Watford v Man City - Saturday 17:30, Sky Sports 1

Watford were 2-1 losers on Monday but they were playing with 10 men for the final half an hour and were only inches from taking the lead in the final minutes before conceding a late goal that should have been ruled out for offside. Still, a defeat to Spurs isn’t a disaster and they will justifiably feel they deserved more from that game.

Man City, meanwhile, couldn’t find a way through at Leicester and are three points off the top of the table as their away blues continue. They’ve now gone six games on the road without winning and have scored just twice in that run. However, they’ve won 12 of 19 trips to middle-third teams since 2013/14, with 10 wins by at least two clear goals, and they won their first meeting with Watford this season 2-0.

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Watford are proving very effective at this level but they’ve lost all six games against the current top six this season including four at home and while we wouldn’t get too excited about City’s price to win, given their current away form, their propensity for covering the handicap when they win means we’d give serious consideration to backing them to win by a few.

After their fairly negative start to the season Watford have now scored in 10 consecutive matches with Odion Ighalo up to 14 for the campaign and on a run of netting in each of their last six. This has all contributed to six of Watford’s last eight matches having at least three goals as they’ve also started to concede a few more and while City’s attack has been off form of late, 12 of their last 19 trips to middle-third teams have had at least three goals with eight seeing five or more strikes.

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Asian Handicap Man City -1.0 - 1pt @ 2.3