Horse Racing Betting Tips

Horse Racing tips from our All Weather speed ratings expert Dmouse. Get the inside track on the day's best bet:

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Archive Results

3rd - 16:05 Lingfield: Ebraam

I'll be brief here because Ebraam wins this easily. This horse is massively improved and having a great winter, he won last time a shade cosily in not the fastest run race, a strongly run race is what he needs and he has got it today. Godfrey Street and Silver Prelude should go a decent lick setting up for a closer and there is nothing that can beat Ebraam. Yes Fyodor is showing glimpses of old form but is nowhere back to his best, Ajigolo isn't good enough and nor is Northern Empire. Ebraam will win a listed sprint on the all weather this winter and will pick this up on the way. Dmouse

Ebraam finished 3rd - 16/2/2008

2nd - 16:30 Lingfield: Angel Voices

This race could produce several future winners and looks competitive. One horse I can't be having is Saville's Delight, the switch in stable has perked up this old boy and delivered a couple of wins but they weren't in good races and his speed ratings were very average he will be outclassed in this race and I would be surprised if he placed. Grand Palace and Astorygoeswithit are closely matched on their last race but that was won a shade cosily by Grand Palace and I expect him to confirm the placings again, but neither are up to winning this. Tag Team is one of my old favourites a really gutsy performer and a horse I would love to own, he will perform with credit but I think he needs a drop in class to win again. All the rest will struggle to get into the race and often get outpaced over this trip which leaves my pick Spoof Master. He comes into the race like an un-penalised winner having only lost in a bob of heads with Bo McGinty last time out. Looking back that was a good race for the class and Bo McGinty's has twice placed in higher class since. I like the jockey on board and I think the horse is much better than this lot he should gobble this race up, take the 2/1 whilst it is available. Dmouse

Angel Voices finished 2nd - 15/2/2008

2nd - 15:50 Southwell: Spoof Master

3rd - 15:50 Southwell: Kabeer

An interesting little race this and a few with chances. Bo Mcginty is in fine form but 5 furlongs is where he has done most of his running throughout his career I don't see why he wouldn't get 6 furlongs at this track but he probably isn't quite good enough. Crimson King is a fascinating horse, he is a real monkey in the stalls but somehow he has managed to win three times at Southwell and place the other two. For a seven year old he is absurdly lightly raced and still looks inexperienced on the track, there is definitely talent there but clearly he is not straight forward. If the trainer can get this horse in the right frame of mind to perform at his best he could be a real danger. The solid pick is Kabeer in the form of his life he ran a good second over course and distance last time out and if they go a decent gallop he should wear them down in the straight, it's not a spectacular tip by any means but it is the obvious one and that is often no bad thing. Dmouse

Kabeer finished 3rd - 12/2/2008

2nd - 14:55 Wolverhampton: Punching

A race with several atrocious horses makes it easy to narrow down the field to three contenders. Now You See Me completely ruined her chances by falling out the stall last time over course and distance and did well to finish as close as she did, a step up to 7 furlongs didn't suit and she could go well today over her optimum trip. Nautical has been running consistently and will be in the shake up but he hasn't won for almost 2 years now and just doesn't look like a winner in waiting. Punching has the best recent form indeed 3 of his last 4 runs have earned the highest speed rating in this field; he has won over course and distance and if ridden prominently he should win this as there isn't a lot of pace in the race and he always performs better when trying to make all. Dmouse

Punching finished 2nd - 11/2/2008

WINNER - 14:00 Southwell: Came Back

They could go very fast here with plenty of front runners and set it up for a closer, if that happens then Dickie Le Davoir comes into the reckoning, he gets outpaced over this trip but it is so difficult to come from last to first at Southwell I couldn't be banking on him doing it again. Cleveland is one for the forecast he is running consistently and I think this is his trip; he should stay on past beaten horses to place. The winner looks fairly obvious to me Came Back is doing as his name suggests and his last run at Wolverhampton earned the type of speed rating I expect from him when he is in form, he looks to be back to his best. This is his trip and his favourite track plus he often comes to hand at this time of year. The speed ratings I have given him in the past are consistently better than all his competitors today and he should win this easily. Dmouse

Came Back won at 3/1 - 7/2/2008

9th - 15:40 Southwell: Wessex

We are faced with a lovely midweek all weather race with some intriguing performers. There has been a massive gamble this morning on the Derek Shaw horse Imperial Echo and by now all the value is certainly gone, but can he win? The trainer knows his stuff and clearly connections are confident but this horse has never run at Southwell and I always want to see some form on this unique surface before backing them. Kabeer is in the form of his life and his last two runs were very impressive, he is the top rated horse on my speed ratings, I always believe that a class horse can drop back in trip and still win but can Kabeer just outclass this competitive field, probably not he might just get outpaced and not quite get there in the end. A place prospect horse if you like betting that way. Ingleby Arch is another coming from a shrewd stable and he has course and distance form, he is a worthy favourite. It all depends if this horse can get out and lead and with Cerebus in the field he might not be able to, dominating a high class field can be tough and he might be under too much pressure for the lead to give his best showing. Bonnie Prince Billie is a very strange horse he puts in scintillating runs followed by absolutely wretched performances with no explanation, he could just be a bounce horse, always running his worst race after his best. Unfortunately his last race, which was epically bad, was only a couple of weeks ago and I cannot forgive him for it. The all leaves us with my tip and hopefully the winner in the shape of Wessex. From a shrewd stable this horse has been primed for this race, he absolutely loves Southwell (only unplaced twice out of 14 runs at the course), he is off a winning mark and his record over course and distance is 121 with the last two runs being in class 2 races this time last year. Ok his recent spins have been mediocre but that has kept his mark down and were just prep races for the bigger prize. Jockey and trainer have a 29% strike rate together (£17.75 to level stakes) and all the stats point to this horse and if he can recreate last year's form he wins. Dmouse

Wessex finished 9th - 5/2/2008

WINNER - 15:10 Lingfield: Buxton

A seemingly wide open race lots with chances. The favourite Chjimes is very interesting, his last run was in a very good race for the grade and he wasn't shamed in finishing 5th coming back from a sizeable break. His turf form was good and he has ability but I'm not sure he was crying out for a step up in trip he could just outclass this lot but I'm not convinced at the price. Of the rest Buxton is equally interesting, he kept on finishing close over 6 furlongs but never quite having the change of pace to win. Understandably he has been running over a mile recently as connections try to make the most of his sustained pace but that is not his trip. I've always thought a slight drop in class and riding him more prominently over 6furlong would reap rewards and I get the impressions that is what they will be looking to do with him today from a good draw. Dmouse

