Chelsea face a tricky trip to Southampton on Sunday afternoon, live on Sky Sports.
Southampton v Chelsea - Sunday 16:00, Sky Sports 1
Southampton's good form continued with a solid defensive display against Man City, leaving them unbeaten in their last five Premier League matches. The centre-half partnership of Jose Fonte and Virgil van Dijk looks very strong, conceding only two goals in this sequence and only Spurs have conceded fewer goals than Saints this season so far. However, both teams have scored in nine of Southampton’s last 10 home matches, with Saints having conceded exactly one goal in four of the last five of these games, whilst only Liverpool and Man City have outscored Chelsea this season.
Chelsea put in their best performance of the Antonio Conte era in the 4-0 thrashing of Man Utd, though the defending from Jose Mourinho’s side was shockingly lackadaisical. The Blues have now scored nine goals in their last three without reply and have scored at least two goals in eight of their last 11 on the road. Despite the midweek loss to West Ham in the League Cup where Diego Costa and Eden Hazard started on the bench, Chelsea look to be in good shape at the moment and should field a full strength team here with no upcoming European fixtures to concern themselves with.
Southampton have won 10 of their last 14 home games, losing only once, and have a decent head-to-head record with Chelsea over the last four seasons (W2-D3-L3). Given that draw trend and since these sides are both in decent form at the moment, we’re backing draw and both teams to score at 4.6. Also, having scored eight goals in Chelsea’s last 14 matches and looking back to his best, we think Eden Hazard is overpriced at 3.3 to score anytime.