newcomer.
16.45
One of the best races on the card has been left until the end of the meeting, albeit that this lot have beaten each other on several occasions if my memory remains in active mode. Sometimes it's best to rely on youth in such circumstances, whereby HAAJES is marginally given the nod despite that fact that the five-year-old could hardly be classed as a youth in equine terms if truth be told. HARRY UP (despite sitting sixteen ounces outside of the handicap) is preferred to Matsunosuke as the alternative vote.
Fakenham -- Friday 13/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.30: SPRING LOVER
nb - 14.30: WEST END ROCKER
13.30
COOL ROXY is one of the most impressive 'horses for courses' runners to have ever run in Britain. A winner of ten of his nineteen races at Fakenham, COOL ROXY has filled the runner up position on five other occasions for good measure. Having also won a race at Fontwell down the years, the twelve-year-old is a credit to connections and only the meanest of racegoers would deny the horse another victory. That said, SPRING LOVER represents the in form yard of Venetia Williams and the ten year-old might take the beating in receipt of fifteen pounds.
14.00
The assembled represented trainers have not been guilty of saddling winners of late, whereby I can only offer a tentative trio against the field. MISS PHEOBE, RULING REEF and ERICARROW are offered in speculative fashion, with PRINCESS STEPHANIE forwarded as the overnight reserve.
14.30
HORA is two years younger than any of his six opponents though WEST END ROCKER has been meeting far better horses than these contenders whereby Alan King's raider might score over the larger obstacles at the third time of asking. HORA receives eleven pounds from his six rivals and Nicky Henderson's Hernando mare might offer most resistance up the short home straight.
15.00
This should prove to be a 'penalty kick' for MAHONIA albeit the Alan King five-year-old VALLEYOFTHEDOLLS receives seventeen pounds from the Turtle Island gelding. Turtle Island stock love soft ground whereby the weight concession might only reduce the margin of defeat to a reasonable level.
15.35
Im not at all sure I would want to be backing Hello Moscow, the top weight having been run into the ground when winning at Plumpton on Monday on 'Tony McCoy day' when the venue was very nearly waterlogged. The champion got every last ounce of energy from the seven-year-old whereby he would be an extraordinary horse to be able to score just four days later. I appreciate that this is not the greatest race ever staged at the Norfolk venue however, but either LEO MCGARRY or DIARIUS should take advantage of the concessions, which amount to nine and nineteen pounds respectively.
16.10
Paul Nicholls should secure his second easy winner on the card via OFAREL D'AIRY who has precious little to beat in the penultimate race on the card. DANCER LIFE should get the better of LORD TRIX to secure the forecast position, given that LORD TRIX has not run under rules for the thick end of five years.
16.45
Paul Webber has had many a good bumper runner in his care down the years and whilst PENNY QUEEN and HERE'S THE KEY might not be the best of them by any means, the Webber inmates should be good enough to become involved in the finish. HOPEAND should be kept on the right side and Nicky Henderson's newcomer completes my trio against the field.
Kempton -- Thursday 12/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: EPIC ODYSSEY
ew - 14.20: ITSHIM
14.20
ITSHIM is an interesting three-year-old against his elders here, and the conditions of the contest are certainly in his favour. I cannot understand the 14/1 quote in the trade press, especially given the form of the Williams yard at the time of writing. The Ishiguru gelding was made joint favourite to win his first race at Windsor last year, albeit in a poor selling event. The market indicated that ability hides somewhere under the surface and the junior raider surely warrants an each way call in what will hopefully remain a 'dead eight' contest. SPANISH ACE and DESERT LIGHT might offer most resistance close home.
14.55
John Jenkins was the one of the first trainers to air his disappointment at the closing of Great Leighs, but the trainer has re-routed his recent stock to Kempton to decent win and place effect. Another reward might be up for grabs in this contest via his three-year-old Mark Of Esteem colt LOVE YOU LOUIS who is blinkered for the first time on this occasion. Good enough to register a Sandown victory on turf, Simon Whitworth's mount could go in again here. LESLEY'S CHOICE is given the alternative vote in a half decent contest.
15.30
The top weighted pair EPIC ODYSSEY and SECRET DUBAI represent the in form trainers in the contest and the two horses are likely to offer value for money in a tight race on paper. SECRET DUBAI is supposedly badly off here under the terms and conditions of the contest, but in form trainers are worth their weight in gold and I have faith in the Botti raider, albeit EPIC ODYSEEY is the more logical potential scorer.
16.05
With the Gary Moore inmates running as well as ever, BENHEGO could produce something of a surprise, even though the beaten favourite is well in with a few opponents via official figures. MISSION CONTROL might take some beating however, whilst course and distance winner CALCULATING has the considerable benefit of Hayley Mills in the plate.
16.40
The ex Michael Stoute trained raider SNOWY INDIAN might not have many better chances of losing her maiden tag at the ninth attempt and the Indian Ridge representative has to be included in my mix, albeit the four-year-old is fast appraoching my last chance saloon. HIGHLY REGAL comes to the gig on a hat trick, whilst another course and distance winner LOPINOT could also present a stern challenge to the selection inside the final furlong.
17.15
Kevin Ryan has saddled eight of his last twenty-one runners out to winning effect at the time of writing whereby hat trick seeker SAFEBREAKER is a certainty for consideration overnight. Other recent winners JESSICA WIGMO and PRINCE ROSSI are in the mix in a contest where fourteen potential runners are separated by just five spots according to official ratings.
Kempton -- Wednesday 11/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.35: JAKE THE SNAKE
nb - 16.35: KINGSGATE CASTLE
14.05
Mick Easterby has his team in good nick at present (two of his last three runners had won at the time of writing) whereby ELLIWAN might represent half decent each way value for money in a race that should not prove difficult to win. The fourteen contenders are split my just three spots according to the gospel of the handicapper, and LYTHAM and THE GRAIG can only be added to the mix in tentative fashion.
14.35
Only Tony Carroll (JAKE THE SNAKE) is regularly turning out winners of late whereby the top weight is certainly going to be included in my overnight mix. The lack of runners (five potentially go to post) offers yours truly just one alternative selection which in this case is the other course winner in the line up, namely INTERACTIVE.
15.05
AUGUST GALE would have to enter the equation given Mick Easterby's recent run of form as reported in the opening event. Hayley Turner takes the ride which catches the eye, whilst others to consider overnight include the Irish raider CONVINCE and THABAAT who rarely runs a bad race from a toteplacepot perspective. The Pivotal gelding has been beaten by an aggreagte of just nineteen lengths via his last six outings, not bad stats for a horse which tackles competitive events more often than not.
15.35
MR NAPOLEAN is a winner of one of his four outings at Kempton to date and with Gary Moore continuing to saddle winners under both codes, the seven-year-old should run well from a toteplacepot perspective at the very least. CORRIOLANUS and SHEER FANTASTIC might offer most resistance up the home straight, especially as Pat Haslam (trainer of the latter named raider) has won with four of his last six runners at the time of writing.
16.05
Course and distance winner KHELEY is one of the oldest three-year-olds in a race where 'birthdays' are important as these are nowt but babies in truth. Not yet three years of age however, KHELEY can only be regarded as a speculative call but the hat trick could be on the cards in an interesting event. ROMANTIC QUEEN is given the alternative vote, marginally preferred to Pincess Cagliari, the only true three-year-old in the line up.
16.35
KINGSGATE CASTLE has contested seven of his eight races over this trip which suggests that connections are confident of landing another victory via the Kyllachy gelding at this distance. MUKTASB is the only C/D winner in the line up and Derek Shaw's Bahri gelding is included in the mix alongside GRAND PALACE.
Lingfield -- Tuesday 10/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.30: BLACKTOFT
nb - 16.40: CORNUS
14.10
BROWN LENTIC and DESERT OPAL are the only horses trained by handlers in form at the time of writing and both runners are likely to represent better value for money than Woodcote, albeit I cannot visualise the winner coming from outside of this trio.
14.40
John Jenkins has his yard in reasonable form (as good as any other in this contest) whereby AMWELL HOUSE could get connections back into the winner's enclosure. The only course and distance winner RIVIERA RED must be considered with HALSION CHALLENGE considered as the other chief danger on this occasion.
15.10
ZERO COOL deserves to have won more than one race via eighteen starts to date, though Gary Moore's five-year-old might have run into another party-pooper in BLACKTOFT in what might develop into a two horse race.
