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Sunday 3rd May

Rein Man / Sunday 3rd May 2015 / 08:51

Newmarket 13:50

The opening handicap at Newmarket sees Gothic with a serious chance. Rain and a step up in trip should really mean he goes off favourite for this and his ability to race prominently could come in handy. Watersmeet is a likely pace angle and he could have things his own way up top. That said, I want to give Montaly a chance too, though he will likely attempt to come from off that pace. He won first up last term and his best runs have come away from a fast surface. Easier ground when last seen will help and he's more closely matched with the likes of Gothic and Astronereus than his price suggests. A gelding operation adds to the interest on this return. Fire Fighting should be thereabouts whilst Highland Castle is one to keep an eye on as he looks well treated but may just need this.

Gothic - 1pt e/w @ 6/1

Montaly - 1pt e/w @ 12/1

Newmarket 15:00

The 6 furlong handicap has so many tempting runners and I could back 5 or 6. First up Go Far (look out for him going up here on every start this term, the cliff looms), who was disappointing back on turf last time but was completely drawn out of it. He is eased another couple of pounds, now 6lb lower than when staying on and unlucky in the Portland. Rain would be a concern but he's too big and I like that he will get the chance to be prominent here. There's not a huge amount of pace on for a field of this size but Hillbillyboy should take them up the centre whilst Shore Step will come up the stand side rail. I expect that to be the place to be and Go Far is well drawn. So too is Secretinthepark and Robert Cowell may well be able to improve him beyond this mark, just as he has last year's winner. Gamesome is another with a very attractive profile but short enough in a hot handicap and the same could be said for the unreliable but undoubtedly well treated Zanetto, fresh from a wind op. It's the price about Run With Pride that makes him too tempting to ignore and I fancy he'll go well. The negatives: he may not be ideally drawn and will need strength in numbers to come down the middle. He could also be a better horse on the all weather given recent performances. However, if he is just an improved horse this term then he comes here in super form and the rain will have done no harm given past performances on the turf. The yard are 0-27 this month but the horses have been knocking on the door and this lightly raced sort will have a race fitness edge on others.

Go Far - 1pt e/w @ 50/1

Run With Pride - 1pt e/w @ 22/1

Newmarket 15:40

We saw the best of last year's juvenile colts take the 2000 Guineas and the fillies' juvenile form is stronger if anything. Tiggy Wiggy ties with Cursory Glance who beat Found in a rip roaring Moyglare which has produced 4 subsequent Group winners. Beat that. But Found isn't here and, as a result, Lucida is justifiably favourite. I thought Jellicle Ball ran a superb trial for this in the Fred Darling and beat Tiggy Wiggy hands down so she must be on the shortlist. And that brings us to Tiggy Wiggy, who could help shape this. Did she see out 7 last time? It's hard to tell but she was keen before easing up a touch when beaten and it's almost certain she is most effective as a sprinter. She may not be the 2 year old she was at 3 either. 2 things are niggling away though. 1, if she comes on for that reappearance as much as stable companion Ivawood did then she's overpriced. 2, they will surely go back to front running tactics on her and that has to make her of interest. That is her strength and will probably give her more chance of seeing out the trip as she'll not be fighting restraint. This is an extra furlong from last time and I honestly don't think she'll see it out but her strength is taking early lengths out of fields and she could have some of these quite a way behind if allowed to bowl along. Whether she can hang on is another matter but she is clear on ratings and so classy that her price is just too tempting, especially now it looks that little more open without a very solid ante post favourite. I've also got to stick with a filly I've liked for this since last term in Malabar, and she will need them to go quick. Redstart and Terror should help with that and we could end up with 1 group here given just 14 runners. She would have been closer with an extra furlong in the Moyglare and closer still over this trip in the Marcel Boussac but for a terrible run. Legatissimo looks every bit an Oaks filly and worth an ante post play in that prior to a likely staying on effort this afternoon.

Malabar - 1pt e/w @ 10/1

Tiggy Wiggy - 1pt e/w @ 20/1

Saturday 2nd May

Rein Man / Friday 1st May 2015 / 17:16

Newmarket 14:00

The opening handicap on Guineas day sees 2 previous Cambridgeshire winners line up and, of them, Educate looks a threat off this mark. He's been disappointing though, might not get the pace he needs, and I'd rather be a Halation backer. He had to switch over to the other side of the track at Doncaster to track the field and travelled like the best horse in the race. He must have gone favourite in running before his effort petered out for 1 of 2 reasons. Either the trip stretched him or he didn't let himself down fully on slightly dead ground. If the former then he'll be in trouble here but the way he was seeing out 8.5 at Wolves suggests the trip is fine. This quicker surface should be more to his liking and Andrea Atzeni appears to get on well with him. The hood is worth a go too.