Buxton won at 9/2 - 4/2/2008

2nd - 16:20 Southwell: Blakeshall Quest

Nothing better than banded racing here with some really lowly rated horses. Blakeshall Quest is a fair performer when she can get an uncontested lead and although Tenancy could go off fast and force a pace dual it is worth the risk. Last time it happened Blakeshall Quest still stayed on well finishing within a head of Guadaloup even though everything went in favour of the later, therefore I can't see Blakeshall Quest finishing behind Guadaloup who is one of the only contenders in the race. The rest you can pretty much write off as not good enough apart from Soba Jones. Although it was hard to tell with the TV cameras focusing on Hits Only Jude's 10 length win last time out he seemed to stay on for third without being pushed out. His speed ratings this year haven't been at their peak but he might be coming to form and is a danger. Having said that with a plum draw and if Tenancy doesn't show any early speed Blakeshall Quest could win this unchallenged. Dmouse

Blakeshall Quest finished 2nd - 31/1/2008

5th - 16:50 Kempton: Mr Lambros

Cracking race for a Monday with lots of real good all weather sprinters on show. Most of these ran at Lingfield 9 days ago and I don't see the positions changing that much, Come Out Fighting won that day stealing a soft lead and was never headed. There is a danger the same could happen again with no confirmed pace in the race but the 6 furlongs at Kempton does give hold up horses plenty of running room and I can't see lightning striking twice. Bonus could be set to take advantage and he was a tad unlucky last time out, but he is carrying a big top weight and as I keep remarking none of his speed ratings are anywhere near his best and I think age is catching up with this horse, he is on the decline. One horse however at the top of his game is Mr Lambros, the Gay Kelleway stable is on fire and this horse put up a sensational performance last time out and in an excellent time. Although he is dropping back to 6 furlongs today he should have enough pace to be handy throughout the race and although the likes of Bonus, Qadar and Orpsie Boy will look to be finishing quickly they won't finish quickly enough. Dmouse

Mr Lambros finished 5th - 28/1/2008

3rd - 19:20 Wolverhampton: Macademy Royal

Only three horses can win this Lucius Verrus, Macademy Royal and Mafaheem. Lucius Verrus comes from a stable bang in form but the horse is suited to seven furlongs, they will probably go at a crawl and I'm not sure he has the tactical pace to stick with these sprinters. Mafaheem is very short and should win, but he is a horse with problems, why else would he be running in a seller. Before his last run, Andrew Haynes his trainer admitted on ATR that Mafaheem has his injury problems and takes his time getting over his races so to see him back on course after just 6 days seems surprising. Either the horse has got over his difficulties and is fit and well or connections are just chancing thier arm. The race probably won't be run to suit and it is certainly worth opposing this horse, backing odds on in a seller is not a smart move. Macademy Royal is the only viable alternative, he hails from a decent stable and his form is reasonable, he should stay front rank in a race with no pace and his price represents the value selection. Dmouse

Macademy Royal finished 3rd - 24/1/2008

4th - 18:20 Kempton: Sir Loin

A really trappy race and I'm struggling to separate Sir Loin, Minnow and Musical Script on my speed ratings, this could be a close race. I almost plumped for the outside Racing Stripes, he has tumbled down the weights since his juvenile days but last time out he shaped much better and looked like he was crying out for a return to 5 furlongs, he is an interesting runner. Ultimately I've gone for the favourite, he won well last time and looking at the race he should get another uncontested lead. If the jockey can get him out fast and control the race he could well win again. Dmouse

Sir Loin finished 4th - 23/1/2008

13th - 13:00 Southwell: Imperial Sword

A big field and this should be run at a sound clip so you probably want something just capable of staying but not from too far back which can be almost impossible at Southwell. Trinculo is an interesting runner, he is an admiral old horse and is still up to winning races like this, he missed the break badly last time but still ran a fair race and he is one of the horses who has earned a recent speed rating good enough to win this. Of the rest only Imperial Sword is good enough on my ratings to win this. He finished a not too distant fourth in a decent race for the class and he hails from a stable whose runners should always be respected at Southwell. On the face of it the wide draw looks poor but it's probably not too bad as they usually finish spread out across the course over 6furlongs and there is no pronounced bias. Dmouse

Imperial Sword finished 13th - 22/1/2008

6th - 16:20 Kempton: Balerno

A very weak race but there should be enough pace for it to be fair race for all styles of runner. Of the contenders Taboor and David's Mark are comfortable at this level but their strike rate is very poor, they will give you a run for you money but rarely win and if anything both are better over 5 furlongs, I wouldn't want them carrying my money. The Carpet Man is an interesting horse, beaten out of sight recently he should have no chance but his one run over course and distance was respectable and earned a Speed Rating good enough to win this. However he has never come close to recreating that run and speed rating so it was either plain wrong or he is a horse full of problems and rarely runs to his best, either way he isn't one to back with confidence and the price isn't big enough to warrant the risk. The leaves us with Balerno, he ran really well last time over course and distance where the second place horse has since won, it was produced in a decent time and is the most impressive recent form in the field. Another confidence booster is that he has the best strike rate in the field, he isn't blessed with an abundance of talent but he wins in his turn at his level which I think will be today. Dmouse

Balerno finished 6th - 21/1/2008

2nd - 15:00 Lingfield: Ebraam

Unfortunately they will go at walking pace over this 6 furlongs as there is no horse that even resembles a front runner, all of which could leave us with a horribly messy race. A lot of these horses are weighted up to the eyeballs but the two class acts are Bonus and Ebraam. Annoyingly Bonus spoiled our big payday last Saturday and it is his class that often gets him over the line in tactical or pace less affairs. I'm still not convinced he is at his best anymore and he has a huge lump of weight to carry, this is a big ask. Ebraam has been a real star this season quickly rising through the weights and I think there is still more to come. He beat Turn On The Style a shade cozily on his last race and that was off a slow pace something I really didn't think he could do. That day I made a vow to take this horse seriously in the top All Weather sprints and hopefully he rewards backers this Saturday. Dmouse

