2 plays in the handicap, the first of which is MUSADDAS(best price 12/1). The visor didn’t work at York but he ran a cracker at the track prior to that and so too in the Cambridgeshire. He came up the middle before drifting stand side, not where it paid to be, and he’s got the cheekpieces back on which have worked well before. He seems a horse that needs to change up the headgear and Eddie Greatrex is a very useful booking. I like he’s drawn low too, where it seems to have been the place to be at the track this year in the main. There’s not much pace on, perhaps Empire Storm in 16 the most likely to go forward, but I’m still looking low and Michael Attwater’s other charge, PROFESSOR(best price 25/1), looks overpriced. Very well treated on old form, he shaped well in the Ayr Gold Cup after an absence and 7 still looked on the sharp side here last time. 8 is well worth a go and he’s had a light summer in comparison to some of these.
Musaddas - 1pt @ 12/1Won 12pt
Professor - 1pt @ 25/1Lost 1pt
Muhaarar will be a tough horse to beat this afternoon and, in some ways, could be the banker of the day. Solow looks a near certainty if Gleneagles doesn’t run but if he does…that makes things very interesting and I’d suggest the latter should be favourite. Jack Hobbs has an air of unbeatability about him but that draw is a potential spanner in the works. So, in many ways Muhaarar has the most known quantities up against him and is very difficult to oppose. I do think LIGHTNING MOON(best price 25/1) is a bigger price than he should be though and has been trained all year with this in mind. A fragile horse, he was ante post favourite for this race last year before getting sick. He came back wrong after York before travelling well when 85% fit at Doncaster and not seeing it out. He would have ideally wanted more rain but has been a touch forgotten and will outrun those odds back at 6.
Lightning Moon - 1pt @ 25/1Lost 1pt
The stayers’ race looks to be between the top 2 in the betting and I can’t split them. For all the bigger prices floating around, they’re all hold up types and may struggle with so little pace on. I like Candarliya very much in the Fillies & Mares but am surprised to see Leger winner SIMPLE VERSE(best price 15/2) a few points bigger. She has arguably the best form in this having beaten the Derby 3rd and a horse with form closely matched with the Irish Leger romper. Yes she’s back in trip but still improving and Covert Love, Journey and Arabian Queen should help provide the test she’ll need.