Halation - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Newmarket 15:45

Telescope should win and Kingsgate Native doesn't have Sole Power to bump into in the sprint but I'll save another bet on the Newmarket card for the Guineas. Whilst I'm not sure the best of the juvenile colt form is as rock solid as that of the fillies, Gleneagles is still the one to beat and I'm struggling to pick holes in his chances. The main trials this term may not throw up the winner of this but Intilaaq is very interesting after that scintillating Newbury run. It's a step up but the clock and his attitude suggest it's one he can make. As far as a horse we haven't seen in a race as a 3 year old yet, Dutch Connection always looked a juvenile that would come into his own this year. A long, rangy type last term, he looked to have filled out his frame in a recent racecourse gallop and yard vibes are good. He certainly looked to want a mile last year and did get a Dante entry at the start of the season so a strongly run mile, which is very likely, will suit. Home Of The Brave will likely hit the near side rail whilst Kool Kompany could take them up the middle and Dutch Connection is well drawn to track the strongest of the pace. His best performance last term came when covered up of a hot pace and that's his best chance here. He has lengths to find with the favourite

Dutch Connection - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Punchestown 17:00

As far as Punchestown goes, 2 catch the eye. I'm off to a wedding so don't have time for reasons but think Gallant Oscar must have a great chance in the 3 mile 1 chase. He was entered in the 3 mile 6 race but this looks the right choice.

Gallant Oscar - 1pt @ 7/1Won 7pt

Punchestown 15:10

In the one over further, Rogue Angel is worth one more chance. He saves his best form for the track and is one of the few of last year's Cheltenham 4-milers yet to score since.

Rogue Angel - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Friday 1st May

Rein Man / Thursday 30th April 2015 / 20:29

Punchestown 16:20

Looking forward to an excellent novice handicap at Punchestown this afternoon, currently 7/1 the field. I like the favourite who’s form has been advertised but there are other, equally likeable sorts at bigger prices. First up Shanahan’s Turn must go up off 143. Having disappointed in 2 hot Irish Novice Grade 1’s, the first of which he was sent off 9/2 rated 148, the hope is a return to this track will spark improvement. 3 miles on testing ground may have been too far in the Topaz whilst his trainer was in no form come Flogas time, though he’s not exactly flying now. This looks his trip though and he could make 12/1 look very silly with conditions to suit. If Blood Cotil wins I’ll go ballistic but the fact Ruby goes elsewhere just worries me, as does the trip, and I’m going for Wuff instead. Tom George knows how to win here and his horse is nice and fresh. He’ll want a clip but the ground looks more suitable than last time and there should be plenty of scope off his mark of 130, with 14/1 generous enough.

Shanahans Turn - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Wuff - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Thursday 30th April

Rein Man / Thursday 30th April 2015 / 10:37

Punchestown 16:15

Dick Dundee and Pires may have their best days behind them but none of the younger and potentially more progressive horses are jumping off the page for the 2 mile handicap chase at Punchestown. Dick Dundee showed he’s in good form at Cheltenham and can out run his price but it’s Pires who looks the one to side with at 22/1. He’s a different hors on a half decent surface but since running 2nd in October off 5lb higher, he hasn’t had anything like his conditions. Hopefully they’ll get no more rain today as he’s a well treated horse who looks better going this way round and he has been placed here on 1 of 2 starts (3lb higher) on unsuitably heavy ground.

Pires - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

Punchestown 18:05

The 3 mile handicap hurdle is full of exciting youngsters and that looks the way to go. Pleasant Company is the obvious one but not of any interest at 7/2. Stable companion Sambremont is more appealing off 123 up in trip on better ground. I like Mine Now too but his form, and that of Jimmy Two Tims, means Roll It Out is a must back at 10/1. He was keeping on last time behind the 2 aforementioned subsequent winners and is up 2lb. Luke Dempsey is well worth that claim and his mount should really appreciate the step up to 3 miles.

Roll It Out - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Wednesday 29th April

Rein Man / Tuesday 28th April 2015 / 20:22

Ascot 15:30

Forever Now could end up looking a big price for the Sagaro Stakes today, at least he should give a better account of himself than last time. Mizzou is another that could go close at a similar price. It’s Stomachion though who looks the interesting one at 16/1 for a top team, and it’s fascinating that they are pitching him in this company when he could still be feasibly treated handicap wise. He might need it and he could probably do with some rain falling but he’s unexposed at the trip and I fancy it will really suit him.

Stomachion - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Punchestown 16:55

Tempted to go back to the well with No More Heroes, who should be favourite. That was a real war of attrition last time though and who knows what it will have taken out of him. With the rain in the air I’m inclined to take a chance on Fine Article who looks a proper stayer and one who should get the test he needs. He probably wanted to be winning his last start in handicap company to be threatening for this but he went close and he may well have beaten Roi Des Francs when the pair met in Graded company but for an error at the last. Of course that still leaves him with something to find against the principals but this should suit him and I’m not sure he’s as far off this company as 33/1 suggests. He hasn't always been running for a trainer in tip top form this term either but the yard are going nicely now.

