Chesterfield v Fleetwood - Tuesday 19:45

Danny Wilson bemoaned the quality of the final pass as Chesterfield slipped to a limp 1-0 defeat at Southend on Saturday, stretching their winless run to five matches. But their shot data over a dozen games suggests they are virtually the equal of Fleetwood and decent value to beat them on home soil. Take the 5/1 on the Spireites to win and both teams to score.

The two teams might be eight places apart in the current League One standings but Chesterfield’s 48.7 per cent shot ratio is only fractionally shy of Fleetwood’s figure of 49.2. However, given the unpredictable nature of their recent performance, it makes sense to bypass the 9/5 about the home win and shoot for something a bit more exotic.

The Cod Army have scored in every game so far this season and there’s not much evidence to suggest the Derbyshire club are going to halt that run - they’ve only managed two clean sheets in all competitions. However, they have put three goals apiece past Swindon, Northampton and Gillingham at the Proact and the key to victory probably lies in one of those sporadic bursts.

It’s only natural to assume that the goals drying up is somehow linked to Ched Evans’ absence with a foot injury but six other players have found the net this term, with strikers Connor Wilkinson and Kritian Dennis netting six between them. Fleetwood have picked up just four points from five away games, going down on three separate occasions despite finding the net.

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Chesterfield to win & BTTS - 1pt @ 5/1