15.40
Mick Channon has his team in fine fettle and the popular trainer saddles three of the five runners. That said, DANSANT and SUITS ME will prove hard to beat and though Rio Guru will push them hard, I believe the winner will emerge from the first named pair.
16.10
Three course winners line up among the nine declarations and the trio will do for me against the field, namely DUNDRY, NIGHT ORBIT and IMPERIUM. The trio are listed in marginal order of preference. Aldirous is nominated as the overnight reserve.
16.40
Thoughtsofstardom couldn't win if he started now according to recent trainer stats, and having reduced myself to just one selection in 'win only' races, I will nominate CORNUS on this occasion.
Wolverhampton -- Monday 09/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.25: EIGHTEENFIFTY
nb - 17.05: DARK OASIS
13.40
Four and five-year-olds have equally shared four of the five renewals to date, and the trend could continue here via the likes of STARGAZY, HILL OF LUJAIN and JUST JIMMY. The last three favourites have all finished out of the frame after the first two runnings of this event were won my market leaders.
14.15
The last six toteplacepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying weights of 8-9 or less, and though NORDIC LIGHT, DESERT LIGHT and LADY HOPEFUL will be sent off at rewarding prices, it could be worth speculating a success within this trio on this occasion. Just the one favourite (winner last year) has finished in the money via three renewals to date.
14.50
Pat Haslam had won with four of his last six runners at the time of writing and course and distance winner MISSION IMPOSSIBLE cannot be ignored in this grade. STONECRABSTOMORROW is finding it difficult to get his head in front where it matters most, but Richard Fahey's raider will not receive many better chances than this to score for the first time in two and a half years. ANGEL VOICES completes my trio against the field.
15.25
EIGHTEENFIFTY has snared a gold and two silver medals via just the three bumper races to date and Nicky Henderson appears to have found the perfect opportunity for his five-year-old to register a success under this code of racing at the first time of asking. Fellow newcomers ROSKO and WRAY CASTLE are offered up as potential dangers, given that the experienced runners on show have only shown limited ability thus far.
16.00
The McCabe stable was going through a rough patch a few weeks ago but the tide has turned whereby even MONFILS MONFILS can be offered a sporting chance in this contest. Just half a length (two years ago) has denind five-year-olds from claiming a clean sweep (via three renewals) in this event, and course and distance winner NEW STAR is nominated as the chief threat.
16.30
The six-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 5-4, the two vintages having won nine of the last ten contests between them, whilst the last five winners have carried weights of 9-1 or less. The only runners to possess ticks in both boxes are PELHAM CRESCENT and SAMURAI WARRIOR who are included in my mix alongside KEEPSGETTINGBETTER.
17.05
The Ryan and Botti stables are firing on all cylinders just now and their respective runners DARK OASIS and MISS FRITTON will represent yours truly in this 'dead eight' event, whilst the chance of AUTUMN MORNING is thoroughly respected.
17.35
STRAIGHT FACE, RED CURRENT and DONARD LODGE are the four and five-year-olds to consider in this 'getting out stakes'. This contest is the second division of the opening event on the card whereby the same stats apply.
Kempton -- Sunday 08/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.40: BOIS JOLI
nb - 16.10: MISION CONTROL
14.10
Mark Johnston (LEO THE LION) and Mick Channon (FORTY THIRTY) are the only represented trainers who are regularly sending out winners, though Ed Dunlop's DUBAI STORMING was only beaten two lengths last time despite finishing fifth of ten over a slightly shorter trip at Lingfield.
14.40
The Botti yard has sent out three of his last six runners to winning effect as I write, and BOIS JOLI can improve the ratio further still. LA ESTRELLA and KING'S HEAD are the fairly obvious dangers according to the gospel of the form book.
15.10
Rod Millman will do well to get his runners to the church on time as the song goes, with Devon having suffered a rare event of heavy snow. That said, BALATA should run well if turning up for the gig, though the likes of LAST SOVEREIGN and SECRET DUBAI will make life difficult for the four-year-old likely as not.
15.40
Each way thieves have endured the thin edge of the wedge of late, but this 'dead eight' contest could offer a few opportunities I guess, so let's hope that all the contenders enter the stalls on this occasion. ORCHARD SUPREME, BONUS and PHILARIO are likely horses to come in for win and place support if 5/1 or more is chalked up against their names.
16.10
Jim Boyle could be among the winners again via MISSION CONTROL a winner just eleven days ago having stepped up in trip. Another hike in distance is the order of the day and who knows when the improvement might stop relating to the four-year-old Dubai Destination gelding. KAVALOTI and WINGED ARROW might offer most resistance up the home straight.
16.40
There will be worse potential outsiders on the card than AFFIRMATIVELY who could run well at potentially rewarduing odds, especially as Tony Carroll has his team in decent nick, whilst it's worth noting that the stable won the race in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago. WHAT KATIE DID and OBE ROYAL complete my trio against the field, especially as the likes of Davids Mark and Muktasb struggle to put decent performances together.
17.10
NIGHT PREMIER and two of the course and distance winners in the line up will do for me against the other seven runners, namely HOLLOW JO and LITTLEDODAYNO. Stats suggest that runners down towards the bottom of the weights should run well, whereby I'll nominate KAYSTAR RIDGE as my overnight reserve.
Lingfield -- Saturday 07/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.20: DESERT BUMP
nb - 13.50: MUTAMARED
12.50
Three favourites have won via seven renewals of this opening event, whilst six of the gold medallists were returned at odds of 9/2 or less. BEST IN CLASS should have a fitness edge over Mohaned relating to the horses with experience, whilst MUTAMAASHI and EASTERN ARIAS might prove to be the pick of the newcomers.
13.20
Jamie Osborne complicates matters having declared three of the seven contenders for this event, though SPECIAL BOND is the pick of the trio according to official figures. That said, DESERT BUMP is likely to take the beating in a moderate event. Two of the three favourites have prevailed thus far, though the other market leader finished out with the washing.
13.50
I suggested that MUTAMARED should be followed until beaten before his last appearance and there is no obvious reason why I should desert Kevin Ryan's top weight here. I concede that CHJIMES will probably offer the nine-year-old his sternest task in a while, but I anticipate another victory for the Nureyev gelding. Two favourites have prevailed via four renewals, the biggest priced winner having been returned at odds of 5/1.
14.25
Five-year-olds have won three of the four contests to date, whereby I will stick with my anorak tendencies here by including the two vintage representatives in my mix, namely INQUISITRESS and ITSAWINDUP. Top weighted FANTASY RIDE might be the horse to bring the run of the five-year-olds to an end. Three of the five market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date (no winners), whilst three of the four gold medallists were returned at 33/1--12/1--12/1.
15.00
This is the second division of the previous race whereby the stats remain the same. This appears to be the weaker heat of the two and the race is made no easier by the fact that five-year-old are conspicuous by their absence. My tentative and specualtive trio against the field consists of HISTORICAL GIANT, LIMELIGHT and CAPTIVATE.
15.35
Course and distance winners coupled together with recent winning form are difficult to ignore and three such horses come to the party here, namely LADY JANE DIGBY, CONFIDENTIALITY and FORMATION. Three of the five favourites have finished in the frame (one winner).
16.10
Four and five-year-olds have won the last nine renewals of this event, with the elder statesmen leading 5-4 at the time of writing. STRABINIOS KING is marginally preferred to EVERYBODY KNOWS on this occasion having taken the stats into account.
16.45
Jim Boyle has won with three of his last seven runners at the time of writing, which might enable SPEAK THE TRUTH to get close to the likely market leader and beaten favourite FLAMSTEED. Three-year-olds have secured six of the last ten renewals which fits into my plans, whilst favourites have won three of the last four contests, the 8/11 market leader having been beaten into second place twelve months ago.
Fontwell -- Friday 06/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.40: LATANIER
nb - 13.35: RUTHENOISE (n/r)
13.35
Gary Moore (HIGHEST ESTEEM) and David Pipe (RUTHENOISE) are the only represented trainers to have saddled winners of late. Shoreacres represents a poor price at the quote of 4/5 in the trade press this morning, given that Brendan Powell's twenty runners during the last fortnight have all been beaten.
14.10
In contrast to the opening race, all represented trainers in this contest are saddling winners on a regular basis at the time of writing which makes this a difficult event to assess. Soft ground for Gauvain is not a problem but never having raced under heavy conditions before raises a question mark, which might offer a chance to locally trained HEATHCOTE to lower the colours of the favourite on this occasion.
