Philadelphia avoided defeat in seven of their last 13 on the road, and can do so again.
Toronto FC v Philadelphia Union – Thursday 00:35, Sky Sports 1
Toronto ended up in 3rd in the Eastern Conference and had comfortably the best defence in the division, though their form tailed off somewhat towards the end of the regular season as they managed just one win in their last six. As a result, they host Philadelphia, who snuck 6th on goal difference, for the right to play New York City in the Conference semi-finals.
Toronto’s home record in the regular season was W8-D6-L3 but they managed just one win in their last six and that was against wooden spoon winners Chicago. With that in mind, they look on the short side at 1.66, particularly since they had to come from behind to rescue a point when they hosted Philadelphia earlier in the season.
Philadelphia avoided defeat in seven of their last 13 on the road, finding the net in 11 of these games and since Toronto kept just one clean sheet in their last 12, we expect both teams to score and are taking a punt on a repeat of their meeting back in September by backing the 1-1 correct score.