Ebraam finished 2nd - 19/1/2008

3rd - 13:20 Wolverhampton: Stormburst

Grimes Faith won a really weak race last time out and is one to take on at the price and the rest are a really poor bunch which really only leaves three candidates for me. Mafaheem is a reasonable favourite he is in form and has the champion jockey on board which is a good signpost. He has won twice over course and distance and this isn't a tough race so he should be thereabouts, occasionally he can fluff the start but I'm only avoiding him because if you must back him I would back him in running at a bigger price as he does get niggled along quite early into his races. Chatshow is another horse who has been knocking on the door in this grade, you can forgive his last two runs over an inadequate trip but he just doesn't look capable of winning anymore and minor honors beckon. Stormburst is the only horse in this race that can run a speed figure close to that of Mafaheem and although she isn't that well drawn she will probably be looking for cover and get dropped in behind the pace. Her last run wasn't great and following a switch of stables I do worry if her new trainer hasn't worked out how to get the best out of her. Even so she is good enough to get into the mix should place at least and perhaps give us a run for our money at a decent price. Dmouse

Stormburst finished 3rd - 18/1/2008

11th - 15:00 Southwell: Is It Time

A decent size field for a fairly low grade race over the straight five at Southwell. One horse I admit I have always got wrong is Egyptian Lord, he is a frequent winner over course and distance but I seemed to have backed him each time he loses, this is his stable's time of year so don't be surprised if he leaves his mediocre form behind to win. Two horses in good form are Bentley and Kennington both are recent runners up and look ready to win, unfortunately the draw hasn't been kind. In a big fields horses coming out of stalls 1 and 2 can end up being forced to race up the far side rail often the slowest part of the track, the other negative is that there is no pace drawn low and all the action should be happening in stalls 10+ this will need an excellent judgment of pace from the jockey to even gives these horses a chance of victory. A much better bet is to stick with those horses drawn high and in stall ten is the favourite Diriculous. I'm actually struggling to find a reason to oppose this horse, he is in form, progressive and his trainer doesn't send many losers to Southwell in fact the drop to 5 furlongs should suit this horse too. The reason why I am is partly to do with price but also to do with The Geester. Diriculous beat the Geester by 1.75lengths last time out, so what I hear you say, well another horse also beat the Geester recently by 1.25 lengths and that horse is 50/1 today whilst the favourite is 2/1! That horse, Is It Time, runs again today and his handily berthed near Diriculous in stall 14. Is It Time won over course and distance in December and although the speed rating she got is below that of some of her competitors today there was a lot to like about her win. She fell out the stalls and then had to weave all over the track before getting a gap, once she did she powered away nicely. Since then she has disappointed around Kempton but she is such a massive horse I'm not surprised a tight turning track didn't suit her. This 5 furlongs is a straight galloping track made for this type of horse and if she stays in touch after the start she could score again reunited with her winning jockey. Dmouse

Is It Time finished 11th - 17/1/2008

2nd - 15:55 Lingfield: Fromsong

It is almost heart over head with this pick as one of my favourite horses is running in this race but we will get to him later, let's look at those who shouldn't win. The grand old veteran Smokin Beau finally halted his slide down the weights with back to back wins but this horse isn't getting any better and he will struggle to defy a rise back up the weights. Another possible is What Do You Know a horse with talent especially over 5 furlongs but he wasn't great last time out in a slowly run race that should have suited him, perhaps a return to Kempton where he has fared well will see him winning again. Favourite Sands Crooner is an interesting horse, a furious pace will play to his strengths and since being gelded he has been a much more consistent horse this winter, this however is a tougher race for him and he has been found wanting in these types of contests before so I wouldn't want to back him at the price. This leaves us with one of my best loved horses, Fromsong. There is a reasoned argument behind tipping this horse, firstly he is much better over 5 furlongs and over his career has finished behind (and in front) of some very useful horses: 2.5 lengths behind Matsunosuke, 1.25 lengths behind Qadar, 1 length behind Les Arcs excellent all weather form. He should come on for his last run which was after a sizeable break and trainer/jockey combo have a 29% strike rate and are £49.00 up to £1 level stakes. Dmouse

Fromsong finished 2nd - 16/1/2008

2nd - 14:55 Lingfield: Silver Prelude

A really muddling race this, with some excellent all weather performers in Bonus and Qadar, both are excellent yardsticks but I feel Bonus isn't quite at his best any more even though he has enough quality to win this type of race. Qadar again has the quality and after missing the break last time with a bit of luck and benefiting from the run he should come on, the problem is he needs a rattling pace and I'm not sure that will happen. Likewise Red Cape is a classy performer but he is more a 7 furlong horse and a slowly run 6 won't play to his strengths. Lucayos is now weighted to the hilt and forced to race in these types of contests but doesn't look like a winner especially after his poor run last time out. All this leaves is a real quandary and I'm unwilling to back Bonus a potential favourite at a short price. Qadar is the likely winner for me but I think it's worth going for a real left field pick. At the weights Silver Prelude has no chance he is 16lbs worse off with Qadar than he would be in a handicap but the complete absence of pace, and his price, tempts me. He has won his last two making all over 5 furlongs, blasting out front and holding on well and both were achieved in excellent times; the worry is he is a five furlong performer but the angle I'm looking for is that he gets an uncontested lead or steals the race whilst the jockeys are napping which renders stamina a slight irrelevance. If he can get away from the field and honestly no one would fancy him to win he could sneak this at a massive price. Dmouse

Silver Prelude finished 2nd - 12/1/2008

WINNER - 13:00 Wolverhampton: Almaty Express

Potentially plenty of pace on with Almaty Express and Triskaidekaphobia drawn in stalls one and two and usually this race would set up for a closer. Unfortunately there are no fast finishers in this race up to the task of winning this. Normally I don't like picking front runners who could get in potential pace duals but Almaty Express proved me wrong on many occasions this time last year, infact he has never been outside the top two in January. He won very nicely last time out and is coming to the boil, he won in a good time and is just a better horse than Triskaidekaphobia, he has beaten him before and in a head to head between the two his best speed ratings are always the better. Star Strider is an interesting horse and although he picked up a weak maiden race he ran creditably and put in some fast times as a three year old, I think he has talent and will have a productive winter but probably not a winner today. Dmouse

Almaty Express won at 11/8 - 11/1/2008

RACE VOID - 14:40 Southwell: Dado Mush

This horse has been a revelation since being gelded having won 4 in a row over course and distance, each victory as impressive as the last. He is carrying a welterweight today and many think this will be his undoing, but not me, he has beaten his main rival Jord before and even with the turn around in weights it won't make any difference, the only thing that will beat Dado Mush is a rise in class. This will probably be the last time he races in a class 5 race as even a defeat today will probably see his revised mark in the high 70s pushing him into class 4 races. Class 5 and Class 6 races are quite closely matched in quality and are contested by the same type of horse and rightly he beats most of them knocking about in this range but a leap to class 4 will mean tackling much more talented horses which might be his undoing. That is a discussion for a later day but for now cash in on what might be the last in his sting of victories. Dmouse