14.40
My self imposed ruling to only offer one horse in these win only events causes personal grief on occasions, but with the Venetia Williams team in great form just now and heavy ground winner LATANIER as the stable representative this time around, I'm happy enough to overlook the three opponents in the contest.
15.15
As a winner of four of his six races to date, MIDNIGHT CHASE has to be inluded in the mix despite a recent seven pound hike in the weights. Five of the seven are potentially offset by the jockey's claim and proven on this type of ground, MIDNIGHT CHASE will take the beating again in my book. That said, QULINTON comes to the party as a fresh horse by comparison and this ground will hold no fears for David Pipe's five-year-old contender.
15.45
Mount Sandel potentially receives thirteen pounds from EXMOOR RANGER but having won four of his ten races to date, the top weight is difficult to oppose, conditions (has never run on heavy ground) being his biggest danger on this occasion.
16.20
I'm keen on the favourite and the outsider (according to the projected odds in the trade press) in this event, whereby I make WILLIAM BONNEY the potential danger to FIX THE RIB despite the fact that Charlie Mann's nine-year-old is asked to give weight all around.
Wolverhampton -- Thursday 05/02/2009
Best bets:
ew - 21.20: BABEL
ew - 19.20: ALEXANDER GULCH
18.50
Jim Boyle (COMPTON CLASSIC) and Ed Vaughan (ATHEER DUBAI) have their yards in good form and it's difficult to envisage both horses failing to figure prominently in the opening event. BACK IN THE RED has finished in the frame in his last six outings (winning on four occaions) and runs off the same mark as when successful nine days ago.
19.20
I can't believe the 10/1 quote in the trade press about ALEXANDER GULCH, especially with Kevin Ryan's team is in such great form at the time of writing (seven of his last nineteen runners had won). PEARL OF MANACOR is a more logical winner under these terms and conditions I'll grant you, but it could be a close run battle between the two horses despite the potential concession of ten pounds by the top weight.
19.50
Yet to win from five visits to Wolverhampton thus far, PRINCE CHARLMAGNE might represent poor value from a win perspective even though the six-year-old boasts solid toteplacepot claims. Course and distance winners DESERT HAWK and CASABLANCA MIX appeal more given the projected odds on offer.
20.20
Course and distance winner SUITS ME could take some stopping even though top weight DANSANT is well in here according to official figures. A winner of five of his seven all weather starts, DANSANT deserves the odds on quote in the trade press though as this is his first Wolverhampton sortie, SUITS ME (gold and bronze medals gained via two races at this venue) could be the value for money call.
20.50
A tight looking selling event which might be best left to viewing support in the market before you reveal your hand to the bookmaker. I cannot afford such luxuries however, and with the represented trainers all seemingly out of form given their latest runners, I can only offer the tentative duo of RED CELL and LOIS DARLIN against the other four contenders.
21.20
There are worse outsiders on the card than BABEL I'll wager (especially with Michael Wigham's runners going well at the time of writing), though more logical winners via the form book include TAMINO and FANTASY FIGHTER. With no course winners among the thirteen declarations, all stakes should be kept to a minimum according to the gospel of yours truly.
Kempton -- Wednesday 04/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 20.50: PETROVSKY
nb - 20.20: TAMAGIN
18.50
Kevin Ryan continues in a rich vein of form and though his four-year-old Sakhee gelding DESERT LARK has failed to pull up any trees via four outings to date, it's worth noting that Callan's mount was sent off at just 3/1 on his debut at Redcar which suggests that ability lurks somewhere under the saddle. Connor Dore is also saddling more than his fair share of winners just now whereby SATINDRA cannot be overlooked, whilst beaten favourite PRINCE OF MEDINA is (arguably) worth another chance in this grade.
19.20
Three-year-olds produced the forecast dividend last year when the 11/10 favourite finished out of the frame. Mark Johnston saddled the runner up in that inaugural running of the contest and his raider LOVE PEGASUS has a chance of going one better in this company, albeit the Fusaichi Pegasus colt would not qualify as one of the leading lights in Mark's yard. The other quartet of experienced runners appear to be ordinary types, whereby newcomers CHEERY PLUM, MILEMILIA and HARTY BOY (written in marginal order of preference) might offer most resistance in the contest.
19.50
Course and distance winner MARMOOQ represents the in form Attwater yard and having snared four gold and one silver medal via nine efforts at this Sunbury circuit, the six-year-old must be kept on the right side. It's worth nloting that despite the hike in the weights, Ian Mongan's mount has won off a higher rating twice in his career, albeit those victories were gained two years ago. JUST JIMMY boasts each way claims from down towards the foot of the handicap, whilst others worth consideration include recent winners STREET POWER and DIVERTIMENTI. Last year's 9/4 favourite finished seventh (of nine) in the first running of the contest.
20.20
The six-year-old Stravinsky gelding TAMAGIN has finished 'in the two' ten times (even split) via twenty-two all weather contests to date and with Kevin Ryan's team in fine form, the top weight has a chance of defying the handicap yet again, especially from a win and place perspective. Kevin should know all about WILLKANDOO as the trainer had the four-year-old in his care when winning in Ireland last year. There is no knowing how much improvement is left in the locker in TRAFALGAR SQUARE though as a seven-year-old, Paul Doe's mount might have completed his winning form for now, albeit the Attwater raider is difficult to leave out of the toteplacepot mix.
20.50
Mark Johnston excels in the three-year-old sector and PETROVSKY in one of the latest vintage representatives to strike gold. The Daylami colt is a winner of two of his three races on all weather surfaces to date and Greg Fairley's mount can improve the ratio this time around. INNACTUALFACT receives thirteen pounds from the selection and though Chris Catlin's mount needs to produce a personal best just to get close here, the rest of the field has flattered to decieve in the main, whereby the Lujain filly might fill the forecast position on this occasion.
21.20
Paul Eddery rode a winner for brother Pat the other day and PRIVATE PASSION could run well here at potentially rewarding odds. More logical winners include ROCKET RUBY and LOVELY STEPS in the finale, and this trio will do for me against the field.
Southwell -- Tuesday 03/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.40: RIGUEZ DANCER
nb - 15.40: INGLEBY ARCH
13.10
The likes of DONTPAYTHEFERRYMAN, REPRIEVED and SHENANDOAH GIRL will be well ridden likely as
not in this amateur event, which is more than can be said about some horses in the line up I'll wager. The
first three horses in the betting in a fourteen strong field in the inaugural running of this race twelve months
ago filled the frame, the 100/30 favourite coming off third best behind two 9/2 chances.
13.40
Andrew Turnell has won with two of his last four runners whereby READY TO CROWN holds a distinct
chance, albeit this is a poor race with which to become involved. WORLD OF CHOICE and LADY ASHEENA
might offer most resistance up the home straight with decent pilots aboard. This is the second division of
the opening amateur event whereby the same stats apply.
14.10
Kevin Ryan is riding the crest of a wave right now, having saddled seven of his last eighteen runners
to winning effect, and though FASLIYANNE has plenty to prove via the form book, the Fasliyev filly will be
included in my overnight mix. JUST THE LADY and FOREVER'S GIRL have landed 'recent' events and will be
left in at the overnight stage but only from a toteplacepot perspective, as I wouldn't back either of them to
register another success with your money. Longer priced favourites won the first two renewals before a 4/5
market leader finished out of the frame behind a 25/1 winner twelve months twelve months ago.
14.40
GRIMES FAITH did little wrong behind Back In The Red last time out and although media experts have
questioned his attitude, the six-year-old cannot be left out of the equation, especially with Kevin Ryan (see
comments for the previous race) in such hot form. Course winner STRATHMORE has finished 'in the three'
ten times via fifteen all weather engagements and Richard Fahey's five-year-old is rated as the biggest
danger to the selection. One of the two 7/2 joint favourites finished in the money (third) in the inaugural
running of this contest last year.
15.10
Six of the last available nine toteplacepot positions have been secured by three-year-olds whereby
DIAMOND SURPRISE and WHERE'S REILEY are offered chances by yours truly in a race which should not
prove difficult to win. So much so, that the Efisio newcomer YES PLEASE cannot be ruled out of the mix,
the four-year-old being yet another Kevin Ryan runner on the card to be given a chance. Two of the four
(shorter priced) favourites have won, though the other two market leaders finished out with the washing.
15.40
INGLEBY ARCH won the first running of this contest last year and the six-year-old runs here five
spots lower than his official rating twelve months ago. XPRES MAITE appears to be the biggest danger this
time around, especially as the Bowring yard has sent out three winners via its last ten runners. Odds of 2/1
were landed about the favourite (Ingleby Arch) last year.
