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Saturday 4th July

Rein Man / Saturday 4th July 2015 / 08:13

Sandown 14:35

In we go again. Munaaser is a well handicapped horse. We know that from his Gm Hopkins form. Yet this season has seen 2 very disappointing efforts. Money around for him for both (though he did drift before the off at Ascot and was keen enough going down) he was unlucky mid race and given a very, very easy time of it on return before travelling well in the Royal Hunt Cup. He was exactly where you didn’t want to be though, stand side and up with the pace, but did still fade too tamely having been about the only horse near side on the bridle approaching the 2 marker. Stoute’s weren’t bang in form for Ascot and I have to go again at 20/1 or so, it’s just too big. I’m also backing Halation given the 17 runners at this stage. He has been a touch unlucky on 2 turf starts this term but a strongly run mile will suit this course and distance winner. There’s a few bits of pace on so the drop back in trip doesn’t concern and, waiting for room last time, I’m not sure he handled the dip all that well. He’s up 2lb but Balty Boys went on to win the Hunt Cup his side and 10/1 is very fair..

Munaaser - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt

Halation - 1pt @ 10/1Lost -1pt

Haydock 14:50

Was looking forward to seeing Mighty Yar in the Old Newton Cup but he no longer goes. Apterix gets in and I like his chances but he’s skinny enough now and his trainer has talked about 2 miles with him. He’s drawn high and there’s not bundles of pace on. The same worry applies to Nancy From Nairobi who is further out in 17 but she’s a price worth nibbling at. She still looks feasibly treated based upon her Lingfield and Epsom runs. She got a wide trip at Epsom and was held up early before making up ground around the turns. Given that, she did very well to finish were she did and, as at Lingfield over 10, she looked as though 12 furlongs would suit. She got that last time in a 4 runner Listed race at Pontefract but that was always a tough ask and I’m not too worried she was beaten 16 lengths by Connecticut. Paddy Pilley is well worth his 7 and she can outrun that price for all she’s been done few favours by the draw.

Nancy From Nairobi - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Sandown 15:10

Black Cherry makes plenty of appeal in the Distaff but I’m happy to chance Iconic at over 6 times the price. She was a staying on 4 and a half lengths behind the Hannon filly on debut and stepped up in battling style last time. She’ll have to come on another bundle but the price is worth that chance. The extra furlong clearly suited her last time and she’ll likely improve for a sterner test at the trip. 4 of the last 6 winner of this had run a maximum of 2 times before taking this so she shouldn’t be dismissed on inexperience grounds.

Iconic - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Sandown 15:45

A bit of fun really but I’m happy to takes 9/2 with Ladbrokes about Golden Horn to win by less than 1.75 lengths. Only 5 runners and no certain pace, if the Derby winner is dropped in, as expected, he’ll have to show plenty of toe to win this. He needed that mile and a half last time having initially looked a little slow to pick up and, whilst I think he’ll win this, I’m not sure it’ll be a romp. He won over a furlong shorter on return so we know he has the pace but this track can be tricky from in behind. It could well look easy come the finish, as it did when Sea The Stars won a few years back, but he still only won a length or so. Golden Horn has all the attributes to take this and follow in the footsteps of the great Sea The Stars, rather than the likes of Benny The Dip, Motivator and Authorised, and hopefully he does, just not by too far.

Golden Horn to win by less than 1.75 lengths - 1pt @ 9/2Lost -1pt

Saturday 27th June

Rein Man / Friday 26th June 2015 / 16:01

Newcastle 14:35

All fancies from Newcastle today on what looks an excellent card. First up is good old Barnet Fair who should appreciate the return to 6. He shaped well in the Dash when a touch unlucky and seemed to find it all happening too quickly last time when Red Baron made all. Back to just 2lb above his last win, today could be the day. He's going to go in sometime and I fancy the long term plan could be the Stewards' Cup. He's well drawn to track the pace around him and pounce late. If only it were that simple.

Barnet Fair - 1pt @ 11/1Lost -1pt

Newcastle 15:10

Also of interest is former Stoute inmate Russian Realm . As talented as he is frustrating, last time was much more like it when keeping on behind a winner that made all. He's been on the list since running a funny but not discouraging race in the Victoria Cup but was subsequently very disappointing at Ayr. The hood clearly helped last time though and he has an excellent chance today for a trainer that will get him winning soon.

Russian Realm - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Newcastle 15:45

The Plate has a longlist rather than a shortlist and all the Koukash runners are on it. Best of them is Gabrial's King and I'm surprised there are still double figures floating around for him. He bumped into the Gold Cup winner at Ripon and Chester, short of room first up and the ground then wasn't ideal at the Roudee. Haydock was the least encouraging effort this term but he was poorly drawn and not given a hard time late on. Speaking to Koukash about him before Chester, he's his main hope for a big staying handicap this term and he's well drawn to go very close. Away from that Haydock race, Resiliency looks overpriced and he's the sort of horse his trainer does well with. He's won on quick and shaped for further last time over 14. He looked as though he'd fade out of contention but was coming back in the final furlong and he's well worth a go at this. He stood no chance in a hot conditions race on reappearance but 90 in handicap company could underestimate this lightly raced 4yo.

Resiliency - 1pt @ 33/1Lost -1pt

Gabrial's King - 1pt @ 10/1Lost -1pt

Royal Ascot Day 5

Rein Man / Saturday 20th June 2015 / 08:01

Ascot 15:05

No bet in the Chesham but I’m looking forward to seeing Ballydoyle. Force is one at a price that could improve but it’s tricky and, true to form, I’ve got the juvenile races wrong all week. Race of the day could well be the Hardwicke. 2 likely improvers against last year’s winner and this is Telescope’s bread and butter. Mile and a half on quick ground. The forecast would be a concern though and Postponed is a very good horse. He’ll be seen to better effect up in trip and he’d be preference at the prices. Not a clue nor care about the last.

Mahsoob looks handicap banker of the week. He had Group entries here and a 9lb rise for his York win doesn’t get near the height of his ability. He won far easier than the winning distance and I think he’ll win today. Perhaps the slight concern at 2/1 could be his obvious potential, though not need, for further and yet he is back half a furlong without a guaranteed pace war up top. If Fattsota gets an easy time of it then it could be tricky to come from off the pace. Perhaps, therefore, it's not wise to pump for Mount Logan but he is a big price given his profile. Progressive last term but for struggling on heavy in the November handicap, he got a wide trip at Epsom and couldn’t get involved but he’s definitely worth chancing on this 2nd start of the season. Provenance is another that should be fighting out the places but Stoute’s aren’t really firing at the moment.

Mount Logan - 1pt @ 14/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 16:20

Lots to like about the feature. Aussie raiders, last year’s 2nd back for more and, interestingly, the 2 pace angles from 12 months ago drawn in the very same stall. However, as opposed to last year when they split, I’m hoping we get a repeat of the Commonwealth Cup and they travel as 1. If not, Ansgar could look a big price on that far side tracking Astaire, so too Caspar Netscher. It’s his stable companion who I’m surprised is as big as 25’s though. Glass Office ran a really good race as a 3 year old in the Wokingham 2 years ago before not being beaten far in a Goodwood Group 2. 1 start in 2014 was followed up with a keeping on effort on reappearance this year before winning a Group 2 last time and the form checks out. He’s improving and vastly underestimated. My long term fancy for the race has shortened up but Music Master is a much better horse than we saw last time when he had trouble with a new bit. He's back with the old bit today and he’ll go well, but they’ll ideally come together or he could be the wrong side. Unfortunately ante post play G Force doesn’t go.

Already advised: Ascot 16.20 - G Force 1pt NR

Music Master - 1pt @ 18/1Lost -1pt

Glass Office - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:00

Gamesome is on side at 20/1 in the Wokingham and that’s a handy position to have. He’s well drawn in that the pace, what little of it there is anyway, is low and that has been the place to be this week. I’ll also give a chance to Green Door, the other from the Olly Stevens yard, who looks overpriced. He may want 5 and he may want headgear but the blinkers, which he had won in first up before, didn’t do the trick when put back on last time and are left off. He was the wrong side that day though and the race developed away form him. He ran a cracker back in handicap company prior to that and shaped as though 6 was feasible. He ran in the King’s Stand last year and struggled to defy a Group 2 penalty for almost the entirety of the season. 9lb below his peak rating now, he’s looking well treated.

Already advised: Ascot 17.00 - Gamesome 1pt @ 20/1

Green Door - 1pt @ 66/1Lost -1pt

Royal Ascot Day 4

Rein Man / Thursday 18th June 2015 / 20:32

Ascot 15:40

Our Joy (of which there has been little punting-wise this week), who shaped for 6 on Sandown debut, should go well in the Albany. Kassia ran well on day 2 and Our Joy, who’s half brother was 2nd in the Coventry for this yard a few years back, was getting to her with every stride over 5 last time. The Wesley Ward fillies could be beasts though and it's probably best to sit back and watch. Stravagante looks a likely winner at a deservedly short price. He’s a very smart performer and, a little like Time Test, will leave that handicap form way behind him.

Hootenanny makes bundles of appeal in the new Commonwealth Cup but I do have in the back of my mind that Wesley’s runners are best as juveniles. More, in fact, that the rest start catching up. There again my mind has been wrong all week so perhaps best to ignore. Anyway, Muhaarar improved for racing last year and ran well in the French Guineas last time when drawn out of it and keen given the winner got the run of the race. A strongly run 6 looks ideal and he’s a nice price. It’s not a race short on pace and I like he’s drawn in the middle to get plenty of cover. Hopefully he’s not short on luck for a yard that have turned a corner in the last month.

Muhaarar - 1pt @ 14/1Won 14pt

Ascot 16:20

I wouldn’t normally play at 9/2 for anything, within reason, but poor old Ervedya. What does she have to do to be considered good enough to win the Coronation Stakes? She has form to find with the fav but she fairly bolted up from off the pace in the French 1000 and the form ties in with the best we have to offer this side of the Channel. Found is too short after 2 defeats this term and she’s up against the best France has to offer.