Fine Article - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Non Runner

Punchestown 18:40

The 2 mile 4 handicap chase has a couple of previous winners lining up that look fairly treated. I like plenty but best of the bunch is King Vuvuzela at 20/1. He’s been largely disappointing this term but likes it here and was staying on in this last year off 3lb higher. He was tried in blinkers last time but, given the money he was challenging for last term, I’m not sure connections were all guns blazing for that race and he’s looking pretty handily treated now. You Must Know Me looks to have been prepped for this too and has obvious claims but the comment from the trainer about him being better the other way round is a lingering worry.

King Vuvuzela - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Lost -2pt

Ericht was 9/1 for the novice contest last year and ran out of puff off 10b higher. He’s a good horse though, better than a mark of 129 if you go back far enough. He’s shaped well a couple of times at Cheltenham in recent runs (and terribly a few times too) but I think this is his trip and he’s worth another go away from that track at 25/1.

Ericht - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Lost -2pt

Tuesday 28th April 2015

Rein Man / Monday 27th April 2015 / 19:47

Punchestown 16:55

I'd written a tip for Felix Yonger but, in truth, am struggling to split he and Mallowney. The fact that they are the choices for this Grade 1 shows just how trappy it is and, for all taking on the favourite looks a sensible option, there's nothing to have absolute faith in. What the ground does today will be interesting as they've had some rain and will have some more. The sole bets come from the 2 mile handicap hurdle and Henry Higgins looks a lovely prospect on handicap debut. That's why he's 11/1 though and I was hoping he'd be bigger. This will be different to anything he's faced and he's still a touch too inexperienced to be siding with in such an open race. Cue a romp! Lucky Bridle has the hood back on after it was left of at Fairyhouse. More than that though, he was last turning in in a race where nothing got into it and he can be given another go here at 25/1. Still travelling when coming down 2 out in the County (hooded), he's a couple of pounds lower and overpriced.

Lucky Bridle - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

I put Jebril up for the Ladbroke back in December and got excited 2 out. Just a couple of lengths off the lead, he finished a tired horse on ground more testing than ideal but he did finish best of those from the rear. He had to do a bit of racing turning in to get to the finishers and that probably did for his place chances off what was a searching gallop. He's been eased 4lb since having failed to give weight on heavy ground at Plumpton and then found himself a little far back last time where a mistake at the last cost him any chance of placing. He is better than that though and, for all he may be playing for places again here, his novice form makes him look very well treated. The forecast is a concern but he's not out of this at 40/1.

Jebril - 1pt e/w @ 40/1Placed 9pt

Monday 27th April

Rein Man / Monday 27th April 2015 / 12:04

Kempton 15:20

Keen on Voyageofdiscovery today at Kempton but he's not been helped by his draw. He was in a similar position last time at a much bigger price and, for all he should come on for that effort, 9/2 isn't jumping off the page. At least we should get a decent test here with Early Morning and Tizlove Regardless taking them along and, if one or both of Squire and Biotic come over from wider, we could get a race set up for the closers. That would suit Embankment, who will win one day and he's one to take a decent price about. It's Ancient Greece though who, also entirely unpredictable, looks to have a better chance than 25/1 would suggest. If the tongue-tie was on I'd be really confident of a better show than last time but it's not, and that's a concern. He can lose ground at the start but is drawn 1 so won't be as inconvenienced by a sluggish beginning as he would from wider. He gets further so a strong pace would help and, given the winner made all last time, I thought he shaped with a little promise. That should have brought him on and he has run well here with the tongue tie off, again slowly away before staying on behind a well treated favourite.

Ancient Greece - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Sunday 26th April

Rein Man / Sunday 26th April 2015 / 08:40

Wetherby 16:40

Wetherby holds its first flat meeting today and it should really be a watching brief but the 5 furlong handicap has one at a price worth siding with. Hopes N Dreams is a mare now 8lb below her last handicap win. Her mark has dropped as a result of some all weather shows, disappointing in the main, but she's a better mare on the turf and her last run away from synthetics saw her mid division in Listed company at Newmarket at the end of last season. She was a keeping on 6th over the minimum on her last handicap start on turf off 8lb higher in a better race than this and has a race fitness edge over some of these. She does like to dominate but will perhaps not be able to here. She doesn't have to though and, at this trip, given she's done much of her winning at 6, she'll hopefully not give everything up top as there is plenty of pace on and she'll see this out better than some if strongly run. Chance at 12/1.

Hopes N Dreams - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Saturday 25th April

Rein Man / Friday 24th April 2015 / 18:04

Ripon 13:45

Gabrial's King looks a little overpriced for the C4 opener. The yard won this last year with a new recruit for that season and improved him around 20lb, so a similar effort this term with Gabrial's King would see him look very well treated here on reappearance. He's won fresh before too and should have this run to suit, tucked in off a likely good gallop. The less rain the better but Ripon should avoid much of it and he's worth a bet at 8/1 for a yard going well and a very likeable claimer up top.