16.10
Pat Haslam has won with three of his last six runners at the time of writing and though REIGNING IN
RIO has it to do on the book, it's impossible to rule the Captain Rio filly out of the equation. Others for the
overnight mix include LADY DUNHILL and TARAWA ATOLL. Four of the five favourites have finished in the
frame to date (one winner). The same number of winners have started at odds of 6/1 or less.
16.40
I made the point about Pat Haslam's good run in the previous race and Pat's top weighted five-year
-old RIGUEZ DANCER has a definite chance of improving the recent ratio still further in this 'short field'. MY
MENTOR is the fairly obvious danger according to the form book.
Wolverhampton -- Monday 02/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.50: MISS CRACKLINROSE
ew - 15.20: PARISIAN GIFT
14.50
Beaten favourite MISS CRACKLINROSE is fairly treated here given her two-year-old form and it's
worth noting that Jamie Spencer was booked to ride some time ago. Mark Johnston's runners have gone off
the boil of late compared to great form shown at the start of the year but that said, his three-year-olds invariably warrant plenty of respect and GREEN PASSION is no exception.
15.20
Beaten favourite MISS CRACKLINROSE is fairly treated here given her two-year-old form and it's
worth noting that Jamie Spencer was booked to ride some time ago. Mark Johnston's runners have gone off
the boil of late compared to great form shown at the start of the year but that said, his three-year-olds invariably warrant plenty of respect and GREEN PASSION is no exception.
15.50
ROMANTIC VERSE and SENDRENI are two C/D winners which are difficult to oppose in this 'short
field', especially as Michael Wigham (SENDRENI) has saddled three winners via his last ten runners.
ROMANTIC VERSE is six pounds better off for a nine and a half length defeat by Sendreni on Brighton form
on turf toawrds the back end of last season and there should not be much daylight between the pair this
time around.
16.20
Six of the thirteen runners are course and distance winners and DESERT OPAL represents Connor
Dore who has his team in decent nick. GWILYM and JANE'S PAYOFF are other C/D winners that should run
well whilst Admiral Bond is added to the mix from a reserve perspective.
16.50
Six of the thirteen runners are course and distance winners and DESERT OPAL represents Connor
Dore who has his team in decent nick. GWILYM and JANE'S PAYOFF are other C/D winners that should run
well whilst Admiral Bond is added to the mix from a reserve perspective.
17.20
Nicky Henderson has not saddled a horse here at Wolverhampton according to my investigations and
with Jamie Spencer booked to ride, EIGHTEENFIFTY is an intriguing declaration. ROSCO is another
newcomer to catch the eye whilst the pick of the five experienced runners might prove to be DREAM IN
BLUE.
17.50
This is the second division of the sixth race on the card whereby the same stats apply. Similar
comments apply relating to the weights, whereby BUSCADOR, JAPURA and MONAADI is my speculative and
tentative trio against the field.
Musselburgh -- Sunday 01/02/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: FOLK TUNE
nb - 14.30: NINE STORIES
13.30
I guess that Nicky Henderson must be visiting friends/relatives on the east side of Scotland at the weekend, having declared LORD RAGLAN with an each way chance in this opening event. That said, DIVERS and newcomer FIRST STREAM might prove difficult to beat.
14.00
Six and seven-year-olds have equally shared the last four renewals and the pick of the vintage representatives this time aound include NOSFERATU, PANTHERO LEO and WOTCHALIKE. Eight-year-old Kyber is preferred as a reserve to Nicky Henderson's southern raider Don't Tell The Wife.
14.30
John Howard Johnson attempts the hat trick in this Scottish Triumph Hurdle trial with NINE STORIES, though some likely types are in opposition here, namely WEST WITH THE WIND and Giorgio Quercus. The latter named runner represents the powerful yard of Nicky Henderson who has any number of four-year-olds that could have contested this event. Time might prove that I made the wrong move by supporting horses trained north of Watford but the die is now cast and I will stick with the two recent winners.
15.00
Another decent race on the card (let's hope the fixture is safe) which might be dominated by PALOMAR and ASTARADOR, the two (junior) seven-year-olds in the line up. Course and distance winner HERNANDO'S BOY is offered up as the chief danger.
15.30
Six-year-olds (on a hat trick here) have secured five of the last nine contests and both vintage representatives FOLK TUNE and EUROPEAN DREAM hold realistic claims this time around. HIBIKI deserves a victory following two runner up efforts and the Philip Hobbs trained Montjeu gelding will provide a challenge at some stage during the closing stages I'll wager.
16.00
CATEGORICAL won this event last year and Keith Reveley's top weight cannot be ruled out of the equation despite having to give up to nine pounds to his ten rivals. ET MAINTENANT and DIVEX are good ground winners and receiving five and six pounds from the top weight respectively, the northern raiders should both go close.
16.30
Nicky Henderson might have to wait until this finale before saddling a winner on the card via his five-year-old bumper declaration BELLVANO. Connections of the Silvano gelding might have most to fear from BUNGLASHA JAKE and the experienced Richard Fahey raider RED ONION.
Doncaster -- Saturday 31/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: HELLO BUD
nb - 15.00: MEDICINAL
13.25
Beaten favourite CHAPOTURGEON is worth another chance on these terms potentially receiving
between three and eleven pounds from his four rivals. All four winners of this opening contest have carried
weights of 10-13 or more however, whereby the chance of THE DUKE'S SPEECH is thoroughly respected.
The first three favourites obliged in this event before the 1/4 favourite Tidal Bay was turned over twelve
months ago, albeit the market leader finished in the frame from a toteplacepot perspective.
13.55
COPPER BLEU and KING'S FOREST are asked to give the newcomers Marc Aurele and Master Of Arts
seventeen pounds which could prove troublesome but the winning habit should be supported on the majority
of occasions. MARC AURELE should prove to be the pick of the debutants. Both favourites have finished out
with the washing at odds of 2/5 and 6/5 to date, both races having fallen to horses starting at 7/1.
14.30
Six-year-olds have won three of the last four renewals of this nineteen and a half furlong contest
which just about falls into my theory, whereby handicap hurdle races beyond two and a quarter miles have
the worst record relating to favourites under the NH code of our favourite sport. Gaspara will come on for
this pipe-opener en route to a possible tilit at the World Hurdle for which she holds an entry. MIRAGE DORE
is the other six-year-old is the line up and Lucinda Russell's northern raider should go close attempting the
hat trick on this occasion. The pick of the other runners might prove to be CHARLIE CRAB and KING JACK.
15.00
Eight-year-olds have won five of the last eight renewals and the lone vintage representative MEDICINAL has every chance of continuing the trend against eleven opponents. Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 10-10 and guess what weight the Paul Nicholls raider is burdened with? Yes, 10-10 is the answer and once again Paul has his homework done and dusted! Stable companion I'MSINGINGTHEBLUES is one of just four other runners in the race via the 'superior' sector of the weights alongside ANDREAS from the same yard!
15.30
Surprisingly perhaps, the first three horses to finish in this four mile event carried weights of 11-4 or more in the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago. Just four horses 'qualify' this time around from towards the top of the handicap, and the pick of the quartet might prove to be the Twiston-Davies pair NAUGHTON BROOK and HELLO BUD. Recent winners JASS and MOTEVIDEO are feared most.
16.10
This is a tough finale in all honesty with several horses in with each way chances. LITTLE AL, NORMALLY and PICTURE THIS is my tentative trio against the field.
Catterick -- Friday 30/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.10: PALM READER
nb - 15.45: SUPER BABY
13.00
The jockey aboard HOT ZONE won the inaugural running of this race twelve months ago at 33/1, though the Ollie Pears raider will not be chalked up so generously on this occasion. ETOILE RUSSE certainly possesses ability but keeps plenty for himself, whilst the old course and distance winner SUN KING cannot be ruled out of the equation.
13.30
Pam Sly has saddled her fair share of win and placed horses which offers her newcomer ELK TRAIL each way claims in a race which might not prove difficult to win. HARRISON'S STAR is taken to best represent the experienced runners with RIVER ARDECHE offered up as third best.
14.00
Three of the four victories gained by CEOPERK to date have been on this type of ground, whilst WHATCANYASAY and MORE LIKE IT should also handle the conditions. Five of the eight favourites have obliged whilst 15/2 is the biggest returned price of a winner in the race thus far. Six of the nine market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions to date.
