Tuesday's live Seria clash in Genoa looks a hard game to call and a stalemate looks likely.
Genoa v AC Milan - Tuesday 19:45, BT Sport 1
Genoa suffered only their second defeat of the season in the derby against Sampdoria to drop down to 12th, but Milan made it three wins on the bounce as they beat league leaders Juve at the San Siro to move up to 3rd and are now just two points off the pace.
Genoa are unbeaten in their four home games so far, with draws in the last three, including a goalless encounter with Napoli. Indeed, they’ve lost just six of 23 at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris since the start of last season and when hosting top eight sides they’re W3-D5-L2 in that time, with Juve and Roma the ones to beat them. Genoa managed seven clean sheets in these games and seven had fewer than two goals, while eight were level at the break.
Since Milan’s record when travelling to sides between 8th and 13th is just W2-D3-L2, they look on the short side at 2.62. They were level at the break in four of these games and given Genoa’s strong draw tendency in relevant fixtures, we’re backing Draw/Draw Half Time/Full Time. Sides that have beaten Juve since 2012/13 are just W7-D3-L6 in their next games as beating the champions no doubt took a great deal out of them and with the short turnaround here that’s another reason to put us off Milan at the prices.