Gabrials King - 1pt e/w @ 8/1Placed 0.6pt

Sandown 14:00

I'm a forgiving fool and many would give up on Baron Alco, probably sensibly. Yet there's no way he's a 120 horse and he's not getting a run here without carrying some money at 14/1. He had a rough ride at Cheltenham but last time was just terrible and I'm not aware of obvious excuses. He likes it here though and the handicapper has given him a proper chance if on song. Big if mind.

Baron Alco - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Haydock 14:20

Last year's Haydock handicap was run at a decent pace and plenty flew from the back, though still didn't quite get there in some cases. I'm not sure we'll see such a hot pace this time around though and Prince Of Johanne has a real chance if getting handy from stall 1. He won fresh here a few year's back, the only time Franny Norton has ridden him before, and I fancy he'll place at 14/1.

Prince Of Johanne - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

I can't give up on Georgian Bay though (this forgiving nature can be very costly), who was staying on with too much to do last time at Kempton. A turf maiden, he ran well in the Buckingham Palace last year off 8lb higher and is looking very well treated. He didn't travel that well last time but was keeping on before ending up short of room on the opposite side to where the 1st and 2nd made their finishing efforts. A winner in a first time visor last term, blinkers might just liven him up today. Some rain wouldn't go amiss to take the rattle out of the ground and hopefully he doesn't get too far back at 12/1.

Georgian Bay - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Sandown 15:15

Vibrato Valtat is the 2nd lowest rated in the field for the Celebration Chase but it's not a field to go crazy about. Somersby is probably the most consistent of the bunch and Special Tiara stringing them along could find a few out. I just think the selection is too big a price. He's not the same at Cheltenham and he ran well at Aintree over a trip that stretches him. He wants a well run 2, which he'll get, and hopefully the rain turns the ground near soft. Wishful thinking but well worth a go at 9/1.

Vibrato Valtat - 1pt e/w @ 9/1Lost -2pt

Sandown 15:50

The feature handicap has a shorltist as long as my arm but a few prices that ping. If it stays good ground I fancy Paint The Clouds will win but, after yesterday, good looks unlikely. Unioniste hosed up here over 3 miles a few starts back before running 3rd behind the Gold Cup winner who he was giving 5lb. He came down at the 5th in the National and looks a good bet here at 14/1. Sam Twiston-Davies chooses him and I fancy he'll improve for the extra trip, though he'll need to off this mark

Unioniste - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Just A Par is very tempting too and it would be fitting for the champion trainer and conditional to team up and win this. He's actually a touch shorter than ideal though, especially in comparison to Guess Again, who looked to be going really well before coming down in the Kim Muir. That was his Tony Martin debut after a progressive time of it for David Pipe, culminating in a staying on effort over too short a trip off this mark at Market Rasen. He scrapes in at the bottom of the weights and Paul Townend can hopefully cap off a fine season on top at a heallthy 18/1.

Guess Again - 1pt e/w @ 18/1Lost -2pt

Friday 24th April

Rein Man / Thursday 23rd April 2015 / 19:01

Sandown 13:30

Tight card at Sandown and not many chunky prices to get stuck into but I fancy the opener is worth a play. Bundles who will leave current marks behind them and Yeenaan, Spring Offensive and Purple Rock, who holds a Derby entry, should look back on this race from loftier positions. I'm most taken with the former though who is biggest of the lot at 5/1 and is one of a few in this with the benefit of a run. A touch unlucky last time, that should have set him up nicely for this return to turf and, though his wins have come with cut underfoot, today's ground shouldn't pose a problem.

Yeenaan - 1pt @ 5/1Lost -1pt

Sandown 16:45

Last race on the Sandown card is another 3 year old handicap and, again, it's tough to know where we stand with some of these. 5 of the 10 are last time out maiden winners making their handicap debut so plumping for a more experienced handicapper might not be wise but I still think Rotherwick could have something in hand from this mark. He was ridden prominently last time and hopefully similar tactics will be employed today as, with not much pace on, getting handy could be a bonus. I'm not certain he'll appreciate the step up to 10 but, equally, he has a turn of foot if they don't go that quick and he looks overpriced at 16/1 against an incredibly short favourite.

Rotherwick - 0.5pt e/w @ 16/1Placed 1.1pt

Wednesday 22nd April

Rein Man / Tuesday 21st April 2015 / 18:04

Epsom 15:55

Sennockian Star did us a favour in this race last year and he's back, and boy we need a favour. He's now off 1lb higher and needs to return to form after bombing out last time. He was drawn out of it at Pontefract though and will be much better suited by stall 2 today. Quick ground at Epsom often means those held up struggle to get into it. Imshivalla should give him something to aim at and he'll run better than 14/1. In truth he perhaps wouldn't want it too quick but he's worth supporting either way. Hopefully What About Carlo will complete the forecast.

Sennockian Star - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Catterick 15:10

Over at Catterick, Bright Applause is back over a course and distance he's been successful at in the past and should come on for the effort last time. He's won fresh in the past but will not have enjoyed the ground a few weeks ago given he's done all his winning on quick. He'll get a nice pace to track and tends to go best in the early part of the season. It is 2 years since his last win but he's 7lb lower than for that success and I fancy he'll go better than a 12/1 shot.