14.35
PETERS STAR has failed to pull up any trees but few of Donald McCain's horses (if any) are giving up without a fight with the stable in such fine form, whereby the seven-year-old is offered an each way chance. MINELLA BOYS stays longer than the mother-in-law as the old joke goes, whilst proven soft ground winner POLITICAL PADDY completes my trio against the field.
15.10
The top weight and course and distance winner PALM READER is asked to give weight away all around but Donald McCain's six-year-old could be up to the task judged on a very decent effort when defeating Peppertree Lane last time out. BE BRIEF and VIEL GLUCK are considered as dangers over and above the other winners in the field who could all be given a chance on far better ground.
15.45
Course and distance winner SUPER BABY represents the Slack stable that can do little wrong (four winners from their last nine runners at the time of writing) with OR D'OUDAIRIES preferred to Speed Up as the likeliest danger.
16.20
SAVEIRO, LITTLE PROMISE and BALLYHAR PRINCE represent trainers who all know how to saddle winners here at Catterick, particularly in the bumper sector. WYMOTT would be included in the mix if a non runners rears its ugly head.
Towcester -- Thursday 29/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.30: SILK AFFAIR
nb - 16.00: MARK THE BOOK
13.30
CARRICKBOY AND NEIL HARVEY stand out from the crowd here but unfortunately, the prices will reflect their probable dominance. Nothing can be taken for granted up the Towcester hill under these heavy conditions however, whereby QUENTIN COLLONGES is added to the mix for insurance purposes.
14.00
The three horses which filled the frame in the inaugural running of this contest last year all carried weights of 10-5 or less and with really testing conditions in place, the lower weights need to be seriously considered. The pick of the relevant beasts might prove to be KINKEEL, MONSIEUR GEORGES and BEARNEEN BOY.
14.30
Five and six-year-olds have equally shared six of the last seven contests and RAMVASWANI, FAVERSHAM and BABY CAR MIGHT HOLD THE CALL, though the latter named top weight is more of an each way shout in this ground. SUMDANCER is the reserve given that there is likely to be several non runners on the card despite the fixture having been given the green light.
15.00
WOODLANDS GENPOWER could hardly be described as a betting proposition at eleven years of age at the projected odds, but the terms and conditions of this event suggest that the course and distance winner will go mighty close to following up his recent victory. JACARADO is offered up as the each way alternative.
15.30
SILK AFFAIR appears to be the best bet on the card or at least the four-year-old would have held that mantle on half decent going. It remains difficult to oppose market leader in what will probably become an odds on favourite however with just BELLA HAZE and LUPITA to beat.
16.00
MARK THE BOOK has gained both of his victories on heavy ground and Philip Hobbs can look forward to welcoming another of his runners into the winners' enclosure. MISTER POTTER and SIR PETER can offer most resistance up the hill to the jamstick.
16.30
Top trainers Venetia Williams, Alan King and David Pipe boast the best recent records of the represented trainers and their respective runners NECROMANCER, QUEL NOUBA and BRUKIRK LASS will do for me against the field. PRIORS COPPICE would be offered up as a replacement should at least one of the horses mentioned in dispatches remain in its box for one reason or another.
Exeter -- Wednesday 28/01/2009
(- Abandoned)
Best bets:
nap - 16.05: VAGRANT EMPEROR
nb - 15.30: ANCHOR BRIDGE
13.10
MR NEWTON could be the dark horse in the contest representing the in form Keighley yard. More logical winners on the form book include ALASAO and WISE MEN SAY. The 11/4 favourite finished third in the opening event in the inaugural running of this event last year, behind horses returned at 40/1 and 33/1!
13.45
Beaten favourite ESTATE might be worth another chance in this grade, especially as David Pipe could be considered as the only represented trainer in any sort of consistane form at the time of writing. ACOSTA is an improving young horse which makes him a potentially dangerous opponent, whilst JOLI CLASSICAL and TARATEENO complete my tentative quartet against the field.
14.20
'Team Alner' won the inaugural running of this contest twelve months ago and the stable has another each way chance here via PRESENT M'LORD, though the likes of TWILIGHT EAGLE and BOYTJE appeal more from a win perspective. Jonjo has his team in good nick just now and though TWILIGHT EAGLE is asked to give BOYTJE twenty pounds, the six-year-old could be up to the task.
14.55
SUPER FOREMAN might not be amongst the leading lights in the Ditcheat yard, but Paul Nicholls would have held umpteen options for this event and he has nominated the five-year-old for the job in hand, the youngest horse in the field. LEADING CONTENDER is the obvious danger in this 'short field' event.
15.30
Venetia Williams (ANCHOR BRIDGE) and Philip Hobbs (BASEBALL TED) are the in form handlers, whereby I would be a little surprised if the winner emerged from outside of this pair.
16.05
Emma Lavelle raids this Haldon venue to good effect and VAGRANT EMPEROR can be another winner for the yard in the lucky last. QUAZY DE JOIE and QUEL BRUERE might offer most resistance close home.
Southwell -- Tuesday 27/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.10: MRS BUN
nb - 14.40: GRIMES FAITH
12.40
'Jockeys' are every bit as important as the horses in these amateur events, whereby my trio against the field consists of SEA CLIFF, ZAFFEU and WAARID. Be wary re your investments as a 25/1 chance won the inaugural running of this contest last year, leading home another outsider at 12/1 with the 8/15 favourite back in third place.
13.10
Lord help us, we have a second division of the opening amateur event to tolerate! The same 'jockey' theory applies whereby the likes of BIENHEUREUX, RIVINGTON PIKE and BLUE HILLS might best represent any value for money that might be lurking below the surface.
13.40
RAWDON is fancied to go well representing the Michael Bell/Hayley Turner partnership which performed so well last year. Beaten favourite EBERT cannot be overlooked at the overnight stage, whilst course and distance winner BLACK FALCON completes my tentative trio against the field. Another beaten odds on favourite on the card emerged in this contest twelve months ago.
14.10
All eight horses to fill the toteplacepot positions have carried weights of 9-0 or less which eliminates the top three runners in the handicap if you take the stats seriously. Three of the five course and distance winners (all in the superior section of the weights according to the stats) will do for me, namely JORDI ROPER, CAPE OF STORMS and FULFORD. Two of the four market leaders (via three renewals) have finished in the frame (one winner).
14.40
Kevin Ryan won the first running of this race last year with GRIMES FAITH and the six-year-old must have a decent chance of 'doubling up' in the contest carrying sixteen pounds less in the saddle. I fully appreciate the fact that the six-year-old has only scored via one of his twenty subsequent outings, but with Jamie Spencer booked to ride, the beaten favourite can atone for recent losses. CROCODILE BAY and LETHAL are other decent vintage representatives in the line up and both horses can make a race of it inside the final furlong.
15.10
Money for MAC DALIA would create interest given that the McCabe stable struck in this race gold last year, but more logical winners in the field according to the gospel of yours truly are SILK GALLERY and CITY FOR CONQUEST in this handicap which is confined to fillies.
15.40
Mark Johnston introces two interesting three year-olds here, namely the Selkirk raider ETTRICK MILL and his Montjeu filly INTERDIAMONDS. ECHO DANCER might best represent the eight runners with previous experience, having been beaten less than eight lengths on his debut at Wolverhampton. Jamie takes over from Hayley Turner aboard the Danehill Dancer colt and plenty of improvement is anticipated.
16.10
The Efisio filly MRS BUN has won three of her eleven races to date, with the trio of victories all having been gained here at Southwell. On a hat trick this time around, MRS BUN has finished 'in the three' in five of her six races at this venue and another decent effort looks to be on the cards. GARDEN PARTY and FOLLOW THE FLAG are marginally preferred to My Mentor in terms of dangers to the selection.
Kempton -- Monday 26/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.05: AU COURANT
ew - 14.40: PERFECT LINE
13.00
It's difficult for penalised horses to gain further successes once they have failed on a couple of subsequent occasions, whereby Hector's Choice is passed over in favour of newcomers AL AMAAN and PHEONIX ICE alongside RIVERSIDE THEATRE whose weight of 11-4 might not stop Nicky Henderson's raider from reaching the frame for the fifth time in as many starts.
13.30
HEBRIDEAN, BUFFALO STAMPEDE and AINAMA represent the strong respective stables of Paul Nicholls, Venetia Williams and Nicky Henderson and I would be surprised if the winner emerged from outside of this trio. Morning Heights (from Emma Lavelle's yard) is nominated as the overnight reserve.
