Keep the draw on side but Stoke are more than capable of picking up the three points.
Arsenal had their lead at the top of the table erased in midweek as they failed to match Leicester’s result and they now face one of their toughest trips of the season. Stoke have won this fixture in three of the past five seasons with draws in the other two games and last term they were 3-0 up by half-time.
The Britannia’s reputation as a tough place to visit has certainly remained true in recent times as Man Utd, Man City and Chelsea have all made pointless trips and they tend to be at their most dangerous against the best teams. With dangerous counter-attackers in the shape of Marko Arnautovic and Bojan that is perhaps not too surprising but one of the key parts of their attack will be missing after Xherdan Shaqiri strained his hamstring and is due to miss the next couple of weeks. Nevertheless their record here against top-six teams is W8-D6-L5 since 2013/14 and they will be confident of getting something from the game.
Arsenal showed some of their old frailties as they failed to see out their trip to Anfield and they’ve dropped a number of points on the road recently. Their only win in their last five away matches came at Aston Villa as they’ve lost at West Brom and Southampton and also drawn at Norwich. In terms of current standings Stoke can claim to be better than all those sides and particularly with their record in these types of matches they look a huge price at 4.4. It’s best to keep the draw on side but Stoke are more than capable of picking up the three points so we’ll take them on the Draw No Bet at 3.2.
The goals markets are also worth a punt as 16 of Arsenal’s last 25 road trips have had at least three strikes, as have 68% of their 22 trips to top-half teams since 2013/14. Furthermore, eight of Stoke’s last 12 home games against top-six sides have also had at least three goals while nine have seen both teams score and both bets look good value at 2.05 and 1.95 respectively.
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