The hosts look a surprisingly big price to take all three points from this Yorkshire derby.
Huddersfield v Sheffield Wednesday - Sunday 12:00, Sky Sports 1
David Wagner has had his Huddersfield players training at midday every day this week in order to familiarise them with the kick-off time, which is a fine example of his attention to detail. Whether it actually makes any difference or not is anyone’s guess but while the players are buying into his ideas and he continues to win matches, no-one else is really in a position to argue.
Given how much Wagner has captured the imagination of the mainstream media, it’s a surprise to see the home win trading at 13/8 here. By my reckoning, based almost entirely on shot data, the Terriers should be no bigger than 13/10 - and their shot data isn’t nearly as good as their results might imply. An average supremacy of +0.32 goals isn’t obviously promotion material.
However, it’s markedly better than Wednesday’s supremacy figure of +0.13. The Owls are back up to a respectable ninth position, having climbed ten places since the last international break but they remain unconvincing on the road, despite breaking their duck at the last attempt with a midweek triumph at lowly Blackburn in late September.
All eight Town wins up to this point have been by a single goal margin but they have scored twice on five separate occasions and Wednesday do have a habit of overstretching themselves when required to chase, so the 2-0 correct score also appeals at 12/1. Half of Huddersfield’s ten wins under Wagner last season were achieved by this scoreline.