Ervedya - 1pt @ 9/2Won 4.5pt

Ascot 17:00

Continuum probably shouldn’t be 40/1 for the Duke Of Edinburgh but there again he is drawn 20. It’s between Igider and Ajman Bridge as far as a selection goes and the latter should probably be shorter. He’s consistent, still lightly raced and should appreciate a stronger run race than last time. That said, he’ll need one of Sennockian Star and Dashing Star to come over from poor draws to ensure they don’t crawl. Either way, he did best for off the pace last time and, up just 2lb, has a big handicap in him.

Ajman Bridge - 1pt @ 8/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:35

Main bet of the day is Fabricate to give the Queen, who will have kicked a few Corgis on return home last night, a 2nd recent winner of the race. Fabricate is a lazy racer who gets better the further he goes and should appreciate the step up in trip. He’s lightly raced and his debut 3rd looks good on form given the run of Scottish yesterday and Mr Singh at Goodwood. He needs more but this is just his 4th start and I’d happily take him over the fav who has to prove he gets anything like the trip.

Fabricate - 1pt @ 7/1Non Runner

Royal Ascot Day 3

Rein Man / Wednesday 17th June 2015 / 20:20

Ascot 14:30

Great for Frankie to get his 50th Royal meeting winner yesterday and he could well follow up today with Time Test. As far as a bet goes, Disegno interests but not quite enough and I’ll leave alone. He’s not that far from Peacock on known form and there’s probably too much between them in the betting.

It’s very difficult to take on King Of Rooks in the Norfolk. Yes he had the run of it at Sandown but it was easy and the form couldn’t really be better. Hannon is double handed with Log Out Island, very impressive on debut but it could be worth chancing Ajaya at a healthy price. It’s not a confident shout but the yard have won this before with Approve. He was well backed for his debut and shaped well, looking a touch idle when hitting the front and getting caught late on by another very impressive newcomer. If he improves for better ground, and he may not, then he could well be on the premises for a yard in form.

Ajaya - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 15:40

Pamona (yes her again) is just big enough to play in the Ribblesdale. James Pyman wrote a good piece pre Ascot in the Post about how her trainer has a good record of improving 3 year olds at the Royal meeting and this filly should have more to come. She has a bundle to find on form with Pleascach but she’s very lightly raced. The form of her Newbury run didn’t exactly get a boost with Crystal Zvezda in the Oaks but Stoute’s filly pulled so hard we can forgive her and I think the form will work out and is already showing signs of doing so. She was very unlucky that day and I fancy she’ll run well.

Pamona - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 16:20

Forgotten Rules could be another staying superstar but he has to prove he gets the trip and is short enough. Simenon gets the trip, he’d get even further on the flat, and I’m surprised he’s the price he is. A low key effort on reappearance is his and his trainer’s style but this will have obviously been the target and he goes very well in the race. There are younger potential improvers but his price makes him a play. I wish there was more pace on given his hold up style but I’m a big James Doyle fan and trust him in the saddle to react to the race accordingly.

Simenon - 1pt @ 12/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:00

Pace was crucial in the Royal Hunt Cup with it strongest far side and the Britannia has it across the track in 1 6 8 10 17 25 26 32. It could be strongest from Resonant, though he does that on turning tracks and may not be so forward here. Either way he’s high and Jargon should be up there too. That will give the dropping in trip Azraff a sniff here. He probably got 10 last time in the race won by Time Test but a strongly run mile could be ideal and he’ll get that here. Blinkers are added and may give him a little more. I like Make It Up and King To Be equally but, given the latter was held by Udododontu 2 starts back, the latter looks a big price here. Kept fresh since that win, his trainer said afterwards he’d happily run him again to ensure he got in and gives the impression he’s still feasibly treated. That was a competitive handicap and we know he gets a mile. He’s drawn low but there is pace there.

Azraff - 1pt @ 33/1Lost -1pt

Udododontu - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:35

The last is a minefield, even worse that the Britannia. Taper Tantrum looks a decent bet at double figures given his Epsom run. Short of room and entitled to come on for the run, he was easy to back but his trainer had highlighted he looked well treated and the form ties in with Jack Hobbs. As does the form of Putting Green who looks too big. Both, particularly Taper Tantrum, aren’t certain to get a mile and a half on pedigree but what they’ve shown on the track bodes well and Puttling Green ran well from the rear at Goodwood last time. Scottish is another that warrants plenty of respect at a half decent price, so too 4 or 5 others that could be chucked in. Minefield.

Taper Tantrum - 1pt @ 11/1Lost -1pt

Putting Green - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt

Royal Ascot Day 2

Rein Man / Tuesday 16th June 2015 / 16:22

Ascot 15:05

Toscanini is tempting in the Ascot opener. He’s a strong traveller but not so on tacky ground last time and this surface should suit a fair bit better. Whether he’s good enough remains to be seen. I also think Fadhayyil will be suited by this drop in trip and she’s not too shabby a price. As far as the Duke Of Cambridge goes, Integral is the class but she does have to give weight all round and both Bragging and Euro Charline should be suited by this stiff, straight mile. Preference would just be for the latter.

Easton Angel was visually stunning last time and she should perhaps be favourite for the Queen Mary. However, stall 1 doesn’t inspire confidence, especially given the pace out of 19, 20 and 21. Cry Me A River was pitched in deep on debut and should improve for that very good run behind a couple of smart colts. Kassia is just preferred at a slightly bigger price though having finished close enough to Besharah on debut to suggest there’s too much between them in the market now. Besharah did well to win as she did under the circumstances but Kassia was fighting back and she won well last time when eased down almost too much. She’s very well drawn if the pace works out as expected and the yard have won this before. The Albany was being considered and a strongly run 5 here should suit.

Kassia - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 16:20

Perhaps it’s sensible to leave the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes alone but I do keep coming back to The Grey Gatsby at 6/1. Too big surely. No Moore on top and cheekpieces go on after a disappointing effort last time but his run at Meydan was perfectly respectable over an insufficient test behind the classy Solow. He beat the Derby winner last year and hopefully Gailo Chop doesn’t hang about as he’ll not want a crawl. Free Eagle could well turn out to be the best of them but I remember Dermot Weld saying he’d struggled to get him tip top for his return last year as he’s lazy in his work. He’d have to be very close to 100% to take this Group 1 on reappearance.

The Grey Gatsby - 1pt @ 6/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:00

Already advised:
Ascot 17.00 - Fort Bastion 1pt @ 25/1

Fort Bastion is on side in the Royal Hunt Cup at 25/1 and his draw is fine in 18. Interestingly, there’s little pace on but I’d still prefer to be high. The one I really like, and that’s a really, really like, is Munaaser. Drawn 26, he has a progressive profile since the gelding operation which seemed to work the oracle and still looks very fairly treated. Keeping on on his last 2 starts last year, he looks the type for a big field handicap. We need to excuse that reappearance when he was a touch wide early, very keen, and not ridden after seeing little daylight as the race developed. To say he was looked after is an understatement and he’s the chunkiest handicap bet of the week.

Munaaser - 1pt @ 22/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:35

The Sandringham looks typically tricky but resisting an Ascot handicap is even more difficult than finding the winner and there are a few prices looking lively. Mothers Finest was caught wide last time in a good looking race and should have more to come. She did go up a chunk for that run though. Always Smile could be different class but 16/1 about Sulaalaat is very fair. She was an eye-catcher on debut before winning over 6 on quick ground next time. She was outclassed and outpaced in the Lowther but shaped well next time upped to 7 in what could, eventually, turn out to be a good race. She again looked outpaced early over 6 on reappearance but should come on for that and her pedigree suggests this step up to a mile will suit. 94 could well underestimate her.

Sulaalaat - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Royal Ascot Day 1

Rein Man / Monday 15th June 2015 / 18:28

Ascot 15:05

It’s here! 5 days of heaven and it doesn’t get better than Tuesday. Solow in the opener but I’m Night Of Thunder wary so no bet. Gleneagles looks pretty bombproof and would be the banker but the market thinks so too. I’m also leaving alone the Windsor Castle. When Wesley Ward won this a few years back with Strike The Tiger, the horse came out of 7 and tracked across stand side. Hootenanny came up that rail last year and I fancy Ruby Notion, out of 10, could hold the pace key here. There’s bundles of it across the track but if she comes over as expected, it really could favour high numbers. I’m tempted by the frustratingly lowly drawn Areen who was very unlucky at Sandown. Out wide in that race was Steady Pace and he looks a touch overpriced. Opal Tiara is well drawn but is she really good enough? Ard San Are could hold the key but his form is tricky to weigh up and I can’t commit to anything so will leave alone. Am backing the following...

Eltezam doesn’t have the ideal profile for a Coventry in that he has been beaten. The last 10 or so winners had not tasted defeat en route to this but it’s worth pointing out that Eltezam was pitched in deep on debut. Just 1 of 2 debutants in a race with a few last time out winners, he did best from the rear and then won easily last time confirming that debut promise. He needs to step up but is from a top team and he looks a touch underestimated. Frankie is flying at the moment too and he's a dangerous man to oppose when riding with confidence. I quite fancy him (horse).
Ascot 15.05 - Eltezam 1pt

Eltezam - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 15:40

I’d love to see Sole Power win the King’s Stand for a 3rd time and he has the sort of draw Richard Hughes wanted. He gets his ground too and he’ll probably score but, for a horse that admittedly needs a little luck, he’s a skinny price. A filly has won this before and Wind Fire might just have this run to suit. There is a stack of pace on and she’s drawn ok to track that up high, just a few away form Mecca’s Angel. In truth she looks a 6 furlong filly but the pace gives her a sniff. She ran her best race for some time in the Temple and, whilst plenty more is needed, she could just be improving. She’s gone well at the track before too.

