David Lingmerth spearheads a three-prongued betting attack on the CareerBuilder Challenge.
This tournament endures an overhaul this year with two of the three courses normally used for this event shelved in favour of a different couple in the area. The Nicklaus and Palmer courses have been removed from the schedule and replaced by the Stadium Course and the Tournament course. In what has always been a tough tournament to judge from a betting perspective this isn't exactly ideal.
We know little of the new courses which have hosted a few PGA tour school events in the last number of years. I usually enjoy studying the new tracks and gaining an advantage on the layers but this is a shade more difficult. This tournament has always been a total birdie fest which makes it hard to predict. The introduction of the Pete Dye designed Stadium course should make the assignment a shade tougher than usual so that is welcome. We will still be looking at a 20 under plus winning score though I'm sure. I'll be looking for golfers who are good all rounders and can cope with all aspects of the game.
Our top selection goes to David Lingmerth
. Admittedly I've had a poor betting record at this event with the closest I have come to a winner is Ryan Palmer's runner up finish to Patrick Reed. Therefore I am trying to find an angle, and the tougher Pete Dye course which will host two of the four rounds holds the key. Don't get me wrong, there will be plenty of birdies here, but not as much as usual in this event.
The Dye course will host a tremendous finish with an Island green on the par 3 17th mimicking one of his more well known designs. Lingmerth won the Memorial last year (Nicklaus design) and he takes to this event with another Nicklaus design hosting one of the four days. However he finished high up in last years PGA on the Pete Dye designed Whistling Straits, and has also finished 2nd at Sawgrass. Couple that with his playoff defeat here in 2013 and Lingmerth rates as a solid selection for this event. He has started his year with two top 15 finishes, all be it one of those in a small field. He has all the attributes to add this tournament to his curriculum vitae so we'll support him at some tasty odds this week.
David Lingmerth - 1.5pt e/w @ 55/1Placed 19.12pt
We'll head towards the top of the market and our second bet will go to Matt Kuchar
. Kuchar has a good record in this event with two runner up finishes. What makes this a decent betting proposition is the Dye course once again. This should be very welcome for Matt who enjoys the more taxing test. He has already tasted success on Dye courses such as Sawgrass and a solid performance at Whistling Straits. This should play into his hands and rates a decent bet at a tournament he would love to win. This is surely one of Kuchar's better chances of a win this term. The price is about right and nothing to get too excited about, but he must be in the staking plan this week.
Matt Kuchar - 1pt @ 20/1Lost -1pt
finishes my trio of bets. He is another who played well in last years PGA and with his attacking game I feel he could contend here over the weekend. He finished way down the field here last year but will surely benefit from the course changes. He hasn't posted many spectacular finishes on tour just yet but it is worth noting he has a top ten at the PGA and a top 15 in the US Open, both gained in 2015. We have to read between the lines, and although this will still be a very facile week for many, it will surely play a few shots tougher. This will suit the golfer who relishes a bit more of a test. Therefore the three guys we have selected might just hold the value in a trappy betting heat.
Tony Finau - 0.75pt e/w @ 66/1Lost -1.5pt