14.05
AU COURANT is unbeaten in three starts to date on ground ranging from good through to soft which is just as well given Kempton's drying qualities, the venue being built on gravel. Nicky Henderson enjoys a great record at Kempton and with Tony McCoy booked aboard, the nine-year-old can maintain his unbeaten run. LODGE LANE and ITSA LEGEND will prvide stern opposition however, though this easy circuit is expected to prove ideal for AU COURANT.
14.40
This is one of the tightest handicap hurdle events you will witness in a long time, the twenty runners separated by just eight spots via official figures. Philip Hobbs does as well with long distance hurdlers as any other handler (better than most) whereby PERFECT LINE is offered an each way chance, possibly accompanied by CLYFFE HANGER who represents the in form Bob Buckler yard which has won with three of its last five runners. WYCHWOODS LEGEND comes into the equation via the Keighley stats at Kempton, whilst beaten favourite DELENA completes my quartet against the field.
15.15
Nicky Henderson's 28% record in steeplechase events at Kempton in recent seasons demands that BONCHESTER BRIDGE and PEPSYROCK dominate my mix in this 'short field' event. Neither horse has sound reasons to be supported via form book facts and figures but sometimes I have to adhere to my 'anorak' tendencies despite what media experts are advising.
15.50
This potential 'dead eight' event will have 'theives' combing the form book for 'bets to nothing' from an each way perspective, and perhaps the likes of THEDREAMSTILLALIVE, JUST JAFFA and NEMETAN best fit the bill.
16.20
Ludlow winner King Of Leon might find it difficult to give weight to PHIDIPPIDES, RUSSIAN REGENT and GENERAL MILLER. Any number of other contenders might emerge via market activity during the morning.
Hexham -- Sunday 25/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.15: SIRKEEL
nb - 16.15: THE KNOXS
13.15
The Ewert yard is at the top of its game at present having saddled three of their last seven horses to victory at the time of writing. SIRKEEL is the stable representative on this occasion and the seven-year-old is certainly due a win according to his form figures. STICK TOGETHER could run well at a price, whilst GOING WRONG completes my trio against the field in the opening contest.
13.45
MIGHTY MOON might scrape into the frame but GLENWOOD KNIGHT and KINGSDALE ORIEN look set to dominate proceedings in a race which should not prove difficult to win. GLENWOOD KNIGHT passed the post in front at Exeter last time out but lost the race (somewhat unfortunately) in the Stewards room.
14.15
The Classic Cliche gelding CLASSIC CUT has been off the track for some time since making a half reasonable debut, but the five-year-old has time on his side and a toteplacepot position could be there for the taking in this maiden hurdle event. Beaten favourite SATURN ISLAND is surely worth another chance in this grade, though SPHINX did precious little wrong at the first time of asking.
14.45
OPEN DE L'ISLE is a winner here at Hexham on heavy ground and Dougie Costello's seven-year-old races off a mark five spots below the rating scored off when successful last March. FIRST LOOK and BOLD RANSOM are more logical winners on the form book but since when did bookmakers make money via obvious results?
15.15
Course and distance winner LONGDALE returned to winning (soft ground) form at Sedgefield last time out and the double could be on the cards. MAIDSTONE MIXTURE, FORTUNATE ISLE and WOODY VALENTINE could reward win and place investors with four places up for grabs at the time of writing, though with exactly sixteen runners having been declared, a non runner is bound to emerge before flag fall, according to the gospel of John McCricick.
15.45
ADMIRAL SAVANNAH scored on soft ground on his penultimate start but Tim Easterby's five-year-old has a decent future at this game and Dougie Costello looks booked for another decent ride on the card. SISTERHOOD would not have to improve greatly to score at the fifth attempt, with LETS GO GIRLS possibly booked in to finish third for the third time in her last four starts.
16.15
The fact that Tony McCoy sticks around for a ride in the last race (north of Watford) suggests that THE KNOXS is likely to run a big race in this closing bumper event. WYMOTT and CUNNING CLARETS might offer most resistance close home.
Doncaster -- Saturday 24/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 12.35: LIGHTNING STRIKE
ew - 13.40: KACK HANDEDY
12.35
LIGHTNING STRIKE receives a useful four pounds from PALOMAR which could be significant, especially as trainer Venetia Williams saddled an easy winenr here at Doncaster on Friday. This is a decent race with which to open proceedings on Town Moor, with three of the last five contests having fallen the way of the favourite, the other two gold medallists scoring at odds of just 3/1 and 4/1.
13.05
CHOMBA WOMBA must take the beating back amongst fellow mares if that's not a contradiction on terms! HELENS VISION might be the 'thieves' each way call in this 'dead eight' event though ZARINAVA is an interesting Irish raider from Jessica Harrington's successful stable.
13.40
Henry Daly raids Town Moor to good effect on a regular basis whereby KACK HANDED is a horse towards the bottom of the weights with an each way squeak in a competitive looking event, whilst others to peruse overnight include CHARMAINE WOOD, KING JACK and LAREDO SOUND.
14.15
Five of the last six winners have carried weights of 11-3 or more which might surprise readers and the pick of just five 'qualifiers' this year are NACARAT, LORD JAY JAY and MILAN DEUX MILLE. Edmo Yewkay won the race last year and Tim Easterby's nine-year-old is nominated as the overnight reserve. The seven winners have produced a biggest priced winner of just 9/1 which is surprising given the competitive nature of this event on an annual basis.
14.50
Henry Daly is one of the double-handed trainers on this occasion whereby POSSOL can be given an each way chance, providing the ground does not deteriorate prior to flag fall. ACCORDING TO PETE is impossible to ignore whilst my quartet against the field is completed by the Venetia Williams pair ALEXANDERTHEGREAT and FLYING ENTERPRISE.
15.25
Four of Mark Johnston's eight winners this year (at the time of writing) hailed from the three-year-old sector and having saddled three winners from ten runners at Lingfield thus far, stable representative GREEN PASSION has to be included in my mix. The Michael Jarvis trained Cape Cross debutant LACROSSE and HALJAFERIA might offer most resistance down the home straight.
16.00
Alan Swinbank's bumper horses are always worth a second glance, particularly when supported in the market whereby BALIGHA could be kept on the right side. ARTIST'S MOON is another runner that immediately catches the eye, whilst Pond House representative SURE JOSIE SURE is a Kalanisi filly who could have a future at the game.
Lingfield -- Friday 23/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 12.40: MUTAMARED
nb - 13.40: JUST THE LADY
13.10
Just seven declarations have been made, whereby a self imposed ruling of just two horses can be nominated against the field which in this case turnes out to be the top pair, namely IMPERIAL SKYLIGHT and TRUSTED VENTURE. Flawless Diamond in mentioned in dispatches from a reserve perspective.
13.40
Dandy Nicholls was last spied by yours truly in Dubai but 'Dandy' will still have his finger well and truly on the pulse if he remains south east of Folkestone, whereby his course and distance winner JUST THE LADY is the call in this four runner 'win only' event.
14.15
It's not often that six of the ten declarations in a Class 6 event boast winning form within their last two outings and though we have (seemingly) lost Sir Don from the list, the likes of ADMIRAL BOND, NOW YOU SEE ME and JOSS STICK appear well treated via official figures.
14.50
NORTHERN EMPIRE could reward each way investors with a return of some description, though the likes of NICKEL SILVER and CANADIAN DANEHILL make more appeal from a win perspective. NICKEL SILVER comes to the party on a four-timer having won both of his races here at Lingfield to date.
15.25
Austrailan trainer Jeremy Gask has his team in good order just now and HORSESHOE REEF might be the specualtive call in the line up from an each way perspective. Other outsiders to consider include ELLMAU and PRINCESS COCOA in a race that could well produce a 'bookmaker's result'. A more logical winner via the form book is Stand Guard who is nominated as the overnight reserve.
16.00
Four of Mark Johnston's eight winners this year (at the time of writing) hailed from the three-year-old sector and having saddled three winners from ten runners at Lingfield thus far, stable representative GREEN PASSION has to be included in my mix. The Michael Jarvis trained Cape Cross debutant LACROSSE and HALJAFERIA might offer most resistance down the home straight.
Kempton -- Thursday 22/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 20.50: THE POWER OF PHIL
nb - 18.50: DRIFTING GOLD
18:50
Clive Cox has his team in decent nick whereby DRIFTING GOLD holds each way claims at the very least. COSMIC DESTINY makes his Kempton debut here but has finished 'in the three' eight times (a winner of three all weather events--six on all surfaces) via nineteen starts and Ed Vaughan's top weight should figure prominently, arguably alongside course and distance winner TEN DOWN.