Bright Applause - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Placed 1.4pt

Tuesday 21st April

Rein Man / Monday 20th April 2015 / 22:14

Ludlow 14:40

Not racing to go crazy about this afternoon but Ludlow does host a fairly competitive card and the staying chase has a few that catch the eye. King Massini is back at a course he likes and will surely go close, for all he's not one to have absolute faith in. Best treated of the bunch could be Kilbree Kid but he's not exactly match fit after a 6 month break and that's slightly putting me off, as is the price about Aerial. I like Cloudy Bob at 16/1, comfortably the biggest price he's been in some time and he's pretty consistent right handed. He must go this way so we can excuse last time and this is a drop in class from the time before that where I thought he shaped for another go at 3 miles. He might want a little more cut but he's worth a go at the trip on decent ground and he's back to just a pound above his last win.

Cloudy Bob - 1pt e/w @ 16/1Lost -2pt

Monday 20th April

Rein Man / Monday 20th April 2015 / 10:56

Pontefract 15:20

The Pontefract feature sees Lexington Abbey back after an excellent run last time and this quicker surface should suit. He's very likely a sprinter going places. Equally though, I'm very taken by the prices of a few of these. Barkston Ash is massive given he could have the run of things and he's back to a handy mark. Money Team looks a better horse on turf and this is his first start on it in 6 months or so off a mark that may not be beyond him. Biggest of the lot though is Go Far who was hugely progressive last term. His last turf start came in the Ayr gold Cup when drawn mid div and racing outside of the stands side group giving him little chance. Prior to that though he was unlucky in a very good Portland finishing just over 3 lengths behind Muthmir and he's now 4lb lower. He held his form in 2 all weather starts since but the recent 2 are a worry. The first in a Listed contest, where actually he probably ran to his mark, and the latest when reported to have moved poorly. He really is no 22/1 shot though on ground that suits. His draw is clearly not ideal but there's not much pace on and he's often done well from a prominent position. Hopefully they try and get handy but, either way, he's never outsider of this field.

Go Far - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

Sunday 19th April

Rein Man / Sunday 19th April 2015 / 09:10

Wincanton 14.40

Not mad about anything today, which given current form means steer clear. I do think Good Value represents just the opposite at Wincanton though in a race where a couple are in better form. The Pipe horse looks very feasibly treated based upon his flat form and should relish the return to better ground but wow he's short at 11/8 given he's been beaten 50 lengths or more in 4 starts over obstacles. He'll probably go off far shorter and win eased down but he's not for me. I like Frozen Over in the race who came on for a wind op last time and was better value than the winning margin. Then there's course and distance winner Cruise In Style, 2lb out of the handicap but still 2lb below that win here a few season's back and I thought she ran quite well last time over fences back from a 6 month break. Entitled to come on for it, she went well with cheekpieces returned, which she's won in before and they're retained today. 14/1 (was as big as 20) looks a touch generous.

Cruise In Style - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Placed 1.8pt

Saturday 18th April

Rein Man / Friday 17th April 2015 / 22:23

Newbury 14.15

Tiggy Wiggy will win if she stays 6 and a half today, let alone 7. She has a fascinating season ahead but her pedigree mixed with what she did last term with her charge of the light brigade style mean I'm happy to sit back and watch with no money on her. I do think Air Of Mystery is worth a nibble at 50/1 though. She won here maiden in fine style over 5 and a half on quick before being pitched in deep in a Group 3 over 5 on soft. She came up short but shaped for further, as her pedigree suggests, and the first few raced up the middle for most of the contest and up with the pace. She came from much further back and I think she'll outrun her price up at 7 back on this sounder surface.

Air Of Mystery - 0.5pt e/w @ 50/1Lost -1pt

Newbury 14.50

It's a belting Greenham and what we lack in Frankel/Kingman superstar quality, we make up for with class in numbers. It would be no surprise to see Ivawood bounce back but he didn't look desperate to go up in trip when beaten last time and this could be run at a decent clip. There are, favourite included, a fair few keen going sorts and we should see a truly run race. I like Flaming Spear very much and hope he is top class. However, how a Group 1 winner, only 1 of 2 in the race, trained by O'Brien, ridden by Moore is 9/1 is beyond me. Kool Kompany, whilst he had the run of the Craven, has franked both bits of aforementioned Group 1 form and Dick Whittington is pick of the prices. He had his excuses at Ascot, coming up the middle up with a strong pace and looking outstayed. Connections said as much but he looked like a return to 7 would suit last time where he seemingly outstayed Kool Kompany and on softer ground than ideal. Ryan Moore is clearly a positive and he'll beat a good few ahead of him in the market.

