There have been at least three goals in six of the Hornets’ last seven at home.
Watford v Leicester - Saturday 15:00
Watford’s run of three clean sheets came to an abrupt end before the international break as they were thumped 6-1 by Jurgen Klopp’s rampant Liverpool side. They were simply outclassed, but did at least force some decent saves from Liverpool’s Loris Karius. Walter Mazzarri’s team were unbeaten in four games prior to the defeat, and their Italian coach can point with some justification to the table where the Hornets sit comfortably in 8th place, just three points behind both Man Utd and Everton.
Leicester were beaten at home by West Brom in their last match, which was their first top-flight defeat at the King Power Stadium since September 2015. It leaves them with one win from six, with just one clean sheet in this run and their only victory coming against a struggling Palace. Their away form has been especially poor though, winless this term, with four losses and a draw. It must be noted however that their last four matches on the road were against Liverpool, Man Utd, Chelsea and Spurs.
We think there should be goals in this one. Both teams have scored in eight of Watford’s last nine at Vicarage Road, and in six of Leicester’s last seven road trips. Additionally, there have been at least three goals in six of the Hornets’ last seven at home, with four of these having at least four strikes. Leicester, meanwhile, have seen seven of their last nine matches feature at least three goals. We certainly would put anyone off backing over 2.5 goals at 2.16, but we’ll take a chance on over 3.5 at a more fruitful 3.8.