False start voided race and stakes returned - 10/1/2008

3rd - 15:40 Southwell: Coleorton Dancer

Welcome back and Happy New Year. Hopefully Dado Mush, flagged up in this column, kept followers in good spirits as he racked up a four timer over the Christmas holiday period. Today's racing is fairly trappy and the 15:40 is no different but there is enough of an angle to find a winner. The majority of these horses have not run on fibresand before and before being tempted to back them I would like to see some form on this most unique of surfaces. Sand Cat, Bonnie Prince Billie, Tagula Sunrise and Cornus all fall into this category having never raced or shown any liking for the surface. Of the rest River Thames is badly out of from and Resplendant Alpha tends to get outpaced over the trip so isn't one to steam into. This leaves us with Prince Tum Tum who is coming back after 11 months off, he has ability and handles the surface but after a substantial lay off he warrants a watching brief although the price is tempting. This leaves us with one horse Coleorton Dancer and having tumbled down the weights from his juvenile days he seems to have found his level. He has been running creditably this winter and more importantly he is the only horse in the race that can make the running, he could get an uncontested lead and never be headed making him a very solid choice. Dmouse

Coleorton Dancer finished 3rd - 8/1/2008

WINNER - 15:15 Southwell: Dado Mush

This is a tip purely based on my speed ratings. Dado Mush was very impressive last time; he was forced wide whilst up with the pace for the whole race but still won by over three lengths under just a hands and heels ride. But when it came to compiling my speed ratings I saw something incredible this horse rated 45 ran a time that could win a class 4 race. He is lightly raced and clearly the trainer has found the key to him and he is well ahead of the handicapper. This is the type of horse who could run up a quick string of wins so it is worth getting in as early as possible and sticking with him. Dmouse

Dado Mush won at 15/8 - 21/12/2007

2nd - 20:50 Wolverhampton: Monte Major

Derek Shaw's horses have been running really well of late and his two charges should be the main protagonists tonight. Sands Crooner races unpenalised from his win at Lingfield which was visually impressive and in a good time however he hasn't been nearly as good round Wolverhampton and having come back from a longish break that race might still be in his legs there is a chance he under performs. Monte Major on the other hand in bang in form and a very consistent horse his last nine runs over course and distance read 231124313, he has also struck up a good relationship with his talented apprentice jockey winning twice together. The race should be run at a furious gallop playing right into Monte Major's hands, he is off a high mark but this race is easier than he has contested recently. The other horse suited by a pacey race is Wicked Uncle he is a very talented horse and the better the race the better he runs unfortunately he sometimes seems so shirk the issue and two runs ago he didn't look that keen to go past the tiring leader. I wouldn't be unhappy if he won but I just don't trust the horse with my money. Dmouse

Monte Major finished 2nd - 20/12/07

WINNER - 12:10 Lingfield: Grand Palace

Sir Loin and Regal Royale should ensure a decent pace but it should not be a breakneck pace. That rules out Manello who is often flattered in the way he finishes races but he is impossible to win with and needs the pace to collapse. Two Acres is in reasonable form but should have probably won last time out and the draw isn't great. The pick today is Grand Palace, I have him several points ahead based on my speed ratings, infact his last two runs over course and distance have been quite good and a repeat performance of either will see him win comfortably. He was just touched off at Southwell a track that doesn't suit him as reportedly he doesn't enjoy the kick back. He should still be in form and could actually be on the wane and still win this. Dmouse

Grand Palace won at 11/4 - 18/12/07

2nd - 14:40 Southwell: Tartatartufata

A race full of pace with Godfrey Street, Count Cougar and Tartatartufata likely front runners, the danger is they get in a dual and set it up for a closer. Magic Glade could win but is suffering from the general malaise affecting all the Peter Grayson runners at the moment. This race is set up for Pawan to win and he deserves another victory for his hardworking jockey/trainer but he doesn't win as often as he should and isn't one for backing at a short price. This leaves me with a quandary of potentially no horse able to win this which is probably why we have such a wide open betting market. The most likely though is Tartatartufata she is in great form at the moment and Southwell is a track she runs well at and is closely matched with Pawan on old form, she might just nick it from Pawan on the line. Dmouse

Tartatartufata finished 2nd - 18/12/2007

WINNER - 21:20 Wolverhampton: Realt Na Mara

Royal Challenge won a weak race in only a reasonable time and isn't up to winning this. The rest are infrequent winners leaving us with a pick between Brandywell Boy and Realt Na Mara. These two are closely matched on their Lingfield run where only a short head separated them. On that day Realt Na Mara impressed me more as he cut out the pace on a track that doesn't favour front runners, in short conditions suited Brandywell Boy much more. This smaller field could leave Brandywell Boy struggling for cover and he probably just peaked a few weeks ago and his form might start to tail off now. On the other hand Realt Na Mara is unexposed and with an excellent trainer, just a small improvement plus a more suitable track and race should see him win. Dmouse

Realt Na Mara won at 2/1 - 15/12/07

WINNER - 13:30 Southwell: Is It Time

Not a very good race and unfortunately Desert Dust was going to be my selection but is now a non runner. The only other horses I had on the short list were She's Our Beauty and Is It Time. The former has the form on the track and is in decent shape, she has the same draw as when she won around this time last year and her prominent style of racing suits this track. The pace is all drawn low and handily berthed in stall 5 is Is It Time another prominent runner who ran well at Lingfield even though forced to run wide through out the race. That was in a fair handicap and if she can recreate that run and handle the surface she is in with a shout at a better price than most. Dmouse

Is It Time won at 6/1 - 14/12/2007

7th - 15:00 Southwell: Whitbarrow

As one of my most successful punting tracks I'm delighted Southwell is back open and back to its best. There have been some comments regarding the track riding slow, although I have only one day's worth of data I think this is just a lot of misinformed people whining. Southwell always rides deep it's a fibresand track and the track variance yesterday was similar to the majority of days last winter, yes it was slightly slower than my standard but that is to be expected with the frosty weather around. When it is cold the course managers will harrow the surface so it rides deeper than usual for safety purposes, I think all involved have done an excellent job to get the track ready considering it was underwater for most of this summer. As for the racing today only Whitbarrow or Westport can win and Whitbarrow has an excellent record over course and distance, he should get a soft lead and the track always favours front runners. Dmouse

