Cambridge v Oxford

If Oxford’s players didn’t already have one eye on Wembley before their Good Friday clash with Stevenage, they probably do now. The club fulfilled its media obligations ahead of the JPT final last week, but now midfield linchpin John Lundstram will miss the showpiece event (depending on appeal) after seeing red for a rash challenge on Michael Tonge.

The Yellows did emerge with credit for their performance against Boro, dominating the play for most of the afternoon. But ultimately they dropped two points from a winning position and their exertions with a man down for 75 minutes might leave them emotionally spent at the Abbey Stadium, not to mention worrying about the prospect of further casualties.

Cambridge were comprehensively beaten at in-form Bristol Rovers, leaving Shaun Derry angered by the application of his players and an immediate reaction is to be expected here. The hosts have taken 13 of the last available 15 points on their own patch, so the 10/3 about them stretching that run with another maximum haul is more than acceptable.
Cambridge to win - 1pt @ 7/2

Leyton Orient v Hartlepool

Hartlepool have nudged closer and closer to safety by taking very few risks in recent weeks and they head to Brisbane Road having conceded just twice in five matches. Friday’s 1-0 success over Wimbledon brought a third successive clean sheet and it leaves them 11 points clear of the drop zone with two games in hand, but don’t expect the shackles to come off just yet.

Orient are keen clean sheet merchants under Kevin Nolan, shutting-out the opposition seven times in the last 12 matches, with seven of their last 11 matches finishing under 1.5 goals (including each of the last four). On those numbers alone, the 13/5 quote on this game failing to produce a second goal has standout appeal. My shot ratings make it no bigger than 6/4.

In addition, a speculative point on the 0-0 is also recommended. Pools have played out a goalless stalemate on their last two away trips. Orient represent a step up in class on Crawley and Newport but they have been found wanting for creativity when forced to chase games in recent weeks, and 10/1 is more than fair about Pools parking the bus with success.

Under 1.5 Goals - 1pt @ 13/5
No Goalscorer - 1pt @ 10/1

Plymouth v York

York are heading back to non-league - we know it, they know it, and this might be the moment where any lingering pretence is banished for good. The Minstermen were caught up in a dramatic 2-2 draw with Crawley on Good Friday but boss Jackie McNamara described their failure to come out on top as a massive opportunity wasted.

Plymouth have stuttered of late but might get a new lease of life now their focus is on hunting down third-placed Bristol Rovers, rather than trying to cling on with the Gas breathing down their necks, and a comfortable 2-0 win at Morecambe three days ago sets them up nicely. If Argyle establish a 2-0 lead with time on their side here, the visitors could crumble spectacularly.

Plymouth to Win 4-0 - 0.5pt @ 25/1
Plymouth to win 5-0 - 0.5pt @ 60/1