In-form Rennes can capitalise on a longer rest than the hosts and take all the points.
Lorient v Rennes – Tuesday 18:00, BT Sport 2
Lorient come into this game on short rest, having blown a two-goal lead at Metz on Saturday to draw 3-3, while in-form Rennes have the benefit of an extra days rest.
The problem for Lorient seems to be scoring goals: they’ve netted more than one at home on only one occasion since February, though they’ll take heart from the improved performance in front of goal against Metz. Keeper Benjamin Lecomte’s absence remains a challenge for the Breton side, who have conceded seven in their last three games, and their defence will be further stretched by the continued absence of Michael Ciani. There are no fresh injury worries for the visiting Rennes side, although Christian Gourcuff demonstrated a degree of caution over the fitness of key attacking players Paul-Georges Ntep and Giovanni Sio by taking them off early at the weekend. They have struggled for away form lately, going W1-D1-L7 in their last nine away league games, but will surely fancy their chances against a disillusioned Lorient side.
Lorient have a dire record at home against top-six teams, losing five of their last six games, and Rennes will feel that their away loss against Dijon earlier in the season was an anomaly given that prior to that, they were unbeaten away at bottom-six sides since the 2014-2015 season. As such, we think a Rennes victory looks long at 2.95. For a more ambitious shot, we’ve noticed that Lorient have drawn at half-time in all of their last four home losses to top-six sides, so we like Draw-Rennes at 7 as well.