Forest could struggle to break down a Cardiff side whose aim will be to stifle the hosts.
Nottingham Forest v Cardiff - Saturday 17:30, Sky Sports 1
One of the first things Neil Warnock said in his pre-match press conference, ahead of the trip to the City Ground, was this: "I don’t think I’ve ever gone anywhere looking for a point but, you know, the Lansburys and people like that, the quality players they’ve got. We’ll try and get organised, limit them, and create chances if we can."
It’s a big clue about how Cardiff intend to approach this game. With four points on the board from Warnock’s first two matches and a day less to prepare, nobody could really blame them if they decide to park the bus. Indeed, if Wigan fail to beat Brighton and Blackburn get turned over at Bristol City, then a point here would lift the visitors out of the bottom three.
True to form when taking charge of a struggling team, Warnock has gone with a 4-5-1 for both his first two matches but players told to play on the front foot. Even so, the five goals produced were disproportionate the number of chances created: a penalty, a corner and a direct free-kick for Cardiff; a consolation and an equaliser for their opponents when throwing caution to the wind.
Here, the Welsh club are likely to be much more passive. The big question is whether Forest possess the creativity and guile to break them down. The Reds have scored 23 goals - bettered only to Norwich and Newcastle - but ten of them have arrived from set pieces. If Sol Bamba & Co can deal with those, then the draw at 13/5 and no goalscorer at 11/1 are both decent bets.