Brighton v Fulham - Saturday 15:00

Scott Malone fired home a stoppage-time equaliser for Fulham against Sheffield Wednesday last weekend, prompting Slavisa Jokanovic to remark that his team would have lost the game 3-0 last season. It’s a familiar tactic employed by most managers when a little imagination is required to convey the impression that progress is conintual in the wake of an iffy result.

By that logic, the bar isn’t set particularly high for a trip to the Amex. Last April, the Cottagers lost this fixture 5-0, so one wonders whether a narrow defeat might actually be rationalised with similar grace seven months on. Either way, the respective shot data points towards a low-scoring encounter and there’s value in the 23/10 available on Brighton to win to nil.

Indeed, this could be a remarkably easy to envisage from an observational standpoint. Fulham flood the midfield and dominate possession most weeks, which is fine by Chris Hughton, so long as you’re not doing anything too dangerous with it, although it could take the visitors a while to get a foothold given Brighton’s tendency to throw the kitchen sink early doors.

So an early goal for the hosts followed by 70 minutes of shadow boxing would be no great shock. Either way, the Seagulls are much more streetwise and should be fancied to get the job done one way or another. The Brighton 1-0 correct score is way too big at 7/1. With total goals expectancy on my ratings set at 1.96, that scoreline is no bigger than 5/1 on my tissue.

Claim Now Bet £20 Get £20 Free
Brighton to win to nil - 1pt @ 23/10
Brighton 1-0 correct score - 1pt @ 7/1