Gary Anderson v Adrian Lewis

Gary Anderson's indifferent form continues, comfortably beating protege Michael Smith 7-3 before losing to coincidentally Adrian Lewis in a semi-final then to 66th ranked Steve West in a third round over the weekend. Lewis' inconsistencies have also continued this year with his new darts, putting in an excellent 7-3 win over Peter Wright last week averaging 107.93 with 5 180s and a 58% checkout rate before beating van Gerwen and Anderson en-route to a final defeat to Wright. A day later it took eventual champion Stephen Bunting in a deciding leg to defeat Jackpot. However, Anderson has won 14 of the last 19 meetings with Lewis, and given their up-and-down form, it makes sense to avoid the match betting. Adrian's new darts seem to have him back to hitting maximums on a more regular basis and that looks the value here. In 60 legs he's hit 21 180s (0.35 per-leg), compared to Anderson's 13 in 52 legs (0.25 per-leg). Gary commented last week that he's not happy with his throw saying "I'm still not throwing right, I'm lobbing them a little and it's got me puzzled" and we can even keep the draw onside by backing Lewis draw-no-bet in the 180s at 5/6.
Adrian Lewis most 180s DNB - 1pt @ 5/6

James Wade v Robert Thornton

James Wade produced a typically efficient performance to defeat van Barneveld last week averaging over 100 with a checkout rate of 58%, although he had to survive four missed darts at a double from RVB for a draw. Barney actually beat him in the 3rd round of the Players Championship One over the weekend before another early defeat in the 2nd round a day later. Robert Thornton's awful form continued, suffering a whitewash to Phil Taylor averaging just 88.38 and only having three darts at a double. Over the weekend it was another 1st round defeat to Andy Jenkins, followed by deciding leg victories over Terry Temple and Ken MacNeil before falling in the 3rd round. This should be a comfortable victory for Wade but he doesn't possess the consistent scoring power to crush Thornton. Despite sitting 4th, Wade is 2nd bottom for legs lost (F38 - A38) and sits in the bottom half for both his average and checkout %. His extra 180 prowess looks an avenue worth exploiting however. He's hit 20 in 76 legs (0.26pl) compared to Thornton's 6 in 49 legs (0.12pl). Again we can keep the draw onside and still get an attractive price.
James Wade most 180s DNB - 1pt @ 4/5

Michael van Gerwen v Phil Taylor

Michael van Gerwen produced yet another world class performance averaging 113.47 in his 7-2 defeat of Dave Chisnall. He actually beat Taylor 6-2 over the weekend and fired in a nine dart finish making the final a day later. It now means MVG has won a phenomenal 33 of his last 35 matches. It also means that since 2015 he's won nine out of ten against the Power, including five out of six this year. After easily whitewashing Thornton last week, Taylor suffered a relatively poor weekend failing to qualify for the Gibraltar Darts Trophy losing 6-4 to Ross Smith and then 6-5 to Matt Clark in the 2nd Players Championship, as well as the MVG defeat. Van Gerwen is 8/13 to win but we can boost that to 5/4 by backing him to hit the most 180s as well. In their 37 TV legs between them this year, MVG leads the 180s 14-8 and is averaging a 180 every 0.43 legs compared to Taylor's 0.38 in the Premier League. In the 28 wins in the league so far, 20 of them the winner has also hit the most 180s (71%).
Michael van Gerwen to win & hit the most 180s - 1pt @ 5/4

Raymond van Barneveld v Dave Chisnall

Two players woefully out of form take on each other here. Just one win in five plays no wins in five. Van Barneveld lost 7-5 to Wade last week and was defeated in the 4th and 2nd rounds at the Players Championships over the weekend. Chisnall was pretty woeful despite not standing much of a chance v MVG - just a 93.03 average and only 2 from 8 on his doubles (25%). This was followed by 1st and 3rd round defeats in Barnsley at the weekend. With both players struggling for wins, it's to the side markets for value and Barney to finish over 97.5 looks a great bet. In the Premier League he's already checked out 161, 116, 153 and 100 and going further back, he's hit a 98+ finish in 15 of his last 18 TV matches (83%).
Raymond van Barneveld highest match checkout over 97.5 - 1pt @ 5/6

Gary Anderson v Peter Wright

Gary Anderson plays twice this week having missed the opening week with illness. For the 2nd week running Peter Wright didn't do a lot wrong in his defeat to Lewis, averaging 106.79 with 3 180s and a 50% checkout. Outside of the Premier League, he followed up making the final of the UK Open by winning the Players Championship One and only losing the 2nd one in a deciding leg of the semi-final to the eventual winner Bunting. Wright is clearly in the better form but looking at the head-to-head record Anderson has won four of the last five including both Premier League meetings. With not knowing which Anderson is going to show up, it seems sensible to again back the crowd pleasing Wright to cover a modest 99+ checkout. Despite switching darts at times, 10 of his TV 13 matches this year have seen this bet win.
Peter Wright highest match checkout over 98.5 - 1pt @ 5/6