Wind Fire - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Ascot 17:00

2 for the Ascot Stakes and I like nothing more than Broxbourne for a trainer that won this with a similarly profiled horse a few years back. Progressive flat stayer going over hurdles then back to the flat and she arrives here in super form having run into the progressive The Govaness last time. She is 9lb above her course win and just 1lb above her last success. Her form tailed off a touch when last seen in this sphere but I’m not sure Newmarket suited and she’s certainly in good heart now. Drawn 18, Spencer will likely drop her in but there’s bundles of pace on and we know she gets the trip.

Broxbourne - 1pt @ 14/1Lost -1pt

I also want to chance the bigger priced Shwaiman who has a similar profile. He ran well in the Gold Cup last year when he would’ve finished closer with a clear passage and, having nibbled at him that day, he’s certainly worth a go back in a handicap off this sort of mark. He too comes here in good hurdles form for his new yard and it’s the man of the moment doing the steering.

Shwaiman - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt

Sunday 14th June

Rein Man / Saturday 13th June 2015 / 17:30

Doncaster 16:15

Quite like the look of Flyman at Doncaster, a course he has his best from at. He had dropped to an interesting mark for Richard Fahey last year and spent much of it waiting for cut. He has been a touch disappointing on 2 starts for David O’Meara this year but is the sort of horse that this trainer will get winning and, crucially, the rain arrived yesterday at Doncaster. Some more wouldn’t go amiss, they leave off the headgear tried last time and I fancy he’ll go better than his current price would suggest back at 6.

Flyman - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Chantilly 14:45

The Prix De Diane has a potential superstar but she is drawn widest of all and that has to be a worry for Queen's Jewel. We are guaranteed pace with Star Of Seville, though she’s wide too, and it remains to be seen whether or not she is taken on. I fancy you’d not want to get too far back either way and Maxime Guyon may have to do a little early work. The Ervedya Pouliches form looks rock solid and 9th that day was subsequent scorer Sainte Amarante who looks a big price this afternoon. She will not get too far back and looked much happier up in trip last time when winning pretty comfortably. That was Listed company so she needs more but the extra half furlong will suit and she’s always been thought of as a Diane filly over a Pouliches one. I thought she ran well in the at Longchamp when a little squeezed as a result of being outpaced. She travelled well enough though and kept on nicely under little asking. She's overpriced against the fav.

Sainte Amarante - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Saturday 13th June

Rein Man / Saturday 13th June 2015 / 08:59

York 14:00

I fancy Rare Rhythm in the C4 opener but he’s short enough in an incredibly tight handicap full of progressive sorts. Pearl Castle would be the idea of likeliest winner in the Lady Amateur Riders Stakes at York but Manhattan Swing is next on the list and certainly overpriced. He went well in 2 runs over hurdles for the yard last Autumn before flopping in that strange old heavy ground November Handicap. 2 starts this term in blinkers have been solid and this is a drop in class. He should get the pace he needs (hopefully Olnly Orsenfoolsies isn't an eventual defector) and he’s been eased a pound since last time when never really involved from off the pace (winner made all).

Manhattan Swing - 1pt @ 12/1Lost -1pt

Sandown 14:20

Master Of The World is very tempting at Sandown having run well behind Jacob Black last time but having seen the latter is 13/2 for the repeat, he has to go up. I can see history repeating itself. He’s drawn similarly and any pace competition is drawn wide enough that they’ll have to do a little more to get over and Frankie will not be hanging around. He’s riding so well at the moment and clearly got on well with the horse last time who I thought won easier than the winning distance suggested. A 3lb rise looks very fair for this lightly raced improving 4 year old.

Jacob Black - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

York 14:35

O’Meara and York were meant to be, it seems. So which one in the 2.35? Al Khan at 25’s looks big with Josh Doyle taking off a little weight, though excuses were thin on the ground last time. A 7lb rise, given the way he won and the trouble he met, may not be enough to stop So Beloved. There’s just a niggle about that very wide draw in a race with not much pace on. That could give Alejandro a chance of dominating here, though it is a 19 strong field and that won’t be easy. He is a 2 time course and distance winner back off his last winning mark, here, and he’s well drawn to ping out and hopefully stay there. It’s a long shot and he was last in that race 2 weeks ago when drawn wide and not able to get near the front in a race with pace. He’ll fare better today.

Alejandro - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

York 15:45

These tips would have been up an hour ago if it weren’t for Barnet Fair. I don’t know what to do with him. He was unlucky in the Dash but may fair better here as a course and distance winner. He’s that type though, can be slowly away and needs luck and this race can be a nightmare for a passage. Perhaps he’s worth waiting for back at a sharp 6 and 8/1 isn’t quite big enough given his profile (I will cave before the off and back him). Scalzo is a beast and I fancy he can overcome an 18b rise in the Charity Sprint but he’s 7/2. I’d rather chance one of Charlie Croker and Field Game, both representing yards that have won this before. The latter shaped well back from a break and a gelding op last time and should have more to come. The little bit of rain they’ve had at York will have just taken that sting out of the ground and that’s no bad thing given his sole turf win came on good to soft. His ability to race prominently could be useful as, for all it’s a big field, there’s not a plethora of definite pace. Given he ran over 6 last time I’d imagine this has been the plan and, though there’s no exact science in this, I like he’s drawn middle to stands side.

Field Game - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt

Royal Ascot

Rein Man / Wednesday 10th June 2015 / 06:38

Royal Hunt Cup

The draw will undoubtedly play a big part in the outcome of the Royal Hunt Cup so perhaps no point in going mad. Horses have won from single figures but near side mentality tends to prevail so fingers crossed for a high number and pace that side. David O’Meara is lethal in these big field handicaps and I fancy his arrows this year to go well. Standout price at the moment is Fort Bastion who is a last time out winner at Ayr, a race he needed to win to get into this (probably). He’s not exactly under the radar given 2 unlucky efforts this term prior to his win but has gone up a very fair 7lb and I’m not sure why he’s 25/1. He’s still 4lb below his peak rating when with Richard Hannon Snr and can be very competitive from this mark. Last year he ran in the race for Ruth Carr and had the worst draw possible but he’ll be a better horse this year and hopefully will have a little more luck on where his race begins.

Fort Bastion - 1pt @ 25/1Lost -1pt

Diamond Jubilee Stakes

I like The Corsican as a horse to take a price about. If he were from Stoute or Gosden with that progressive handicap profile I honestly think he’d be shorter for the Hardwicke but he is in the Prince Of Wales and is ground dependent. Without rain he probably won’t run so best to wait. As far as the 2 Group 1 sprints go, the Diamond Jubilee has a few at prices that ping. Brazen Beau could be another Chiosir but I’m inclined to look favourably on a few closer to home in behind. Mustajeeb won at the meeting last year and looks to be a sprinter with a bright future. He’s unsurprisingly very well found in the market. Music Master had bit problems last time when something new was tried and will now revert to the old equipment. Expect better at 25/1 but whether he is good enough remains to be seen. He's tempting given the performance from the wrong side 12 months ago. However, the real price abnormality is Group 1 winner G Force at 16/1. What’s all that about? Put a line through his run on heavy at Ascot when trapped wide, so too his reappearance at Haydock when never seeing daylight at the business end prior to stumbling and very nearly coming down. But perhaps herein lies the reason behind the price. He’s also in the King's Stand and, given that last start was over 5, it's not certain he'll go in the Diamond Jubilee. I think he’s an ultra progressive sprinter but not a Group 1 horse at the minimum. He’s a Group 1 winner over 6 after which connections admitted they’d got the trip wrong prior to that run. So it’s a risk but I can’t see them running him over 5. He’ll not have Daniel Tudhope unfortunately but he’ll still have a heck of a chance if the Aussie is below par.

G Force - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Wokingham Stakes

One for the Wokingham now in the form of Gamesome. As with the Hunt Cup, the draw will have a say but he is too big at 20/1. Left alone by the handicapper following an excellent run at Newmarket, a race which has produced a winner and looks solid form, he did best of those from off the pace and confirmed the promise of his reappearance in the Abernant, again when nothing got into it from the rear. He’s still relatively lightly raced and, given his hold up style, a big field straight course handicap with bundles of pace should really suit. I thought he was the obvious one for the race bar Speculatie Bid (12/1) and that 20's should half come race time.

Gamesome - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt

Saturday 6th June

Rein Man / Friday 5th June 2015 / 17:01

Epsom 15:10

I fancy Stravagante in the opener but he’s no sort of price really and it’s a bit of a minefield of a handicap. If Resonant gets loose on the front end then it could be over before it’s started, though the Bell horse may have something to say about that. I have a match bet with Claude Charlet on Flintshire v Dolniya in the Coronation. I’m on the former and fancy a 3lb pull and longer home straight may just help him reverse that form. He was 2nd last year back from a break but there’s no Cirrus quality here and the Meydan race may have helped him fitness wise coming into this. I've nibbled and will do the same on Sheikhzayedroad , seemingly one of the also runs in this apparent 2 horse race but are we missing something? A Derby 3rd and Leger 2nd, a G2 Turkish winner and a Group 1 Canadian winner. They have plenty to find but I fancy the G1 winner is a touch overpriced here. He has 4 lengths to find with Flintshire from their Sheema Classic run and nearly 7 with Dolniya but, whereas she got a perfect trip that day, Sheikhzayedroad was last before turning in 3 wide and keeping on. He is a course and distance winner and a G2 winner on these shores. I’m not sure he has as much to find as the market suggests for all he will want some more pace than looks likely if dropped out as normal.

Sheikhzayedroad - 1pt @ 33/1Lost -1pt

Epsom 15:45

Monumental Man will look to emmulate 2012 winner of the Dash, Stone Of Folca, and make all from stall 2. He will have company from last year’s winner Caspian Prince though and, as ever, they will not hang about. I’m hoping we get no further rain late Friday or Saturday as Barnet Fair does his winning on quick. He’s 2lb higher than when keeping on in this last year but much better drawn this time around and now with a trainer that knows how to win this. He was given an easy time of it last time and no doubt this is the target. I already have Seeking Magic on side at bigger and his credential are obvious. With 5 places generally on offer it’s worth chucking Perfect Muse into the mix. Cam Hardie takes off a useful 3 and she shaped well on reappearance from in behind when Humidor made all. She’s still improving and looks a touch overpriced from a nice enough draw.

