Thursday's Europa League tie at St Mary's could be a cagey affair (BT Sport 2).
Southampton v Inter Milan – Thursday 20:05, BT Sport 2
It’s still all to play for in Group K as all four teams are within three points of each other. Southampton were punished for several missed chances at the San Siro a few weeks ago as they lost out 1-0. After failing to penetrate Chelsea’s defence on the weekend despite having the lion share of possession, Claude Puel’s side have now drawn a blank in four of their last seven and only against Burnley have they scored more than once in that time. They remain unbeaten at home in their four fixtures in this competition but with little European experience and lacking a cutting edge up top, they look short to us at 1.73 against a side like Inter, even with the Italian outfit’s current issues.
The Nerazzurri are down in 11th in Serie A and their only away successes under Frank De Boer have come against sides who sit 17th and 18th, losing their last four in all competitions. They have a rich history in Europe but a decline in recent times has seen them feature in Europe just twice since 2012/13 where their record on the road reads a modest W2-D3-L2, despite being the higher ranked side on every occasion.
This puts us off taking the Saints on so instead we’ll look to the goals market. Both these sides will be wary that defeat may end their chances of qualification so it could be a cagey affair, particularly with Saints’ lack of goals and the fact that Inter have netted just three times in their last four away games in all competitions. With that in mind Under 1.5 goals