Whitbarrow finished 7th - 12/12/07

6th - 19:55 Wolverhampton: Financial Times

Sometimes the best ideas are found by chance. After finishing second 8 times in his short career it looked like Financial Times would never win again but then on the 16th November he fell out the stalls and was plum last, most punters thought he had blown it. Then to everyone's surprise he enjoyed passing horses and came from last to first to record his first win since his maiden victory. Connections say they are now going to pursue this riding style and hold Financial Times at the back and this is a clever move particularly for this race jam packed full of pace. Tartatartufata, Harry Up and First Order can all make the running and could be pressed by Mr Lambros and Overstayed setting it up for a closer. Financial Times has the class and can run the speed figures good enough to win this and now running under his best tactics he can win again. Dmouse

Financial Times finished 6th - 8/12/2007

10th - 14:20 Lingfield: Ajigolo

A really trappy sprint and I spent a fair while pouring over this. Turn On The Style is an excellent All Weather horse I am a big fan of but he is a 5 furlong horse and needs to be ridden prominently to be shown at his best. Having said this he ran well last time out over 6 but never looked like winning and I don't think he will here. Kings Caprice is a really game horse and deserves a win but the draw has not been kind for one that likes to sit up with the pace and the same applies to Diane's Choice. Woodnook should be better for her last run but is not exactly well handicapped and probably not good enough nor is Lucayos which leaves us with very few options. The pace should be strong and suit a closer. Little Edward could win but he isn't getting any better at his age and this isn't any easier than his recent races which leaves us with one horse and hopefully the winner, Ajigolo. He doesn't look particularly well handicapped on the face of things but if we go back to the beginning of the year he was putting in some really good runs in hot races off this sort of mark. He lost his way in the summer but he seems to be coming back to himself again this winter and I was very pleased with his run at Wolverhampton. He stayed on well over an inadequate trip and that was a really good race won by Aegean Dancer, if he recreates that over his optimum trip of six furlongs he is a big danger. Dmouse

Ajigolo finished 10th - 7/12/2007

2nd - 20:50 Kempton: Brandywell Boy

Three horse race here. Inka Dancer is in decent shape and is well drawn for a prominent racer however I get the impression she should have won a race on the All Weather by now, unfortunately her style of racing leaves her prone to closers and she won't have it all her own way upfront, she will place but no more. Maysarah is a horse who is always flattered when finishing fast, her early fractions are slow but she will be staying on better than any and the 6 furlongs at Kempton does suit closers. The problem with this horse is she needs a blistering pace and for everyone to run out of steam in the last furlong, unfortunately she may turn into one of those frustrating horses that doesn't have enough early pace for six but seven furlongs is just too far. Brandywell Boy was a tad unlucky and beaten by Regal Raider flying home late down the outside; it was still a good performance nonetheless and earned him a very good speed rating in defeat. He won last time over course and distance is in good form and should run another good race. Dmouse

Brandywell Boy finished 2nd - 5/12/2007

WINNER - Wolverhampton: Hello Man

Every so often a race turns up where the winner is so obvious is beggars belief. However before we get too excited it is always prudent to look at all the contenders and there aren't many, Tag Team is a good honest horse but outclassed, Swinbrook has some good turf form but that's it and Jilly Why rarely wins on the All Weather so no problems there. Next up is the pace angle, Hello Man likes to be upfront but will he get into a pace dual? Unlikely as most of this lot are closers and none of them are out and out speedballs so we are fine there. What about the draw? Hello Man is drawn three nigh on perfect for his racing style. Is he good enough? Easily, he was just touched off by Lucayos and as already discussed the Lucayos form line is very strong. On top of that Hello Man has always run speed figures several lengths better than any of this lot and his six furlong record in the UK reads 212521 and those were much better races (drawn 12 when 5th). He handles Wolverhampton has won over course and distance with the jockey and it was about this time last year off an identical mark, all the pointers are for Hello Man. Dmouse

Hello Man Won at 13/8 - 4/12/2007

5th - 13:40 Wolverhampton: Sandwith

Three horses comfortably better than the rest. Firstly recent winner Silver Prelude who won really well at Lingfield on Friday, he is a front runner and in good form but there are a few factors that put me off. Firstly the draw, he is right out wide in 12 not ideal for a front runner, secondly Our Fugitive might take him on for the lead and thirdly on my speed ratings he always follows up his best run with one of his worst. Mickleberry could be a dangerous challenger and for me still unexposed on the AW. She won her maiden in a decent time whilst suffering interference, she followed that up well on the turf and after a little break back on her best surface we could see her win again, she is dangerous. The final horse and my pick is Sandwith, he is the best of the closers and if they go fast enough which I think they will he stands a good chance. He was dreadfully unlucky last time out and would have won with a clear run so he goes into this as an unpenalised winner for me. His speed ratings are good and his draw isn't bad either as he enjoys sneaking his way up the inside to win, more of the same expected. Dmouse

Sandwith finished 5th - 3/12/2007

WINNER - 15:25 Kempton: Pivotal Answer

Two horse race and a clear cut two horse race. Dansant was mightily impressive last time out and earned a huge speed rating from me, however the race was run at a furious pace which suited this horse as stamina is his name of the game. There should be a good amount of pace on again but if there isn't enough he might be staying on too late. The only other possible challenger is Pivotal Answer a very consistent horse on the All Weather she has run well at Kempton and but for a short head she would be 2/2 she has better tactical pace and could outwit Dansant if the jockey is not careful. Considering the prices they will go off at I am opting for a slightly different betting tactic and recommend a forecast on these selections as I expect them to fill the first two spots. Dmouse

Pivotal Answer and Dansant reverse forecast (Dansant finished first and Pivotal Answer second) - 3/12/2007

WINNER - 13:10 Lingfield: Lucayos

If Harry Up were not in the race Lucayos would have an uncontested lead and be unbeatable as it is he may have to work harder for the lead but if he can see off Harry Up without using up much energy he has a great chance. His last run was very good finishing within two lengths of Maltese Falcon (subsequent listed winner) and Turn on the Style which is top class All Weather form. This shouldn't be a surprise, last winter he beat the very useful Rowe Park in the middle of a purple patch and his record at Lingfield is excellent. He just sneaks in this 0-85 and the jockey takes of another useful 7lbs which puts him bang in the mix. The rest of the field are closers with Bertie Southstreet the best, Desperate Dan should have won last time out but didn't and this is not any easier. Elsewhere Osiris Way should enjoy the step up to 6 furlongs and win the 12:10 and the consistent Mogok Ruby hasn't got much to beat in the 15:20. Dmouse

