Osasuna v Atletico Madrid – Sunday 15:15, Sky Sports 3

Joaquin Caparros’ first match in charge at Osasuna was a glum affair: a 2-0 defeat on the road against Leganes means they now sit second-from-bottom with one win in 12 games this campaign, and they will have to improve markedly if they wish to avoid relegation. Atletico Madrid had two away defeats against Sevilla and Real Sociedad prior to the international break, but after a convincing win against PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League, they will be hoping to heap further misery on the Pamplonans.

Diego Simeone praised his Atletico team for breaking ‘new and privileged’ ground by winning on Wednesday to top Group D, but they will have to banish thoughts of their thumping by Real Madrid in the last derby at Vincente Calderon in the league as part of a run that has seen them lose three of their last four league games en route to sixth place in La Liga. They have shown a tendency to start slowly in recent away matches, going into half-time level in four of their last five league fixtures on the road, and four of the games in that same stretch have produced fewer than three goals in total. However, they are up against an Osasuna side that has failed to score in six of their last 10 home games against top-six sides, so they will be hoping for a no-nonsense victory to get their league campaign back on track.

Osasuna have lacked the firepower to get past top defences this term, and with Atletico still a formidable force despite recent setbacks, we’re backing Draw/Atletico Madrid at 4.2. For a longer shot, Atletico to win 2-0 looks long at 5.8: they’ve recorded that score in four of their last nine trips to bottom-six teams.

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Draw/Atletico Madrid - 1pt @ 4.2