Melbourne City been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 10 home victories.
Melbourne City v Wellington Phoenix – Sunday 06:05, BT Sport 1
Wellington’s last match was postponed owing to the New Zealand earthquake last week, and after a much-welcomed break for a number of international players in the Phoenix squad, they travel to AAMI Park to play Melbourne City this weekend. They have had an inconsistent season so far, going W2-D0-L4, and Melbourne City will be looking to sweep them aside as they seek to keep the pressure on league leaders Sydney FC.
Melbourne City let a victory slip away at the death last week as they conceded a 90th minute own goal to allow Western Sydney to equalise, but this should be seen as an outlier in an otherwise impressive recent run, particularly at home. They’ve gone W11-D3-L2 at home in the league since this time last year, and as Nicolas Colazo returns to the squad to bolster the attack, they will expect to bombard a Wellington back line that has kept just one clean sheet in its last 10 away outings. Phoenix have looked poor in away matches against top-six teams, losing in six of their last 10 such fixtures, but Roy Krishna has been in fine fettle up top with four goals in his last three games, and they’ll fancy their chances of scoring.
However, Melbourne’s home record has us thinking that they’ll almost certainly come away with three points, and they’ve been ahead at half-time in eight of their last 10 home victories. With that in mind, we’re backing Melbourne City/Melbourne City at 2.3.