Lucayos won at 10/1 - 30/11/2007

12th - 18:20 Kempton: Batchworth Fleur

This is a bad race so why get involved. End of season maidens are often so weak it is worth it from a pure value point of view if you can see the favourites getting beaten. Looking at this race there isn't much that can beat the likely favourite Compulsions. However the horse is drawn very wide in stall one and none of these have shown signs of ability apart from one. On the face of it Batchworth Fleur's form is distinctly ordinary however her speed ratings gained on the 30th June and 4th August are head and shoulders above anything else in this race, even the run at Goodwood on the 26th August would be good enough to win this race so why is she going off in double figures? Unfortunately this horse has bleeding problems and on at least three occasions these have been the cause of a bad run. Bleeding often occurs when the horse is placed under extreme pressure but can also be caused by force transmitted through the body skeleton from the horses legs hitting firm ground and it is no coincidence that Batchwort Fleur's best run came on soft ground and in a small field and her worst on rattling fast ground in big competitive fields. The artificial surface is much gentler on fragile horses and Kempton rides deeper than Lingfield nowadays. It is a very long winded reason to find a punt but I think six furlongs on an artificial surface will really help this horse and if it allows her to run at her best she could win. Dmouse

Batchworth Fleur finished 12th - 28/11/2007

4th - 16:40 Wolverhampton: Sweet Pickle

Not much luck has being going the way of this tipster so thankfully a really obvious race should get us off the mark. Several horses out of the handicap show how weak this field is and there is a massive standout in Sweet Pickle. She is really game and only 2lbs higher for her last good win. She is comfortable in this grade and given it is a fillies only race it is weaker than the handicaps she usually contests. Won well last time, has a great draw (poorly drawn last time) and an excellent jockey on board. Here record is 4 wins in 10 at Wolverhampton and she has finished in the top 3 almost 50% of the time in this class, she has an excellent attitude to racing. Metal Guru ran fairly well last time out after an unlucky passage; Stormburst also has form but is badly drawn and neither of these should really win. Dmouse

Sweet Pickle finished 4th - 26/11/07

2nd - 13:00 Lingfield: Brandywell Boy

Only one or two confirmed front runners, Mumaathel hasn't been staying 7 furlongs after blasting out in front and by the looks of it 5 furlongs would be stretching it so we can assume we will get a properly run race but he wont stay. Dvinsky has lost out in pace duals of late and he only wins when making all, he wont do that today either. Of the rest Tango Step has bits of old from and is a fair price but isn't one to get carried away with. Who's Winning is dropping in class but should have won a race by now so no more excuses for that one and is passed over. Mine Behind could also go well with a strong jockey and trainer combo and we can forgive his last run in a falsely run race, this is a big drop in class for this horse but he isn't getting any better and hasn't won since 2005, he doesn't look like a winner in waiting. Brandywell Boy on the other hand is a recent winner and he won well, for the first time since his juvenile days I think he has found his level and the win will have done him the world of good. Sprinters often hit little purple patches and I was pleased with his attitude at Kempton he could have shirked the issue but didn't and I think he could win this too. Dmouse

Brandywell Boy finished 2nd - 26/11/2007

2nd - 15:15 Lingfield: Gentleman's Deal

I have avoided the sprint because of so many high class turf horses switching surfaces with unknown consequences; Bonus and Maltese Falcon have the all weather form and are the likely picks but it best not to get involved. The easier race is this one and a race that Gentleman's Deal should gobble up. This horse is a world class; he is yet to lose on the artificial surface and is current winter derby champion. There is no pace in this race which could lead to an upset but the only horse it will end up suiting is Gentleman's Deal, he has an adaptable style of racing and the only challengers in Grand Passion and World Spirit could do with an end to end gallop. For those going to Lingfield tomorrow make sure you take time to watch Gentleman's Deal in the parade ring he is a huge horse and a very talented one so enjoy the fact we have a great AW horse racing this weekend. Dmouse

Gentleman's Deal finished 2nd - 24/11/2007

4th - 19:00 Wolverhampton: Chatshow

An apprentice race is not normally something to get too heavily involved in but I've been waiting for Chatshow to dip into this class for a while. He has twice been runner up recently and in a better grade than this. Last time out he was too near the pace but he still finished a creditable second and he should be ridden more patiently as often they go too quick with inexperienced riders on board. Chatshow has a 22% strike rate when dropped to this class and he really is the one to beat. Of the rest Desert Light struggles to win, Royal Challenge is well held on his last run with Chatshow and only Strathmore could threaten but has the worst draw. Dmouse

Chatshow finished 4th - 22/11/07

8th - 20:50 Wolverhampton: Sir Douglas

Whitbarrow should go off a worthy favourite; he has really taken to the all weather surface this year and is a confirmed front runner and winner in better races than this. His draw isn't brilliant and if he doesn't get the lead he might not be at his best, there are just enough imponderables to oppose him. Recent winner Carcinetto should find the combination of draw and jump in class too much and Coleorton Dancer must be opposed as his speed ratings are poor and in effect he has done nothing since his 2 year old days. Sir Douglas is the horse I'm picking to spring a minor surprise; he won well over course and distance in a hard race and there is a very solid look about his form. A drop to a strongly run six furlongs is ideal and he is still lightly raced for a 4 year old, so I'm expecting improvement from him. He has had the summer off ready for a winter campaign and should run Whitbarrow down in the final strides. Dmouse

Sir Douglas finished 8th - 22/11/07

2nd - 18:50 Kempton: Quiet Times

Quite an easy race made even easier with the withdrawal of Macademy Royal. Almost all these horses have wretched form and it is no surprise they find themselves in a claimer, Dickie Le Davoir has bits of turf form but I'm not assuming he will transfer this form to the all weather so is easily passed over. Quiet Times ran a blinder last time out at Wolverhampton, he was drawn out wide in stall 13 and still ran Magic Glade (placed in better grade next time) close for much of the way when tiring not unexpectedly after coming back from a long lay off. He is a bit of a monkey but if given another prominent ride he has the draw to make all and his speed figures are way better than anything this lot can run. This horse used to run in decent all weather contests in his prime but doesn't even need to be at his best to win this. Of the others only Rainbow Bay can threaten if they go too fast and at the weights he would be one I'd be looking to claim after this race as he is still young and has some potential on the turf. Dmouse