Dick Whittington - 1pt e/w @ 9/1Lost -2pt

Newbury 15.25

Ayaar will be very popular at Newbury and rightly so but 12/1 is as short as you'd want. He promised so much last term but excuses were thin on the ground last time out and I'm not sure about the price. I'm sure about that of Santefisio though who is 2 from 2 here. He has a race like this in him and his mark has eased very nicely after a winter on synthetics. He's not out of form as such and the return to a big field handicap could be just what he needs at 33/1.

Santefisio - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Placed 7.25pt

I like Secret Art and Dream Spirit too and the former goes up for this return to turf at 25/1. Another that will be fit from his all weather exploits, he shows up here off 3lb lower than his last turf handicap start when placed and has Callum Shephard taking off another 7, a jockey 3-11 this term. I'm not sure how they'll ride him but there's not bundles of pace on and he could be one that sets it.

Secret Art - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt

Ayr 14.35

Not sure about I Shot The Sheriff so will leave alone, he's very short in somewhat unknown conditions and a very hot race. As a result, Calipto looks big and I can see him winning this. Both he and Sign Of A Victory have disappointed recently though, perhaps with excuses, and form is a question mark. Sea Lord comes here in decent nick and looks feasibly treated, so too Cinders And Ashes and he's the price that really leaps off the page. A Supreme winner, he rocks up off 140 having shown he was back in some sort of form when outpaced but keeping on at Haydock. He probably wants more of a test than that and he'll want pace to aim at here, which doesn't look certain. He has a real chance off that mark though and, 14/1 last time when carried out early, I'm not sure he'll be as big as 20/1 come off time.

Cinders And Ashes - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Lost -2pt

Ayr 15.45

There are plenty on the long list but main fancy for the Scottish National is Sego Success at 14/1. He looked a staying chaser on the up pre Cheltenham and I fancied him in the 4 miler. He didn't get the quietest run throughout that day but still looked thereabouts before a costly error 2 out. He's been dropped a couple of pounds as a result and 141 could well be within him. He's a good ground winner and he has the Godsmejudge sort of profile, with whom this stable won the race 2 years back.

Sego Success - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Friday 17th April

Rein Man / Friday 17th April 2015 / 06:18

Newbury 15:25

Just the one today and it comes from Newbury. The 3 year old 7 furlong handicap has a few exciting prospects but best treated of the lot looks to be Capel Path and I'm surprised he's not favourite. 4/1 would honestly be tempting so 6/1 looks pretty generous. He was a staying on 8 length 8th in a good maiden on debut and followed up by finishing 3rd behind a Derby entrant in another good looking race. He won a modest race last time but 83 looks lenient and this is his ground/trip. There are some unknowns so he's not to go crazy with but I'd be very surprised if he doesn't leave this mark behind him this term. Hopefully that starts this afternoon. Vesnina is very much 2nd choice and could go well but she might struggle to give 6lb to the selection.

Capel Path - 1pt @ 6/1Lost -1pt

Thursday 16th April

Rein Man / Thursday 16th April 2015 / 10:02

Newmarket 15:30

The fact that Nafaqa isn't clear favourite for the Craven highlights he probably isn't one to have absolute faith in. His form is clearly the best going but, for all I'd have him a little shorter, he's not really a play. The Abernant is worth a dabble and Lucky Kristale is potentially underestimated by a rating of 103 back over a sprint trip. A course and distance winner, she never looked as though a mile suited in 2 runs last term before perhaps even finding 7 a little far in September. She still has a bit to find here even with that 3lb allowance but 12/1 looks generous enough if she's the force of old back over 6.

Lucky Kristale - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -2pt

Cheltenham 15:15

The mares' hurdle at Cheltenham has a couple of Hendo hotpots and Broxbourne could easily leave a rating of 127 well behind her. There are a couple that look big though, particularly Bonne Fee and Kilronan High who could well be ahead of their marks. We haven't seen the former for a while, not necessarily a bad thing, and she'll love the ground. The latter went off 20/1 for the Mares' Final at Newbury and I was tempted that day. She was carrying a fair bit of weight though, 11-6, in a race where statistically you don't want more than 11. This is different though and she's been eased a couple of pounds for that run. She'd have been 9th but for falling at the last but she did race closer to the pace than the first four or five home and they also came a different side up the straight so she can be marked up a touch. The tongue tie goes on and 33/1 is bigger than it should be.

Kilronan High - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Lost -2pt

Cheltenham 17:00

Benbane Head could be tough to pass if allowed a lead in the next but I'm not sure he's well treated. Later on the card, Kingsmere is interesting back in the race he won last year off 7lb lower and he still has scope off this mark. One more play comes in the form of Teak, too tempting at 10/1 with the cheekpieces back on. Flat or jumps, he just runs better with the headgear applied and he gets his ground this afternoon. He's made an ok impression in 2 starts over fences, the first better than the latest, but he's well treated on his hurdles form and has potential over the bigger obstacles. I'm not convinced he loves it here but he's worth chancing at double figures.

