Our resident pundit thinks a Brit can strike at the Regnum Carya Golf and Spa Resort this week.
The first event in the Final Series this year has a new home at the Regnum Carya Golf and Spa Resort. This is a new course on the tour so we have no course form to go on but we can examine the layout to see who it may suit. There is no doubting there will be a premium on accurate driving this week. The rough is heavy enough and with the tree lined nature of the course a solid tee to green game will be essential to score well. There will be plenty of low scores out there for those who can keep it in play as the course isn't overly lengthy.
Bernd Wiesberger shares favouritism with Andy Sullivan. The Austrian has played some solid stuff lately but taking 12/1 about somebody who isn't the strongest putter in contention isn't my idea of a good bet. Sullivan rates a better bet at the odds after an impressive defence of his title in Portugal where he just fell short of the winning post. I wouldn't put anyone off investing in the Englishman. Tyrrell Hatton is wild short considering he only has one win under his belt. Yes he is playing very well lately but I can't invest at those odds and I feel others appeal a fair bit more.
ANDREW JOHNSTON has had a year to remember and coming to a suitable venue for his game he may just cap off a perfect year. A recent jaunt across the Atlantic was successful for 'Beef' as he secured his PGA tour card for the 2016-17 season. Andrew clearly has game but none more so was this evident when he won at Valderrama. That course was tight and one of the most brutal of the year. I believe the same type of game will be needed here this week to score well, and avoidance of the rough will be crucial. With plenty at the top of the market short enough, Beef represents a spot of value.
TOMMY FLEETWOOD has been playing very solid golf lately and he too will welcome a return to a more classical layout. He didn't finish out of the top 15 during the KLM, Italian Open, European Open, Alfred Dunhill and British Masters. Tied 37th in Portugal is no real worry as a wide expanse layout has never been his ideal course. It is of course a shade difficult to gauge how the Regnum will play this week but should it play out as I think I believe Tommy is well equipped. If he re-produces the form he had in the lead up to Portugal then he should figure at the weekend.
LUCAS BJERREGAARD may be worth a speculative play at big odds. He seems to like the more classical layout and with low numbers on offer should you keep the ball in play this may well just be up the Dane's street. Performances in Hong Kong, Germany and Italy have shown he can play well on these type of tracks and with a recent top 15 spot posted in Portugal he may well just be coming back into some form for a track that suits.