Aston Villa v Crystal Palace

Aston Villa are 1/50 to go down while Palace are chasing a European place and the away side looks decent value here. They’ve typically been a better side on the road since Alan Pardew took over with an away PPG of 2.06 compared to 1.29 at home, and proved that once again at the weekend with a Cup win at Southampton. Palace have won 11 of 17 away matches under Pardew and since the start of last season if we exclude their trips to the top seven last term or the current top seven this their record is a very impressive W11-D7-L1. Villa, in contrast, have picked up just five points from their last 19 games and have lost eight of their last 14 at home against top-half sides with only two wins, both of which came against teams that ultimately finished in the bottom half last term.
Asian Handicap Crystal Palace -0.25 - 1pt @ 2.15

Bournemouth v West Ham

West Ham’s return to winning ways has coincided with the return to fitness of Manuel Lanzini and Dimitri Payet. Lanzini is back on the treatment table but Payet should be fit enough to make a first start in over two months. They’ve lost just twice in 17 games and have conceded only three times in their current seven-game unbeaten streak. Bournemouth’s only defeat in their last eight matches came against the current leaders so their form is also decent although they’ve not scored in the last three and have won only twice at home this season. The Hammers have drawn their last three away matches but they have more options in attack now and should be good enough to get at least a point from this game. Furthermore, they’ve lost just five of 15 trips to bottom-half teams since the start of last season and look good value with the option of some cover on the draw.
West Ham Draw No Bet - 1pt @ 2.75