Peterborough v Bolton - Sunday 12:15, Sky Sports 1

Consistency has eluded Peterborough since they returned to League One a little over three years ago but they’ve always retained the capacity to turn the top teams over, while the television cameras usually bring the best out of a club that lives for buying talent young and selling on for big money. Put them in a shop window and they rarely struggle for motivation.

The talent is always there, the problem is usually the level of discipline that comes with a sense of long-term purpose driven by shared targets. But some occasions do take care of themselves and this is one example where Posh should be trusted to concentrate on their defensive duties and do the dirty stuff well. Take the 2/1 available on the home win.

Bolton are ticking along nicely with five straight league wins and progression in the FA Cup but their success relies heavily on scoring the first goal and they’ve seized the initiative rather well in recent weeks, breaking the deadlock inside 20 minutes on five consecutive occasions. If Grant McCann's men can weather that opening quarter, then it might tip the balance and they become the dominant force thereafter.

The layers are forever wary of setting the total goals line too low whenever Posh are involved, understandably. But the shot data indicates that this is a game like more likely to be played on Bolton’s terms, meaning a low-scoring affair rather than a goalfest. Nonetheless, the value is with the hosts to edge it, so back the Peterborough 1-0 correct score at 10/1.

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Peterborough to win - 1pt @ 2/1
Peterborough 1-0 correct score - 1pt @ 10/1