Chelsea welcome the champions to Stamford Bridge on Saturday lunchtime, live on Sky.
Chelsea v Leicester - Saturday 12:30, Sky Sports 1
Antonio Conte introduced a back three for the first time against Hull before the international break, with the out of form Branislav Ivanovic dropped to the bench. The system allowed Chelsea to be more compact defensively and enabled them to defend higher up the pitch, with Hull unable to use their wide men to pin back the Chelsea wing-backs. Cesar Azpilicueta once again showed his versatility by filling one of the centre-half slots, but it remains to be seen whether Conte will continue with the new system, particularly with John Terry available again. A comfortable match against a promoted side isn’t a true indicator of improvement however, especially as Hull seem to have lost the verve they displayed in their impressive opening to the season.
Leicester were fortunate not to lose against Southampton before the international break, with the Saints missing various presentable chances and Kasper Schmeichel pulling off some decent saves. They were outmuscled in midfield and failed to create many opportunities of their own, with their best moments coming from individual mistakes amongst Southampton’s ranks. Jamie Vardy is now without a goal in six games across all competitions in what is another concern for Claudio Ranieri’s stuttering side. However, at a price of 9.0 he still represents good value as the first goalscorer.
These two sides have met once already this season in an entertaining League Cup fixture that featured four goals in 90 minutes plus another two during extra-time. Recent form suggests we could have another thriller on our hands. In six of Chelsea’s last seven matches there have been at least three goals, and the same is true in four of Leicester’s last five. In addition, both teams have scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 12 and in seven of Leicester’s last 10. We think the value lies backing draw/both teams to score at 5.6 with Chelsea far too short given their defensive problems against better teams.