Burton look worth backing to silence the Elland Road faithful on Saturday afternoon.
Leeds v Burton - Saturday 15:00
They say blood runs thicker than water and that’s especially true when it comes to Nigel Clough motivating teams for games against Leeds United. It’s a grudge that goes back over 40 years but the Elland Road faithful seldom pass up an opportunity to let the Burton boss know what they think of his father, and Clough never fails to send out a team that does his father proud.
Six wins out of six was his record against the Yorkshire club as Derby boss. He was obviously blessed with greater resources at the Rams but there’s value in the 3/1 about Burton to win. The Brewers have yet to bag their first away win as a Championship club but their players should be left in no doubt that this is the venue where Clough would most like it to happen.
It seems a risky call looking at the formbook. Garry Monk’s men are six unbeaten at home (four wins, two draws) but they might struggle to match the intensity of the visitors after going the distance with six first-choice players involved in the EFL Cup penalty shootout win over Norwich. A quarter-final tie against Liverpool at Anfield only adds to the level of distraction.
Shot data says the Brewers are value, their shot ratio being fractionally better than Leeds’ and they come into this game on the back of an eight-day break. Clough will want to make that count straight away, so back the Burton/Burton half time/full time bet at 6/1 and there’s additional value in them bagging a fourth clean sheet in five outings. The win to nil bet is 11/2.