Football League expert Mike Holden can see the points being shared at Portman Road.
Ipswich v Nottingham Forest - Saturday 17:30, Sky Sports 1
Mick McCarthy was in defiant mood as he addressed the critical Suffolk media following the 2-1 away win at Sheffield Wednesday last time out. The Ipswich boss has come under increasing fire this season - for the quality of football more than results - but inconsistency hasn’t helped his cause. Only once this season have they posted the same result in successive matches.
On that basis alone, it’s difficult to make a case for the home win at 23/20. The general mood around Portman Road nowadays provides the Tractor Boys with scant advantage and their record of 14 goals scored in 16 matches (expected goals 13.76) illustrates how likely the players are to get bums off seats during the course of the 90 minutes.
McCarthy’s only real saving grace lies with the security he provides. No matter how bad the football gets, it’s virtually impossible to imagine Ipswich becoming embroiled in a relegation battle with him at the helm. But that’s exactly what Forest find themselves in and their sense of urgency might be slightly greater here, enabling them to snatch a point.
The Reds are currently fifth from bottom, just two points above the drop zone, and they remain winless on the road from eight attempts. However, they have found the net in 12 of their last 13 matches and any goal against this Ipswich takes you a long way towards avoiding defeat. As well as backing the draw at 5/2, stick a point on the 1-1 correct score at 6/1.