TPC at Scottsdale Arizona is our host as usual for the Phoenix. An event that always produces an exciting finish. Personally I've had a decent record here with many bets landing or getting close. This has always been known as a birdie fest event but the recent re-design of the course has made the test a bit tougher. Kopeka won here last year, and Bubba has been close on numerous occasions therefore the big hitters certainly have their chance here. Wilson, Baddeley and Stadler are the exceptions to that rule so it is hard to rule out many in this field.

Fowler and Snedeker make the trip here to Arizona and with recent wins under their belt pose serious threats in the outright market. Fowler came a very close second to Hunter Mahan in 2010 with a decision to lay up on the par 5 15th on Sunday proving his wrong doing. Other than that performance his results here are quite ordinary and despite being very tempted by the price, the bookies may just have gotten that one right. Snedeker who shot the round of the year so far at Torrey on Sunday will be keen to keep on the right track. His work with Butch Harmon is proving to be quite lucrative for the pair and it is becoming more likely that 2016 may be the year Snedeker gets his break in the majors.

Last week I was surprised by the quotes for the tournament fav Branden Grace in Qatar, and this week I feel exactly the same about Bubba Watson. I was wholly expecting to see single figures for somebody who has posted six top tens in his last nine starts. He has also finished runner up here the last two years on the trot. Bubba is certainly not the man I want to weigh in on unless I'm getting inflated odds. He is likely to do anything. Whatever transpires, his mental state of mind will more than likely dictate his score.

Anyhow, quotes of 12/1 about the sabre wielding Watson are more than interesting around Scottsdale. Should he drive the ball well then the others can whistle for the title. He will more than likely end up in some difficult spots, but that hasn't hampered him before. A lot of favourite backing lately which isn't something we want to religiously but if the price dictates then we shall drink under that well.
Bubba Watson - 2pt e/w @ 12/1Lost -4pt
The test off the tee here is a shade tougher than that of PGA West a few weeks back and this should suit Jason Dufner. Before Dufner notched a couple of wins he always found it troublesome in closing an event out. After a barren spell it looked like the same disease had reared its ugly head again at PGA West. Good fortune came his way though and he managed to gain an unlikely victory. Signs of a return to form were though with two top ten finishes previous to his win. His price wasn't to my liking that week but this week his price is quite similar and coming to a venue on which he posted two top ten finishes in his so called pomp. 30/1 is more than fair for somebody who is a dangerous golfer with his solid tee to green game. His putting had seemed to come on streets a few weeks back too so well worth chancing under these conditions.
Jason Dufner - 1pt e/w @ 30/1Lost -2pt
Finally quotes of 33/1 are more than fair for Kevin Kisner also. His last four starts read 2nd, WIN, 9th, 5th. Regular readers of this column know how highly I rate this fella. Thankfully we landed his first at the back end of last year and I'll be looking to land another few of his wins. I am convinced we are watching a future major winner and the course this week should suit. A missed cut last year is a slight worry hence why the stake will be low enough. He is playing absolutely sparkling golf of late and I expect that to continue for most of the year. The neat and tidy game has carried a few here to victory and I'm prepared to take the chance on Kisner despite last years result.
Kevin Kisner - 0.75pt e/w @ 33/1Lost -1.5pt