Barnet Fair - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Perfect Muse - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Epsom 17:15

No bet in the Derby. I’ve looked long and hard at a few: Giovanni Canaletto is too short now. The rain may not have come in enough spades/buckets for Elm Park and his racecourse gallop was far from taking. Epicurus has the stinker draw. Jack Hobbs looks the best to take on the fav with but will he even run? And if the fav stays, he wins. I think he will. His dam was a half brother to a 14 and 13 furlong winner and a Cheshire Oaks winner. His owner isn’t certain but I think his trainer is more confident and he was far from stopping last time. At least we should get a genuine pace.

Two on the shortlist for the mile and a half handicap are drawn worst of all. Gothic will have to be the first horse this century to win from stall 1 over this course and distance and Treasure The Ridge will have to do what just a couple have in that time from stall 2. I like Montaly but just worry about the ground. If it quickens up, which it may well, he could struggle, though I think he’s still well treated. When Adeventure Seeker was last seen his yard was having a relatively quiet time of it but they are flying now and he looks feasibly treated. 2nd in the Melrose off 7lb lower, there should be scope off this mark given what the winner that day, Vent De Force, has gone on to do. Trouble is, the horse has something of an unlucky profile and that’s not a good thing. Add to that trying to come from mid to rear division in a big field mile and a half handicap at Epsom and it’s not easy to see everything dropping right today. He went very close at Newmarket off 2lb lower though and perhaps needed it when up against it on reappearance in a conditions race before never getting into it from the rear last time. Hopefully he’s put into this from a decent draw.

Adventure Seeker - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

Friday 5th June

Rein Man / Thursday 4th June 2015 / 17:03

Epsom 16:30

There’s not a great deal of obvious pace in the Oaks and I wonder if Moore will try and get handy from 1 on Legatissimo. Otherwise she could have plenty of work to do from further back on the rail. She's very classy though and could get herself out of any trouble. Crystal Zvezda, beautifully drawn, was very neat last time and looks likely to appreciate further. Her form doesn’t tie in (not more than loosely) with the top Irish form, which looks the best on offer but she was undeniably brilliant at Newbury and ran the best trial. I went for the wrong Cumani filly last month in Pamona. Oh well. Lady Of Dubai at 50's yes, 12/1 isn’t thrilling though for all I wouldn’t mind her winning. The filly I’m really surprised to see double figures about is Together Forever. Beaten on reappearance, not the only O’Brien horse we can say that about, in the Musidora when giving a lead and weight and race fitness to the progressive Star Of Seville, I fancy she could emulate Alexandrova and convert a Musidora beating into an Oaks win. She’s certainly a few points bigger than seems sensible. Her pedigree doesn’t scream mile and a half but her run last time was positive enough with an eye on going further. Stall 4 isn’t perfect but there shouldn’t be too many excuses from there. I’m not really sure how to weigh up Joseph O’Brien at the moment, that’s not a criticism but merely a reaction to him not being top jock at Ballydoyle anymore and therefore him riding slightly lesser quality of horses in the main, though they’re all pretty good. His confidence can't be sky high but he knows how to win here and I thought he gave Highland Reel a pretty good spin, wide but out of trouble, in the Prix Du Jockey Club. He's on 1 of 2 Group 1 winners in the field and any rain won't be a bother.

Together Forever - 1pt @ 10/1Lost -1pt

Epsom 14:00

Odeliz looks to have a great chance of going one better than last year in the opener. On paper there’s nothing as good as Thistle Bird in the field and this should be run at a decent pace, which she’ll need. This is, however, still on the sharp side for her and 3/1 doesn’t interest. I’m very tempted with Lightening Thunder but a forgiving nature rarely makes any money so she’s probably best left alone, especially at around 11/2. Bold Lass was earmarked for Listed company after her win last time but this Group 3 really represents a step up. She’s good though and a rating of 96 probably underestimates her. She’s drawn wide enough but there will be pace on and she's worth a go at a half decent price. She looked like she’d come on a bundle for that winning return too and could surprise a few.

Bold Lass - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Epsom 14:35

Talking of a forgiving nature, What About Carlo has blinkers on after running a couple of poor races since an encouraging return at Doncaster. He was well backed for his run here next up but was never well placed and his trainer mentioned he didn’t like getting crowded at the top of the hill. York last time was less obvious as far as excuses go though he looked warm beforehand and the yard were having a quiet spell. There has been talk of quick ground not being ideal but his win last year off 1lb lower came in a good time on quick enough ground so I’m not sure. Hopefully some forecast rain falls for him either way. Plenty of forgiving to be done but perhaps worth one more go back at a track he’s won at and there should be more pace on than last time here. I’m a big fan of Nancy From Nairobi who probably found that ground a touch easy last time and she was to be the selection but for the 12’s about Carlo. Might regret that.

What About Carlo - 1pt @ 12/1Lost -1pt

Epsom 15:45 Epsom

I fancy Shifting Power will go off shorter than the 10/3 on offer at present for the Diomed, at least he should. It’s a tricky looking affair though and perhaps best left alone, particularly if the ground is on the slow side of good and/or the rain comes as Tullius could give the 2 youngsters plenty to think about. I don't think Arod is an out and out miler. Gratzie looks a lovely prospect in the Mile but her draw in 11 must be a slight concern. The same can be said for favourite Abseil who ran a super race from another nasty draw (worse) last time at York. There’s not bundles of pace on and that could suit the likes of Sound Advice and course winner Imshivalla. Keen over 10 here on reappearance, she has been eased a couple of pounds since and I’m not sure a straight track suited her last time when racing up with a hot pace. This turning track and potentially more tactical race should suit and Paul Hanagan gets on well with her.

Imshivalla - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Sunday 31st May

Rein Man / Sunday 31st May 2015 / 11:09

Chantilly 14:45

New Bay ran an amazing race in the French 2000 Guineas and should appreciate this extra trip. Enthusiasm, however, is slightly tempered by that wide draw as he’ll likely be dropped in and I’m not certain he’ll get the pace needed to make up the ground. The same could be said for Karaktar from stall 12 but Soumillon is a genius and the horse could well be good enough to overcome any trouble. I wonder if it’s worth giving another chance to Highland Reel now he’s a half decent price off the back of that Longchamp run. He was heavily backed but was under pressure far too early. I thought it was encouraging that he showed some fight in the last half furlong though as it had looked as though he’d be swamped and be beaten further than 6 lengths. It seemed like the run was needed, as plenty of O’Brien’s have shown this year, and that trip that can be considered on the sharp side, particularly given that the winner made all. All the talk going is was about him putting his Derby credentials on the line and I'd expect an improved run this afternoon. He is certainly bred for this sort of trip and, for all he has a bundle to find with New Bay, the Fabre runner had had a run, as had many in the race. He is a Group 2 winner and looked so good when winning his 2 races as a juvenile, both with Joseph on who returns today. In truth I‘m not sure he’s good enough to beat the top 2 French horses but will play at 10’s to find out.

Highland Reel - 1pt @ 11/1Lost -1pt

Chantilly 12:55

I’d love to see Muthmir win the Prix Du Gros-Chene but do think 5/2 is skinny against some of these hardened French sprinters. The drop to 5 should be beneficial and hopefully that run will have taken some of the freshness out of him. Catcall at 7/1 and Rangali at 11/2, 1st and 2nd last year, both look decent options here though. Stepper Point could well have the run of things too and I’m tempted, though he is yet to replicate his British form across the Channel. The 2 I’ve looked longest at are Mirza and Spirit Quartz. There was little between them in the Abbaye, Spirit Quartz perhaps not helped by a very wide draw and Mirza finding trouble in running. He found it again last time at Longchamp but I think Soumillon is a great booking and wonder if he’ll ride him a little closer to the pace, which should suit here. Spirit Quartz has a lesser chance but there still looks a little too much between the 2 at the prices. 16’s about a horse that should come on for the run last time is very fair. That form has worked out with Pearl Secret winning a Group 2 and Maarek running 2nd in the Greenlands. Spirit Quartz, winner of this a couple of years ago, ran a career best in the Abbaye, was beaten by Mirza on his first start for new connections last year but will have needed the race, and will likely be up with the pace which could well be a positive.

Spirit Quartz - 1pt @ 16/1Lost -1pt

Saturday 30th May

Rein Man / Saturday 30th May 2015 / 01:19

York 13:45

David O’Meara looks like he wants to win the York opener. He probbly will too. I think Foxtrot Romeo looks a touch over priced though and like the fact they’ve switched the headgear again. This combo has seen improvement in the past and could just freshen him up a touch. He’s a few pounds below his last win (all weather) and he looks worth persevering with on the turf. A return to 7 should suit and I’m inclined to forgive him and plenty of others the run last time when trying to get into it from off the pace. The ground may have been on the quick side too but this afternoon will be fine. Yard form is clearly a worry but a few have gone close of late and it's not so bad that they should all be left alone.

Foxtrot Romeo - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Haydock 14:35

Aljamaaheer is a horrid horse to put money on and would find trouble at a peace protest but 8/1 is frankly an insult. This horse was 2nd in a Queen Anne, 3rd in a Diamond Jubilee and is over the sandwich trip, which might just be his best. He was unlucky on reappearance in Listed company and never got a run in the Lockinge. He may want more pace than looks likely and rain’s a worry but this is a Group 3 and I fancy he’ll reverse Lockinge form with the couple currently ahead of him in the betting.

Aljamaheer - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

York 14:55

Race I’m most looking forward to is the sprint handicap at York. Green Door had to shoulder a penalty for much of the year last term outside handicap company. He is unexposed in this sphere though and showed he has plenty of scope off this mark when keeping on at Newbury where the ground was probably quick enough. I fancy a big field handicap will suit, though would ideally have him drawn a touch lower. There’s plenty of pace, middle to low, and Monsieur Joe looks to be ideally positioned. He needs ample pace, which he’ll more than likely get, and loves it here. Keeping on and the wrong side if anything, he ran well on return here in the race he won 12 months ago off 1lb higher and last time was no disrgrace at Thirsk. He’s a different horse here though and I really fancy him this afternoon.

