A Scotland victory to nil looks a solid play in the Saturday night Group F clash.
Scotland v Lithuania – Saturday 19:45, Sky Sports 5
A Robert Snodgrass hat-trick helped Scotland start their qualifying campaign with a 5-1 win in Malta. Next up they welcome Lithuania to Hampden Park after the Eastern Europeans let a two-goal lead slip to share the spoils in their opener against Slovenia.
The Scots have won seven of their last 10 at home with their only defeats in this time coming against Germany and England. We have Lithuania ranked down in 95th and The Tartan Terriers boast an impressive record when hosting sides ranked between 70th and 120th, going W9-D1-L1 since 2008 and the last six of these triumphs all coming to nil.
It comes as no surprise that Lithuania struggle on the road, especially when travelling to higher-ranked sides as a W3-D6-L23 record since 2008 illustrates. They’ve only found the net in three of their last 12 on the road against all opposition, while Scotland have kept a clean sheet in seven of their last eight home wins, so a Scottish win to nil at 2.2 looks a solid play. However, we’re going to back Scotland to win and under 2.5 goals at a more attractive 3.0 as all of these victories finished 1-0 or 2-0.