The value lies with the hosts in Wednesday's live FA Cup first-round clash (BT Sport).
Brackley v Gillingham - Wednesday 19:45, BT Sport 1
Justin Edinburgh spoke of his relief as Gillingham bagged their first league win in eight attempts with a stoppage-time thunderbolt from Jay Emmanuel Thomas against Northampton on Saturday. But the Kent club might be a little too keen to assume a corner has been turned when the lowest point in a faltering campaign might be just around the corner.
The Gills have scored in all but two of their 17 league matches this term, so it would be a shock if they didn’t find the net at some stage here, but they’ve persistently found ways to lose even when dominating games and that losing culture might take a while to eradicate. Either way, the League One strugglers cannot be trusted at odds-on. The value is with the 7/2 about the home win.
Brackley remain the only unbeaten side on the road in the National League North, which is handy to know as they no doubt intend to approach this like an away game. And confidence appeared to be coarsing through Kevin Wilkin’s men as they raced into a 3-0 lead inside 33 minutes at Boston on Saturday, eventually being pegged back to 3-2 once they eased up.
The Saints have a habit of bagging goals in quick succession and though Gillingham should be better prepared after the 2-2 draw at Priestfield 11 days ago, their capacity to commit individual errors might easily see them sabotage another promising display. Based on the respective record for goals scored and conceded, the Brackley 2-1 correct score looks worth a nibble at 13/1.