Quiet Times finished 2nd - 21/11/07

7th - 15:00 Wolverhampton: Topflightcoolracer

The race that Chief Editor won on the 4th November holds the key for me. It was one of the best so far this All Weather season and likely to throw up many future winners. Kay Two, Invincible Force and Topflightcoolracer all finished in a heap and could all win this race but which one? Unfortunately Kay Two and Invincible Force have had nightmare draws on the outside and although the latter could adapt his running style it is a big ask. Topflightcoolracer also ran well and was slightly hampered and unfortunate not to place, she is well drawn and with a bit of luck and at a big price she should come out best of these three. Each time she has run over course and distance she has earned an identical speed rating and one good enough to win this race. Of the others Ajigolo is a 6 furlong specialist and Magic Glade is probably not quite good enough although in good heart. Ebraam is an early market mover and a horse fulfilling his potential having overcome injury; however the race he won last time out was a real muddle and no guide. I'm not convinced he would repeat the placings with New York Oscar, this horse didn't have things go his way and should run better today but I fear Lingfield is more suited his record at Wolverhampton is poor. Dmouse

Topflightcoolracer finished 7th - 19/11/2007

4th - 13:55 Lingfield: Maltese Falcon

A good race with some top all-weather performers but strangely there are huge question marks over all of them with all the protagonists' best form over five furlongs. Fyodor is a top performer on the All Weather but suspicion is that he is better over 5 furlongs so we are stepping into the unknown slightly, but he is a big danger. Turn on The Style is another excellent horse but again all his form is over the minimum trip and this should be a strongly run race leaving him running on empty for the last furlong. One of the class horses who has form over 6 is Maltese Falcon, he likes to dictate the pace and is badly drawn in stall nine but this might turn out to be a blessing in disguise. His draw should rule him out of any pace duals but he does stay six and back on the all weather I would expect we see him back to his best. Dmouse

Maltese Falcon finished 4th - 17/11/07

3rd - 14:10 Lingfield: Desperate Dan

A good race for the class and one that should be a reliable yardstick. Not a huge amount of pace, Financial Times should take them along well but he struggles to win, very honest and deserving of a race he might just find a few too good again. Tony The Tap has a chance but needs a furious gallop and he will probably find things happening just too soon for him as they quicken round the bend. Halsion Chancer and Desperate Dan are the two and are difficult to split. The former is unexposed still and highly regarded by a stable going well I just have the sneaking suspicion that the race he won wasn't as competitive as that of Desperate Dan's and for that reason I plump for the latter. The change of stable has done him well and he always had bags of talent, switching him off in races seems to be the key; he is in form and is a confident selection. Dmouse

Desperate Dan finished 3rd - 16/11/2007

7th - 16:10 Wolverhampton - Winthorpe

A tricky race to open our winter campaign with. There should be plenty of pace on with Dvinsky, Tag Team, Crème Brulee and Canina all possible pace setters. That should set the race up for a closer and two fit the bill. Firstly Chatshow, very consistent and went close last time out, tends to get outpaced so perhaps a better bet in running he should finish well. The one possible negative is the jockey, he will have to judge the pace well and isn't a frequent winner. One at a price that could do well is Winthorpe, this is his distance and has won at the track. His recent turf form is poor but perhaps his last run is forgivable. I'd much rather go on his past AW form and he is up to winning based on that, if he is sound which I believe is true a good bet at good odds is on the cards. Dmouse

Winthorpe finished 7th - 14/11/2007

Archive Results

Season Performance:

Returns at SP

Tipster	Total	Sequence	Tips
Dmouse	6.78	W1	24

Winner: 14:20 Southwell: Spirit of Coniston

A weak claimer with the majority in this race banded class. Of the top rated horses Blackheath has the best chance, he should make the pace along with Katie Killane and both of these are drawn high. Hamassy has been poor over the minimum trip and drawn 1 away from the pace is one to take on. Blackheath has yet to prove to handle the fibresand yet is probably a worthy favourite on his last run. One horse of interest at a big price is Amanda's lad, enjoys the track and ran fairly well after being poorly drawn away from the pace last time out, could run well today but struggles to win outside of banded company. Spirit of Coniston is slightly better and won twice over course and distance around the turn of the year. Has found things difficulty in handicap company since but if back to his best he should win this especially since reunited with his winning jockey. Dmouse

Spirit of Coniston to win

3rd: 15:50 Lingfield: Lethal

A good race with plenty in form runner which should be a truly run race although not at breakneck pace. Of the form horses Lucayos, Garstang and Figaro Flyer all have possibilities but are too evenly matched to pick a winner from them, fortunately there are two standout horses. Adantino is the only recognised closer in the race and I think the race might suit him, he was an eye catching 4th last time after getting no run whatsoever, Steve Drowne picks up the ride, his only of the day and I expect him to go close. The reason though he hasn't made the stacking plan is the nagging feeling that at 8years old he is fully exposed and could be beaten by a progressive rival in the shape of Lethal. Very impressive in his last two sprint races, has that rare ability to lie up with the pace but then put in a blistering last fraction, if you watch his last two runs he is actually going away from the field from the front (particularly Kempton run). It's understandable he was tried over 7 furlongs, which clearly isn't his trip, but back to 6 he has an outstanding chance. The biggest worry is that he can hang right but Jim Crowley is a strong jockey and he can keep him going straight enough to win. Dmouse

Lethal to win

2nd: 15:00 Wolverhampton: Nusoor

This is a race jam packed full of pace with at least four horses who would want to make all with the rest pressing, they should go too fast and set the race up for a closer. Of the front runners Financial Times is the only one a case can me made for, has been running really well this year and has just been unlucky to finish second so many times, it's a case of always finding one too good and there is nothing disingenuine about him. Canadian Danehill and Almaty Express would have strong cases on recent form but horrible draws and the strong pace will do for them. Of the closers there are only two who can win. Mambazo is a confirmed fast finisher and back to his best he stands a chance however that is the question, he has been out of form lately and although it wouldn't be a complete shock for him to win this, it is too risky until he starts to show a bit more. The solid choice and one flagged up before is Nusoor, likes a strong pace and this course and distance is clearly too his liking with his best runs being put up at Wolverhampton. He has form and speed figures comparable to his main rivals and he could be flying late to nick this. Dmouse

