Moldova having drawn the first half in four of their last five at home.
Moldova v Republic Of Ireland - Sunday 19:45, Sky Sports 1
The Republic of Ireland were lucky to come away with a win against Georgia, with their goal coming after a few fortunate ricochets in the box allowed captain Seamus Coleman to capitalise. The win leaves them with two points from four games, along with Wales, Austria and Serbia in what promises to be a tight group. The early evidence is that Georgia and Moldova are the teams that simply have to be beaten to qualify and despite a raft of injuries and the suspension of Jeff Hendrick there is no excuse against the weaker sides in Group D.
Ireland were second best in a first half largely devoid of interest against Georgia and Martin O’Neill should turn to Wes Hoolahan to add some more creativity to his team. The hosts will inevitably seek to defend with a ‘backs against the wall’ attitude and the Norwich midfielder can be the antidote here, prising open a limited rear-guard. The fans will be expecting as much, with Moldova having conceded seven and scored none in their opening two fixtures of this campaign.
Whilst Ireland to win to nil at 2.3 would be the safer bet, we think the value lies in the half-time/full-time market backing Draw/Ireland at a price of 4.2. Recent form suggests as much, with Moldova having drawn the first half in four of their last five at home, whilst the Rep. of Ireland have done the same in 10 of their last 15 away matches. Moldova have lost each of their last seven home matches and it is difficult to envisage anything other than an Irish victory.