The value could lie in the stalemate in Sunday's live Eredivsie clash at Feyenoord.
Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle - Sunday 15:45, Sky Sports Mix
Feyenoord suffered a disappointing setback last time out as they lost to Go Ahead Eagles, who at the time were languishing inside the relegation zone. Giovanni van Bronckhorst’s side remain top of the league and against mid-table side Zwolle they’ll be hoping to improve upon recent results. They’ve only won once in their last five across all competitions and none of their last three in the Eredivise. It should be noted though that before the surprising defeat against Go Ahead Eagles they had credible draws against Ajax and Heerenveen (currently 2nd and 4th respectively).
Zwolle are currently enjoying a five game unbeaten streak, but whilst this would suggest that they will be no pushovers for Feyenoord, four of these games were against bottom-half opposition. They endured a goalless stalemate at home to last placed Roda JC before the international break, and away from home their form has been poor. Before beating Excelsior (currently in the relegation zone) they had failed to win in 10 away games, losing seven, but with Feyenoord priced at 1.29 we don’t feel comfortable backing them. Instead, we’re going for the draw at 6.4.
Zwolle have actually lost only three of their last seven road trips (W1-D3-L3), and given Feyenoord have drawn three of their last five in all competitions and have a trip to Old Trafford coming up, we think this is where the value is.