Teak - 1pt e/w @ 10/1Lost -2pt

Wednesday 15th April

Rein Man / Wednesday 15th April 2015 / 06:51

Newmarket 16.05

Quite like Muraaqaba in the Nell Gwyn. She is a proven Group performer and I fancy her 2nd to Agnes Stewart could turn out to look very handy. Eddie Lynam's filly was beaten (2nd) in the G1 Fillies' Mile at the end of last term but on softer ground than ideal and she's clearly very smart. Muraaqaba should appreciate the drop in trip from last time, though she'll very likely get a mile as the season wears on, and she's won on good to firm before so drying ground will hold no concerns. Clearly there are a few 'could be anythings' and I like Terror very much, who boasts Tiggy Wiggy form. They should go a decent clip here though and that worries me a touch at the trip for Terror. It will suit the selection though and she's well drawn, sandwiched between the 2 most likely pace angles at 7/1.

Muraaqaba - 1pt @ 7/1Lost -1pt

Newmarket 17.40

The final race on the card has a few that look really handily treated. Spiriting is obvious given what was paid for him and the promise of his 2nd start. He was bogged down in the ground either side of that and much better can be expected here, but he is 3/1. I prefer Magical Memory who looks very well treated on the form of his 2nd to Ivawood. Goodwood was disappointing last time but it's easy to forgive a poor run there. Surewecan looks too big at 14/1 though for a yard going well. Half a length 2nd to Middle Park winner (where Ivawood was 2nd) Charming Thought, he was rated as high as 99 as a juvenile. Whilst that perhaps flattered him, 93 looks very feasible this afternoon. That rating is off the back of 2 poor runs in Dubai, where his trainer has a terrible recent record, and a fair effort on the all weather over a mile, which surely stretches him. A strongly run 6 looks likely and should suit with a couple of bits of pace to track on his inside.

Surewecan - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt

Cheltenham 14.40

Love this time of year, with the mix of codes, and Cheltenham boasts a typically open card. Golden Chieftain is back, time to leave alone. Shakalakaboomboom wasn't in this year's National but this looks much more his thing. He likes the track and is just so well treated that he has to go up at 8/1. He was beaten under 10 lengths last time over an inadequate trip, always looking as though things were happening a bit quickly, and has been eased a further 3lb. He's risky but has conditions to suit and I think he'll go well.

Shakalakaboomboom - 1pt e/w @ 8/1Lost -2pt

Cheltenham 15.15

Keltus is very tempting in the next, back over hurdles and looking well treated based upon that Fred Winter run, but I'd rather have Ozzy Thomas at 12/1. He looks to be crying out for further and gets it today having been campaigned largely over 2 miles. Largely at Towecester too where he has his best form but he's worth a go here up in class and he showed his need for good ground last time when winning over 2, strongest at the finish. The yard are going well and he looks handily weighted based on his Tea For Two form.

Ozzy Thomas - 1pt e/w @ 12/1Placed 1.4pt

Tuesday 14th April

Rein Man / Tuesday 14th April 2015 / 06:11

Exeter 15:00

Many Clouds eh? Wow, wasn't even on the long list. Great for the big race to be won by a proven Graded horse carrying a big weight though, Mr Smith will be very happy and rightly so. Exeter today and I'm tempted to go back in on Viking Blond but wish it was blinkers on instead of cheekpieces. Buck's Bond is weighted to beat Allthekingshorses on Wincanton form but I fancy the latter on this really quick ground to come out on top here at Exeter. He has won here, beating Rocky Creek over hurdles (good race that too) and was 2nd in this race last year. It'll be even quicker today too and that should really suit with a jockey he seems to get on well with at 4/1.

Allthekingshorses - 1pt @ 7/2Lost -1pt

Exeter 15:35

I like Classical Art at 5/2 in the next and nearly put him up in a hot race a couple of starts back. He dead heated next time in a weakish contest but has gone up just 4lb and, though this is tougher, he should relish the surface today, the quickest he's encountered since winning at Windsor on the flat. The surface should really bring out the best in him and I fancy he's the class horse in this, feasibly treated too.

Classical Art - 1pt @ 5/2Lost -1pt

Grand National Update

Rein Man / Friday 10th April 2015 / 08:27

Grand National

One of the 2 ante post bets are still standing and I think Alvarado still looks a decent price. Fortunately we had Buddy Bolero at NRNB, not that my Betfair account knows that. I'm happy to have 4 on side for the big race so 3 are to follow for the day. First up is biggest of the lot in Wyck Hill at 66/1. Trends are a little tricky as far as this newer National goes but I think there is something in older horses, proven stamina and lower weights. They go quick over these less testing fences and, pretty obviously given it's a National, stamina doubts are not worth forgiving. Wyck Hill is all about stamina as he proved when winning the Eider last year. He came down in the same race this time around but that's no bad thing as his mark remains unchanged. The winner of the Sussex National and the Eider this year had fallen on their previous runs when fancied and, though that's a tenuous link, it does highlight that Wyck Hill, primed and clearly considered feasibly treated for the Eider, can be considered equally so for this. He's won on quick and he does have a Tom up top, which seems crucial. On a serious note I've been really impressed with Tom Cannon this term, especially where positive rides are concerned, and the booking is very much a positive.