19:20
I would describe SLIP as a clever winner when defeating Teasing at Lingfield a few weeks back and the Fraam gelding arguably only has SABRE LIGHT to beat in this Class five claiming event. SABRE LIGHT has won four of his last five races, two of which were gained here at Kempton. Fantastic Light stock usually improve with age and SABRE LIGHT is likely to make SLIP pull out all the stops.
19:50
STONECRABSTOMORROW has won off marks of seventy-seven and seventy-four to date, whereby his official rating of sixty-four now offers the six-year-old an obvious opportunity to regain the winning thread. The two horses at the top of the list are likely to offer most resistance close home, namely MAFAHEEM and ONE MORE ROUND though the receipt of six pounds from both opponents should ensure a victory for STONECRABSTOMORROW.
20:20
The fact that just seven runners are scheduled to face the starter here does not make the race any easier to assess, but MEAN MR MUSTARD and KHELEY should get the better of their five rivals close home. KHELEY has gained a medal of each colour via just the three outings on all weather surfaces to date, whilst MEAN MR MUSTARD makes his Kempton debut on this occasion.
20:50
The Tom Dascombe and Richard Kingscote bandwagon rolls into Sunbury via THE POWER OF PHIL and the five-year-old boasts undeniable each way claims, though bookmakers are unlikely to chalk up win and place odds, where value for money might be conspicuous by its absence. BECKENHAM'S SECRET is likely to offer another decent effort (possibly without winning) alongside BABA GHANOUSH.
21:20
The Lear Spear filly POPPY RED sits two pounds out of the official weights but the three-time silver medallist is fancied to gain another cheque of some description for connections, though the likes of course and distance winner BEN BACCHUS and TOUCH OF STYLE (well treated here according to official figures) might deny the four-year-old the gold gong yet again.
Kempton -- Wednesday 21/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 19.50: DOUBLE ACT
nb - 20.20: HARALD BLUETOOTH
18:50
Favourites of one description or another have won 15/40 races at Kempton this year (37.5%), though to illustrate how difficult it is to pick winners at the Sunbury circuit, digest the fact that thirty-five different trainers have won the forty contests to date! Clive Cox (for example) is the only represented trainer to have won more than one contest at Kempton in 2009 to date, though his raider PERFECT CLASS needs to step up on his all weather debut last time out to make the judge sit up and take notice. Jamie Spencer is riding at the top of his game right now whereby PRINCESS CAGLIARI must have a chance, possibly alongside HALAAK in a fascinating opening contest.
19:20
The three-year-olds are barely out of their juvenile status as they take on older horses here, though AVOIR CHOISI has already run well this year (albeit in defeat) and Peter Chapple-Hyam's beaten favourite could be offered another chance in this grade. The Redback filly SAINTS BAY might prove to be the pick of the four newcomers in the line up, whilst ELISARIO can run well despite giving weight away all around.
19:50
DOUBLE ACT was not overly impressive when scoring at Wolverhampton last time out, but with Jeremy Noseda having won with three of his last six runners at the time of writing, Jamie Spencer could be aboard another winner on the card. CELTIC COMMITMENT and JOHNNY SKULL might offer most resistance on this occasion. One of the three favourites has secured a toteplacepot position via two renewals to date (no winners).
20:20
OCEAN LEGEND might be the each way call given the good form of the Fielden yard in recent times, though more logical winners on the form book include HARALD BLUETOOTH and course and distance winner TOTALLY FOCUSSED. HARALD BLUETOOTH is asked to give weight all around but represents the in form duo of David Simcock and Jamie Spencer.
20:50
Gary Moore (KAVALOTI) and Ian Williams (ZUWAAR) are two of the five trainers to have saddled more than one winner at Kempton this year and both representatives should give investors a run for their collective monies. Nick Gifford saddles the dark horse in the contest, namely Polish import JECZMIEN who has won three of his fifteen races to date.
21:20
A fiendishly difficult finale to assess, whereby LIBERTY VALENCE, ADMIRALS WAY and FUN IN THE SUN can only be offered as my speculative trio against the field.
Southwell -- Tuesday 20/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.30: HAMAASY
nb - 14.30: MAJURO
13:00
30.6% (15/49) of the races contested at Southwell this year have fallen the way of favourites of one description or another. AFTON VIEW is the each way call in the contest given that the Parr stable is the only represented yard to have saddled more than one winner at Southwell in 2009 to date. That said, the stable is also represented by JORDI ROPER who will (likely as not) be the more fancied contender of the two. NABEEDA is marginally preferred to Cabopino even though Jamie Spencer rides the latter named runner.
13:30
HAMAASY completed a hat trick of runner up efforts last time out but with trainer Ron Harris leading the way at Southwell this year (three winners), the Machiavellian gelding is fancied to land his sixth event, especially as the stable has already saddled a winner of a selling race at the venue in 2009. BLUE CHARM and KINGSMAITE are two other frustrating types who will attract plenty of support.
14:00
Just nine winning favourites have emerged via thirty-two handicap events at Southwell to date (28.1%). Roger Curtis has saddled two handicappers to victory here at Southwell this year and MAMBO SUN could add to the tally here despite (joint) top weight. Others worth perusing over breakfast include SULARNO (Hughie Morrison attempts to saddle his third winner at the course this year) and WEST END LAD.
14:30
All four horses to have carried more than nine stones in the event to date have been beaten, with just one representative managing to finish in the frame. One favourite has prevailed though the other two market leaders finished out with the washing. Mark Johnston's older horses (Nightjar on this occasion) are often harshly treated by the handicapper whereby Ill opt for MAJURO and MOZAYADA from the 'superior' sector of the weights according to the stats.
15:00
The Curtis team is going well just now (three of their last ten runners have won at the time of writing) whereby FRIENDS HOPE is offered a chance by yours truly here, albeit from an each way perspective. Market support for PERSIAN PERIL should be heeded whilst my trio against the field is completed by CLEAR REEF. Two of the five favouriters have finished in the frame (one winner) and it's worth noting that the 4/7 market leader finished out of the frame twelve months ago.
15:30
All five favourites have finished in the money (two winners), whilst the six five-year-olds to have contested the race to date have been unsuccessful. The last four winners have carried weights of 8-11 or more and I expect the run to continue via DANCE AND DANCE, LIVELY BLADE or CROY.
16:00
Three of the four favourites to have contested handicaps confined to three-year-olds have won at Southwell in 2009 and I guess the likes of CAUSE FOR APPLAUSE, PAINT SPLASH and SHIFTING GOLD will be prominent in the market and in the race itself. Kevin Ryan (SHIFTING GOLD) is the only previous winning trainer to be represented this time around. Three of the four renewals of this particular event have been claimed by favourites of one sort or another.
Wolverhampton -- Monday 19/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 16.30: ANTILLA
nb - 17.30: MACHINATE
14:00
A quick update on Wolverhampton stats, stating that 27/64 races at the venue this year have been won by favourites of one sort or another at the time of writing. Reg Hollinshead has already saddled three winners at this venue in 2009 (two in the handicap sector) whereby TILLERS SATISFIED holds an obvious chance. FLAWLESS DIAMOND might present the sternest challenge to the selection, whilst TRICKY TREV is offered up as the likeliest outsider to run well.
14:30
Gay Kelleway has already won a selling event here at Wolverhampton this year and having won this contest in its inaugural running twelve months ago, SINGLEB has a definite chance of doubling up for the stable in the event. Course and distance winner PRINCE NOEL is an obvious danger, whilst VISCAYA completes my trio against the field at potentially rewarding odds.
15:00
Course and distance winner KING OF LEGEND represents the Foster stable which has won with its only runner within the last fortnight. PUTRA LAJU should run well at a price, whilst another C/D winner SION HILL is also expetced to figure prominently by yours truly.
15:30
The Tom Dascombe/Richard Kingscote bandwagon could roll on here via their new acquisition BROUHAHA, though beaten favourite ROYAL ENCORE might take somestopping at the eleventh time of asking. LADY LONGCROFT looks set to pick up the bronze gong this time around.
16:00
The Botti stable has picked up a race at this venue in 2009 already, and their beaten favourite SECRET DUBAI has definite claims to atone for recent losses. Others to peruse over brunch include course and distance winners CARNIVORE and KENSINGTON.