Green Door - 1pt @ 12/1Lost -1pt

York 14:55

Monsieur Joe - 1pt @ 12/1Won 12pt

Haydock 15:45

Hopefully Limato wins the Sandy Lane as there’s nothing like a superstar and i thought he might be odds on - perhaps ground fears are ensuring he hovers above even money. There are a few prices knocking about though, notably for a few dropping back to 6 and that should suit both Toocoolforschool and Glenalmond. The former should help ensure there is a good gallop and the price about the latter is just too tempting. He’s probably not good enough to win this but it could be worth just chancing him back over 6, the trip at which he looked most comfortable as a juvenile. His sole win came with cut too so the rain won’t hurt should it come. He looked to have too much weight in the Free handicap on return whilst the Guineas was never going to be his bag. This might not be either but we can expect him to run better than those odds would suggest now back sprinting.

Glenalmond - 0.5pt e/w @ 33/1Lost -1pt

Thursday 28th May

Rein Man / Thursday 28th May 2015 / 11:47

Sandown 20:45

Good card at Sandown this evening and am looking forward to seeing Tryster on the turf, Arab Spring and the return of Eagle Top. Thought the latter could be an Arc horse last year, though 10 will be sharp enough on return. Sole bet comes in the last in the form of Lesha. It’s an open race with plenty of improvers, none more than Heisman and Donncha, but Lesha looks a little forgotten at 20’s. He was well supported last time at Haydock, a course he loves, but really drawn out of things, He had to do plenty early and I’m surprised he’s been eased 3lb as a result. 10 was too far the time before that but he shaped with plenty of promise at Doncaster and is now 4lb lower. There’s pace on so in some ways I hope he doesn’t get too handy, though you’d never want be too far back here. Either way he’ll be winning off this mark at some point and this is technically a drop in class, though strong for the grade.

Lesha - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Lost -2pt

Epsom Dash

Rein Man / Thursday 28th May 2015 / 11:47

Epsom Dash

All set for the Derby preview but I honestly can’t find a play. From the Dante I thought Elm Park ran the most interesting trial with a view to an over inflated price on the day and it’s he I’d side with if pushed. However, not unlike last year’s eventual 2nd Kingston Hill, he may just be most effective away from quick ground and the forecast doesn't look likely to do him any favours. For what it’s worth I think Zawraq will stay. He has Cumberland Lodge winners and Oaks/Derby form throughout his pedigree and there's plenty to like. The market thinks so too. Epicurus has to be worth another look at a very healthy price and he is clearly highly regarded. Expected to win easily last time when not going into the stalls, the winner of that race is talked of as being supplemented and could yet be ridden by Andrea Atzeni. He’s risky though, clearly, and perhaps I’m just reverting to him for price reasons as opposed to sensible claims or lack thereof. We shall see but it's no play at the moment.

The Dash looks worth an ante post arrow or 2 and I have 5 at the moment that really appeal. Green Door suffered with a penalty for much of last year but his run behind Kingsgate Native at Beverley was very promising and he shaped well last time when dropped back into handicap company. He’s unexposed in this sphere off a mark of 100. Clive Cox has a couple right up there on the list in Perfect Muse and SEEKING MAGIC. The former was progressive last season and I fancy she’d have gone very close at Pontefract granted a sounder surface. She shaped well on reappearance and there should be plenty more to come this term, though she’s well found in the betting for what represents a hike in class.

Seeking Magic is obvious yet I fancy he could be half the price on the day. 2nd last year off a mark of 99, he rocks up here off 6lb lower and has had a similar prep. Beaten just under 5 lengths at Newmarket 12 months ago, he turned up to the Dash off the same mark and went incredibly close. The run highlighted why he will again struggle to win this year in that his best form has really come over 6 and he wants a mighty gallop at 5 to see him go close. Add to that the fact that this is about the quickest 5 going and he will perhaps always need a little more of a test. He is better treated this year though and I thought it was pretty kind of the handicapper to ease him a couple of pounds after a similar run in the same Newmarket race on reappearance this term. Nothing got into it from behind that day and Adam Kirby didn’t see the need to reach for the whip save a few cajoling flashes near the line. It looked a needed run with bigger targets at hand. In short, I think he may come up a little short but he looks certain to run and has the profile of a gambled horse on the day. 16/1 will look very handy and he has every right to be up there.

Desert Law will be not be far away from the pace, though he’ll do well to keep tabs on the flying Monumental Man, a likely favourite come race time. Desert Law’s form is very solid though and he looks well treated. The draw will obviously play a major part and, though plenty from low numbers have run well and indeed won this in the past, you’d always prefer to be high up. Barnet Fair had something of a stinker last year and finished widest of those up there come the line. He’s 3lb higher this time around but is with a trainer that could well progress him this term, as he did at the end of last season. He had a few excuses after his Goodwood win but a hotly run 5 will be ideal and a better draw could see him go closer this time around. He was looked after a little last time too but no doubt his trainer will have him and a couple of others tuned up for this, a race he has a super record in. At the prices he is right at the top of the list, I’m just not sure whether he will go here or Musselburgh as is entered for both and he has a good record at the Scottish track. Whilst I fancy he'll show up shorter than 25/1, I'll leave a play for Epsom until more certain that this is his intended destination.

Seeking Magic - 1pt @ 17/1Lost -1pt

Sunday 24th May

Rein Man / Sunday 24th May 2015 / 11:11

16:30 Curragh

I'm trying to be clever with the Irish 1000 but, as ever, that rarely works and it is Found and Bocca Baciata that are of most interest. I half expect Found to win this easily, her 2yo form is impenetrable, and she could make 7/4 look big but will sit back and watch. Time to leave Malabar alone until up in trip. The following handicap is worth a play and Venezia should still have something to offer off this mark. The same mark as when beaten at Royal Ascot last year when not being given the best of chances in running and finishing best from off the pace. That highlights the problem with him somewhat though in that he probably needs to be produced just right. He is capable off this mark though and that Ascot form is solid. He's back at that trip and, having won on debut for new connections last year, he should be sharper for a recent reappearance.

Venezia - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Saturday 23rd May

Rein Man / Friday 22nd May 2015 / 17:55

Haydock 14:00

Struggling for a bet at Goodwood but a few options at Haydock. First up in the 2 mile race where the 1st and 2nd from last year are back and Nearly Caught will surely go close after a solid reappearance. I think Seamour will win races off this mark but 2 miles is an unknown and will perhaps stretch him. Both the Koukash runners make appeal, though Gabrial’s King has not been done any favours with the draw or ground. He’ll be on the premises. Suegioo also ran in the Chester Cup and never got into it from a terrible draw but the handicapper has done him a favour easing him a couple of pounds and Marc Monaghan takes off a further 3. He was consistently competitive from this sort of mark having won the Chester Cup last year and often shaped as though a return to 2 miles plus would suit. Yard form is a worry but he's worth chancing at this early price. There’s enough pace on to make it the test he needs and he’s very much pick of the prices, for all I think William Of Orange will win.

Suegioo - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Haydock 14:35

Sticking with the Koukash theme, Billy Slater looks a fair bit overpriced for the next at Haydock. He shaped really nicely back from nearly a year off last time and his trainer confirmed he'd come on a fair bit for it. His maiden form suggests this mark is more than feasible, particularly those last 2 starts and there’s every chance this slightly better ground will help too given he’s a half brother to a few quick ground winners. He’s up half a furlong and, given the way he finished last time, that looks a sensible option for a trainer, who also saddles the likeable Flashy Memories, with a good record in the race.

Billy Slater - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Haydock 15:45

Divine is intersting in the fillies’ sprint but it’s a tricky race. The Temple Stakes sees the first 5 home from last year back for more and the progressive Goldream added to the mix. I just wonder if he’d want livelier ground. Hot Streak won last year from Pearl Secret but I fancy the latter can reverse that form here and go 1 better. He has a big race in him but he probably does need things to drop right. I’d not take a shortish price about him but today looks generous and he’s well drawn to track a lively pace. Last year he was on his own a little up the far rail before Hot Streak, who had his 3yo allowance, came over and Pearl Secret picked up again. Ground will be fine, he’s won on quick but wants cut to protect fragile legs, and he’s certainly Group 2 quality. He didn’t have things go his way in the Abbaye and was drawn the wrong side for his reappearance in France. Hopefully today’s the day.

Pearl Secret - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Won 14.4pt

Friday 22nd May

Rein Man / Friday 22nd May 2015 / 06:36

Goodwood 17:10

Zanetto shaped really well last time back from his break and wind op and could be too good for these despite going up in the weights. He’s 5/1 and rightly so and I can see him going off shorter. Ruwaiyan may lack the scope of the likely favourite and a few others but his last 2 handicap starts of last term were encouraging and he’s 3lb lower here. Drawn the wrong side in the Ayr Gold Cup and racing the wrong side (look at what Muthmir did next time) here in the Stewards Cup, he should be fine from 6 today and there's likely to be a fair pace on, though perhaps not quite that of the aforementioned handicaps. Last time was a stinker but he wasn’t asked a question after looking in trouble approaching the dip and nothing got into it from the rear. Worth a pop at the price and just preferred to course lover Slip Sliding Away who has the talented Tom Marquand taking off a useful 7lb. It's another tough card...though it's nothing compared to Haydock today.

