Spurs v West Ham - Saturday 17:30, BT Sport 1

Spurs are still the only unbeaten side in the Premier League but they’ve drawn each of their last four, and whilst their defensive record is comfortably the best in the league they’ve been thoroughly outscored by the four sides above them in the table. Indeed, they’ve been involved in some rather low-scoring encounters, with fewer than three goals in each of their last five and exactly two goals in four of these games.

Low-scoring games have also been a recent trend for the Hammers, who have seen less than three goals in their past five fixtures too, with exactly two goals in three of these. West Ham’s form has picked up of late since their disastrous beginning to the season, earning a draw last time out at home to Stoke, but on the road they’ve been awful with five defeats in six trips. They’ve conceded at least twice in nine of their last 11 road trips, and this looks a tough fixture for Slaven Bilic’s side to turn around their abysmal away form.

Spurs have scored first in five of their last seven games where there was at least one goal, and have kept a clean sheet in each of their last five home wins. Given the return of Harry Kane, Spurs’ superb defensive record as well, and West Ham’s results on the road, we think at a price of 4.33 Spurs/under 2.5 goals represents excellent value. As both sides have been involved in contests with exactly two goals, we wouldn’t shy away from a 2-0 correct score at 8.5 either.

Spurs/Under 2.5 Goals - 1pt @ 4.33
Spurs 2-0 West Ham (Correct Score) - 1pt @ 8.5