Back Accrington to keep it tight and win late on at the Crown Ground tonight.
Accrington v Burnley - Wednesday 19:45, Sky Sports 1
John Coleman criticised his Accrington players for a lack of tempo against Exeter at the weekend, suggesting his players treated the game like a dress rehearsal. Presumably, that was precisely what it was and we should expect a vast improvement for the club’s first-ever competitive meeting with big neighbours Burnley.
Given the geographical proximity of the two clubs and the simple fact many Burnley fans follow Accrington as their second club - to such an extent that Accrington request home games to be on opposite weekends to the Clarets - it seems inconceivable that Sean Dyche would send a side that could be too easily chinned and the value might not be in who wins the game, but how.
The Clarets might prevail in any manner you care to mention, and much of how they go about their business will depend on team selection. But Stanley surely have to be patient, do the dirty stuff well early doors and look to strike a decisive blow when the visitors have little time to respond - because if they do fall behind at any stage, it will undoubtedly sting Burnley into a response.
Therefore, the Draw/Accrington half-time/full-time option is the bet to be having. Without the benefit of team news, we can only assume the current 90-minute market is bang on the money. But whether Stanley’s chances of success transpire to be greater or lesser, grabbing the all-important goal in the second half is much more likely than the normal distribution of HT/FT outcomes.