Ruwaiyan - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Won 17.5pt

Thursday 21st May

Rein Man / Thursday 21st May 2015 / 06:42

Goodwood 15:50

Tricky little card at Goodwood but a few worth having a go at. I’ve taken the 50’s about Lady Of Dubai in the Oaks in case she absolutely dots up here and she looks the bet at 3/1 in her race. The 9 furlong handicap has a nice shape to it and it could be worth taking on Resonant if only because he got such an easy lead last time and I struggle to see that being allowed to happen again. It may, and he is due to go up a further 8lb so he should really be winning but whether he can dictate to the extent he did last time is questionable. He will undoubtedly lead, I just hope the likes of Maraakib and Red Rubles are hot on his heels as that could make things interesting (though Maraakib will have to be a lot smarter away today). Yamllik is potentially well treated though his draw isn’t ideal and is just putting me off a touch. Laidback Romeo looks to have a good chance of going close at a decent price. Up in trip from a staying on effort last time (good on the clock), he’s got better and better in handicaps and his maiden form says he’s smarter than a mark of 79. He’ll not get left behind from stall 1 and the yard are going along nicely.

Laidback Romeo - 1pt e/w @ 8/1Lost -2pt

Oaks Preview

Rein Man / Wednesday 20th May 2015 / 12:06

Epsom Oaks

It's nigh on impossible to pick holes in the top of the market Oaks form with the current favourite being this year's 1000 Guineas winner and those in behind at Newmarket being very much 'the right ones'. Legatissimo’s form ties in closely with Jack Naylor, 3rd in the Marcel Boussac behind the Moyglare 3rd, Found (what a Moyglare that was with the eventual 1000 Guineas 2nd occupying that same place at the Curragh), and behind the French Guineas winner Ervedya. The Aga Khan's filly looked the standout performer on that afternoon at Longchamp, to the eye and on the clock, and the form really stands up. Irish Rookie was 2nd in the Pouliches, a further boost to the 1000 Guineas, and Tiggy Wiggy, Timeform's joint highest rated juvenile of last year, was back in 3rd at Newmarket having resorted to preferred front-running tactics. A rock solid Guineas run at a scorching pace, suiting the stamina laden winner with a very positive eye on June 5th. No holes here.

A look back to the Graded juvenile races last year shows another pedigree laden with stamina that cropped up in almost all the key races. Malabar looks as though she’d get an Oaks trip in her sleep. Is she good enough to win? Perhaps not. There is, however, plenty of juice in her price and I’m sad to see she goes for the Irish Guineas. The muted plan to take in an Oaks trial appears to have been, well...muted. I'm not mad on these fillies running in a Classic just 12 days after the Curragh, though Aidan O’Brien has a record that goes someway to proving otherwise. You still have to go back 14 years for the last filly to do the Irish Guineas/Oaks double and it would take a scintillating performance at the weekend to threaten the main protagonists for this year's Epsom classic.

That could come from Bocca Baciata, who beat impressive Chester winner Diamondandrubies (3rd) at Navan and boy does that form look impressive. Pleascach (2nd) followed up by hammering Dermot Weld’s Zannda in the G3 Blue Wind Stakes at Leopardstown and her trainer has since suggested she'd head for the Curragh. Zannda, lest we forget, was 2nd in the Pretty Polly having beaten Wedding Vow at the start of the year and that filly followed up with a 2nd to oh, erm, what’s her name? Yes, that’s right, Legatissimo. Even the 2nd wave of Oaks form looks pretty impenetrable. Bocca Baciata also had the subsequent Derrinstown 2nd, Summaya, in behind and would be a leading Oaks candidate should she show up on June 5th. All eyes on Sunday. Jessie Harrington also has the aforementioned Jack Naylor, who beat Legatissimo en route to her 3rd in Paris, though she looks to be Irish Oaks bound.

Back to O’Brien. The trainer has had mixed start to his year and the fact Gleneagles won the first British Classic of the season is a big nod to his talent given how some have been running first up. The same could be said about Diamondsandrubies, one of his most impressive trials winners, though she did have the benefit of a run. Together Forever would look, to my eye, the most likely winner. She fits the bill, a Group 1 winner at a mile, she has tried further and came up just short in the Musidora when giving a softish lead and 4lbs to a progressive, race-fit filly from a yard that can do no wrong at the minute. Alexandrova was of course beaten at 8/15 in the Musidora before going on to win at Epsom. The other beaten O’Brien filly in one of the key trials was Wedding Vow, who came unstuck at Lingfield. Last turning in off a modest pace at best, her Legatissimo form tells us she is better than that and she should improve for the extra trip at Epsom. Her dam was a maiden but 2nd in an Oaks, a half sister to a Derby 3rd, and, whilst winning looks a stretch, she really could be in the mix if turning up. 50/1 looks tempting for all her Irish Guineas entry is a head scratcher.

One more key bit of form to talk about is the Newbury trial won by Crystal Zvezda. Switched left after the start, she travelled beautifully off the pace and then came widest of the lot up the straight to win with a fair bit in hand. Pamona was a closing 3rd and luckless. Favourite on the day, whether Luca Cumani's filly would have got to the winner with a clear run is at best debatable. She'd have been closer, certainly. It’s worth noting that, pedigree aside, she took longer to pick up once in the clear than the eventual 1st and 2nd before flying home under hands and heels and a couple of taps near the line. Andrea Atzeni didn’t appear to give everything initially either, until 2nd became a possibility. Her pedigree isn’t short on pace but to the eye she looked a filly in want of 12. Pamona has the juvenile form in the book, finishing ahead of the Pretty Polly winner on debut before a comfortable enough win next time and deserves her place in the Oaks. The disparity in the betting between the Stoute filly (13/2) and Pamona (25/1) seems too big and 4th placed Entertainment, who Pamona beat comfortably in her maiden win, provides a nice form link with that of Diamondsandrubies at Chester.

Also entered from the Cumani ranks is Lady Of Dubai, due to run in the Goodwood trial this week. That race is often used by Cumani as a prep for Royal Ascot or for the Listed Ballymacol Stud Stakes at Newbury between Epsom and Ascot. If Lady Of Dubai were to win well at Goodwood then perhaps the temptation would be to follow last year’s winner, Marsh Daisy, and the likes of Coquet, Beatrice Aurore and 2010 Oaks winner Snow Fairy to Epsom. I like that her juvenile form has a tie with that fortress of 3 year old form boasted by those at the top of the Oaks market. 2nd to Irish Rookie when last seen in the Montrose Stakes, Lady Of Dubai has a pedigree all about stamina. She will want at least 10 and connections were reportedly very pleased with her run at Newmarket on ground that was on the soft side. She couldn’t match Irish Rookie for pace but was subsequently given an Oaks entry as they ‘think plenty of her’ as that 450,000gns price tag would suggest. Would Cumani run both? I wonder, and think not. Paloma ran in the race that Volume won last year on her way to Epsom whilst Lady Of Dubai looks to have been appointed the Cumani campaign targeting post Oaks racing. She has to win at Goodwood and even so could head for the Ribblesdale but 50/1 is still tempting.

A word for the French too, whose challenge looks to be headed by the expensive Al Naamah, just touched off in Group company last time. She will need to improve on that a fair bit but she was making her reappearance in a Group 3 and I’m not sure she was asked for absolutely everything as is often the case with Fabre horse first up. Al Naamah is beautifully bred, sister to an Oaks winner, by a Derby winner and out of a half sister to a Derby winner and one would think there’d be improvement to come at 1 mile 4. It’s worth pointing out they finished in something of a heap and whether that form can stand up to that of those heading the Oaks betting remains to be seen.

It looks a vintage Oaks and difficult to oppose Legatissimo, even at around the 4/1 mark, with Ryan Moore likely to partner her (though he's not short on options). Lady Of Dubai would be a tentative selection at very healthy odds but hand on heart I don’t think her trainer will go this route and the Ribblesdale, where he went with Cosmodrome after she won the Height Of Fashion Stakes a few years back, may be her chance at the top level. From Ballydoyle, Together Forever looks sure to line up and is a Group 1 winner. The 3 ahead of her in the betting won’t defect though and her 8/1 odds will not be vastly different come race time. I'd also love to chance Easter should she turn up. PAMONA is currently 25/1 and, whilst she wasn’t simply an unlucky loser at Newbury, should she really be 5 times the price of the winner that day? A trial which stands up well in the context of this strong Oaks, both fillies are likely to appreciate further but with Paloma looking very likely to be the Cumani representative, those odds ought to be a fair bit shorter come race day.

Pamona - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Non Runner

Saturday 16th May

Rein Man / Friday 15th May 2015 / 17:50

Newbury 15:45

Can’t see him winning it in truth but current price insults Tullius in the Lockinge. 2nd last year on good to firm, easier ground today will help, though in truth it will likely still be quick enough. He had no chance off the pace last time over 10 at Sandown and a drop back to this trip will help. He’s very closely matched with Custom Cut, who needs respecting, yet over double the price. Moohaarib looks a much improved horse and well worth his place in this field. The Hannon pair will be on the premises but neither are ones to have absolute faith in on seasonal bow. I’d love Integral to win and she will probably be better than ever this year. Stoute won this with a filly a few years back and she’d be 2nd choice though well found in the market.

Tullius - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Non Runner

Newmarket 14:15

Quite fancy chancing an arm at Resilency on 2nd start for Mick Appleby. Bought out of David Wachman’s yard, he was pitched in deep on debut and should find this drop in trip more suitable. His mark isn’t easy to asses given where he now resides but a few of these look susceptible to an improver and that could well be this 4 year old.

Resiliency - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Newbury 14:35

Also want to take a pop at Angelic Lord at around 16/1 currently now back against his own age group. I can absolutely see why he will not win and why others are likely to improve past him but he’s pretty consistent and his trainer suggested he’d need his first start. Willing to pitch him into Group 3 company against older horses next time, he never got into it from a far from ideal position. This is more realistic and a drop in class with a visor on for the first time. He tended to hang a little right under pressure so headgear is no bad thing and he’s well drawn to track likely pace angle Desert Force. There’s little in it on ratings but plenty of juice in his price.

Angelic Lord - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Non Runner

Newbury 15:10

Interesting Moore rides Time Test and not Dissolution, who I’d probably have on side on the face of it with the visor back on. He did very well to win last time. Plymouth Sound looks a touch forgotten though, back off the same mark as when keeping on last time at Sandown from off the pace. Very much best from back in the field that day, his gelding operation over the winter has clearly had a positive effect and there should be more to come on likely better ground and up in trip.

