After an excellent fight back from the home side in the second ODI shows that Bangladesh are not the minnows they once were. The decider, which will be played in Chittagong, is a ground which the Tigers will fancy themselves at having won eight of the last ten games to be completed at the venue. 250 has only been passed once here in the last five ODIs making it interesting to see how England’s explosive line up will change for the conditions.

The low scoring nature of this ground is usually the result of a turning decks and looking through the recent records here, you’ll see spinners have largely dominated the wickets column, so don’t be surprised to see England add Liam Dawson. If he plays, he’s an excellent value shout for top England bowler at 7/1, though Rashid at 10/3 also falls into the category. Nasir Hossain looks massively over priced as an off break spinner who will bowl his full allotment at 11/1 to be top Bangladesh bowler, making him my pick.

Sticking with a likely low scoring game, no player to score a 100 at 10/11, no first innings 100 at 2/5 and England’s opening partnership under 28.5 at 5/6 all look firm investments, especially the later where James Vince looks to be staring down the barrel of his international career.

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Dawson top England bowler - 0.5pt @ 7/1
Nasir Hossain top bang bowler - 1pt @ 11/1
No player to score a 100 - 2pt @ 1.83
No first innings 100 - 2pt @ 1.4
Englands opening partnership under 28.5 - 1pt @ 1.83