Wyck Hill - 1pt e/w @ 66/1Lost -2pt

Tom Scudamore would have been a nice booking for the aforementioned but he is on Soll and, as one of the well-in crew, he shouldn't really go unbacked. A prominent racer, always something of a plus in this, he has been a different proposition this term for David Pipe and previous efforts in the race can be scratched from the record. He looked a far more settled sort in blinkers last time. There's a stat out there which says headgear is a negative in this and there might be something in that. Such a test in a big field may mean any underlying quirks and anything other than full sight all round the horse are negatives but this horse needs the blinkers and is undeniably well treated. The fact he won at Exeter with different headgear when taking plenty of fences with him and things going wrong at the start means that he can be marked up more than the handicapper gave him credit for and he's subsequently won off this mark in much better style with the new headgear. 22/1 looks fair enough.

Soll - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

I also like a couple of the Scottish National winners of the past couple of years, indeed the first and second from the race last year. Al Co showed up for much longer than Godsmejudge last time out over hurdles but, back over fences and over a more suitable trip off level weights, I fancy Alan King's runner should just have the edge. He loves good ground too and I think he'll play a hand. His credentials are pretty obvious and his poor run last time probably puts a little juice in his price at 22/1. I have backed Al Co, so too Portrait King at a price in a race where there's little shame in having a fair few on side. Best of luck.

Godsmejudge - 1pt e/w @ 22/1Lost -2pt

Grand National

Rein Man / Monday 23rd March 2015 / 14:10

Grand National

Last year's Grand National ante post bets were both placed at big prices and more of the same this year would be welcome, especially after the ante post Cheltenham carnage! It's a fascinating market this year due to Tony McCoy's retirement and the current and future price of his likely mount, Shutthefrontdoor. Whilst last year's Irish National winner has obvious claims and the price doesn't simply reflect headless heart string betting (McManus will have him on a horse with a favourite's chance, especially under the circumstances), he is still likely to go off a false price. The fact he was backed from 20/1 into now 8/1 ante post favourite upon McCoy announcement reflects just how much that factor affects the market and means there are always going to be attractive prices elsewhere about runners who may have been just as effectively plotted. There are 2 I want to back at this stage.

First up is a horse who may not show up and the NRNB is a must take. Fortunately he is available at biggest odds under these condions. Buddy Bolero may run in the Irish version, and some likely cut in the ground there would really suit him. Malcom Denmark has a few with Tony Martin entered in both races and I like the chances of Guess Again for both, though whether he'd get into the Grand National off a level 10 stone remains to be seen. No Secrets is another and they may just be the more likely runners at Fairyhouse, plus it's worth remembering Martin has a possible favourite in his armoury in Gallant Oscar. Either way we can't be certain who goes where but, focussing on the Aintree race, Buddy Bolero looks to have been handed a decent weight at 10-3, which will get him in near the bottom.

He is all about stamina and was sent off at 7/1 for the 4 miler at Cheltenham back in 2013, then rated 142. A winner on heavy ground at Chepstow back in February last year, I thought he'd be a Welsh National sort but he switched from Pipe to Martin (if ever there was a plot combo!) and started off over an inadequate trip at Limerick. A Pertemps qualifier was next, often used as a National sweetener, and he ran a cracker in the Kim Muir, keeping on on ground that will have been quick enough. That's the main worry for Aintree, and the reason they may go Irish, but it was his best run at Chelthenam in 3 attempts and tells us this mark is very feasible. The first time tongue tie also had a positive effect and will surely be retained. Why he's still available at 66/1 NRNB is a bit of a head scratcher and means he's a must bet.

Buddy Bolero NRNB - 1pt e/w @ 66/1Non Runner

As far as a definite intended runner goes, Alvarado looks an obvious choice carrying just 1lb more than when finishing a fine and staying on 4th 12 months ago. He has that modern National winner profile, double figure age, low weight and, whilst that's generalising a fair bit, he will be high on many lists come race day, a fair bit shorter than his current price. Lightly campaigned this year with both eyes on this, he might be ridden with a little more chance this time around. Much has been made of the ride given to him last year and, whilst those tactics seem to suit horse and jockey, the race often sees those mid division or further forward prevail. More luck is required in running from further back given field numbers but also the race can just get away from those at the back, especially given how quick they go now over these less demanding fences. It requires a mammoth staying performance as a result but not necessarily one form out back. I'm not sure last year's rain on the day was ideal for him either and his team are hitting fine form at the right time. He's a really solid option at a very attractive price of 33/1.

Alvarado - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Placed 7.25pt

Horse Racing Tips

Horse racing tips from our expert Rein Man. £10 on all tips in 2014 would have returned £4095 in profit!

Racing Profit & Loss

DatePoints

March

-15

February

19

January

17

December

-5

November

31

October

47

September

37

2014

410

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