Colombia look value to get at least a point from their trip to Argentina on Tuesday night.
Argentina v Colombia – Wednesday 19:45
11 games into the South American World Cup qualifying campaign, Colombia travel to Argentina for a high-stakes fixture. Argentina’s chances of qualification currently hang in the balance: consecutive losses to Paraguay at home and away at Brazil have left them sixth in the CONMEBOL standings, outside the four automatic qualification spots. Colombia, meanwhile, sit in third place, and have a strong away record.
Thursday night’s defeat against arch-rivals Brazil means that Argentina are without a win in four. Being held to draws by Peru and Venezuela in previous qualification rounds will not fill Argentina fans with confidence, although they can take some comfort from the fact that they’re unbeaten in their last six meetings with Colombia, winning four of these. Their goal-scoring record at home is poor: they’ve scored only six home goals in qualifying, despite the presence of Lionel Messi, Sergio Aguero, Angel Di Maria and Gonzalo Higuain in the squad. Colombia failed to penetrate the Chilean defence on Thursday, but they’ve won five of their last six on the road, so they’ll fancy their chances against an embattled Argentinian side.
The bookies continue to price Argentina up at short odds despite their awful form, so there’s value to be had in the results markets. We like Colombia-Draw in the Double Chance market, and we’re also going to have a punt on the 1-1 Correct Score at 8.0.