Nusoor to win

Winner: 15:45 Wolverhampton: Quiet Times

Penalty kick for Quiet Times, well in at the weights and has the best recent form. This horse is top of my speed ratings and if jumping on level terms, perhaps the only worry, should make all and win unchallenged. The only danger is Mistral Sky but Quiet Times is a class above this lot and ran well last time out so really should win easily and anything odds against represents value. Dmouse

Quiet Times to win

5th: 15:55 Southwell: Axis Shield

Competitive banded (sic.) race at Southwell today and you will need to be drawn near the pace to be in with a chance of winning. Although Town House and She's Our Beauty could cut out the pace on the stands side more likely the pace is drawn low, with Dodaa and Sofinella dueling it out. This should set it up for a closer but you don't want to start your run from too far behind at Southwell so something handy will win. Prime Recreation and Axis Shield are the two in the frame, the former is coming back to form but he won't get the lead today and is always better with a right hand running rail, unfortunately the opportunities at Kempton are limited in the coming months so he will have to settle for minor honours at Southwell in the coming months. Axis Shield has also been running well, her last run can be forgiven as that was a handicap, but her last banded run was encouraging and it is a positive jockey booking today as Brian Reilly rides Southwell well; right up there on the speed ratings I'd be disappointed if we didn't get a decent run for our money. Dmouse

Axis Shield to win

3rd: 3:20 Wolverhampton: Canadian Danehill

Seems to be the only horse I have backed this winter but continues to run really well, his last three runs all have earned him speed ratings 3 lengths in excess of anything else achieved by the runners in this field. His draw is average but the biggest worry is the step up in trip, he should handle it but will he perform within 3 lengths of his best, I think he will. The other reason to back him is that the all his main rivals have big negatives against them, George the Second has a bad draw, Charlie Delta isn't good enough, Le Chiffre is unlikely to be as good over 6 furlongs and Hollow Jo is probably losing a bit of form although the drop into a lower class should help this horse. To top it all off the majority of these runners perform at their best round Lingfield, which makes Canadian Danehill the top pick. Dmouse

Canadian Danehill to win

7th: Southwell 14:00: Sundried Tomato

Tyrone Sam will probably go off favourite and with good reason; he has fair winning form and has been consistent this winter. There are two things that put me off, firstly he tends to get outpaced in races and secondly Jamie Spencer onboard isn't the positive that the writers make it out to be. Neil Callan is not riding today and Jamie Spencer is picking up a lot of spare rides for Kevin Ryan the bookings are more out of practicality then a signal of a horse laid out to win. Grafton almost made the staking plan, he is better drawn than last time out and was eye catching at Wolverhampton the time before, he might just not be good enough. The pick is Sundried Tomato, clearly not the horse of old but showed up well for a longway last time out and he is drawn 1 with not a lot of pace around him. If he breaks well he might gets things his own way and retain enough interest to win the race never being headed. Dmouse

Sundried Tomato to Win

8th: 14:45 Wolverhampton: Miracle Ridge

Figaro Flyer has been running really well of late turning in two improved performances, but the reasons for this aren't completely clear. He is undoubtedly in good heart and either still improving or the drop back to five has seen him at his optimum trip. The latter is probably most likely meaning the step up to six furlongs must been seen as a negative. The interesting horse in this field is Mircale Ridge, at the grand old age of 12 he decides, quite within his rights, to win a seller only to follow it up with a remarkable run in a class 2. That day he finished just over 3 lengths behind Qadar and i'm not quite sure what to make of him, but i'm giving him the chance to do it again. Dmouse

Miracle Ridge to Win

9th: 14:25 Southwell: Nusoor

Good race this and one that will be run at a fair clip. Maktavish, Garlogs and Trinculo will all want to make the pace with Maktavish the likely leader, there is a very good chance a two perhaps three way pace dual will ensue scuppering all of their chances. Egyptian Lord on the face of it looks like a worth favourite, like to come off a fast pace and winner last time out but I definitely think this is a favourite to take on. His last win was in a lower grade a 0-58 handicap to be exact and looking back to his run on the 2nd January in a 0-65 he finished a lowly 9th. That day he finished behind both Maktavish and Garlogs and I just feel he was flattered last time out and this step up in class will find him out. In opposition to him there are two contenders firstly Anfield Dream, back to his favourite course and distance I would expect to see an improvement on his last two runs and if recreating his run of 15th November he wins this. Unfortunately it's been downhill since then and there just seems something amiss with him so I can't recommend him with enough confidence. Nusoor on the other hand has been a model of consistency and performed well last time out even after suffering considerable interference and running into a progressive animal. Nusoor will be a fast finisher and should avoid the kickback in stall ten which might just give him the edge. Dmouse

Back Nusoor to win

4th: 15:50 Southwell: Red Cape

Disappointing turn out for a decent prize which leaves us again plumping for a short, if worth, priced favourite. Red Cape if handling the surface is head and shoulders above this lot and his recent second behind Areyoutalkingtome reads well. Smoking Beau might get a soft lead and nick it but that would be disappointing as Red Cape is the best horse in the field. Dmouse

Back Red Cape to win

11th: 14:55 Wolverhampton: Sham Ruby

A wide open seller and not a lot of pace which could scupper the better horses who all need to come from off the pace. Something at a decent price could go in here, Legal Set if finding some sort of form from a good draw is perhaps too far fetched but more likely are Sham Ruby or Burningfold Babe. The former seems to get on well with Hayley Turner and ignoring her last run (outclassed and poorly drawn) she could surprise if jumping out well and getting a soft lead. The headline pick would have been Burningfold Babe, well drawn and made a decent fist last time out when poorly drawn and always running on the outside of the pack. Should handle Wolverhampton well enough, unexposed and might have improved enough to surprise against older rivals. Unfortunately Burningfold Babe is a Non-Runner so I am reverting to Sham Ruby the other with an outside chance at the big price. Dmouse

Back Sham Ruby to win

Winner: 15:05 Lingfield: Woodnook

Although they should go a fair clip there aren't many horses who come into this race at the top of their game. The one stand out horse is Woodnook, she has improved this winter and is running really well. Her last two runs have been very respectable in races which on reflection will probably turn out to be two of the top all weather sprints this winter. She is well drawn and should enjoy a bit of cover which will help, on my ratings she has 5 lengths in hand on the rest of these so will be a surprise if she doesn't go well. Dmouse

Woodnook to win