16:30
'Recent winners' ANTILLA and DRAMATIC SOLO could be a good few pounds ahead of the handicapper and it would not surprise me if the pair pull clear of their field inside the furlong marker. ANTILLA looks particularly attractive of this mark and could take plenty of beating. HILL BILLY ROCK would create interest if receiving support in the market prior to the contest.
17:00
I can't quite believe the 20/1 trade press price about BOURSE with the yard in good from (albeit via a limited number of runners) whereby the person who compiled these prices might be proved wrong later in the day, though I fully appreciate how tough that job is as an Odds Compiler myself. C/D winners AHLAWY and SUPERCAST are more logical winners on the form book and should both run well for potential investors.
17:30
Mark Brisbourne has saddled three handicap winners at Wolverhampton in 2009 and MACHINATE might improve the tally still further in this contest. BAILIEBOROUGH and WINGED FARASI should offer most resistance up the home straight.
Market Rasen -- Sunday 18/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 13.30: MAKE HASTE
nb - 15.00: SCUTCH MILL
13:30
Aside from the Venetia Williams yard, the represented stables are generally out of form, whereby the relevant Williams raider MAKE HASTE must be included in the overnight mix. PHEIDIAS and the newcomer PAPRADON are offered as alternatives in a race which will not require a great deal of winning.
14:00
ALFADORA only possesses one gear but Milton Harris places his horses to decent each way effect and I cannot visualise the nine-year-old finishing out of the money in this grade. ADMIRAL SAVANNAH won under soft conditions on his penultimate start whilst KEENE SPIRIT and SUPER ROSS cannot be ruled out of the equation at the time of writing.
14:30
Keith Revely has started the new year well enough whereby his Lord Of Appeal gelding BOLD RANSOM could be the each way call in this 'dead eight' contest. The likes of CAMDEN GEORGE and SPECIAL ENVOY are (arguably) more logical winners in the line up, but each way could be the way to play.
15:00
Course and distance winner SCUTCH MILL would not want conditions to become too testing, but the seven-year-old was given a livener on the flat the other day and Pat Haslam's raider would become particularly interesting if attracting money on Sunday morning. The likeliest dangers are nominated as NOTHINGBUTTHETRUTH and FEDERSTAR.
15:30
Although remaining a maiden following eight efforts to date, JEVEZ has run his best races on bad ground and four runner up efforts suggests that there is plenty of ability laying in wait under the saddle. FLIGHT COMMAND has finished 'in the three' sixteen times (three-time winner) via thirty-two steeplechase starts, whilst course and distance winner SYCHO FRED also catches the eye.
16:00
The two 'recent' scorers MORE LIKE IT and WHATCANYSAY should dominate the finale with only Eborarry offering any semblance of form via the other three contenders.
Haydock -- Saturday 17/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.00: WIND INSTRUMENT
e/w - 13.55: GLASKER MILL
13:20
The Supreme Leader mare ISSAQUAH deserves her place in the line up but Malcolm Jefferson's seven-year-old should be put in her place by both SNAP TIE and AFSOUN in a particularly decent opening event. Favourite have won four of the last seven renewals, whilst the other three events were claimed by fancied horses at 15/8, 9/4 and 5/1.
13:55
The last eight winners of the Peter Marsh 'Chase have carried weights of 11-1 or less which suggests that the top four horses should be laid, which includes both of the Paul Nicholls entries! Be bold and brave and opt for the likes of KANDJAR D'ALLIER, FAASEL and particularly GLASKER MILL. Just one market leader has obliged during the study period.
14:25
Potential each way thieves will be looking to take advantage of this 'dead eight' event, though the other five runners will do well to kick MAHONIA, CLAY HOLLISTER and DEE EE WILLIAMS out of the frame. Nicky Henderson (CLAY HOLLISTER) has won three of the last six renewals, whilst four favourites have won during the period. Market leaders have finished in frame in each of the last seven contests.
15:00
Another event for eight runners, whereby MASSINI'S MAGUIRE, WILL BE DONE and WIND INSTRUMENT will prove difficult to beat from a toteplacepot perspective, especially as market leaders have won all three renewals to date. Carl Llewellyn saddled a 50/1 winner for yours truly on Friday and WIND INSTRUMENT should go close here in receipt of four pounds from the other two horses mentioned in dispatches.
15:35
A typical long distance handicap Haydock event which will take a great deal of winning in terms of stamina and endurance. THE GANGERMAN deserves to win a half decent event and this could be his turn as the beaten favourite receives eight pounds from the classy BANNISTER LANE from the top of the weights. HIDDEN BOUNTY could emerge as the each way steal in the contest, even at thirteen years of age.
16:10
Seven-year-olds have won three of the five renewals, and this year's three vintage representatives will do for me against the field, namely FINNEY, FABALU and MR WOODS. Four of the six market leaders (via five renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions with three favourites snaring gold in the process. That said, the other two gold medallists were returned at 25/1 and 12/1.
Chepstow -- Friday 16/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 14.35: RAFFAELLO
nb - 13.00: HOLLOW STAR
13:00
As a gold and silver medallist in two Irish point-to-point events to date, the chance of HOLLOW STAR must be respected, whilst on this side of the Irish Sea, the likes of ARTURO UNO and JAUNTY JOURNEY have run with some degree of purpose thus far.
13:30
The Nicholls team won a division of this race when the event was last contested two years ago and Ditcheat locals will hope that the trainer snares both contests this time around by watching KING FONTAINE race to victory here, the double having been hopefully initiated by Hollow Star in the opening event. BLUE DARK and NORMALLY are the likeliest party-poopers in the line up.
14:00
The last three favourites have all finished in the frame in this contest (one winner) and the three horses likely to head the market (DONTPAYTHEFERRYMAN, PERLON and EBISTAN) should provide the winner of the contest between them.
14:35
The Roi De Rome gelding RAFFAELLO has been off the track for well over two years now, having been injured in a race here at Chepstow on Welsh Grand National day 2006. Paul Nicholls has given the horse every chance of a complete recovery and the eight-year-old could make short work of the opposition if stripping fit in the parade ring. TANK TOP and HILLS OF ARRAN are the likeliest types to take advantage of a mistake or two by the Ditcheat based raider.
15:10
Eight and nine-year-olds have shared the four renewals to date, and the trend might continue here via WHAT A SCIENTIST and IBBERTON, though supporters of seven-year-old SUPREME KEANO will not hear of defeat for Jonjo O'Neill's Jackdaw House raider.
15:45
This race will take little or no winning, whereby eleven-year-old WALSINGHAM might still retain enough speed to outpoint his twelve rivals up the long home straight. Course and distance winners are invariably worth a second glance at this tough venue and ALL SONSILVER could run well at rewarding odds whilst WASNTME is another outsider to consider in a weak contest.
16:15
The represented stables are bady out of form in general terms, whereby confidence is at an all time low. I can only offer a tentive trio against the field in the finale, namely RUBY CROWN, VILLOCHELY and MOONLIGHT MUSIC. Good luck!
Taunton -- Thursday 15/01/2009
Best bets:
nap - 15.20: OLDRIK
nb - 14.20: BASEBALL TED
13:20
Top stables win this opening race as a genral rule, which is highlighted by the fact that five of the last six favourites have obliged. Five-year-olds have secured seven of the last nine contests, and having put the stats and facts together, my short list comprises of QUARTZ DE THAIX, BENFLEET BOY and FARMERS CROSS.
13:50
ERADICATE was a typical Mark Johnston representative on the level, as game as a pebble in running and giving his best right through to the jamstick. Such qualities will be of enormous importance when contesting races over timber, and Nicky Henderon's debutant could take the beating. That said, YETHOLM is another newcomer to note whilst PRINCE SABAAH arguably sets the standard of those that have already run under NH rules.
14:20
The last three winners of this event have carried weights of 11-4 or more and BASEBALL TED appears to be the logical call via the six 'qualifiers' on this occasion. Six-year-olds come to the party on a hat trick and with the relevant yards in good order at the time of writing, both THEBELLOFTHEBALL and TOM FONTENAILLES could run well at rewarding odds.
14:50
David Pipe complicates matters by declaring three newcomers in the contest, and as the Pond House gaffer has saddled three of his last eight winners to winning effect, I'll take his speculative trio against the field, namely GOOD MAN JACK, LORD TOMNODDY and SONA SASTA. Busker Royal is mentioned in dispatches from a 'reserve' perspective.
15:20
Seven of the last nine winners of this contest have carried weights of 10-13 or more and OLDRIK, course and distance winner DANCEWITHTHEDEVIL and NIGHT CRU should rep
