Sunderland got their first win of the season last weekend to climb off the foot of the table and there is renewed hope that Sam Allardyce is the man to rescue the Black Cats. How much should we read into that result though? After all the game was level till Fabricio Coloccini harshly received his marching orders, they were then generally outplayed despite the man advantage, and they seemingly always win the derby.

Everton may only be 11th in the table but they have played all of last season’s top eight in their opening 10 matches and their defeats this season have come against the two Manchester clubs and Arsenal, so their form is decent. In the past two seasons they’ve won nine of 12 home games against bottom-six teams as they were ahead at half-time in six of the wins and five were won by more than one goal. Sunderland have won only three of their 24 away matches since the start of last season, though one of those was at Goodison. Worryingly though they’ve conceded 15 goals in their last six away games and neither do they look particularly dangerous going forward. Everton are a short price to win the game but they look one for the acca at 8/15 and we certainly wouldn’t put anyone off backing them on the Asian Handicap -1.0 at 17/20.

Everton’s loss at Arsenal last weekend could easily have seen double the three goals that it finished with but four of their last six matches have had at least three goals as have seven of their 12 home games against bottom-six teams in the past two seasons. With Phil Jagielka out injured Sunderland will hope they can get on the scoresheet as well and at 3/4 we’d prefer the Over 2.5 Goals to the ‘unders’. However, the Black Cats’ scoring threat isn’t consistent enough for us to get too excited about that and we prefer the Asian Handicap call in this one.

Recommendation: Everton Asian Handicap -1.0 - 1pt @ 17/20