Plymouth Sound - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Friday 15th May

Rein Man / Friday 15th May 2015 / 09:07

York 14:40

Chester came and went without success and York is going much the same way. So just the one today on what looks a really tricky card. Top Tug will be seen to better effect than when favourite over 9 on quick ground at Newmarket. This is more his trip and ground and thus he’s 4/1, though he’d not want it to dry out much more. Duke Of Clarence was drawn in the car park last time at Chester and never had a chance on his first start back from a year off. The handicapper eased Top Tug a pound for a similar defeat, no such luck for Duke Of Clarence but this mark is one he can still be competitive from based on his 2nd to Arab Spring over course and distance. He’ll not want them to hang about but I fancy he’ll shorten from current 12/1. Treasure The Ridge deserves a mention too. He is easing to a mark he can threaten from and would be of interest with this run under his belt.

Duke of Clarence - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Thursday 14th May

Rein Man / Thursday 14th May 2015 / 06:55

York 14:10

Lexington Abbey doesn’t exactly win for fun but he is clearly talented and a strongly run 5 here might just suit. We may find out 6 is definitely his trip and add another excuses to the growing list but there’s pace on and he’s not short of speed. He goes well here too and shaped on return as though a win wouldn’t be far off. His trainer seemed very excited about this season for him, mentioning him as a possible Ayr Gold Cup horse and he hinted at such potential at Doncaster. Last time was bad, no cover, wide round the turn and not picking up but the return to a straight track and decent gallop could be what he needs. Tangerine Trees and See The Sun shouldn’t hang about and he’s near them though there is pace right across the track. He’s one that will always make appeal at double figures.

Lexington Abbey - 1pt e/w @ 11/1Lost -2pt

York 15:15

It’s a close call but my tipping is probably not quite as bad as Ol’ Man River’s return in the Guineas. On second thoughts it's worse but still the poor boy never went a yard. Whether it was the ground or inexperience, it needs some serious forgiving to back him today. It’s worth noting though that the money came for him that day in a big way and it wasn’t as if the Ballydoyle favourite was weak. He is clearly smarter than Newmarket and it was just his 3rd start. His juvenile form isn’t far off that of John F Kennedy and indeed the 2 were vying for anti post Derby favouritism not so long ago. He’s 16/1 for that now but as big as 10’s for this and I like those odds. I like John F too but he's a skinnier price and also has a bit to prove. Whether the selection gets the Derby trip remains to be seen but this will be fine and the race is a bit of a graveyard for favourites so I’ll take the shorties on.

Ol' Man River - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

York 15:45

There’s not a great deal between Off Art and Fort Bastion on Thrsk form with both likely to come on for that reappearance. Particularly the latter who never got a run and tried to come from further back than anything. Hopefully he’ll be better away today and he likes it here and should go close. There’ll be some pace too, and I’d imagine Prince Of Johanne won’t be far off it. He runs well that way and also loves it here with solid form figures in the race. 3lb lower than when 3rd last year, he was bumped and lost his place early last time which seemed to make him sulk but I’ll give him another chance at a decent price. I’m tempted by Fast Act in the Listed sprint and Cousin Khee in the last but perhaps not quite tempted enough, might see how the day's gone before playing.

Fort Bastion - 1pt e/w @ 7/1Lost -2pt

Prince of Johanne - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Wednesday 13th May

Rein Man / Tuesday 12th May 2015 / 18:13

York 14:40

The York opener has nothing that really jumps off the page. I like Chancery and What About Carlo amongst others but drying ground would be a worry for both. So too for a couple of fancies in the next but they look worth supporting. Mass Rally is very capable of winning from this mark and he has the headgear back on in which he was last successful. That came here over course and distance and he’s 6lb lower now. He shaped well last time too and is well drawn to track the likely pace. Fast Shot is another that will probably not want the ground to dry out too much but he has won on good and went well in this last year off a couple of pounds higher. He needs everything to drop right off this mark but he shaped nicely on return before finding the ground too quick last time.

Fast Shot - 0.5pt e/w @ 28/1Lost -1pt

Mass Rally - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

York 15:15

The drying surface is a plus for a few in the Duke Of York, notably the pair of most interest in Muthmir and Lucky Kristale. The former may well come out the best of these but he could be fresh first up and fancy he’ll improve for it. The latter was unlucky last time and has a better chance of reversing form with Astaire than her current odds suggest. I’d prefer if she were drawn more mid-pack as she may have to head to the rail to get some cover and thus get too far back but she likes it here and this is her trip. I fancy she’ll be better away than last time too with sprinting experience back under her belt.

Lucky Kristale - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

York 17:20

The 3 year old handicap looks terrifying so I’ll leave that alone. Together Forever would be a tentative selection in the Musidora but no bet. The last looks a good betting heat and 3 stick out. 2 have been over hurdles recently in Seamour and Primogeniture. The former would be a 140 horse over obstacles and, given his beating of the talented Karezak at Kempton on the flat, 85 may well underestimate him. The yard are flying too but stall 19 can’t be ideal. Primogeniture has been eased from his Irish mark and was chucked into hot company over hurdle. This looks more realistic for a clever yard and he’s worth play. As is Jefferson City for another smart team who have picked up this former John Gosden colt and brought him back off an absence to finish a length 3rd last time in maiden company. Best from the rear that day, he should come on a bundle for it and 79 looks lenient based on his debut. Last time showed the ability remains and he’ll be granted more of a test at the trip today.

Primogeniture - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Jefferson City - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Saturday 9th May

Rein Man / Friday 8th May 2015 / 16:53

Ascot 15:45

It’s a big field but there’s not bundles of pace on in the Victoria Cup. What there is comes from higher than lower and that’s where it should pay to concentrate. American Hope is good enough and certainly well treated enough to win one of these, especially on the form of his ‘win his side’ in the Britannia last term. He was unlucky next time too in a smaller field when keen and hitting the front a touch soon. So, whilst the excuses are mounting up, including finding 6 too sharp last time, his mark has eased a touch and 7 in a big field looks spot on. Also up on the long list is Highland Acclaim. He won here over 6 last term before a luckless run next at this trip. He’s run well since then too but often had too much to do from off the pace and a return to 7 on decent ground looks ideal. His mark has suffered for running well without winning and he hasn’t had a run this term but if he can show an ounce of the improvement he did last year then he has another big handicap in him. I’ll probably back Speculative Bid too who will surely go close but he’s short enough.

American Hope - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Highland Acclaim - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Lost -2pt

Ascot 14:00

Penhill could be well ahead of these in the Ascot opener but I still fancy there’s more to come from Oasis Fantasy off this mark. He bumped into Battersea back in July who won next up but his career doesn’t boast such progress. Just 1lb higher than for that run here, he was gelded over the winter but still fresh and keen last time on reappearance. Hopefully that run will have put him right for this as he’s definitely got scope off that mark. Noble Gift and I’m Fraam Govan shouldn’t hang about and that will help the selection’s chances of settling.

Oasis Fantasy - 1pt e/w @ 8/1Placed 1pt

Haydock 15:25

Over at Haydock I like Edeymi and Milan Bound in the 3 mile race but it’s trappy and they’re tricky. Judging by the Chester rain yesterday, it could be pretty testing too and that might not suit either. It should suit Handiwork who is a soft ground winner on the flat for Michael Bell and who will want a test at this trip. Conditions will help with that and there’s a fair bit of pace on. He was keeping on at Ayr behind Cheltenian last time on good and is up a couple of pounds, now 9lb higher than when touched off over course and distance a few starts back, but he is improving and shapes as though there’s a big race in him.

Handiwork - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Friday 8th May

Rein Man / Thursday 7th May 2015 / 18:15

Chester 14:10

Good opener worth a go at Chester and a few on the list. Macret heads it but there are a couple in behind that could outrun their prices. Brazos has blinkers on and looks feasibly treated with soft ground likely to be in his favour. It's the double figures about Arnold Lane though that really catches the eye. A course and distance winner, he's been highly tried since that success and mostly at 6 furlongs. He's so well treated now having dropped dramatically in the handicap and, given his last 3 wins have been at 6.5 and 7, looks well worth a first go back at this trip in 10 starts. Cut is fine and he shaped with enough promise on reappearance to suggest the flame still burns.

Arnold Lane - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Chester 14:40

Aidan O'Brien has a terrific record in the Dee Stakes and Smuggler's Cove probably wins. I've got most of his wrong all week though so why stop now? Disegno may well improve for the headgear but is clearly risky whilst Nafaqa can't really be trusted but Prince Gagarin looks a solid option should the favourite under perform. He has 1 blot on the record when all but chucking the race at the start. He then gave too much rope to a progressive sort before winning on soft ground in Listed company at the end of the season. There should be more to come and he's proved he handles the surface whilst the step up to 10 looks likely to suit.

Prince Gagarin - 1pt @ 6/1Lost -1pt

Chester 17:25

I'm tempted by Grissom in a race he's gone close in before but there again there should surely be more than 4pts between he and Intisaab, a solid favourite at a very decent 4/1 currently. As far as another bet goes, it's Al Destoor in the last. He's a keen going sort who may not get the pace he needs to help him settle but his current price is way off. He bumped into recent hat trick scorer Mica Mika 3 starts back and again seemed to find 10 furlongs too sharp on the all weather. Last time was a mess when pulling his way around the entire field but, for all he's a 13 race maiden, this is a significant drop in class and he's been underestimated at current prices.

Al Destoor - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Non Runner

Thursday 7th May

Rein Man / Wednesday 6th May 2015 / 18:23

Chester 14:10

Sennockian Star is tempting again in the Chester opener but his last 2 runs have been very poor, especially last time when he had the race run to suit. The other Johnston runner, Master Of Finance has a bit to prove too but he was drawn widest of all at Ripon and could never get to the lead. That seems crucial for him, as he showed on reappearance when winning well at Pontefract. He gets his ground today and is well drawn to bounce out on the lead where he could well have things his own way. A gelding operation over the winter clearly benefitted and it's too soon to write him off.

