It's Cesarewitch day at Newmarket and the Daily Mail's Sam Turner has the best TV bets.
A mark of 85 appears on the generous side for AMABILIS (Best price 10-1) as she heads into handicap company for the first time today. A workmanlike performance in a Beverley maiden was probably a blessing in disguise for the selection with the assessor seemingly keen to focus on that performance rather than her effort behind Rhododendron at Goodwood three starts ago. That form, taken literally, would see her as a handicap good thing here but even if that result flatters Amabilis she should still be highly competitive.
An eighth furlong could be the making of LOCKHEED (Best price 7-2) who was again noted putting in decent late work at the Curragh last time behind the classy Churchill. The selection’s run in the Acomb also added further weight to the theory that a stiffer test of stamina may induce some improvement and he is fancied to score ahead of Anvil who bids to give his handler a first win in the race at the sixth attempt.
Bookmakers were never going to take any chances with CHURCHILL (Best price 4-5) given he is already a shortish price for next year’s Qipco 2000 Guineas. Aidan O’Brien’s charge has looked an extremely strong stayer in winning his last four starts and will be tough to beat here if on song. A positive display for Lockheed earlier on the card would advertise the chances of the selection which emphatically beat the former by more than four lengths in the National Stakes last time.
Plenty of bookmaker concessions on offer here so the different terms look worth checking out before playing. Ante-post favourite St Michel has sneaked into this event at the foot of the handicap so will understandably be popular but he hasn’t been handed the easiest of draw and his yard have suffered some dreadful luck in this event in the past. In contrast, David Simcock won this race with Darley Sun in 2009 and THE CASHEL MAN (Best price 16-1) has already shown his affinity for the track so should be thereabouts. A recent warm up in the trial for this race, with the blinkers on for the first time, should have put the selection spot on for this unique test and he looks to have a handy berth in stall eight.
The propensity to leave the stalls in sluggish fashion is a trait that has threatened to derail the progression of GREAT ORDER (Best price 11-4) over a mile this season. Handing away lengths at the start will hinder the three-year-old as he steps up through the grades, however the decision to return to 10 furlongs today could be a bright move as it should give him longer to organise himself – that’s the theory anyway. The selection nearly rescued the situation at Newmarket last time because of his natural ability and a repeat performance maybe enough to see him strike.
The move into Group 1 company was beyond SILVER LINE (Best price 7-1) at Newmarket last time but he had previously been quietly progressive and should enjoy the drop in class. His yard, who have endured a largely barren summer, have shown signs of a renaissance recently especially at Chelmsford on Thursday evening, so he is fancied to bounce back to form here.
Big-field York handicaps take some unravelling, so please indulge the columnist for throwing two darts at the Knavesmire board. INTISAAB (Best price 12-1) has twice finished runner-up in well-contested sprints here this summer and looked back to his best when running a blinder over seven furlongs at Ascot last weekend. That fine effort eclipsed a slightly below-par performance in the Ayr Silver Cup behind Roudee and GET KNOTTED (Best price 10-1) and he could well make an impact again.
Get Knotted has added great consistency to his game this season and has become a formidable adversary in good quality handicaps this term. Paul Mulrennan boasts figures of 133601326132 aboard the four-year-old who appears nicely drawn to again deliver a weighty performance.
Read Sam Turner's tips in the Daily Mail every day or at www.dailymail.co.uk/racing