Huddersfield v Birmingham - Saturday 15:00

'A bad day at the office' was how David Wagner attempted to pigeon-hole Huddersfield’s 5-0 demolition at Fulham last weekend but some punters will need more convincing amid rising suspicions that the Terriers have been clinging on to their lofty status by their fingernails of late. Over the past month, their shot ratio has dropped from 58 per cent to barely 50 per cent.

The Yorkshire club are still third in the table but their performance data is distinctly mid-table and they’ve now tasted defeat in five of their last nine matches. Their high-octane, gegenpressing approach is all well and good but fatigue was always the main concern behind their ability to sustain a promotion push over a punishing 46-game schedule.

So now they face a test of character because the same doubts are probably crossing the players’ minds, possibly unspoken. Either way, they look vulnerable against a Birmingham side capable of varying its approach. In this instance, Blues are likely to pack bodies behind the ball and look to play on the counter, so take the 7/1 available on the Draw/Birmingham half time/full time bet.

Gary Rowett has admitted previously that he’s a fan of Wagner’s organisational skills, so he’s inclined to be a little more patient than normal. Both meetings last season produced exactly two goals with Blues taking the lead in a 1-1 draw at the John Smith’s Stadium last April. This time, they can finish the job properly. Back the Birmingham 2-0 correct score at 18/1.

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Draw/Birmingham half time/full time - 1pt @ 7/1
Birmingham 2-0 correct score - 1pt @ 18/1