QIPCO Champions Day Trends

We take a look at what the trends say since its creation in 2011.

QIPCO Champions Day Trends

British Champions Day has established itself as one of the iconic meetings in the Flat racing calendar since its inception in 2011. Boasting huge prize money and showcasing some of the best talent from across Europe, Saturday's six-race card is possibly the best to date.

However, with so many top-class horses going head-to-head - some at the end of long seasons, others fresh after breaks - it can prove tough to find winners on the card. We've looked back over the last five years to see if there are any trends that can point us in the right direction.


QIPCO Long Distance Cup

Past Winners
2011: Fame and Glory (IRE) 3/1
2012: Rite of passage (IRE) 8/1
2013: Royal Diamond (IRE) 20/1
2014: Forgotten Rules (IRE) 3/1
2015: Flying Officer (UK) 6/1

No favourite has won any of the last five renewals - Bad news for ORDER OF ST GEORGE.
Irish horses have a great record winning four of the last five - Good news for ORDER OF ST GEORGE and FORGOTTEN RULES.
The last two winners of the race had won last time out - Good news for SIMPLE VERSE, QUEST FOR MORE, LITIGANT and SHEIKHZAYEDROAD
Average winning odds: 8/1

QIPCO Champions Sprint Stakes
Past Winners
2011: Deacon Blues (UK) 5/2 fav
2012: Maarek (IRE) 5/1
2013: Slade Power (IRE) 7/1
2014: Gordon Lord Byron (IRE) 5/1J
2015: Muhaarar (UK) 5/2f

Favourites have won three of five renewals - Good news for QUIET REFLECTION
Only one of the last five winners were three-year-olds - Bad news for QUIET REFLECTION, SHALAA, DONJUAN TRIUMPHANT and MR LUPTON.
Two of the last five winners had won last time out - QUEIT REFLECTION, SHALAA, LIBRISA BREEZE, BRANDO and SIGNS OF BLESSING
Average winning odds: 22/5

QIPCO Champions Fillies and Mares Stakes
Past Winners
2011: Dancing Rain (UK) 6/1
2012: Sapphire (IRE) 5/2J
2013: Seal of Approval (UK) 16/1
2014: Madame Chiang (UK) 12/1
2015: Simple Verse (UK) 5/1

Only one favourite has won the last five - Bad news for SEVENTH HEAVEN
Four of the last five winners have been three-year-olds - Good news for ARCHITECTURE, PROMISING RUN, QUEEN'S TRUST and SEVENTH HEAVEN.
Of those three-year-old winners, only one ran in the Oaks that year - Bad news for SEVENTH HEAVEN and ARHITECTURE.
Of the last five winners, four had won their previous (completed) starts - Good news for SEVENTH HEAVEN, ZHUKOVA, JOURNEY, SPEEDY BOARDING and SIMPLE VERSE.
Average winning odds: 83/10

QIPCO Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Past Winners
2011: Frankel (UK) 4/11 fav
2012: Excelebration (IRE) 10/11 fav
2013: Olympic Glory (UK) 11/2
2014: Charm Spirit (FRA) 5/1
2015: Solow (FRA) 11/10 fav

Three of the last five favourites have won - Good news for MINDING
Three of the last five winners have been three-year-olds - Bad news for LIGHTNING SPEAR, HATHAL, MITCHUM SWAGGER, BRETON ROCK, ADAAY and BARCHAN.
Of the last five winners, four had won their previous - Good news for RIBCHESTER, AWTAAD, LIGHTNING SPEAR, HATHAL and BRETON ROCK.
Average winning odds: 5/2

QIPCO Champion Stakes
Past Winners
2011: Cirrus des Aigles (FRA) 12/1
2012: Frankel (UK) 2/11 fav
2013: Farhh (UK) 11/4
2014: Noble Mission (UK) 7/1
2015: Fascinating Rock (IRE) 10/1

Only one of the last five favourites has won - Bad news for ALMANZOR
All of the last five winners have been four or older - Bad news for ALMANZOR, MIDTERM and US ARMY RANGER.
Of the last five winners, three had won their previous - Good news for ALMANZOR and FOUND.
The last 14 Arc winners to race again that season were all beaten in their next start - Bad news for FOUND.
Average winning odds: 63/10

What The Numbers Say
32% of favourites have won (including Frankel twice)
32% winners were three year olds
40% trained in Ireland
12% in France
59/10 average price of a winner