Norway v Germany - Sunday 19:45, Sky Sports 3

Germany’s friendly against Finland was merely a sideshow to Bastian Schweinsteiger’s international farewell. With 121 caps, he had more than the combined total of the rest of the starting 11, and now qualification begins in earnest we can expect to see a very different team from Joachim Low.

Both sides have been involved in low scoring encounters of late, with fewer than three goals in seven of Germany’s last eight, and 18 of Norway’s last 20 at home.

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With Germany lacking in the striker department at the moment, we don’t expect this game to buck the trend. Kevin Volland broke his hand against Finland and won’t feature here and of course Mario Gotze isn’t a prolific out and out striker. Mario Gomez and Leroy Sane have been omitted from the squad entirely whilst by his standards Thomas Muller is enduring a goal drought, having gone seven games without a goal and only scoring once in his last 11 appearances for the national team.

Germany are unbeaten in their last 18 matches against Norway, winning 13 of these games, and with Norway having failed to qualify for a major tournament since Euro 2000, it seems unlikely that this game will end in anything other than a victory for the Germans. In what should be a low-scoring but comfortable game for them, we’re backing Germany/Under 2.5 goals at a price of 3.7.

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Germany and under 2.5 goals - 1pt @ 3.7