Scunthorpe v Oldham - Saturday 15:00

The first goal is invariably the decisive goal in any match involving Oldham, as Scunthorpe found out to their cost at Boundary Park a month ago. The Iron were widely expected to make light work of Steve Robinson’s men but their fate was sealed by two goals in the space of three minutes just before half time, the hosts closing out comfortably thereafter.

Only four times this season have Oldham troubled the 'both teams to score’ coupon. It’s a strange quirk that stems from a high uncertainty avoidance approach. The Latics are very good without the ball, more so than you would normally expect of a team marooned in the drop zone, but they are generally short of ideas when forced to chase games.

Having been stung once, and with the memories of that shock defeat still fresh, expect the leaders to be patient while the game remains goalless and bide their time for the right opening. All of which points to value in the Draw/Scunthorpe half time/full time bet at 15/4 and the Scunthorpe 1-0 correct score at 59/10.

It would be a break from the norm of how Graham Alexander’s men normally go about their business at Glanford Park but it’s an opportunity to showcase the variety in their game. With a third of the season gone, swagger must occasionally give way to pragmatism and this is one of those occasions where the Iron can underline their title credentials by boxing clever.

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Draw/Scunthorpe half time/full time - 1pt @ 15/4
Scunthorpe 1-0 correct score - 1pt @ 59/10