Mike Holden has found some value in the HT/FT markets in tonight's FA Cup replay.
Curzon Ashton v Westfields - Monday 19:45
Curzon Ashton are just 90 minutes away from equalling their best-ever FA Cup run, having reached the second round proper only once before in 2008/09. But with a televised clash against Bury or Wimbledon up for grabs, the weight of expectation might be too much for a team that has only picked up two points from a possible 24 on home soil in the National League North.
Odds of 1/3 about the home win suggest this ought to be a formality. Westfields are the lowest-ranked team in this season’s competition, playing their bread and butter in the ninth-tier Midland League Premier, but hierarchy is a pretty vague concept when you pitch two sides from the regional leagues at this stage of the competition.
It really is just eleven blokes against eleven blokes, and this will more likely boil down to what occurs in the final 30 minutes - be that in normal time or extra time - rather than the first 30. The key for Westfields is to stay in the game because the pressure will surely mount on The Nash if aren’t home and hosed by the final quarter.
With that thought in mind, split a point between the Curzon Ashton/Draw and Curzon Ashton/Westfields half time/full time options at 22/1 and 75/1 respectively. John Flanagan’s men ought to stamp their authority early doors but the visitors are playing with house money now and their freedom could capitalise on any emotional fatigue in the home ranks as the contest wears on.