Football Form Labs have a strong fancy for this big game in Serie A
Udinese v Lazio - Saturday 19:45, BT Sport Europe
Udinese won two of their first three but they’ve picked up just one point from their last three and as a result find themselves in 14th, having narrowly avoided the drop last term. Lazio, meanwhile, have won half their opening six but have lost against Milan and Juve already and poor results against the top teams was one of the key factors in them dropping down to 8th last term, having finished 3rd in 2014/15.
Udinese have a relatively poor W7-D5-L10 home record since the start of last season while when hosting sides between 6th and 10th in that period they’re W0-D3-L3 as they failed to score in half of these matches, but trailed in the break just once. Indeed, Udinese have been strong in the first-45 at home so far this term as they’ve led at the break in each of their three games, but have held on for the win just once.
Four of Lazio’s six away wins since the start of last season have come against bottom-six sides and as a result we’re siding with them to win, but given Udinese’s strong first-half record at home, we’re going to back Draw/Lazio Half-Time/Full-Time.