There have been exactly three goals in seven of the last nine games between these sides.
Liverpool v Man Utd - Monday 20:00, Sky Sports 1
Liverpool were poor against Swansea during the first half and could have been more than just a single goal down at the break. Jurgen Klopp will mostly have been annoyed by his side’s pedestrian build-up, but more concerning ought to be the fact that his side conceded yet another goal from a set-piece, a consistent failure of this team and one that undermines their title credentials. However, they put on an improved displayed after half-time and fought back to claim victory playing more like their usual selves, exerting a level of control over the game.
Wayne Rooney has been dropped for Man Utd’s last two league outings, and despite the disappointing draw at home to strugglers Stoke, his path back into the first team looks precarious. Jose Mourinho was insistent that this was his side’s best performance so far this season, and in truth Stoke were dominated and should have been buried before the break. In particular, Paul Pogba has found himself roaming further forwards almost alongside Juan Mata, though perhaps was a little over-enthusiastic at times. Against the high-pressing, energetic style of Klopp’s team, this would not be the game to reintroduce Rooney into the starting line-up, especially when Man Utd are currently playing better without his presence.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 10 home matches, winning five of their last seven. The recent form book suggests Jurgen Klopp’s team are the one in the ascendancy, but they have lost seven of their last nine Premier League matches against the Red Devils, and there have been exactly three goals in seven of these games. In an encounter where either side could win, we think backing exactly three goals at 4.25 looks like a smart bet.