Mike Holden fancies a correct score bet in the live Monday night FA Cup clash (BT Sport).
Southport v Fleetwood - Monday 19:45, BT Sport 1
A month ago, Southport were bottom of the National League Premier with nine points from 15 matches and a goal difference of -24. So don’t be too encouraged by their recent upsurge in form. They fact they are now sixth from bottom operating at less than a point per game says everything about the class divide that exists about two-thirds of the way down the division.
York and Torquay, the two teams beaten by the Sandgrounders over the past fortnight, both exist alongside them in that throng of makeweights. Results are breeding confidence, though. Steve Burr and Keith Briggs are bringing new ideas to the table and performances are improving, so the home side shouldn’t disgrace themselves in what seems likely to be a routine away win.
Six years ago, these two teams were big rivals. Southport pipped Fleetwood to the Conference North title on the final day, amid controversy over Farsley Celtic’s results being expunged, forcing the Cod Army to earn promotion via the play-offs a few weeks later. Now the two clubs are worlds apart and Fleetwood chairman Andy Pilley insists the two clubs have a good relationship.
On that basis, there should be no underlying desire for Fleetwood to humiliate their hosts. Two goals is about the standard margin when a League One side takes control against Level 5 opposition and Uwe Rosler’s men have conceded 16 goals in their last ten matches, which is hardly what you’d call watertight. Take the 12/1 available the Fleetwood 3-1 correct score.