The Railwaymen look a good bet to end their winless run in League Two.
Leyton Orient v Crewe - Saturday 15:00
A change of manager has got Leyton Orient believing that a change of fortunes is bound to follow and last weekend’s 3-1 win at Hartlepool serves only to reinforce such expectations. However, the O’s are much less than the sum of their parts and they could have easily been 2-0 down against Pools before a 16-minute second half blitz turned the tide at Victoria Park.
The secret behind the goal flourish is anyone’s guess. New boss Alberto Cavasin was also at a loss to explain it. "Until ten minutes into the second half, I thought they were better than us," said Cavasin. "But then we scored and suddenly the team started to run their socks off." Evidently, Orient have some underlying confidence issues that could resurface here.
After six defeats in seven matches at home, one can only assume a game at Brisbane Road triggers feelings of anxiety and it’s a situation Crewe have the ability to capitalise on. The Railwaymen are winless in seven since Alex Kiwomya dislocated his shoulder in the 2-0 win at Grimsby six weeks ago but the Chelsea loanee is back, bringing supreme individual quality and providing better balance.
Excluding Checkatrade Trophy action, Crewe have scored 18 goals in the 711 minutes when Kiwomya has been on the pitch this season (one goal every 39.5 minutes), compared to just four goals in 789 minutes (one every 197 minutes) when he isn’t. Back the away win at 14/5 and take the 21/1 available on the Crewe 2-0 correct score.