Master of Finance - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Placed 1.4pt

Chester 17:25

Elsewhere on the card the idea of a good thing would be Cannock Chase but he’s not really of great interest at that price. I quite like Tanaaf in the Vase too against a couple of shorties who you couldn’t really put too much faith in. Geordie George and Northgate Lad look likeable favourites but as far as another play goes it’s The Character in the hopefully lucky last. Stable companion Polar Eyes is interesting with cheekpieces back on but it’s noteworthy that Richard Kingscote chooses The Character who seemed to find a mile far too sharp last time. He’s back over a course and distance that he’s won over and is well drawn to get handy with relative ease. Empress Ali will likely take them along with the Dascombe pair close up and The Character should come on for that reappearance last time. He handles cut and is on similar terms with Ardmay when the latter won here back in August. I like Ardmay but fancy the selection could have a little more scope and he’s the bigger price at the time of writing.

The Character - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Wednesday 6th May

Rein Man / Wednesday 6th May 2015 / 06:22

Chester 15:10

Chester Cup day and Dr Marwan Koukash is 5 strong in the big race and looking to win it for a 3rd successive year. A week ago he said his best chance was Gabrial’s King, a 25/1 shot at the time. He even said he’d take some of his others out just to get this one in, so he clearly likes his chances. Trouble is he’s now 8/1 but I really think he’ll be involved and is worth a play. Well drawn, the rain is a niggling worry but he will apparently come on a bundle for the run last time when a touch unlucky and he has handled this ground before. He has a similar profile to last year’s 2nd, Angel Gabrial, who shot up the weights after switching to the Fahey yard and would probably have won this with a better draw. I fancy there's a fair bit of scope off Gabrial's King's current mark, officially 3lb well in. I also like Gabrial’s Star now the ground has come for him. In fact, softer would really suit him and hinder others so look out for how the ground is riding after the first if waiting for the race before playing. He is in good form, his last run has been franked by John Reel, also in this, and he’s well drawn. I’m not sure it’ll be strongly run with Buthelezi and Shu Lewis the most likely to go forward, the latter of whom I’m keen on but she may just be a touch high in the handicap and doesn’t exactly have the profile of a Chester Cup winner. Lady Kashaan also looks somewhat forgotten at the bottom of the market though she has started a season well before and not gone on.

Gabrials King - 1pt @ 8/1Lost -1pt

Gabrials Star - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Sunday 3rd May

Rein Man / Sunday 3rd May 2015 / 08:51

Newmarket 13:50

The opening handicap at Newmarket sees Gothic with a serious chance. Rain and a step up in trip should really mean he goes off favourite for this and his ability to race prominently could come in handy. Watersmeet is a likely pace angle and he could have things his own way up top. That said, I want to give Montaly a chance too, though he will likely attempt to come from off that pace. He won first up last term and his best runs have come away from a fast surface. Easier ground when last seen will help and he's more closely matched with the likes of Gothic and Astronereus than his price suggests. A gelding operation adds to the interest on this return. Fire Fighting should be thereabouts whilst Highland Castle is one to keep an eye on as he looks well treated but may just need this.

Gothic - 1pt e/w @ 6/1Lost -2pt

Montaly - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Non Runner

Newmarket 15:00

The 6 furlong handicap has so many tempting runners and I could back 5 or 6. First up Go Far (look out for him going up here on every start this term, the cliff looms), who was disappointing back on turf last time but was completely drawn out of it. He is eased another couple of pounds, now 6lb lower than when staying on and unlucky in the Portland. Rain would be a concern but he's too big and I like that he will get the chance to be prominent here. There's not a huge amount of pace on for a field of this size but Hillbillyboy should take them up the centre whilst Shore Step will come up the stand side rail. I expect that to be the place to be and Go Far is well drawn. So too is Secretinthepark and Robert Cowell may well be able to improve him beyond this mark, just as he has last year's winner. Gamesome is another with a very attractive profile but short enough in a hot handicap and the same could be said for the unreliable but undoubtedly well treated Zanetto, fresh from a wind op. It's the price about Run With Pride that makes him too tempting to ignore and I fancy he'll go well. The negatives: he may not be ideally drawn and will need strength in numbers to come down the middle. He could also be a better horse on the all weather given recent performances. However, if he is just an improved horse this term then he comes here in super form and the rain will have done no harm given past performances on the turf. The yard are 0-27 this month but the horses have been knocking on the door and this lightly raced sort will have a race fitness edge on others.

Go Far - 1pt e/w @ 50/1Lost -2pt

Run With Pride - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

Newmarket 15:40

We saw the best of last year's juvenile colts take the 2000 Guineas and the fillies' juvenile form is stronger if anything. Tiggy Wiggy ties with Cursory Glance who beat Found in a rip roaring Moyglare which has produced 4 subsequent Group winners. Beat that. But Found isn't here and, as a result, Lucida is justifiably favourite. I thought Jellicle Ball ran a superb trial for this in the Fred Darling and beat Tiggy Wiggy hands down so she must be on the shortlist. And that brings us to Tiggy Wiggy, who could help shape this. Did she see out 7 last time? It's hard to tell but she was keen before easing up a touch when beaten and it's almost certain she is most effective as a sprinter. She may not be the 2 year old she was at 3 either. 2 things are niggling away though. 1, if she comes on for that reappearance as much as stable companion Ivawood did then she's overpriced. 2, they will surely go back to front running tactics on her and that has to make her of interest. That is her strength and will probably give her more chance of seeing out the trip as she'll not be fighting restraint. This is an extra furlong from last time and I honestly don't think she'll see it out but her strength is taking early lengths out of fields and she could have some of these quite a way behind if allowed to bowl along. Whether she can hang on is another matter but she is clear on ratings and so classy that her price is just too tempting, especially now it looks that little more open without a very solid ante post favourite. I've also got to stick with a filly I've liked for this since last term in Malabar, and she will need them to go quick. Redstart and Terror should help with that and we could end up with 1 group here given just 14 runners. She would have been closer with an extra furlong in the Moyglare and closer still over this trip in the Marcel Boussac but for a terrible run. Legatissimo looks every bit an Oaks filly and worth an ante post play in that prior to a likely staying on effort this afternoon.

Malabar - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Tiggy Wiggy - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Placed 4pt

Saturday 2nd May

Rein Man / Friday 1st May 2015 / 17:16

Newmarket 14:00

The opening handicap on Guineas day sees 2 previous Cambridgeshire winners line up and, of them, Educate looks a threat off this mark. He's been disappointing though, might not get the pace he needs, and I'd rather be a Halation backer. He had to switch over to the other side of the track at Doncaster to track the field and travelled like the best horse in the race. He must have gone favourite in running before his effort petered out for 1 of 2 reasons. Either the trip stretched him or he didn't let himself down fully on slightly dead ground. If the former then he'll be in trouble here but the way he was seeing out 8.5 at Wolves suggests the trip is fine. This quicker surface should be more to his liking and Andrea Atzeni appears to get on well with him. The hood is worth a go too.

Halation - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Newmarket 15:45

Telescope should win and Kingsgate Native doesn't have Sole Power to bump into in the sprint but I'll save another bet on the Newmarket card for the Guineas. Whilst I'm not sure the best of the juvenile colt form is as rock solid as that of the fillies, Gleneagles is still the one to beat and I'm struggling to pick holes in his chances. The main trials this term may not throw up the winner of this but Intilaaq is very interesting after that scintillating Newbury run. It's a step up but the clock and his attitude suggest it's one he can make. As far as a horse we haven't seen in a race as a 3 year old yet, Dutch Connection always looked a juvenile that would come into his own this year. A long, rangy type last term, he looked to have filled out his frame in a recent racecourse gallop and yard vibes are good. He certainly looked to want a mile last year and did get a Dante entry at the start of the season so a strongly run mile, which is very likely, will suit. Home Of The Brave will likely hit the near side rail whilst Kool Kompany could take them up the middle and Dutch Connection is well drawn to track the strongest of the pace. His best performance last term came when covered up of a hot pace and that's his best chance here. He has lengths to find with the favourite

Dutch Connection - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Punchestown 17:00

As far as Punchestown goes, 2 catch the eye. I'm off to a wedding so don't have time for reasons but think Gallant Oscar must have a great chance in the 3 mile 1 chase. He was entered in the 3 mile 6 race but this looks the right choice.

Gallant Oscar - 1pt @ 7/1Won 7pt

Punchestown 15:10

In the one over further, Rogue Angel is worth one more chance. He saves his best form for the track and is one of the few of last year's Cheltenham 4-milers yet to score since.

Rogue Angel - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Friday 1st May

Rein Man / Thursday 30th April 2015 / 20:29

Punchestown 16:20

Looking forward to an excellent novice handicap at Punchestown this afternoon, currently 7/1 the field. I like the favourite who’s form has been advertised but there are other, equally likeable sorts at bigger prices. First up Shanahan’s Turn must go up off 143. Having disappointed in 2 hot Irish Novice Grade 1’s, the first of which he was sent off 9/2 rated 148, the hope is a return to this track will spark improvement. 3 miles on testing ground may have been too far in the Topaz whilst his trainer was in no form come Flogas time, though he’s not exactly flying now. This looks his trip though and he could make 12/1 look very silly with conditions to suit. If Blood Cotil wins I’ll go ballistic but the fact Ruby goes elsewhere just worries me, as does the trip, and I’m going for Wuff instead. Tom George knows how to win here and his horse is nice and fresh. He’ll want a clip but the ground looks more suitable than last time and there should be plenty of scope off his mark of 130, with 14/1 generous enough.

Shanahans Turn - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Wuff - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Horse Racing Tips

Horse racing tips from our expert Rein Man. £10 on all tips in 2014 would have returned £4095 in profit!

Racing Profit & Loss

DatePoints

May

-7

April

-34

March

-15

February

19

January

17

December

-5

November

31

October

47

September

37

2014

410

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