Scunthorpe v Sheffield United - Saturday 15:00

Chris Wilder is steadily getting on top of the job at Sheffield United. Last weekend’s 1-0 win over Peterborough displayed many of the qualities with which he became synonymous at Northampton. The action ebbed and flowed, both teams created their fair share of chances, but the Blades made the breakthrough and did the dirty stuff better to grind out the three points.

So that’s four straight wins for the first time in over a year but their outright superiority over Oxford, Gillingham, Wimbledon and Posh was debatable. Over those four matches, the opposition hit the target 24 times, six occasions more than the Blades. It’s classic Wilder. Last season, he fashioned a 99-point season from an overall shot ratio of just 56 per cent.

But such efficiency cannot continue indefinitely. Every now and again, regression will bite, the secrets of Wilder’s game management will elude him and his players will be left exposed. In shot data terms, Scunthorpe are far superior to their visitors on the evidence of the first eight matches and they look good value to take the spoils on home soil over 90 minutes.

The Iron lead the way in League One with a 62 per cent ratio and a goal difference of +11, compared to the Blades’ respective figures of 46 per cent and -1. If Graham Alexander’s men strike first blood, they could win with this something to spare. Take the 17/4 available on Scunthorpe to clear the -1 handicap.

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Scunthorpe to win - 1pt @ 6/4
Scunthorpe -1 on the handicap - 1pt @ 17/4