Ascot 16.20

Main play of the day is Alice Springs - she really does look a big price. She was undoubtedly disappointing in France but that race came 2 weeks after her excellent run in the Guineas and it’s not hard to forgive. Minding was beaten subsequently and put that to bed in the Oaks. Yes that filly was beaten by Jet Setting, who also ran at Newmarket, but the latter seemed to have the run of things in ideal conditions and I think she’ll find this a very different experience. Alice Springs finished nearly 5 lengths ahead of today’s favourite in the Guineas and the price disparity is too much.
Alice Springs - 1pt @ 12/1

Ascot 17.00

A strong fancy in the Duke Of Edinburgh Stakes is Top Tug. He was talked of as Group class early in his career and may finally be finding his feet. He has a long way to go, clearly, but he showed the benefit of a change of scenery when winning on debut for Alan King and probably found the ground a bit lively last time when keen but keeping on over course and distance last month. He was always said to want a bit of dig and he gets that here. A bigger field and stronger pace should be right up his street too. Also worth some money is Rare Rhythm. This is his reappearance and he has his quirks but he looks a really progressive horse and should have more to offer on his 5th start. A 10lb rise is fair for his Newmarket win last September and the ground should be spot on.
Top Tug - 1pt @ 28/1
Rare Rhythm - 1pt @ 8/1