Saturday 18th April
Tiggy Wiggy will win if she stays 6 and a half today, let alone 7. She has a fascinating season ahead but her pedigree mixed
with what she did last term with her charge of the light brigade style mean I'm happy to sit back and watch with no money
on her. I do think Air Of Mystery is worth a nibble at 50/1 though. She won here maiden in fine style over 5
and a half on quick before being pitched in deep in a Group 3 over 5 on soft. She came up short but shaped for further, as
her pedigree suggests, and the first few raced up the middle for most of the contest and up with the pace. She came from much
further back and I think she'll outrun her price up at 7 back on this sounder surface.
Air Of Mystery - 0.5pt e/w @ 50/1Lost -1pt
It's a belting Greenham and what we lack in Frankel/Kingman superstar quality, we make up for with class in numbers. It would
be no surprise to see Ivawood bounce back but he didn't look desperate to go up in trip when beaten last time and this could
be run at a decent clip. There are, favourite included, a fair few keen going sorts and we should see a truly run race. I
like Flaming Spear very much and hope he is top class. However, how a Group 1 winner, only 1 of 2 in the race, trained by
O'Brien, ridden by Moore is 9/1 is beyond me. Kool Kompany, whilst he had the run of the Craven, has franked both bits
of aforementioned Group 1 form and Dick Whittington is pick of the prices. He had his excuses at Ascot, coming up the
middle up with a strong pace and looking outstayed. Connections said as much but he looked like a return to 7 would suit last
time where he seemingly outstayed Kool Kompany and on softer ground than ideal. Ryan Moore is clearly a positive and he'll
beat a good few ahead of him in the market.
Dick Whittington - 1pt e/w @ 9/1Lost -2pt
Ayaar will be very popular at Newbury and rightly so but 12/1 is as short as you'd want. He promised so much last term but
excuses were thin on the ground last time out and I'm not sure about the price. I'm sure about that of Santefisio though
who is 2 from 2 here. He has a race like this in him and his mark has eased very nicely after a winter on synthetics. He's
not out of form as such and the return to a big field handicap could be just what he needs at 33/1.
Santefisio - 1pt e/w @ 33/1Placed 7.25pt
I like Secret Art and Dream Spirit too and the former goes up for this return to turf at 25/1. Another that
will be fit from his all weather exploits, he shows up here off 3lb lower than his last turf handicap start when placed and
has Callum Shephard taking off another 7, a jockey 3-11 this term. I'm not sure how they'll ride him but there's not bundles
of pace on and he could be one that sets it.
Secret Art - 1pt e/w @ 25/1Lost -2pt
Not sure about I Shot The Sheriff so will leave alone, he's very short in somewhat unknown conditions and a very hot race.
As a result, Calipto looks big and I can see him winning this. Both he and Sign Of A Victory have disappointed recently though,
perhaps with excuses, and form is a question mark. Sea Lord comes here in decent nick and looks feasibly treated, so too Cinders
And Ashes and he's the price that really leaps off the page. A Supreme winner, he rocks up off 140 having shown he was
back in some sort of form when outpaced but keeping on at Haydock. He probably wants more of a test than that and he'll want
pace to aim at here, which doesn't look certain. He has a real chance off that mark though and, 14/1 last time when carried
out early, I'm not sure he'll be as big as 20/1 come off time.
Cinders And Ashes - 1pt e/w @ 20/1Lost -2pt
There are plenty on the long list but main fancy for the Scottish National is Sego Success at 14/1. He looked
a staying chaser on the up pre Cheltenham and I fancied him in the 4 miler. He didn't get the quietest run throughout that
day but still looked thereabouts before a costly error 2 out. He's been dropped a couple of pounds as a result and 141 could
well be within him. He's a good ground winner and he has the Godsmejudge sort of profile, with whom this stable won the race
2 years back.
Sego Success - 1pt e/w @ 14/1Lost -2pt