There have been at least three goals in seven of Wales’ last 10 matches.
Wales v Serbia - Saturday 19:45, Sky Sports 1
Wales conceded during the second half in their last match at home to Georgia to draw from a losing position, and Chris Coleman’s side will know such slip-ups could prove costly in a very open Group D. Their opponents here sit top of the pile, ahead of the Republic of Ireland on goal difference, though a win could catapult the Welsh into first place. After their Euro 2016 heroics and with key players Gareth Bale and Joe Allen in fine fettle and Aaron Ramsey returning from injury, they will be confident of grabbing all three points on Saturday in Cardiff.
Serbia were woeful in qualification for Euro 2016, picking up just four points from eight matches. However, they top Group D for Russia 2018 after recording successive wins over Moldova and more impressively Austria, who many expected to be Wales’ main rivals for top spot. It’s now five wins from seven unbeaten matches for Serbia, and they’ve shown a penchant for scoring goals, with at least two in five of their last six.
There have been at least three goals in seven of Wales’ last 10 matches, but at home they’ve only conceded more than a single goal once in their last 12, and only let in one goal during the first half in their last seven. However, in a game where Wales must take the initiative there should be room on the counter for Serbia, and so we like the look of Wales/both teams to score at 5.6. Chris Coleman’s team have won four of their last seven, including when against difficult opposition in the later stages of Euro 2016, and have only lost once in their last 12 at home.